Bitcoin Dominance TA, Bearish SignalsRecently I spotted a very strong, long-term bearish signal on this index. A triple-bearish signal as it is present with three indicators. I am talking about a bearish divergence.
Volume has been dropping significantly as the index moves higher.
The weekly RSI peaked October 2023 and has been producing lower highs. The MACD peaked July 2023.
These are long-term, but let's have a closer look and consider the daily chart.
Here we have some interesting signals as well, let's start with the candles:
—Here we have a rising wedge ending in a rounded top and long-term double-top. The uptrend is also in risk of failing. A breakdown of this uptrend, which can happen anytime, would result in a strong crash of this index.
Next is the daily RSI:
—The peak happened November 2024. There is also a short-term lower high as the peak this month happened on the 7th of April, the index peaked on the 22nd.
—The daily RSI is already trending lower.
Clearly the most interesting and revealing of all three indicators is the daily MACD. Let me show you the chart first and then I'll describe the signals:
—Here the lower high is so strong that reveals what is coming to this index. The MACD peaked in February and produced a lower high this month, April. Notice the bearish cross, it happened yesterday.
The daily MACD and RSI trending down with short-term, mid-term, long-term and long long-term bearish divergence all point towards a lower reading on these oscillators.
The last major drop for this index happened in November 2024 with the bottom hitting a month later, December 2024. At this time Bitcoin produced a very strong advance as well as the entire Altcoins market, it was awesome.
It is surely interesting to notice that the index recovers and moves higher while Bitcoin continued to grow. But at that time the Altcoins were starting their correction. Most of the Altcoins peaked late November 2024 and some in early December 2024. So this index is more related to how the Altcoins behave rather than Bitcoin.
When it drops, it does not mean that Bitcoin will drop but that the Altcoins will grow. When it grows, it does not necessarily means that Bitcoin is moving up but that the Altcoins are moving down.
We know the Altcoins are set to produce their strongest growth period since 2021. This Bitcoin Dominance index works as confirmation. It leaves no room for doubt.
» Doubt can remain open as to whether the start of this rise will happen tomorrow or within a few weeks. Short-term, anything goes; the market can become erratic and produce some strong shakeouts, specially preceding a major wave of growth. But after 2-3 weeks, it is 1,000% certain that the entire Cryptocurrency market will be bullish and up. Regardless of what this index does or anything else for that matter. When the time is ripe, the market grows.
The time is ripe right now... You will be happy with the results.
Namaste.
Btcdom
The Most Important Bitcoin Dominance Analysis!Hello, Skyrexians!
This CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis can be a little bit complicated, but this is very important update on our previous analysis. Dominance is next to the top, but now the period of unexpected moves has been started.
Today we have 12h time frame to look at the internal wave structure. Tonight dominance hit the higher degree wave 3 target at 65.3% like I told you in previous article, but the subwave inside the wave 5 inside wave 3 is not finished. Let's count the waves for yellow cycle and we can see that there were no the wave 4 because Awesome Oscillator is still above zero. When it will cross it the yellow waves 5 will finish wave 5 inside wave 3. Now I expect the move to 63-63.5% then retest of recent high again then more significant correction and then another one wave to the upside - final big shakeout.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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No Altseason Until BTC.D Hits 70%?Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently climbing and approaching a major resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. This area has proven to be a strong turning point in the past, acting as a top back in December 2017, September 2019, and again in 2021. These repeated rejections suggest that this zone is likely to remain a key resistance.
Right now, BTC.D is sitting around 64.66% and still has room to push higher. However, if it enters the resistance zone again, there’s a strong chance it may face selling pressure and start reversing. The white arrow on the chart shows the possible move into resistance, while the red projection outlines the expected rejection and potential decline back toward the 54.63% level—another important support zone from the past.
In simple terms, BTC dominance might be nearing its peak, and once it reaches the upper zone, we could start seeing altcoins gain more strength as dominance falls. This chart helps anticipate when the market might shift from BTC-led rallies to altcoin outperformance.
Bitcoin Dominance: My Global Overview Hello, Skyrexians!
Yesterday we made a local update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that waves order has been changed a little bit, today we will take a look at this chart globally. Soon we can have a great reversal but we will feel pain before it because target above 66% will happen.
