Bitcoin Dominance Makes Its Re-Test Perfect Today!Trading Fam,
Our retest here on the Bitcoin Dominance chart couldn't have gotten any more perfect. Does this mean that the altcoin/memecoin sell-off is finally nearing an end? Me thinks it does. And with Trump releasing his and his family's memecoins just days before his inauguration, this is a clear sign that he supports the market.
Of course, the TRUMP memecoin did suck millions in market cap away from other tokens, as traders arbitraged into the $TRUMP coin. But we could see a bit of a sell-the-news event on this token after his inauguration is complete. Then, traders may sell their profits and move back into older positions again. If you believe this as a possibility, it may be time to start picking up some of your favorite memecoins and alts again.
✌️ Stew
Btcd
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin UP x Bitcoin Dominance Down = ALTSEASONCRYPTOCAP:BTC 📈 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D 📉 = Altseason
✅While bitcoin dominance continues to decrease in February 2017, meanwhile, bitcoin continues to rise and #Altcoin season is experienced for 11 months.
✅While bitcoin dominance continues to decrease in January 2021, meanwhile, bitcoin continues to rise and #Altcoins season is experienced for 11 months.
✅Bitcoin dominance is declining in January 2025 and meanwhile bitcoin continues to rise so we are likely to witness the #Alts season over the next 11 months
Bitcoin Dominance Is About Give a New Life To Altcoins!Hello, Skyrexians!
We have already mentioned the importance of different crypto assets dominance analysis. Today we are goin to update the main one CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D . Last month it makes us nervous with the potential intention to set the new high. Current formation looks like a triangle - trend continuation pattern and it scares many traders. Is this nightmare is going to be true, or altseason is coming?
Let's take a look at weekly time frame. Now we use the combination of our hand made indicators: Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and Fractal Trend Detector . Trend detector started printing the red candles, the bearish trend late in 2023, but those time this tendency shift failed. This time we have seen two red dot on other indicator and after that trend change. In our opinion this is much stronger confirmation that altseason is really coming.
You probably already know that predicted earlier the dominance drop to 27%, but today we are talking about short term forecast, 0.61 Fibonacci level below 50% is the target for February.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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another IHS on BTC.D? Chop chop more?We have successfully completed an IHS on a lower time frame (see my other chart)
Now we seem to have the beginnings of what could be another IHS on a higher time-frame?
Another scary pump of Bitcoin dominance incoming?
Interesting, let's see
(the chart is inverted)
USDT.D at Key Support: Altcoin Bull Rally Ahead?USDT.D has repeatedly bounced off the marked red support zone, a strong Fibonacci level at 0.5. This support has been tested multiple times, and based on my experience, I anticipate USDT.D may break below this zone. If it does, it could trigger a bullish rally in altcoins.
I believe this is the final shakeout phase, so stay strong and focus on accumulating fundamentally solid coins. Remember to maintain discipline and practice strong money management.
ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
USDT Dominance Falls, BTC Rises: What It Means for TradersThe chart highlights the inverse relationship between BTC/USDT and USDT.D (Tether Dominance). When USDT.D drops, capital flows out of stablecoins into Bitcoin, driving BTC’s price higher.
Conversely, a rise in USDT.D signals increased caution, often leading to BTC price declines. This correlation helps traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend shifts.
Capital Shifts in Crypto: Liquidity, Corrections, and the FutureOn a growing market, each correction serves as a mechanism for capital redistribution. In the cryptocurrency sector, where the market is relatively small, profit-taking on major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) has a significantly negative impact on less capitalized altcoins.
Analogy with traditional markets
Traditional financial markets follow similar principles. Here, Bitcoin can be compared to gold, while altcoins are akin to stocks or bonds. When positions in gold are closed, the fluctuations are less noticeable due to the market's greater liquidity and volume. However, stocks, with their lower capitalization, show significant volatility, leading to an equivalent increase in potential dollar gains.
Depth and structure of the crypto market
The crypto market still lacks depth, predominantly involving small-scale investment funds by global standards. Competition among expert traders and investors is limited, leading to low profitability or zero gain on bear markets, where professionals trade against each other, for instance, Wintermute traders against GSR traders. In traditional markets, where both professionals and retail investors participate, professionals have an advantage due to more variables.
Liquidity and spread
Both markets allow for earning on the spread, although currently, spreads are relatively small. The redistribution of liquidity, especially during market downturns, is driven by both psychological factors and the technical aspects of position closing, particularly when comparing futures trading with combined spot and futures trading.
Indexation and synthetic assets
The creation of indexes in the crypto sphere could be the next step. There are already examples like Reserve Rights (RSR), where real-world assets are tokenized to create stablecoins. Forming indexes similar to the S&P500 or US100 could combine crypto assets by similar characteristics, increasing liquidity and opening new investment avenues. However, this could lead to issues similar to those in 2007 in traditional markets, where "packages" included high-risk assets.
Conclusion
Implementing such tools might soften the liquidity redistribution effect for retail investors but could complicate things for funds and market makers, reducing their ability to buy assets at reduced prices. The cryptocurrency market is at the stage of mass adoption, and upon completion of this process, new forms of digital money may emerge.
