$BTCDOM/USDT 2h (#BinanceFutures)Ascending triangle break retestBitcoin Dominance Index broke-out bullish on Low Time-Frame (LTF), let's catch next pull-back to 50MA support for continuation scenario.
Current Price= 1273.5
Buy Entry= 1260.1 - 1248.7
Take Profit= 1285.0 | 1311.5 | 1330.9
Stop Loss= 1228.8
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.23 | 1:2.99
Expected Profit= +19.52% | +36.40% | +48.80%
Possible Loss= -16.32%
Fib. Retracement= 0.618 | 1.117 | 1.414
Margin Leverage= 8x
Estimated Gain-time= 10 days
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Btcd
Will bitcoin dominate 2022!?Guys, before i start this analysis I believe BTC.D is a LONG in the short term till it hits about 45% as that is the resistance of the downtrend channel that is visible. I'm guessing it will happen in about a month. Anyways, this chart shows that a bearish divergance is getting created on the weekly timeframe. Right now it kinda got created but its very small and not visible yet. Once BTC.D reached 45%, the bearish divergance will be huge and visible and that will cause it to dip and A BIG ALTSEASON IS WILL BE TRIGGERED TO START!!! Look at my ADA/USDT and ADA/BTC analysis to see why I am accumilating ADA for the altseason and DYOR. I am not giving financial advise this is just my ideas of ADA being ready to prove all the haters wrong of it having become "trash". DYOR DYOR DYOR!
BITCOIN DOMINANCE IS LIKELY TO BOUNCE!!!Welcome to this new update on BTC dominance in 2 days timeframe.
On 17th Jan 2022, BTC dominance bounced back from the lower trendline and so far it is halfway through to reaching the upper trendline. If BTC.D manages to hold the 21 MA support then we can expect a bounce from here and 45% could be possible. A breakdown will drop the dominance back to 39%.
The weekly close is just a few hours ago so let us be careful.
BTC dominance is going to reveal its direction in next weeksThere is only one question - is there time for real alt season like we saw durinf december 2017? Well if we get rejection here and dominance falls down below 37-35 region, then yes it is possible. If we check chart of most altcoins - the new ones are down like 90%+ from their all time highs and most of them also look like the bottom is near.... BTC pairs are on the bottom on the higher timeframes. All of it together is giving me a clue that we can see alt season again very soon... Ppl are scared and markets are red... lets see... GL Stay safe
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
POSTED HERE JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
BTC.DOMINANCE 1HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSWelcome to this quick BTC .D analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
BTC.DOMINANCE is the You all know the reason for the sudden loss of BTC, because of which people are selling every coin due to which BTC dominance is mounting and BTC dominance I think the bad rejection of 43.45% is a force
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
BTC UpdateBTC, crypto and global markets give a good bounce in the last 24 hours after Biden's conference last night, as well as no more negative news from the Russia/Ukraine crisis. Must watch the crisis very closes as any news will affect BTC price. FED interest rate is another factor that can create speculation in the market. On chart we can see BTC broke the downtrend resistance and is now at a new resistance line at $39k and has a bullish MACD. ETH.D is up, BTC.D is down and MCAP is up, this is good sign as it shows more money is flowing into alts.
Trade the range, trade safely.
$BTCDOM/USDT 12h (#BinanceFutures) Rising wedge breakdownBitcoin Dominance Index just lost 50MA support and seems to be heading lower, that would be a nice relief for Altcoin.
Current Price= 1205.1
Sell Entry= 1209.2 - 1228.8
Take Profit= 1162.2 | 1131.3 | 1101.2
Stop Loss= 1262.7
Risk/Reward= 1:1.3 | 1:2 | 1:2.7
Expected Profit= +18.64% | +28.76% | +38.64%
Possible Loss= -14.32%
Fib. Retracement= 0.382 | 0.5 | 0.618
Margin Leverage= 4x
Estimated Gain-time= 5 weeks
Tags: #BTCDOM #BTCDOMUSDT #BTCD #BitcoinDominance #Index #Futures #Derivatives #Dominance
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Bitcoin Dominance BTC.d three scenariosI am posting three possible scenarios for the Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.d ) wave structure forming this entire bull run.
Scenario 1 shown above is the most bullish (12345 impulsive wave down)
Scenario 2 shown below is bullish (wave B corrective structure)
Scenario 3 shown below is the least bullish (ABC Flat corrective wave) - invalidates below 35%.
Video: I made a video on these three scenarios. Posted below.
I think BTC.d is going to top in the 0.5 to 0.618 fibonacci of the previous wave. I show this in my charts.
All three scenarios will have an altcoin pump, so don't worry. I'm thinking it starts within a week. As for which structure is the correct one, well the market has to start ruling them out one by one. I definitely hope BTC.d will plummet below 35% to invalidate scenario 3, as it is the least bullish.
For BTC people, keep in mind, BTC topped 4 weeks before many altcoins finished their bull run in 2017.
I made a video explaining my three BTC.d (Bitcoin Dominance) scenarios. Highly recommend watching it.
