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$BTC.D Dominance forecast: update May 2025📉 BTC Dominance (%BTC.D) Update – At Resistance, Altseason in the Balance Back on April 5th, I published a forecast highlighting the critical 65% resistance level on BTC Dominance. That analysis still holds: BTC.D reached 65% and got rejected, pulling back to 62% as of now. ⚔️ What’s Happening? Bitcoin dominance is compressing, and we're approaching a make-or-break moment: 🔹 Resistance confirmed at 65% 🔹 We bounced down to 62% — not up 🔹 Market is hesitating, and the next move will shape the short-term direction for alts 🔍 The Bigger Picture Bitcoin pumped hard recently, mostly due to: MACD reversal on the weekly Oversold conditions now turning bullish Renewed institutional interest in risk-on assets But let’s be clear: 🚫 We’re not in a full altseason yet. What we’re seeing is cautious altcoin rotation, not a blow-off alt rally. 📊 Tech Indicators MACD: Overheated RSI: Still has room to move up So technically, BTC.D could still break out above 65% — but it hasn’t yet. ⚠️ What to Watch: If BTC.D breaks out above 65%, expect: ➡️ Altcoin bloodbath ➡️ BTC.D could head toward 70%, crushing the mini-altseason But if BTC.D continues to drop from here? ➡️ Altseason starts to heat up 🔮 Outlook A true altseason might not arrive until September/October. For now, the market is stuck in a range of uncertainty. Keep your eyes on: BTC.D reaction at 62%–65% TradFi stress (bond markets, macro fears) Bitcoin strength and ETH/BTC ratio 🧠 Take profits when you can. Protect your capital. 📌 Follow me for future updates—and don’t forget to DYOR. 📎 Original forecast:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
3
BTC Dominance – Critical Breakdown ConfirmedBitcoin Dominance has officially broken below the long-standing rising wedge structure, signaling a significant shift in market momentum. This pattern, which had held strong since December 2024, has now failed — and that’s a big deal. After the breakdown, BTC.D temporarily bounced but was rejected on the retest of the wedge’s lower boundary, confirming the breakdown as valid. This retest-then-drop scenario is a textbook bearish continuation signal. Not only did BTC.D lose the rising trendline, but it also failed to hold the horizontal support zone near 63%–62%, which acted as a key floor for months. Now, with price heading lower, Bitcoin's dominance is clearly weakening, and that’s bullish for altcoins. What this means: Bitcoin is losing control of market share. Altcoins may start gaining serious traction, especially mid and low caps. If BTC.D drops below 60%, we could see an acceleration of capital rotation into altcoins — a classic start to an altseason.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by unichartz
Altseason Has Been Started (But I Am Not Sure...)Hello, Skyrexans! Let's carefully make update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D because previous analysis where I bet for local top slightly above 65% is playing out even stronger than I supposed. Today I will show you why altseason could be already started, why I am not sure and where is the critical level. Earlier I told that daily time frame does not suit for this Elliott waves cycle measurement, but we have 155 bars there, slightly above 140 bars, so we can count it as a valid. Moreover we can see zero line cross on Awesome Oscillator, but again only slightly. That's why I am not sure if uptrend on dominance is over or we shall wait for earlier predicted wave to 67%. But anyway I am sure that 60-61% will be reached before, so it was not a mistake to be in altcoins from 65.3%. When price will reach Fibonacci level we will see how it will approach it and make a decision about our altcoin's holdings. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Skyrexio
6
WHAT’S NEXT FOR BITCOINTHE FULL PICTURE: WHAT’S NEXT FOR BITCOIN, ALTS & VOLATILITY? May 11 – June 7 If we connect all the dots — Bitcoin price action, volatility spikes, altcoin rotation, the DXY (dollar index) behavior, and USDT dominance — here’s what the next few weeks really look like: ⸻ May 11–14 Silence before the storm Bitcoin slightly goes up Target zone: $105K – $109K Volatility is LOW 😴📈 ⸻ May 15–17 🚨 First dump begins BTC starts fading Volatility increases FAST Target wick: $95K – GETTEX:97K ⚡️📉 ⸻ May 17–21 Bitcoin bounces — but gently Max target for this “relief” pump: $103-105K Volatility drops again 🚫 Don’t expect new highs 🪤📈🧠 ⸻ May 21–25 💥 THE BIG ONE Volatility spikes again BTC enters full-blown macro correction Bottom likely lands on May 25 or 17 💀🔻 ⸻ May 25 – June 2 Here comes the altcoin window BTC UP → BTC dominance DOWN Alts can finally PUMP again — for a moment 🚀💎🔥 ⸻ June 2 – June 7 Final flush begins 4H timeframe screams collapse! Volatility explodes BTC likely breaks new monthly lows Alts get obliterated ☠️📉🌊 ⸻ Meanwhile… the Dollar Index (DXY) Bottoms around May 25–28 or early June This confirms short-term tailwind for risky assets But once it turns up again — risk is OFF ⏳💵📊 ⸻ USDT Dominance USDT dominance turns around from May 12 and rises through July This means people will start fixing their profits and shifting back to USDT — expect selling pressure 🔄💰📉 ⸻ You’ve been warned ⚔️⏱️