Written by Alexander Kostenich (WIDECHAR),
Horban Brothers.
BITCOIN UPDATE 2025 | ALTSEASON | BTC.DWe'll kick of the first analysis of the new year by taking a look at BTC, and whether or not the conditions are met to say the ATH is in.
Furthermore, let's loo at altseason by comparing the TOTAL3 chart and the Bitcoin Dominance chart. Many secrets lie in these charts if you overlap them, and look for patterns.
Soon, I will be making an update on the top Altcoins to watch in 2025 so be sure to follow so you don't miss it!
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They wanna Cill us, But we will rise again soon!Bitcoin is oscillating in a rather boring price range, while altcoins have experienced a significant price drop. However, we shouldn't lose hope. A historical comparison suggests that we can expect growth in altcoins. This is not an investment advice, and I do not consider myself an expert analyst. Please invest in the crypto market with risk management in mind. Wishing you all the best!
Alt season is just around the corner#BTC.D #Analysis
Description
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+ Bitcoin dominance had an unsuccessfull breakout from the resistance line.
+ dominance is around the resistance zone and now it is headed in the right direction
+ a drop in the bitcoin dominance will push the altcoin prices higher
+ if the dominance is headed in the right direction we can expect a altseason soon.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
BTC.D Analysis: Retest of Key Area Highly LikelyBitcoin Dominance Looking
Bitcoin dominance looks very strong but BTC has entered the range. So I think dominance may follow a calmer course for a while, a few coins that have separated from the herd may make good moves in these few days, but it is too early to claim that the general atmosphere is completely bullish, because SP500 seems to be making a deep correction and is giving signals of this. I do not buy anything during the New Year, and I will not buy, but then I will spend all of these corrections with buying because I believe that 2025 will be good.
A retest of this area in BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) seems very possible based on current market behavior. This level holds significance as a potential reaction zone for further movements.
Also, I see no point in saying that this view of dominance supports the blue box analysis I shared here:
Because when BTC goes down to blue box we will see an upside move on dominance then we blue box of dominance chart will support the price, we will see an upmove on both.
Key Points:
Current Setup: BTC.D is approaching a critical area of interest.
Retest Likelihood: Market dynamics suggest a probable revisit to this zone.
Focus: Monitoring the reaction at this level for future directional clarity.
If you think this analysis helps you, please don't forget to boost and comment on this. These motivate me to share more insights with you!
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message.
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BTC.D When ALT season?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Updated Technical Outlook
The BTC Dominance chart reflects Bitcoin's performance relative to the altcoin market. Here’s an analysis:
Key Levels and Observations:
1. Resistance at 58.47% and 61.31%:
- BTC.D attempted to breach the 58.47% resistance but faced rejection, leading to a pullback.
- The 61.31% level, marked as a key Fibonacci retracement, remains a significant hurdle for further upside momentum.
2. Support at 55.76% and 54.57%:
- The first notable support lies around 55.76%, aligning with a historical horizontal support zone and the yellow trendline.
- If this level is breached, the next support at 54.57% may come into play, potentially leading to increased altcoin strength.
3. Trendlines and Channels:
- BTC.D continues to respect the rising yellow trendline, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact.
- The dotted red channel lines act as a dynamic resistance zone for future attempts to reclaim dominance above 60%.
4. Volume Trends:
- Volume levels show declining momentum during the recent pullback, which could indicate temporary weakness rather than a full reversal.
- A volume breakout above 58.47% would confirm renewed dominance for Bitcoin.
5. Long-Term Perspective:
- BTC.D has maintained a higher-high, higher-low structure, suggesting bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin dominance over the medium term.
- However, consolidation between the 55.76% and 58.47% range could signal indecision before the next significant move.
Potential Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the 58.47% resistance would open the door for BTC.D to challenge the 61.31% level.
- Sustained dominance above 61.31% would likely indicate Bitcoin outperforming altcoins across the board.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If BTC.D loses the 55.76% support and breaks below the rising trendline, it could shift momentum in favor of altcoins.
- Key downside targets would then include 54.57% and the stronger support zone at 52.97%.
Return Of The Alts Season. Wait For It!Macro scenario shows falling RSI for Bitcoin Dominance , BTC.D . We may be welcoming a return of the Alts Season that seemed to go on a pause when CRYPTOCAP:BTC went to 92k.
I foresee a near support level where it will bounce a bit, hit a near-resistance and continue downward. The overall daily trend is already bearish.
Some major alt coins have completed their correction and can't wait to go parabolic. Coins like CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , CRYPTOCAP:LTC , CRYPTOCAP:SOL and others.
See d rawings on the chart it's as clear as day!
Comment and like if you disagree. Merry Christmas 🎄
BTC.D Chart: A Bullish Signal for Altcoin HoldersRight now, I can't find a better example of a rising wedge breakdown and retest on the weekly timeframe than on the BTC dominance chart. This is incredibly promising for anyone holding altcoins
Six months to glory for our alts !!
ETHBTC to the moon in Q1
BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish.
A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it.
For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here.
Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.