Btcd
Btc Dominance appears to be getting rejected from channel retestBitcoin dominance chart just recently bounced back up in an attempt to climb back inside the ascending channel it recently broke under and as of now both candles that sent a wick back inside the channel upon the current retest both closed their candle bodies with the channel still as resistance. Since then we are now seeing the current candle appear to head lower again suggesting the bottom trendline of the channel will be confirmed as solidified resistance, in which case price action has a much higher probability at this point of validating the breakdown and dumping to the 53% target. If this occurs we are very likely to see alt season really tart too kick in here soon. *not financial advice*
Can we consider this a retest?In my last post on bitcoin dominance I noted that for the first time in a year and a half we had broken our wedge to the downside. This was hugely bullish for altcoins and indeed, we saw some massive pumps occurring in the space. But I also cautioned that we could reverse and head back up to retest the underside of our wedge. This is a classic technical move. I call it "Kiss Mamma Good-bye" as price always seems to like to come back one more sentimental time to an area of supreme significance before moving on. This retest would then cause alts to drop significantly, liquidating many. And we saw this occur this past week. So, can we consider this our retest? I know we didn't touch the underside of our wedge completely but bulls are in a hurry here. They want one last good pump before Christmas. And if my chart is correct, I think we'll get that.
✌️ Stew
The fall of Bitcoin dominance and the dawn of AltcoinsAltseason is about to begin! Hope you're on the last type finished accumulating your altcoins. According to blockchain data, the market maker has distributed its Bitcoin and finished accumulating altcoins. The chart shows an Adam and Eve top and a double bottom at the bottom. In my last forecast I was a bit wrong with the scale, but the point was correct and the target was reached! Dominance <53% is on the way!
USDT.D retest 5.5%?USDT.D been falling for 90days with no real retests, this might be it.
Also fully completed previous projection of a Dump.
Fibb Golden zone around 5.5%
Also BTC looks like it's in Diamond Top pattern. If that plays out we might see CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $85k.
But this is Bullrun so probably some Elon musk post will randomly revive market out of nowhere and the dump will stop mid way.
Keep eyes on twitter.
BTC | BITCOIN ATH | ALTSEASON A comprehensive analysis today on my take regarding Bitcoin , BTC All time High, and for how long we can still expect to see altseason.
When I say altseason, what I am referring to is hard pumps and large increases, scattered across the altcoin market.
In the previous BTC update, I considered an ATH between 99k and 105k. More on that here :
Today's main "concern" is really whether or not the alt-rallies are finished - and I say, not yet .
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Is It Really Happening: When Altseason Will Begin?Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we will observe the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart, this is the chart which shows the Bitcoin dominance on the crypto market. During last 2 years it has growing slowly, but permanently. It caused to this strange cycle where Bitcoin has broken ATH, while some altcoins set the new low every month. Is this nightmare really finished or altcoins will continue suffering? Let's discuss today.
On the chart you can see weekly time frame which showed two completed altcoin seasons: in 2017 and 2021. Last altseason has started after reaching 0.618 Fibonacci level from the previous altseason. Then we saw the big drop to 40%. Let's notice that this altseason has been started after flashing the signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Currently this indicator has been flashed 2 bearish reversal bars in the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement zone. If today weekly candle closes with this signal and next week there will be the confirmation - 58% breakdown, there is a high chance that real altseason come the market.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
1.5 Year BTC Dominance Wedge Finally Breaks!Traders, for a year and a half we have lived inside of this bearish BTC.D wedge. Well, last week it finally broke. This week it looks like we'll get our confirmation of this break. This means altcoin season is officially underway (if you haven't had proof enough already).
As BTC continues its sideway price action, various alts have been taking their turn playing catch up. I expect this type of price action to continue through December for alts though they may incur a bit of a pull back at some point as BTC.D heads back up to retest the underside of that wedge. Once hit though, expect our alts to run again.
✌️ Stew
Bitcoin Dominance Halving Cycles and Alt SeasonsThis chart shows that in the 2 recent halving cycles Bitcoin Dominance had a massive pullback 240 days after the halving. We are now approaching the next 240 day cycle after the most recent halving earlier this year.
240 Days after Halving = December 17 2024.
ETH | ALTCOINS | All Time High NOT IN - Here's WhyToday as I looked at the Ethereum chart, I noticed that unlike BTC - a new ATH has not yet been formed. Interesting, I thought to myself, since ETH usually moves quite closely with BTC.
That is until I pulled up my trusted 3 (Bitcoin, Bitcoin Dominance and TOTAL3) and overlayed Ethereum. A key insight emerged from watching past behavior, leading me to the conclusion that the All Time High for Ethereum is still coming (and likely soon).
