Graphique du cours du BTC trader a ChicagoSalut a tous, n'étant pas H24 devant les charts, et également ne parcourant pas toutes les unités de temps a chaque fois.
Ce graphique représente le cours du BTC du CME en unité de temps hebdomadaire.
La dernière cloture en toupie posée sur la trend ligne mensuel attrapant les points les plus haut depuis le sommet historique, pullback propre après la cassure de cette trendline mensuel je le rappel. Cependant la dernière bougie n’étant pas clôturée, tenons la a l’œil
On constate également le role de la chikou qui a exactement rencontrée resistance sous la trendline.
Actuellement, la zone du point haut de février est travaillé, plus haut post krach covid et ca chute de 60%.
A suivre...
Sur ce portez vous bien.
Btccme
BTC/USD (Temporary Bottom? Potential Double Bottom?)BITSTAMP: BTCUSD
-After the massive sell-off recently, BTC might temporarily found a support
-The 10k area is now acting as a strong Buy zone after we saw a double retest
-We can see a Bullish candle together with a big green volume
-The RSI is showing a little divergence on the 1hr time frame
-Bitcoin might be ready to test the downward trendline resistance
-This is a sign of a temporary halt on the selling pressure in the short term
-It is too early to confirm a trend reversal so, please
-Be cautious, use stop-loss in all trade, and plan accordingly
Bitcoin! CME Chart looks clear! Based on the ascending broadening wedge formed on the CME chart, Bitcoin has a 52% to break down to approx. $11K. However, that means that it has a 48% chance to break to approx. $14K. What do you think? MACD is indicating a break lower. However, here is the good news! These patterns don't typically form in bear markets! They form in BULL markets, so that's interesting evidence pointing to a bull market in Bitcoin! I am LONG, long-term! LET'S GO BULLS! :-)
BTC/USD (Bull Trap? Sideways Trading?)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin just had a Bull trap after breaking the recent high at 12.1k
-The price slowly dumping down to 11.6k located the trendline support
-We can see a Bullish reaction candle on the 1st retest of trendline
-BTC is still on an uptrend but a sign of weakness is showing
-Though the trendline of support still valid
-We still need to be cautious as the price action is making fakeouts
-Two possible scenarios for Bitcoin today
-First is to consolidate at current market price and try to bounce back up to 12.4k
-Second, the price will break the upward trendline support
-Price discover in the area of support somewhere in 11.4k range
-If the 11.4k area holds, potential bounce reaction up to 12k is possible
-I recommend to always put stop-loss in all your trades
-Whether BTC goes up or down, Most Altcoins will still suffer
BTC/USD (Bearish Double Top?)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin is about to confirm a Bearish Double Top reversal
-The price is starting to break the upward trendline support
-If the next candle will close below the key trendline
-It is likely to confirm this reversal pattern
-The downside target below is 10900-10700 range
-We can see multiple bearish signs on BTC
-RSI divergence, Strong sell volume & Trendline break
-Please use proper stop loss during this time
-Do not go all-in
Bitcoin: Understanding the CME Futures Gap 1D (Aug.03)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we explore the Bitcoin CME Futures chart on the daily in order to understand the technical barriers that Bitcoin faces in its bullish rally.
Analysis
- A gap is an area discontinuity in a security's chart where its price either rises or falls from the previous day’s close with no trading occurring in between
- Gaps are common when news causes market fundamentals to change during hours when markets are typically closed, or when there are sudden movements within the market
- Regardless of the type of gaps, all gaps have a tendency of being filled.
