BTC.D - Pop, Chop, or DropSeems like a rise here would be good for all crypto in terms of USD. Flat or chop here could be good for an Alt run up. A drop to supports here would probably be a good time to convert alts back to Btc. A drop below supports would be anyone's guess. One major Alt rising? Musical chairs on multiple Alt firework pump and dumps? But look out for a growing tail of crypto market dilution as more and more contenders enter the space.
Btcd
The Low Is In? Bitcoin Dominance Says BTC Goes Up!The BTC Dominance (BTC.D) chart is showing multiple bullish signals... Is Bitcoin about to go up?
First we notice the ascending triangle, which is a bullish pattern.
Prices are now trading above EMA10 while challenging EMA50 and EMA300.
We have a reversal candle on the 13 March.
Both the MACD and RSI are bullish and strong.
All these signals are pointing up.
Conditions for change
If prices move and close below 64.17, the above signals become invalid. The red arrows enters play.
NOTE: BTC.D moving higher not necessarily means that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will go higher.
Do you believe that Bitcoin will move lower or will it start to reverse and go up?
Share in the comments section below...
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Previous analysis (Bitcoin Bouncing Now?) :
Bitcoin Drops To $3K Before $32K? New EMAs + Daily RSI Analyzed
Bitcoin Weekly Update (MA200 Breaks / Bearish, Low $3ks Next?)
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC dominance according to plan.In my previous BTC.D analysis, I've shown you scenario which I see could unfold (see here twitter.com ).
So far it's going according to plan. BTC dominance is taking a real hit today, along with USD. DXY is dropping significantly as well. Strength of the dollar is too high and it will drop. Only a matter of time til it collapses. Last time that meant huge crypto bull run. Are you prepared? Are you stacked? This short TA is to give you an insight on what could come if the nerrative of an uper power keeps playing with world's economy. Keeping fingers crossed.
If we take a look on the chart we see we got rejected by the 0.382 Fib level since bouncing from a short collapse down tonaround Fib 0.5 from our last run up (left Fib). I'm expecting us to hit 0.382, bounce and proceed down. Also, MACD could be crossing soon. Last time that started the 14 day red streak.
All of this makes me believe we're in for a turbulent ride. Wish you good trades.
BTC.D Bitcoin DominanceBearish situation for the dominance of BTC which tells me we will rebound on altcoins before BTC or the bounce will be much harder on alts. You can see my BTC analysis that BTC is still in good shape to $7600 level. I do not agree the 200DMA has been closed below because on the futures market it is not the case (no trading on weekends)
For dominance
-Daily averages - 50 below 100 and 100 below 200 with recent crossover to the downside
-Weekly averages - below 200, below 50weekly average and high chance of closing below it today
-Fib, from 2017 high to 2017 low- rejection of the retest at 61.8 which is the same level as 200weekly moving average, rejection of .5 fib today with bearish candle pattern
-RSI - no divergence at all, still strong sell
There are several altcoins which are still in good shape - rsi still uptrending well and MACD already on crossover.
BTC.D - let's go according to plan !!!Good day to all! We are going according to plan. We came to the first resistance and we are expecting a correctional wave B. Altas will most likely go for correction.
Trade with pleasure!
Thanks to all my subscribers and readers for your attention! 🙏
Success and profit!
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BTC.D Oversold Bounce? | Alt Coin Pull Back? Firstly Happy Valentine’s Day and welcome to another Crypto Update!
Today we will look into the BTC.D chart to identify where the greater market is headed. The BTC.D is likely to experience an oversold bounce which may lead to a probable pull back in the current ALT season.
Points to consider,
- BTC.D broke key support line
- All key moving averages broken
- Testing local support
- RSI in oversold conditions
- Stochastics trading in lower regions
- Volume spiking
The dominance showed a lot of weakness when the key trend line was broken, this initiated the overall Alt season. All key moving averages where broken at the same time, which puts more emphasis on the bearish projection.
Current support being tested is a critical area; a bounce here is probable to cool of all technical indicators.
Currently the RSI is in oversold conditions, historically this leads to an oversold bounce back into neutral territory. The stochastics is trading in the lower regions, can stay here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the upside.
Volume is clearly spiking, confirming a true breakout of a key trade location. A break of this current support will continue with bear momentum.
Overall, in my opinion, a bounce is highly probable from such oversold conditions. The BTC.D is testing critical support, if this does not hold, then expect a prolonged Alt season.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.”
― Yvan Byeajee,
BTC.D looks weak. Thinking ALTSZN is about to come forthThis chart looks a bit on the weaker side. RSI trending down. 200w EMA didn't break out, and 50w EMA may also show some resistance. Too much excitement around other alts pumping (DASH, ETC, and a few others). Currently testing a year+ long bullish trend now, if that breaks (which I think it will), alts will start flexing. BTCUSD may too, but not as much.
Then there is also the halving this year. I don't know how alts will react to this, being the first BTC halving I've ever witnessed.
This is not investment advice. DYOR. Invest with caution.