Scenario 2:
Scenario 3:
Video I made on the three possible scenarios
State of the Crypto market! Macro series pt 6Part 6 Hello everybody! Hope you have read the other 5 parts of our analysis so far. It took us a bit longer to put out the final part to include the altcoin market as well, but here it is! We won't include Bitcoin as we did that in part 5 and our analysis is already playing out. The bounce both in stocks and the crypto markets has played in ways that we've expected and we think there is some extra room to the upside for crypto markets as a whole. At the moment it is hard to determine whether more upside from here would also indicate new ATHs soon, therefore although it is possible that we get new ATHs in 2022, we don't think they will come very quickly. At the same time there are some major downside scenarios we need to be aware of, so we'll go through everything step by step.
The first thing we'll look into to get a better understanding of where the market stands right now, is Ethereum. ETHUSD fell from about 4900 all the way down to 2150, but really found support around 2400 and has now bounced up to 3050. It's currently sitting above its Monthly Pivot and seems to have reclaimed all major support levels between 2700 and 3000. However it is still not above its Yearly Pivot, neither has it is reclaimed its 3100-3200 major support or has crossed above any of its major moving averages like the 50-200-300 DMAs. Trading below these moving averages isn't bearish in itself and trading significantly below them can be seen as a sign that the market is oversold. However for us to assume that there is a long term bullish trend in place, we'd need to see the market close above them for some time. Not only that, but for us to assume that the bull is really back, we'd need to see the market reclaim the 3500-3600 area which for now is major resistance. Until that occurs we assume the market is still trading in a range and it is better to take it level by level. For now more upside is indeed likely and a move towards 3500-3600 is imminent, with a pullback down to 2800 being possible before break above the current resistance cluster. A key observation is that we are currently seeing the market pull into 50-200 death cross, while the bottom pretty much occurred very close to the time the market bottomed. This is precisely what we'd expect from a death cross (market to find a local bottom, pull into the cross and then go down again). In this occasion it makes even more sense as the market fell too much very quickly and didn't even retest the broken support levels. Now in terms of the potential downside, in our opinion the market will eventually test 1300-1700 as we believe it is 1. Going down to sweep the quadruple bottom, 2. Fill the two gaps left open on CME, 3. Touch at least one of the two high volume nodes between 1200 and 1800, 4. Touch the S1 Yearly Pivot.
Of course we get a fairly similar look when looking at the Total Market Cap or Total Market Cap excluding Bitcoin. They can both give us some extra information on the market than Bitcoin or Ethereum alone, although they aren't too different. As you probably already know, there are times where Bitcoin does better, or Ethereum does better or other sectors of the market do better, and it increasingly feels like at the moment there isn't clear sign that one will massively outperform the other as the market is somewhat saturated. Since July all we have seen is some sectors do incredibly well, just to deflate and give their place to another sector, and that's a clear sign that inflows in the market have decreased substantially. These decreased flows in turn significantly lower returns, especially in a market that is already up 10-20x from just 2 years ago. Currently both metrics are showing significant strength, with the Altcoin Market cap looking somewhat stronger and cleaner. It is below the 300 DMA and into a major supply zone, but has closed above the Yearly and Monthly Pivots, yet the Total Market cap is still below the Yearly Pivot. 2-2.2T is a very significant resistance zone for TOTAL, so closing above it might not be easy, yet even then we'd expect the market to stay between 2.2-2.5T for a while before being able to tell whether it will go above 2.5% and fully resume the bull. Until then 0.9-1T is possible for a final bottom. The situation for TOTAL2 is pretty similar, with 1.1-1.2T being the major resistance zone and 1.4T being the point that we assume the bull resumes if we close above. The truth is that when TOTAL was down to 1.5T the market was extremely oversold based on all sorts of metrics, potentially the cheapest it has been since March 2020 and has now come more towards neutral levels even though it is still 'cheap'. The thing is though, that being cheap doesn't mean that the market can't go lower, as usually the market goes from cheap, to very cheap, to extremely cheap, without that happening all in one go. Based on all our previous macro analysis we don't expect this bull to be over, we did expect a bounce and we are aware the the final bottom might be in. Yet, due to all the macro conditions it is very likely that some point in 2022 we could see markets roll over and the Fed to be forced to do an 180 degree turn. What we don't know is whether this could happen at any point in 2022, or even in 2023. Until then it isn't unreasonable to expect the USD to go down along with bonds, while commodities and stocks rally together as the economy and markets do better than expected. This could be because of consistently getting data better than expected, inflation coming down to around 2-3% and the Fed rate hikes being priced meaning that most of the panic selling around the Fed hiking rates has already occurred.