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by trushkovskiy
3
Bitcoin Dominance Important UpdateHello, Skyrexians! CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D showed rapid decrease and as a result we have some changes in the analysis. Hope you remember the yellow Elliott waves cycle which according to my previous analysis was not finished. But now looking at the Awesome Oscillator I changed my mind and now we in the higher degree wave 4. We will switch from 12h time frame to the daily and can see that wave 4 is already in progress. This wave is going to be ABC shaped and in my opinion reach 0.5 Fibonacci level at 61% or even lower to 60%. Then the final wave 5 will reach 67%. Wait for the update I will tell you when wave 4 is finished. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Skyrexio
2
A disappointing #Altcoin season? Maybe! OTHERS.d/BTC.dMaking gains in #Crypto has gotten harder and harder with each passing cycle for the vast majority of participants. That is an unquestionable truth that I see and hear from people. #Bitcoin itself is in it's 4th Hype cycle... which is bearish 2013 Mt Gox ponzi cycle top/collapse 2017 Eth/ICO craze, CME futures. CNBC XRP shill top. 2021 Uniswap/DEFI innovation , Elon doge /Coinbase IPO top. 2024/5 Memecoins craze --- topping signals are already appearing Andrew Tate / Iggy Azalea at NYSE. A Trump Election Win could be the final nail in the coffin whilst ppl celebrate the news and January 2025 Inauguration may seal crypto's fate. The left translated 4 year cycle is a definite possibility as made popular by #BobLoukas We know that retail investors are rejecting High valued VC backed projects and rather take high risk gambles on #Memecoins for a chance to be early... this is not bullish behaviour obviously! As only a tiny percentage of people can win at that game and often it is not YOU! Once that speculative capital & energy is rinsed many people will be left holding a worthless bag of tokens. #Leverage trading destroys many people's lives And a digital store of value whilst has obviously it's merits is unlikely to flip #Gold in marketcap imho It cannot compete with a 5000 year history of storing wealth for generation to generation. I can bury Gold coins in my garden and dig them up in 50 years knowing full well that they will have value. Would you do that with a trezor? Lol. So what do we do ... try to take advantage of the next 6 months and rotate S coin profits into #Stablecoins and maybe a small allocation to #PAXG #XAUT (buyer beware on those gold backed #RWA coins obviously) This should buy you enough time, to let you assess the fallout of any top that may occur this Christmas/new year. Remember many people and especially the Bitcoin community will be partying and celebrating the 15 year journey of a $100k plus BTC. You must avoid being sucked into that hype and cash in a good chunk of your crypto portfolio IMO This is just a scenario I give to you ... and not a prediction ofc. We are trying to predict the future irrational behaviour of humans, an almost impossible task. But as the wall St cheat sheet demonstrates speculative bubbles, generally do repeat often enough for us to try and capture profits from them. So we watch and wait, place our bets and see where the chips may fall, one foot in and one foot out is my general kind of viewpoint of how most people should be thinking at this stage of the cycle.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by BallaJi
This Has Happened To Bitcoin Dominance ...And Alts Are Ripping!Trading Fam, For the first time since December of 2024 Bitcoin Dominance has dropped from this ascending channel ...and the drop is nothing to be scoffed at! Dominance has dropped and it dropped hard, possibly signaling that finally, for the first time in 4 and a half long years, altcoin season may be starting! Now, I know this altcoin season will probably not be like those we have seen in the past. There are simply too many altcoins out there. This will dilute the market in ways we have not experienced in the past. Nevertheless, the best of the best will shine bright and will be where money is made. This is just the beginning. If Bitcoin dominance continues its trend downward (and I believe it will), I see the best altcoins doing 10-20x from here. And yes, some of these will be memecoins - Fartcoin, SPX6900, Trump come to mind (to name just a very small few). If you are not in the game right now, I'd suggest preparing yourself. This stuff is going to take off so fast that it will make heads spin. FOMO will be rife. You've had 4 and a half long years to study and do your research, now it the time to put all of that knowledge to the test. I suspect the cycle will be quick. Like 6-8 months quick. While Bitcoin continues to make steadfast gains and all the attention, headlines, and focus remain on it, Altcoins will start to scream in the background. Our new SEC chairman is crypto friendly. Age old illegal lawsuits by Gary S.(Satan) Gensler and the SEC are being lost or dropped at an exponential rate. This freeing effect will enrich the crypto community in ways never imagined. Don't give up now. This is not the end. We are only beginning. If there is anything that I have learned over my years of investing in future thinking products and assets it's that the collective is extremely slow in adapting technologies that will be the future. On average, the collective is often 15-20 years behind. The collective is nervous, unsure, anxious, hesitant, and doubtful. But we've known all along that crypto is the future. Believe. This is the beginning. Good things are about to happen to those who have been patient. Best, ✌️ Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by stewdamus