This is monthly chart. The first greatest altseason looks like an impulsive wave 1. Then correction has been started. The first pullback finished inside 0.61 Fibonacci zone and it contains on 5 waves. This is the sign that it's wave A. If wave A has 5 waves it means that global wave 2 will be zigzag ABC or triangle ABCDE. We will exclude the zigzag because wave C has almost reached the wave A bottom, and it cannot be flat correction because wave A is impulsive, so we are in huge triangle. Waves A, C, E shall be impulsive.
Current wave is wave C which can reach any target next to the wave A top. Our earlier predicted 66-67% looks reasonable and we need to focus on internal counting. This chart is just to make us sure that we are next to reversal.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bad News From Bitcoin Dominance: Pain AheadHello, Skyrexians!
I got sick for these 5 days that's why has not shared updates, but market was very boring so we didn't miss any significant move. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D concerns me now because to end this trend we need to see any significant correction, but we didn't. On the 12h Awesome oscillator was not able to cross zero line and reversed to the upside, so our main change is that daily time frame measures the wave 3 inside the major impulse.
If we count waves inside this impulse price is approaching 1.61 Fibonacci level at 65.3% and trust me it's much better to see it's reaching before the drop. When this wave will be finished, wave 4 will happen. It can bounce significantly to 61%. This is strong target area and I am sure we will be there soon. Wave 5 can be extended, can be not. The max target is 71%! Sounds awful. The likely target at 66-67%, to make it more precise let's wait for wave 4 finish.
I plan to close in profit those part of trades which has been opened after Feb 3 dump on this potential bounce to have money to add on the last huge shakeout. People believe in altcoins too much, very unlikely to have altseason now. Ready for hate!
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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BTCDOM at the threshold of a strong impulseA very interesting situation is now observed on such a ticker as BINANCE:BTCDOMUSDT.P - bitcoin dominance index released by Binance. It differs from CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D in that it shows bitcoin dominance to the top 20 altcoins.
On the weekly chart of BINANCE:BTCDOMUSDT.P there is a very old AMEXP model from June 5, 2023, which essentially describes the entire current uptrend on this index. So within this model there was a target value of 100% level (2625.1), which has been a resistance for 112 days and during this time there were 4 attempts to test it.
In case we see a breakout, there may well be a very strong impulse, which will be accompanied by great volatility in the market.
What two scenarios could work at this point?
1️⃣ Index growth will be due to the fact that the top 20 altcoins will stand still/fall on the background of INDEX:BTCUSD growth.
2️⃣ Index growth will be due to the fact that the top-20 altcoins will fall faster than INDEX:BTCUSD will fall.
Dominance the system core- for me it has always been very complicate to explain BTC.D to peoples, because it's complicate ! lol
- it's weird to understand the moves and many factors have to be compared together an alchemy have to happen to see something happening.
- So basically to explain it, i will tell you what "we want to see" or "what we don't want to see" in the future. if the story repeats again.
1/ BTC.D have to grow up, then Altcoins will struggle down trying to find a potential bottom.
- While BTC.D grow up, BTC price have to grow up also or at least stabilize ( this is a good sign )
2 / if BTC price down and BTC.D up, it's bad, it's just the normal way ( No Divergence )
- When BTC price + BTC.D both up together, it's a kind of " inversed divergence ", it means something good gonna happens. ( get it ?)
- Basically also if USDT/USDC Dom Grow and BTC price stabilize and not goes down anymore, it's a good sign.
- Normality the normal way is : BTC up / USDT/USDC.D Down OR BTC Down / USDT/USDC.D up.
- Before we had no reason to check those Stables coins because they had not much DOM in markets, but now have to count with them.
- So While BTC.D is growing, altcoins will just make some weak moves.
- When BTC will reach is next Dominance's ATH ( witch have to be lower than last years because more concurrence )
- BTC.D will crash and ALT SEASON will start.
- it took me many years to understand that, but it's pure logic ( Fibonacci is working perfectly on it )
- again it's not easy to get it.
- if you have any questions feel free to add a comment.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Let's Watch Bitcoin Dominance Together!Hello, Skyrexians!
You may think that we make analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D too often, but it's needed because as we pointed out many times we are closed to the global top and it's important to predict when altcoin season starts.