- Tendencies indicate that while most gaps do get filled, understanding gaps from a probabilities perspective, sometimes gaps can be left unfilled
- The current chart for Bitcoin's CME Futures on the daily demonstrates that a major gap around 11.7k has been filled
- This gap had been in existence for almost a year, and was recently filled during Bitcoin's parabolic rally
- However, because Bitcoin's uptrend was so steep and sudden, the trend is extremely choppy, and has left a lot of gaps on its way
- There are major gaps around the following levels: 11.2k, 11k, and 9.8k
What We Believe
Given that these are all reasonable levels of correction targets, it's highly likely that we see a corrective move possibly filling the lower gaps below, before seeing another bullish rally to push forward beyond 14k levels.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
Bitcoin CME Futures (Warning Bearish RSI?)Bitcoin CME Futures
-Today, BTC made another Higher High looking at the 4h time frame
-But we need to be more cautious now because of the Bearish RSI divergence
-The price is touching the upward trendline resistance
-If Bitcoin unable to break above the trendline resistance
-It is likely to come down and try to fill the CME gap at 11735-11690 range
-Also, the technical pattern is forming a Bearish rising channel
-Which has the higher chances of breaking to the downside
-Please take note also of the large gap at 9925-9675 range
-The good side of BTC moving in a sideways action for the past few days
-The Altcoins are gaining strength to move higher or recover from its losses
-For now, Altcoins looks to be safe for the next 7 days
-Always use proper stop-loss and correct trade size management
BTC/USD: Corrective Probabilities and CME Gaps 1H (Aug. 06)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we explore BItcoin's corrective probabilities referencing the Bitcoin CME Futures chart.
Analysis
- To begin with, we have formed a double bottom on the hourly, and are breaking out to potentially retest 12k regions
- However, counting Elliott Corrective Waves (ABC), the corrective scenario could still be in play
- We had 5 gaps in total, leading up to our initial test of 12k regions.
- The gap resistance on 11.7k has been filled, while 4 other gaps remain below current price levels
- It's important to take into consideration the fact that not all gaps get filled.
- However, it's also important to take note of the fact that 4 out of 5 gaps (especially major gaps) not being filled is highly improbable
Market Sentiment:
Long short ratios are at 70 to 30, with significantly more long positions than short positions. This could be concerning, considering the bearish technicals suggested above.
What We Believe
We believe that time will prove the time and degree of the corrective wave. Based on the liquidity theory, bears would want to supply as much liquidity in the market, inducing bullish reactions from traders, in order to maximize their short positions and optimize their entries.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
BTC/USD (Short Term Downtrend?)BTC/USD
-After the ascending triangle pattern broke out
-The price hits the 12k key resistance including the CME gap before 12k
-Bitcoin drops and now trading below the upward trendline of support
-This is not good in the short term
-We can also see a strong sell volume during the blow-off top
-The key area I'm watching right now is the 10.3k-10.1k range
-Only if BTC will continue dropping and confirm this mini bear flag
-Trade wisely, don't over leverage as the volatility is back
BTC/USD (3 Possible Scenarios)BTC/USD
-I have 3 possible scenarios for Bitcoin on this 1H chart
-1st scenario is a bearish Double Top reversal
-For the 2nd scenario, BTC breaks the trendline resistance and push higher up to 12k
-My 3rd scenario would be a bearish descending triangle
-Downside target is down to 10.2k which is a good area of support
-These are my thoughts, let me know your opinion down in the comment box below
-Thanks for viewing my channel :)
BTC/USD (Bulls Won Short Term?)BTC/USD
-bitcoin bulls won the short term game today
-as the price broke finally above the trendline resistance
-also manages to give back above 200MA on 4H timeframe
-now, for BTC bulls to continue. They must protect the support at 9200 range
-because this level is important in the short term market view
-the next level to watch for the upside resistance is between 9600-9800
-let's wait for the daily candle first to see if Bulls can maintain this win
-on the other hand, Altcoin will start moving again as BTC will continue longer sideways
BTC/USD (Another Retest of Key Support?)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin just got rejected again by the descending trendline resistance
-the price is approaching a key area of support at a 9k-8.8k range
-this area of support has been tested 4 times now
-if BTC will come back to this zone this will be its 5th retest
-bearish side, the more it gets tested, the more the support becomes weaker
-we will never know what will happen once the price hits that level again
-but one thing is for sure, large move is about to happen
-on the good side, if the price consolidates in that region for a few days.
-Altcoins will start recovering or break out of their consolidation stage
-please always use proper stoploss level, we are at the critical zone of trading already
BTC/USD (Failed Trendline Break)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin just had a failed breakout of the trendline
-the price went back inside the lower sideways range
-it almost touched our green area of support
-if the bulls can hold our support zone
-they will have another chance breaking this trendline successfully
-but for now, I expect a few more days of sideways
-Alts may start going higher again
BTC/USD (Potential Bullish Bias Again?)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin is starting to break above the descending trendline
-if BTC closes the daily candle above 50D MA
-this will give a bullish side to the market for the next few days
-longer sideways action is also expected
-a potential challenge of 10k resistance zone again
-during this sideways market again, Alts will start moving faster
-well, it is really high-risk trading inside a sideways channel
-it is better to look for Altcoins who have broken their consolidation stage
-please always use stop loss in your trade
-happy trading :)
BTC/USDT (Bearish 1hr Pattern)BTC/USDT
-since the drop from 9600s area
-the price is unable to break above the 50ma on 1hr chart
-it acted as a dynamic resistance zone
-Bitcoin is testing the flat area of support again
-which is a bearish sign because it gets weaker over time
-it is also painting a bearish descending triangle
-if we see a close below key support
-there is a high chance we will see 8.9k-8.6k support area
BTC/USD (New Trendline Resistance)BTC/USD
-rejected at new downward trendline resistance
-the price went back to the key support area at 9.3-9.2ks
-this is a crucial time for Bitcoin
-if we want a bullish position, we to see a break of 9.5ks zone
-but if we are looking for a bearish position, a close below 9ks is a sign
-I recommend not to use high leverage inside the consolidation zone
-the price can go up/down in an instant
-the safe way to trade BTC is to wait for a clear market direction
BTC/USD (Local trendline break; Bullish Pattern still valid)BTC/USD
-Bitcoin manages to break the local trendline resistance
-closing the daily candle bullish
-new higher low is set at 9.2ks area
-upward trendline of ascending triangle still valid
-the priority is back to the bulls
-we may have a high chance to retest the 10k major resistance
-notice the volume decline approaching the triangle apex
-it is telling us a large move is about to happen
-be ready and always use a strategic stop loss area
BTC CME/USD (Trendline Support still Valid?)BTC CME Futures
-the daily candle is about to close in a few minutes
-it is looking a strong bullish candle
-it still respecting the upward trendline for the 3rd time
-if the previous drop was just a bear trap
-we may likely to see another retest of flat resistance at 10ks
-we also just had a golden cross last week
-the bulls must not break this trendline for the coming days
BTC/USD (Still Holding Critical Trendline Support)BTC/USD
-the Bulls may have temporarily held the ascending trendline
-technically, the bullish ascending triangle is still in-play
-the first challenge is to break the minor resistance at 9.6k
-if BTC can do that, then retest it as support
-BTC may likely go up to 10k resistance area once again
-the good news is, going above 9.6ks will bring some Altcoin action
-we will expect another consolidation for a few days
-then we will wait for the market decision (break up/down)
BTC/USD (Complex Ascending Triangle?)BTC/USD
-still respecting the immediate support at 9.3ks
-the upward trendline is still considered valid
-BTC is currently painting a complex Ascending Triangle
-the market structure remains bullish
-the trading pattern is unconfirmed until broken
-the price is approaching the apex of the triangle
-we will soon see a clear breakout
-use stop loss at all trades or move SL at BE if in profits
-trade wisely and don't go over-leverage
BTC/USD (Back into the Consolidation Channel)BTC/USD
-this setup is for Bulls and Bears
-Bulls face rejection at 10ks
-currently, BTC is holding the immediate support @ 9.5ks
-the ascending trendline support still holding
-can the Bulls regain the low 10k level again?
-it is a tough question to answer
-but like the old saying “The trend is your friend”
-as long as BTC will hold current support levels
-trading priority will remain to the upside
-provided minor or recent top will break
-please see the chart when to enter a position
BTC/USD (Retest 10k?)BTC/USD
-broke bullish outside the trendline resistance
-previous update is to buy the breakout
-that's over 4% without leverage
-we have a flat area of resistance
-if we continue to go higher, 10k is critical barrier
-be cautions and move SL into BE as soon as possible
-I expect BTC to move sideways in the coming days again
-and seeing a potential Alt-coins to continue moving up
BTC/USD (4H Downtrend? Expect a minor bounce?)BTC/USD
-two times rejection at the previous support area
-now flipped into a new resistance zone
-as the price dropped, it reacted immediate only 200ma
-a confirmed new downward trendline of resistance
-technically, we are on a 4H downtrend
-and bigger equilibrium with a price range of almost 20% move
-if you are a Bull, a break of trendline resist
-and closed above 9300 is a new start again
-Bearish side if the green support fail
-and confirmed new resistance, signals short position