Bitcoin Dominance TA, Bearish SignalsRecently I spotted a very strong, long-term bearish signal on this index. A triple-bearish signal as it is present with three indicators. I am talking about a bearish divergence. Volume has been dropping significantly as the index moves higher. The weekly RSI peaked October 2023 and has been producing lower highs. The MACD peaked July 2023. These are long-term, but let's have a closer look and consider the daily chart. Here we have some interesting signals as well, let's start with the candles: —Here we have a rising wedge ending in a rounded top and long-term double-top. The uptrend is also in risk of failing. A breakdown of this uptrend, which can happen anytime, would result in a strong crash of this index. Next is the daily RSI: —The peak happened November 2024. There is also a short-term lower high as the peak this month happened on the 7th of April, the index peaked on the 22nd. —The daily RSI is already trending lower. Clearly the most interesting and revealing of all three indicators is the daily MACD. Let me show you the chart first and then I'll describe the signals: —Here the lower high is so strong that reveals what is coming to this index. The MACD peaked in February and produced a lower high this month, April. Notice the bearish cross, it happened yesterday. The daily MACD and RSI trending down with short-term, mid-term, long-term and long long-term bearish divergence all point towards a lower reading on these oscillators. The last major drop for this index happened in November 2024 with the bottom hitting a month later, December 2024. At this time Bitcoin produced a very strong advance as well as the entire Altcoins market, it was awesome. It is surely interesting to notice that the index recovers and moves higher while Bitcoin continued to grow. But at that time the Altcoins were starting their correction. Most of the Altcoins peaked late November 2024 and some in early December 2024. So this index is more related to how the Altcoins behave rather than Bitcoin. When it drops, it does not mean that Bitcoin will drop but that the Altcoins will grow. When it grows, it does not necessarily means that Bitcoin is moving up but that the Altcoins are moving down. We know the Altcoins are set to produce their strongest growth period since 2021. This Bitcoin Dominance index works as confirmation. It leaves no room for doubt. » Doubt can remain open as to whether the start of this rise will happen tomorrow or within a few weeks. Short-term, anything goes; the market can become erratic and produce some strong shakeouts, specially preceding a major wave of growth. But after 2-3 weeks, it is 1,000% certain that the entire Cryptocurrency market will be bullish and up. Regardless of what this index does or anything else for that matter. When the time is ripe, the market grows. The time is ripe right now... You will be happy with the results. Namaste.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by MasterAnanda
10
Bitcoin Dominance: Don't Be So OptimisticHello, Skyrexians! My previous CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D forecast now is playing out well. I bet for the reaching 65.35% before drop, we have seen 65.5% which is almost the same. Now dominance is dumping, but I warned you it's not the end. Now I will give you small update. I will not cover higher degree waves, you can check previous articles, let's cover only this Elliott waves cycle. The wave 3 now is finished slightly above the 1.61 Fibonacci level and now is printing wave 4, to make sure that wave 4 is finished we want to see the Awesome Oscillator zero line cross and reaching the target area next to 63.5%. After that I expect wave 5, it's not going to be extended because wave 3 is extended, so, the target is 65.5% again to retest. After that we can wait for bigger correction to 61%. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by Skyrexio
7
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins. We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on... Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments! ❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it! It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028.... But first... we have to live to see it!) _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by P_S_trade
2
The Most Important Bitcoin Dominance Analysis!Hello, Skyrexians! This CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis can be a little bit complicated, but this is very important update on our previous analysis. Dominance is next to the top, but now the period of unexpected moves has been started. Today we have 12h time frame to look at the internal wave structure. Tonight dominance hit the higher degree wave 3 target at 65.3% like I told you in previous article, but the subwave inside the wave 5 inside wave 3 is not finished. Let's count the waves for yellow cycle and we can see that there were no the wave 4 because Awesome Oscillator is still above zero. When it will cross it the yellow waves 5 will finish wave 5 inside wave 3. Now I expect the move to 63-63.5% then retest of recent high again then more significant correction and then another one wave to the upside - final big shakeout. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Skyrexio
7
No Altseason Until BTC.D Hits 70%?Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently climbing and approaching a major resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. This area has proven to be a strong turning point in the past, acting as a top back in December 2017, September 2019, and again in 2021. These repeated rejections suggest that this zone is likely to remain a key resistance. Right now, BTC.D is sitting around 64.66% and still has room to push higher. However, if it enters the resistance zone again, there’s a strong chance it may face selling pressure and start reversing. The white arrow on the chart shows the possible move into resistance, while the red projection outlines the expected rejection and potential decline back toward the 54.63% level—another important support zone from the past. In simple terms, BTC dominance might be nearing its peak, and once it reaches the upper zone, we could start seeing altcoins gain more strength as dominance falls. This chart helps anticipate when the market might shift from BTC-led rallies to altcoin outperformance.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by ijaz_crypto
6
Beyond FOMO: Strategic Analysis of BTC.D and Market ProspectsLet's begin by examining CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the monthly timeframe. Here we see the old EXP model, which formed in December 2020. This model reflected the decrease in bitcoin dominance during 2020-2021. For our current analysis, we're interested in the level of the first point — 73.02%. On the weekly timeframe, we see an AMEXP model that formed in January 2023 and effectively describes the entire current upward trend. Note the price reaction from the model levels of 51.7% and 59.64%. Within this model, we have two more upper levels: 68.9% and 90.36%. The dominance level of 90.36% seems unrealistic from a common sense perspective: such a scenario is only possible with a total collapse of the entire crypto market, when all assets (including bitcoin) would depreciate to the point where bitcoin's capitalization would constitute 90% of the entire market. I hope we never see these values. However, reaching the 68.9% level seems quite likely. Most likely, the price will try to break through the 68.9% level (we may see a bounce from this level, which might be mistakenly perceived as the beginning of a new alt season). After that, the price will likely make a new maximum and rise above the 73.2% level. And only then will we finally see the formation of a downward trend in bitcoin dominance. What might be happening in the market if our bitcoin dominance analysis proves correct? Let's look at the #BTC chart, where the expansion model was validated on the weekly timeframe (green model): According to the model levels, we can expect growth to at least $109,354, and at maximum — to a new all-time high (ATH) with targets of $115,116, $116,757, and even $152,723 or $174,102 (although the probability of reaching the last two targets, despite their presence in the model, is relatively low). If we look at CRYPTO:ETHUSD , the picture looks significantly worse — the asset is in a deep bearish phase. Against the backdrop of general positive sentiment, CRYPTO:ETHUSD may grow to $2 059 or even to $2 626, but we will consider this merely as a bounce. We can only talk about a real trend change when the price moves beyond the yellow model. Everyone is waiting for the reversal of bitcoin dominance (we have only calculated the most probable reversal point), as its exponential growth should be replaced by the long-awaited alt season. However, few consider a possible negative scenario: the correction of bitcoin dominance may occur against the backdrop of a general market decline, where bitcoin will fall faster than altcoins. Against the background of growing macroeconomic uncertainty (problems in the global economy have not disappeared, they continue to accumulate, and no matter how they try to "postpone" them — this will not pass without a trace), we consider the negative scenario to be the main one. For the past year, everyone has been saying that bitcoin is a super-reliable asset, and if something goes wrong — you need to buy bitcoin. Most retail investors love bitcoin and hate altcoins — largely because they have many unprofitable altcoins in their portfolio and no bitcoin. Each time, missing the moment to buy bitcoin, they succumbed to FOMO. Now, as bitcoin moves toward a new maximum, everyone is rushing to buy it again. At the same time, we have a market where 80-90% of participants are in large losses. For most assets to just break even (not to mention profits), they need to grow by 300-400%. Of course, we're not saying everything will necessarily be bad, but we prefer to stick to a strategy that primarily takes into account the negative scenario. For now, we will refrain from investment positions and give preference exclusively to speculative ones.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by TSFC