Today we have 12h time frame to look in details at final wave 5 inside global 5. Wave 3 inside this wave is about to be finished at 64.85%. This is not new information. You can check our previous 12h analysis and see it. Today price has reached the target and soon we have to see the reaction and small correction to 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. During this drop altcoins may show great performance, but after that last shakeout will happen. After that we expect 3-5 months of dominance decrease.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Is About To Finish The Growth CycleHello, Skyrexians!
Time to update our main chart CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and today we will take a look at 4h time frame to make sure that everything is going according our global scenario.
Today we consider wave 3 in 5 into the global 5. It has been almost done with the potential double divergence and ending diagonal at the top. The next wave is higher degree wave 4. It has the target at 0.38 Fibonacci at 63%. From this point we expect final wave 5 to final target at 66%.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Quick UpdateThe high happened in February 2025. 7-April produced a lower high.
The session that produced the lower high is also a hammer. A hammer here can indicate an upcoming change of trend.
As long as BTC.D remains below 64% it has a very high probability of starting a descent.
If BTC Dominance moves and closes daily above 64%, this analysis and signals become invalid.
If the BTC.D hovers below 64%, the longer it stays below this level the weaker it becomes.
When this index goes down, everything Cryptocurrency grows, including Bitcoin.
It will be very interesting to see how it all develops. More and more signals are pointing toward an Altcoins market bullish wave developing now, not later. Do you agree?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Bitcoin dominance is aiming to hit FIb 1.141 - Alt Season when ?Currently bitcoin dominance is around 64% and about to hit Fib 1 which is the previous high 64.34%.
We can expect bitcoin to breach this previous high easily and head towards the next resistance around the fib value 1.414. This is a strong resistance and if dominance breaks this value then next target is 70% is which around the high value achieve during the 2020 bear run.
I'm expecting dominance to reverse around 1.414 and altseason will start once dominance starts dropping.
Cheers!
GreenCrypto
Bitcoin Dominance Is Printing The Last Shakeout Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we pointed out that CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is in the last bullish wave which has a target approximately at 66% and the bear market on altcoins is almost over. Today we will look in details on this wave inside and try to predict the most precise scenario.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. Here we can see the wave 1 and 2 and now price is in wave 3. Fibonacci extension levels 1 and 1.61 is the target for wave 3. Looking at the current wave we can say that it's not over, so it will likely to see 64.7% in this wave before the correction. Correction is going to be subwave 4 which will likely be finished at 63% then we have the last wave which can be equal to wave 1. In this case predicted earlier 66% will be reached at the end of April.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance, We Are Waiting For You!Hello, Skyrexians!
We are changing color according to the new upcoming market cycle phase, hope our forecast will be realized and it's time to be bullish. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is about to flash the reversal signal, while altcoins dominance and USDT dominance are already did it, but we don't also forget about disaster targets.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Earlier we told that this is final wave 5 and now we are trying to catch its top. We mentioned that dominance will enter into 63-66% target area and it did it. Now we have to be focused on the reversal signals. For example Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator has already printed the red dot at the top. Moreover Awesome Oscillator started reversing. You can say that this is the top, be our intuition tell us that some small move to the upside will be continued to 65%. Also we need to mention about nightmare wave 5 extended target at 70%, but this scenario is unlikely because it will break the divergence on the daily chart.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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#BTC Dominance: This is when ALTS will start Rallying!!BTC Dominance Update by Cryptorphic
🚨 Crossover Alert 🚨
Looking at the current BTC Dominance chart, we can see that the 21 WMA (Blue) and the 50 WMA (Red) are moving almost parallel to each other. A key moment to watch for is when the 21 WMA crosses below the 50 WMA. This will be a strong confirmation of a potential trend reversal.
🔴 Historical Context:
- The previous crossover led to a significant drop in BTC dominance, triggering altcoins to rally.
- The current market structure shows BTC dominance at a crucial resistance level. We are looking for a possible rejection at this level, which could signal an entry point for altcoins.
📈 Price Action:
- BTC Dominance is currently testing the upper boundary of the rising channel.
- A rejection around 64.25% to 65.66% is expected, and the best entry for altcoins would likely come on that rejection.
🚀 Next Move:
Keep an eye on the crossover between the 21 WMA and 50 WMA for confirmation. A downward crossover will likely signify the start of a broader altcoin rally.
If you like this update, please support it with your likes and share your feedback/requests in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC Dominance: We Warned You And It's HappeningHello, Skyrexians!