Don't miss yesterday's update on an Alt that can still see great increases:
_________________
COINBASE:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BTC ATH | Bitcoin Dominance | Alt Season Interesting insights can be gather from the Bitcoin dominance chart and the altcoin chart (TOTAL3).
You can see some interesting patterns when you overlap them, and monitor for previous "fractals" or patterns.
Some of the key insights you can gain from this combo:
👉 The BTC peak / ATH, or not
👉 The end of Altseason
_________________________
COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
ALT SEASON #3After years of waiting, countless false starts, and more hopium than a bull market BBQ, we’re finally here: Alt Season 3 is upon us—or so my trusty weekly Bitcoin dominance chart is screaming.
For the uninitiated, this chart is basically the ancient oracle of crypto, and it’s saying, ‘Hey, Bitcoin, take five. It’s time for the alts to shine.’
Zoom in close and you’ll see the subtle shift—the kind of shift that makes your favorite meme coin go from $0.00001 to ‘retire on a yacht’ territory (not financial advice, obviously).
TL;DR: Pack your bags, but don’t forget to double-check the fundamentals of the random farm token you’re YOLO-ing into. Alt Season 3 is here to remind us all that dreams are made… and sometimes rugged. Stay sharp, my friends. 🚀
$TOTAL3 & $OTHERS Alt Season Breakout vs $BTC.D !!!If you’re still wondering whether Alt Season is here or not, this is the only chart you need to see to prove it is.
BTC.D has been going down while CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 has broken previous ATH with CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS lagging a bit behind.
This shows the rotation from CRYPTOCAP:BTC -> Mid Caps -> Small Caps
Monetary policy, more importantly rate cuts, have signaled “Risk On”, and the market has responded accordingly.
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics ComboBitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D) is giving a fantastic trading setup.
It's preparing a BIG Bullish Swing.
From an Elliott Wave point of view, a bullish Impulse Wave is about to start.
In this case I'm talking about Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise).
Moving on to Harmonic Patterns, there are two:
The smaller one is the Bullish Shark, which is preparing its completion.
The second one, and the bigger view, is the Cypher Pattern, which will commence one the Shark is done.
So, bottom line: BTC.D is gonna start flying, and will push the Crypto market into a fantastic Bull Cycle.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Super-Cycle (C) (turquoise)
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Shark
* Harmonic Pattern: Bullish Cypher
* Double Bottom
* Bullish Divergence
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* 61.8% Fibonacci Extension
* Demand Zone
Conclusion: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is and always will be the one and only driver of the Crypto Markets.
Alt-season? Bitcoin BTC Dominance past cycles behavior analysis The best way to spot an altseason is looking at the Bitcoin BTC Dominance graph.
On this analysis, of the behavior of the Bitcoin BTC Dominance, I spotted in the graph , what happened on the last two cycles, 2017 and 2021, looking back to the 2013 BTC price top.
In the analysis I spotted three types of events:
All Time High (ATH)
Cycle Bottom
Attempts to break the past cycle's ATH
This brought me some interesting "coincidences" that leads to some insightful predictions.
My conclusion, so far, is that an All Time High breakout is a very important moment to the possible alt season beginning. One thing that should be considered is that the current cycle has some different characteristics as, probably in detail, all of them have. This means that maybe it could take some more time to the alt season start, as it did for the ATH be finally broken.
One thing I did'n mention in the video is that the BTC dominance has broken a theoretical downtrend line. That said, considering the end of the year calendar change that is a mentally important moment, I wouldn't be surprised if the altseason waits till January to pick up.
To be continued...
Bitcoin's Final Push: Altcoin Rotation LoomsBitcoin dominance seems to be nearing its peak, but as with every end, we often see one last strong push.
It’s clear that only specific coins are currently outperforming Bitcoin, so I suggest continuing to focus on those until January/February. I believe Q1 will bring a massive rotation of capital into altcoins.
Just remember: most Bitcoin dominance tops tend to come after strong surges. So, I expect Bitcoin to continue climbing before we start calling the top.
If, by some chance, dominance hits 72%, I’ll be shifting the majority of my BTC stack into altcoins.
Altseason, Microcaps & Bitcoin ATH | BTC | BTC.D | TOTAL3An important analysis as the first part of my ongoing outlook for Bitcoin, now that my target has hit.
Not too long ago, I did a focus on altcoins by market cap - and the order in which they rally. This mainly speaks to the top 10 altcoins by market cap, and how they follow BT closely.
However, throughout the cycle, you will see microcaps move independently, aka pump and dups, but the real parabolic increases will happen when BTC is trading bullish, especially towards the peak / just after the peak of BTC. Together with watching the Bitcoin Dominance chart, that is what we discuss in more detail today.
___________________
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3