2
Bitcoin Dominance: My Global Overview Hello, Skyrexians! Yesterday we made a local update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that waves order has been changed a little bit, today we will take a look at this chart globally. Soon we can have a great reversal but we will feel pain before it because target above 66% will happen. This is monthly chart. The first greatest altseason looks like an impulsive wave 1. Then correction has been started. The first pullback finished inside 0.61 Fibonacci zone and it contains on 5 waves. This is the sign that it's wave A. If wave A has 5 waves it means that global wave 2 will be zigzag ABC or triangle ABCDE. We will exclude the zigzag because wave C has almost reached the wave A bottom, and it cannot be flat correction because wave A is impulsive, so we are in huge triangle. Waves A, C, E shall be impulsive. Current wave is wave C which can reach any target next to the wave A top. Our earlier predicted 66-67% looks reasonable and we need to focus on internal counting. This chart is just to make us sure that we are next to reversal. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Skyrexio
3
Bad News From Bitcoin Dominance: Pain AheadHello, Skyrexians! I got sick for these 5 days that's why has not shared updates, but market was very boring so we didn't miss any significant move. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D concerns me now because to end this trend we need to see any significant correction, but we didn't. On the 12h Awesome oscillator was not able to cross zero line and reversed to the upside, so our main change is that daily time frame measures the wave 3 inside the major impulse. If we count waves inside this impulse price is approaching 1.61 Fibonacci level at 65.3% and trust me it's much better to see it's reaching before the drop. When this wave will be finished, wave 4 will happen. It can bounce significantly to 61%. This is strong target area and I am sure we will be there soon. Wave 5 can be extended, can be not. The max target is 71%! Sounds awful. The likely target at 66-67%, to make it more precise let's wait for wave 4 finish. I plan to close in profit those part of trades which has been opened after Feb 3 dump on this potential bounce to have money to add on the last huge shakeout. People believe in altcoins too much, very unlikely to have altseason now. Ready for hate! Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Skyrexio
16
Dominance the system core- for me it has always been very complicate to explain BTC.D to peoples, because it's complicate ! lol - it's weird to understand the moves and many factors have to be compared together an alchemy have to happen to see something happening. - So basically to explain it, i will tell you what "we want to see" or "what we don't want to see" in the future. if the story repeats again. 1/ BTC.D have to grow up, then Altcoins will struggle down trying to find a potential bottom. - While BTC.D grow up, BTC price have to grow up also or at least stabilize ( this is a good sign ) 2 / if BTC price down and BTC.D up, it's bad, it's just the normal way ( No Divergence ) - When BTC price + BTC.D both up together, it's a kind of " inversed divergence ", it means something good gonna happens. ( get it ?) - Basically also if USDT/USDC Dom Grow and BTC price stabilize and not goes down anymore, it's a good sign. - Normality the normal way is : BTC up / USDT/USDC.D Down OR BTC Down / USDT/USDC.D up. - Before we had no reason to check those Stables coins because they had not much DOM in markets, but now have to count with them. - So While BTC.D is growing, altcoins will just make some weak moves. - When BTC will reach is next Dominance's ATH ( witch have to be lower than last years because more concurrence ) - BTC.D will crash and ALT SEASON will start. - it took me many years to understand that, but it's pure logic ( Fibonacci is working perfectly on it ) - again it's not easy to get it. - if you have any questions feel free to add a comment. Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by thecryer
25
Let's Watch Bitcoin Dominance Together!Hello, Skyrexians! You may think that we make analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D too often, but it's needed because as we pointed out many times we are closed to the global top and it's important to predict when altcoin season starts. Today we have 12h time frame to look in details at final wave 5 inside global 5. Wave 3 inside this wave is about to be finished at 64.85%. This is not new information. You can check our previous 12h analysis and see it. Today price has reached the target and soon we have to see the reaction and small correction to 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. During this drop altcoins may show great performance, but after that last shakeout will happen. After that we expect 3-5 months of dominance decrease. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Skyrexio
9