A lot of hating comments we received under our recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis. Now we sure that market always go against the crowd. This is the super valuable experience and we want to say thanks to all haters. Now let's update this idea, try to understand the structure on the wave 5 drilling into lower time frame.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that after the spike in the wave 3 price retraced with the ABC zigzag and started the new wave 5. Waves 1 and 2 inside this wave have been finished. Wave 2 reached exactly 0.61. Now we can measure wave 3 target. 1 and 1.61 are the potential target. The most realistic one is 64.7%. Then we expect the wave 4 and the last leg up into subwave 5. Always look at the divergence on the Awesome Oscillator to measure the trend end.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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WARNING! Sell Your Altcoins, They Will Go To Zero!Hello, Skyrexians!
We had some doubts in this scenario, but now price action clarified it. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has finally decided to pump in the wave 5 and this wave can be even extended. Altcoins Will lose 70% of their value and never pump after that to cover your losses.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. We have already shown you this Elliott waves picture. Earlier we mentioned that may be wave 5 was shortened, but not, it has finally decided to reach new highs at 66% at least, in case of normal wave 5, but just imagine if it will reach 70%, the extended target. Your portfolio will be -70% from the current price. We need to be honest with you, altseason never comes and we have to forget about it.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
BTC-DOM- BTC dominance can't keep rising indefinitely.
-If we see a BTC dip, BTC dominance could climb to around 66% (71.8% Fibonacci), but in my opinion, that’s likely the maximum.
- If BTC surges too quickly and too high, altcoins will be suppressed, causing BTC dominance to potentially rise also to around 66%. However, once again, I believe that's would be the max.
- After any of both cases, altcoins will start to moon fly.
- 36-bar, 1096-day uptrend on the BTC dominance chart. That’s a significant duration from 2018 to 2021. The timespan from 2022 to 2025 could mirror the previous one.
- Take note also on the Bearish Divergence between the trend and the RSI. ( i will post weekly graphic also to show a more clear view ).
- An uptrend of this length indicates strong, sustained interest in BTC compared to altcoins. However, long-term trends like this are prone to exhaustion.
For now, just hold your alts and practice golden patience.
Happy Tr4Ding !
66% Is About To Cancelled For Bitcoin DominanceHello, everyone!
Earlier we made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that it can reach 66% before altseason or reverse from 62.5%. Now it looks like we can see the second scenario because momentum is almost gone and we are about to see the second confirmation of trend change.
Let's take a look at the weekly chart. Like the previous time we still have active red dot signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . We have the great angulation with the alligator. This time we also have the double divergence with Awesome Oscillator which has been almost confirmed. We wanna see the three red columns in a row and this reversal is going to be strongly confirmed. The minimum target is 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci zone, but in case of true altcoin season we can see the new all time low.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Bitcoin Dominance Says That Bear Market Is Almost Over For Alts!Hello, Skyrexians!
We hope you enjoy our yesterday Bitcoin analysis which is now playing out. Daily candle closed great, but this reversal is still unconfirmed. So, we are still in danger. Today we will take a look at the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D again, this chart is annoying, but is finally approaching its reversal point.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Here we can see the 3 red dots on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . Now we will try to learn now to ignore the false signals. The first dot formed on the very weak bar with no angulation with Alligator. We can's use this. The next bar was great, but it was just the wave 3. The best signal is the last one. We have angulation, bearish divergence with AO and the potential wave 5. This reversal has been confirmed.
Expect the reversal from the current percent because price is inside the Fibonacci 0.61, or in the worst case earlier mentioned 66%. This is going to be wave 5 in 5.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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66% Is Actual Again For Bitcoin Dominance Hello, Skyrexians!
Sad news, pump on Sunday was a huge fake. If you remember our last CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis we pointed out that if we will see 60% breakdown there is. great chance to see altseason right now. But Dominance started to grow again and finally we have no doubts that shakeout will happen.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. Here we can see the clearest Elliott waves structure. Wave 3 has the max AO as usual, and wave 4 was a flat correction which found support at 0.5 Fibonacci. Now we can see that final wave 5 to the 66% target. Don't pay attention to the red dots on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator , they are not important inside the range and can be counted a signal only at the potential end of wave 5 in conjunction with the divergence.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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