By looking at BTCDOM & BTCD we can get a better sense on where the market might be headed next, mainly relative to Bitcoin. For the next few weeks altcoins could keep outperforming Bitcoin, as they fell against it from early Dec to late January. When looking at the first two, we can see that the Bitcoin's dominance has been forming a huge base since its May bottom, yet this last move up was relatively slow and shallow compared to the previous to. The key reasons for this are that 1. Ethereum is gaining more traction, 2. Smaller coins gaining traction too and maintaining some of their value after major moves up, 3. Supply and number of those coins also increasing faster than that of Bitcoin. We can see that through BTCDOM which is an index that consists mainly off Ethereum and some other specific major coins, all of which have done badly. This index is looking pretty bullish in the medium term, as this is the first time it drops so slowly after a major move up and has even formed a golden cross, which occurred (surprise surprise) right at the top of BTCDOM. Hence in the short term we can see BTCD fall and even get all the way down to 36-38% as smaller coins do very well along with Ethereum, while many larger ones do pretty poorly. At the moment the main reason for which we'd expect altcoins to go down vs BTC, is because we expect them to have another major correction in USD terms. After that at some point in 2022 we expect to see Bitcoin rally alone in 2022 due to some major catalyst, like a spot ETF being approved or more countries adopting it as legal tender. Even though this major event could essentially be due to Bitcoin being adopted either by retail or institutions, there is a high chance that the next major move down we expect is caused by the Fed raising rates, which could then force the Fed to once again lower rates and continue QE, with governments being forced to spend more money to keep the world economy alive. This could be another major catalyst for hard money to rally, as investors could dump their cash back into apolitical and liquid hard money, which in turn could then lead into another major alt season, as the huge influx of new money in the space is exactly what is needed for things to take off. In the meantime of course NFTs and NFT related tokens could outperform the rest of the market with ease, and maybe it is NFTs that take the market to the next bull phase and not something else. If that is the case, then the next bull phase might start through ETH and not BTC, and that's why we'll take a look into Ethereum next.
Finally the last thing we'd like to look at is the ETHBTC ratio. Although ETH is the largest part of BTCDOM and BTCD, it is good to look at it on its own as for now it is the only reasonable contender for taking over Bitcoin. The key reasons behind this are 1. Ethereum implementing EIP-1559 and essentially becoming disinflationary/deflationary by burning fees, 2. DeFi still booming, 3. Most layer-2s and Dapps are on Ethereum, 4. NFTs using ETH as their currency (for now), 5. ETH 2.0 coming at somewhere in Q3-Q4 2022 and that being a stronger supply shock than a Bitcoin halving, as its inflationary rewards will drop by 75% and at the same time a huge part of the supply will go into staking. Therefore Ethereum has a lot more potential catalyst for pushing it higher and higher, with NFTs potentially being a repeat of the ICO mania, only to a larger extend. At some point we do expect NFTs to stop using ETH as a currency, yet this might happen in the distant future and not any time soon.
When we look at the ETHBTC ratio, we can see that ETH keeps putting in some sort of a bottom, then sweep the bottom and go higher. It is clear that the ratio is still in an uptrend and just had another 25-30% correction, so it could continue higher soon. It also bounced nicely on the 300 DMA and the Yearly P, so this correction might have been more than enough. However this doesn't mean that there aren't any bearish signs, as the way the market broke above 0.085 and then had a major dip lower and is still below the 50 DMA is bearish, plus the are some major untested levels lower, all the way down to 0.04. Hence until we see the market close above 0.09, we remain neutral.
🔥NEXT STEP OF BITCOIN DOMINANCE🔥The price of bitcoin continues to grow, and so does its dominance, but not as strongly as it should after a severe correction.
We continue to get closer to the key points and at the point between 44.6% and 45.5% we have a great resistance that can be broken or fall again with force giving the last altseason of this cycle, falling below the 39% levels.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE About to EXPLODENow Dominance of Bitcoin is situated into a falling wedge which means a breakout will happen soon. MACD is neutral below the positive line but it s not bearcrossed.
Ai trimis
Stochastic is oversold and soon will jump
Ai trimis
at RSI you have a huge bullish divergence which means the dominanta wil skyrocket up and the trend will be reversed
Bitcoin Dominance About To Shoot Up!Here we have a very good setup for the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index) chart.
When we look at "a", "c" and "e" on the wave count above, we can notice lower lows while we have strong higher highs on the MACD and RSI.
The MACD has now entered the bullish zone daily and the RSI is really strong:
Now, going to the weekly timeframe -the main chart above- we can see prices closing above EMA10 last week and EMA21 being challenged.
We also have a higher low compared to May 2021.
The trading volume is still low and needed for confirmation.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is set to move higher.
This analysis is invalidated on a candle close below 39.15%.
Thanks a lot for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin dominance BTC.DBitcoin dominance bottoming process looks to be complete.
This is a big formation & thus the strength of the reversal can be significant. #Alts are set to continue to be weaker than #Bitcoin in the coming weeks.
#TheCryptoCity
Don’t forget, always make your own research before trading my ideas!
BTC.D inside weekly resistance#BTCD
#Bitcoin #Dominance
it is inside weekly descending resistance zone.
break it out will increase dominance to green resistance zone, and we better to have no altcoin in our bag.
rejection from descending resistance will drop it to support zone and 31% and maybe another great time for Alts and #BTC.
BTC Dominance - bounce for BTC or one last dip?Crucial moments ahead for BTC on the shorter time frame.
This level of dominance has served as a great bounce and buying opportunity this past several months.
The weekly for BTC shows a couple more weeks of action before we break out - but BTC Dominance bottom may be in here.
** NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE **