BTCCNY: PBOC key level, and daily buy signalWe have an interesting key level where price might gravitate around for a while, at 7498.90.
I would expect this to be the bottom, and if we don't go any lower, but instead, make a new daily high today, or in the next few days, we'll get a bullish continuation signal in the daily timeframe.
Since the timeframe in control is mostly the weekly, I won't use the tight stop loss this setup offers, but instead use my position sizing algorithm to determine how many coins to own at any given time, without using a stop.
The only time I'd reccomend using a stop loss is if you want the market to take you out, at least with part of your positions, if, for instance you expect some kind of retracement but aren't sure when it can happen. This advice will prove specially useful with Bitcoin and Ethereum, since they are quite volatile. Tight stops will never work in these markets.
I'm long with 65% of my capital, and I'll be adding the final 15% position today.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
BTCCNY
You will return to Earth or Jupiter 2018 - 2019 everyone will talk about Bitcoin
You will return to Earth or Jupiter
Break down back to LowsThis currently triangle is breaking down and I anticpate that we will se a break down back towards fridays lows. Stop loss at 6350 --- adding addtional short at sub 6250 (right now)
Longer Term View of Bitcoin Action with a 6 Hours ChartTrying to figure out my short term play but on the longer term looks like the most recent wedge is being broke on both sides with very low volume. -- Short Term overnighht play coming soon on more analysis -- -Looking Like it might be short but want to do some more charting work.
BTC Bear Market in its begining ?
The abnomal bull market that BTC have seen just right before the end of 2016 was quiet huge and unexpected. As mean-reversion shows, the derivative of the price in respect to time was going to high which requires a correction for sure.
Very Short-Term target price (1 week): 760-790 EUR/BTC
Short-Term target price (2-4 weeks) : 680-710 EUR/BTC
Mid-Term target price (2 months): 730 EUR/BTC
1-7-17 Mid Day UpdateLots of choppyness with 6350 as strong resistance --- doing alot of scalping on future contracts but for the rest of the day here is my strategy:
China is waking up and volume will pick up.
Tread lightly as we are trying to break out
But not overly bearish signals here.
Stop losses --- and short if it drops sharply beneath 6200 ---
Stagger buys up if it continues to trend that way
I am playing with 20% of the coins I usually do
because there aren't alot of tell-tale signs
Happy Trading --- Lock in gains ---- Minimize losses --- Make sure to always have a chart of 1hour view and 1 day view ---- don't obsess over the 5 min chart ---it will make you emotional and flip flop and be eaten by spread/commission ----- patience is a vurtue
"Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy" - Warren Buffet
BTCCNY Possible Falling Wedge Long Setup Forming on 30mThis time it looks like a falling wedge. Price bound in the wedge currently and bullish divergence on RSI. I'm thinking there'll be one more drop to flush out the bottom shorters, but who knows with BTC. It could even just break out from here. Either way, the bounce is going to be pretty epic.
There's a pretty low chance that price falls below 5000. There should be tremendous support in the 52-5400 range given how long the price hung out there before the breakout. As it is, we've gotten a 100% retrace of the rally from the breakout on December 20.
Will have to see how it looks from there, but I sincerely doubt we'll be seeing 8000+ until at least a few months have passed given how vicious and prolonged this drop has been.
Chopper StyleWe are channel bound and depending on which way we trade we will end up at one of two places --- I'm guessing the down side ---- but shorting this bull market is scary --- I am just scalping day trades on this up and down and if it breaks 5950 or 6450 I will put money to work. The channel midline is 6200 so above that is good for long below that good for short . Good Luck everyone! Keep your stop losses on! Capture maximum profits!
Bitcoin Will Down To (7000 cny) rangeNo one can know what will happen in the coming days.
But I expect the price fall to 6800 ~ 7000 cny..
Let's see.
Sell off isnt overBearish flag breaking down to form second pole over the next 6 hours. Hold on to your pants! Panic selling has begun
Inverse BTCCNY vs CNYUSDA chart tracking the correlation between 1/btccny and cnyusd. The theory is that since mid 2015, the devaluation of the yuan has been fueling the bitcoin bullmarket that emerged that year.
Another Step Down (more detailed)Top of Flag at 6925
Bottom At 65265
That should be trading channel then
as it breaks down it legs down quick
dont get wipsawed stop losses need limits on them
best to monitor yourself so you can execute
it on your own but have saftey trades queued up
Drink a redbull and join the party!
Going Higher but this is consildation make money shorting
or move out the way until it starts to make a bottom
If this goes side ways here through 16:30 ---- it is more than a flag and we found new support --- So this trade wouldnt be nullified
BE CAREFUL AND PROTECT YOUR PORTFOLIO
Buckle your seat belt For Next Wave downGoing to break down further short --- but light leverage and be ready to bump breaks.
Bearish Flags forming indicating further sell off
Bitcoin Ascension: 2.0 You Can (Not) AbortLaunch sequence has been initiated and Judgement Day can no longer by avoided (only delayed). With the presence of the media, we've entered the mania attention phase of the "Second Great Bitcoin Bubble".
How high? We don't know. But the next 4-6 weeks of media attention will lead fresh capital onto the previously death filled battlefield. The overwhelming influx will mean whales will soon no longer be able to cap the prices with walls and are forced to unwind their massive positions onto the willing outstretched hands of bag holders. With the aura of FOMO, liquidity will reach a new low as bears and sellers becomes an almost extinct breed. Yet at the most unexpected moment, many will be caught out of position and be destroyed in the ensuring dump of biblical proportions. In this market, bulls make money, bears make money and pigs get slaughtered. Bag holders should not enter unless they are willing to ensure excruciating pain for another four years.
If there's ever a time to max that leverage. It's now or never.
Required reading. medium.com
Looks like things are going to go one of two waysI am guessing its going to go down so I have limit buys down at the 8300 level and a stop loss at 8750 --- small position --- just think we get a breather here. Target 8300 for a new blast off tomorrow trend line can not hold this steep for ever --- volume has lightened up
Bitcoin in China is now 5% more expensive than GoldChina continues to drive Bitcoin higher as RSI enters mega rally territory on the Weekly. Time will tell how long this can hold.