BTC.D: Don't Underestimate the TD Sequential 9 & 50 Week MAAs can be seen on the Daily chart using the TI Indicator, we are currently at the 50 Week MA on a Sequential 9. While the long-term 200 Week MA is sloping downwards (has a bearish posture), the 50 Week MA is rising (has a bullish posture). It's also clear from previous TD 9's, whether buy or sell signals, have been very reliable in calling short-term tops and bottoms. The RSI is also considerably oversold.
I'm still bearish on Bitcoin dominance long-term, but remaining neutral as dominance is likely to find short-term support from current levels. It'd be reasonable to believe that dominance will retest the bear flag breakdown level, VPVR resistance as well as 21 Day MA around 66%, or even as high as the 200 Day MA at 69% that is now started to slope downwards confirming long-term bearish pressure.
TI Indicator: tonevays.com
Altcoin Dominance Eyeing Up A Breakout to 40% (January 2020)
Cyrpto Market About To Bullcross: 50 & 100 Week MA (January 2020)
Altcoin Speculation Coming Soon... (October 2019)
Altcoin Dominance Bouncing From 0.382 Fib Retracement (September 2019)
BTC dominance, retracement then explosionBTC just completed a 5 wave EW structure and is correcting. It is expected that dominance will go back up to previous all time highs. 99% of Alts will die.
A drop in BTC dominance does not guarantee an Alts season. Alts dominance might drop together with BTC's, as well. A drop in both BTC and Alts dominance means money is leaving crypto.
ETH target $220! ALT - BULLRUN inbound? Dear traders and hodlers,
Finally ... a new parabolic run incoming?!
right now we see some resistance for ETH. I think we need to range one time more on ETH before taking off.
Why?
I think BTC.D is going to drop. BTC.D is now 15 days in consulidation and it wont go up. So conclusion....
if BTC.D goes below 66% we can see a ALT run up. ALTS are showing nice bottom bounces since years of time.
Target ETH:
My first profit target for ETH = $220
lets see how other (ALT)coins are going to pump. (or dump) it all depends on BTC and the dominance.
Goodluck!
(BTC.D) Altcoin Dominance Eyeing Up A Breakout to 40%With altcoin dominance closing back above the rising 200 Week MA last week, confirming Bitcoin's long-term weakness in market dominance, "ALT.D" (1-BTC.D+99) has again held the 30% support a second time and is looking for a breakout above 33.75% with a target to 40%.
This would additionally be a TD Sequential trade on the Weekly chart with a Green 2 going above a Green 1, with oscillators (RSI, CMF and MACD) pointing to further upside. There will likely be some resistance and profit taking around the 50 Week MA around 35%, half way to the target, but I don't expect it to hold for long if volume continues to rise. The momentum would likely be too strong preceeding the confirmed trend change.
Reward/risk: 2.1
Entry: 33.76% - TD buy signal and and new swing high since July 2019
Target: 40.7% - Previous support level as resistance and 100 Week MA confluence
Stop Loss: 30.50% - Breakdown below the open of the 1 candle, 21 Week MA and into support range = bearish
To me, this is a perfect trade.
Previous altcoin dominance TA:
Altcoin Speculation Coming Soon... (October 2019)
Altcoin Dominance Bouncing From 0.382 Fib Retracement (September 2019)
Bitcoin Peaked? Prices Are Likely To Move LowerLooking at the Market Cap BTC Dominance (BTC.D) chart, it looks like Bitcoin (BTCUSD) peaked...
Now, this isn't based on the BTCUSD chart, which can give us different signals but instead the "Bitcoin Dominance Chart".
What the signals are telling us here is that BTC.D peaked, how's that?
We can see a higher high when it comes to BTC.D, but the MACD and RSI are showing a lower high.
There is a long wick on the last candle that closed.
The RSI is trending down and the MACD isn't looking good.
BTC.D can surely go higher, but first, a retrace is taking place.
The first support that is sure to be tested is 69.98 or EMA10. A bounce can happen here just as it can continue going lower... Look at the arrows on the chart for the different potential scenarios.
Thanks a lot for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance (UPDATE)Bitcoin's dominance continues to climb within the large rising wedge formation that began back at the start of 2018. As we can see, there is a strong overall trend between rising dominance and falling crypto prices. In the coming weeks, dominance will have to make a choice: 1) climb higher or 2) breakdown the trend. IF the trend breaks we'll likely see a resurgence in altcoin prices, and some kind of resumption of a bullish trend in crypto. However, the odds are that we will see the dominance go higher, which could take altcoins to new lows and drag bitcoin down with them as capital flight resumes in the sector.
Overall, for 2020 I expect dominance to push 90% before tapering off as we move into 2021. This is consistent with one of my bitcoin models that shows the end of the crypto bear market around the beginning of 2021.
PS. If you found this idea useful/interesting be sure to follow me on my Twitter account where I post more frequently. The link can be found on my TradingView profile or @ErikFertsman.
Bitcoin Dominance | Reversal StructureDominance showing pattern which can be recognised as Head and Shoulders.
Projected target from neckline should be near 63-60% dominance. Projected period for decrease until March of 2020, with peak bottom at February 2020.
Also targets match retracement levels of Fibonacci.
Finally, Shitcoins Time?!