Btcdom
Bitcoin's Final Push: Altcoin Rotation LoomsBitcoin dominance seems to be nearing its peak, but as with every end, we often see one last strong push.
It’s clear that only specific coins are currently outperforming Bitcoin, so I suggest continuing to focus on those until January/February. I believe Q1 will bring a massive rotation of capital into altcoins.
Just remember: most Bitcoin dominance tops tend to come after strong surges. So, I expect Bitcoin to continue climbing before we start calling the top.
If, by some chance, dominance hits 72%, I’ll be shifting the majority of my BTC stack into altcoins.
#BTC DOMINANCE, LAST OPPORTUNITY TO BUY CHEAP ALTS!Bitcoin Dominance is currently around 60.51%, keeping BTC in the 68k–70k range while altcoins drop 20-40% from recent highs.
This pattern is common in bull runs, as rising BTC dominance typically pulls altcoins down. In my experience, a rejection zone between 64% and 65.81% could trigger an altcoin rally while BTC hits new all-time highs and moves sideways.
Here are three key points to watch:-
1. BTC Dominance reaching rejection levels.
2. BTC closing above the monthly resistance of $71,378.
3. Altcoins holding higher time frame supports and showing reversal signs.
If these align, it could be a strong opportunity for altcoins.
Patience here pays off – holding USDT or stablecoins now could let you buy altcoins at lower levels soon.
I'll be sharing important updates as needed. Currently, I’m on complete bed rest due to a fractured wrist and some deep wounds, but my DMs are open if you need to reach out. I'll do my best to answer questions whenever I'm able.
Thank you for your understanding!
For now, stay focused, and let’s spot these opportunities.
If you enjoy these insights, hit like and share your thoughts. Let me know if you’d like any specific chart requests.
Thank you!
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC DOM- Quick Update.
- If you're still standing and holding onto your cryptos, you’ve earned a medal.
- Not much to see in this monthly chart, just one key detail :
- Take a look at the RSI and notice how much BTC dominance has surged.
- The next move could be altcoins skyrocketing out of nowhere.
One word: HODL !!!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
Where is Bitcoin Dominance headed?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D 1W chart;
Bitcoin Dominance has been moving horizontally at the same level for 3 weeks.
Let's not forget that the chart is weekly.
Although I think it will most likely return from the 58.25% level , I also stated that it may be better to go down after at least testing the 62.52% level above. The reason is that this will be very useful in the next bull cycle.
Considering the immediate level, it will start a downtrend with a close below the level indicated as +OB .
The noteworthy point here is the orange circle; the Golden Cross formed by the combination of 50EMA and 200EMA . This is a bullish sign.
However
After such a deep and prolonged decline, it would not be right to expect the chart to change direction and rise with the first Golden Cross . For this reason, I should mention that the level around 47% is important.
If the 47% level does not break sharply downwards, it may use this as support and start rising. If it breaks, we may see a decline up to 40%.
BTC.D Mid TermWe are observing a BTC dominance move that will indicate the anticipated altcoin rallies in the next 3-4 months.
This move could signal a significant rally in the altcoin market and pave the way for substantial gains in altcoins.
A drop in dominance can be seen as a positive signal for altcoins.
The BTCDOM/USDT chart shows Bitcoin's dominance in the marketThe BTCDOM/USDT chart shows Bitcoin's dominance in the market, with current trading levels around 2,782.5. The price action has seen significant movements, including sharp rises and corrections, indicating a highly volatile market.
Key Points:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The price recently tested a high (HH) near 3,005.8 but faced strong resistance, leading to a correction.
Support has been identified around 2,754.8, where a recent long position was initiated. This level could serve as a crucial point for further upward movements.
Recent Trade Setups:
A long position was taken at 2,754.8, aiming for multiple take profit (TP) levels. The first TP level at 2,734.8 has been hit, and the price is now approaching the second TP at 2,714.9.
A short position was also entered near 2,763, but the price has since moved higher, possibly hitting the stop loss (SL) at 2,834.4.
Current Scenario:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase, moving between the key support and resistance levels. If it breaks above the recent high, it could retest the resistance around 2,834.4 and potentially move towards 3,000. Conversely, a break below 2,754.8 could lead to further declines, with potential targets around 2,688.4 and 2,635.3.
Potential Targets:
On the downside, the price might target the levels of 2,688.4 (TP3) and 2,635.3 (TP4) if the current support fails to hold.
On the upside, the key resistance levels to watch are at 2,834.4 and above, which the price needs to overcome to resume a bullish trend.
Conclusion:
BTCDOM/USDT is at a critical juncture, with the price testing key support and resistance levels. Traders should monitor the price action closely for a decisive breakout or breakdown, as this will determine the next significant move. Holding above 2,754.8 could indicate bullish potential, while a fall below this level might lead to a deeper correction.
Is #Bitcoin Dominance falling down?#Bitcoin Dominance 1W chart;
I would like to start by telling you that I have some good news
As I mentioned in the previous chart, 58.25% and then the OB resistance level of 62% are important.
I think it will have much more positive effects if it reaches 62% because it will weaken the resistance at this level.
This is the level that will help us in the next bull cycle. That's why I care about it.
Now for the good news...
As can be seen on the weekly chart, the RSI seems to have begun to mismatch.
After a fake out to the resistance level at 58.25%, I think that it will ease down for the initial target of the pattern.
After the 50% level is seen, I expect it to start a rise again and to turn its direction down as it tests the OB level, which is the second resistance while completing this pattern.
BTCDOM at the threshold of a strong impulseA very interesting situation is now observed on such a ticker as BINANCE:BTCDOMUSDT.P - bitcoin dominance index released by Binance. It differs from CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D in that it shows bitcoin dominance to the top 20 altcoins.
On the weekly chart of BINANCE:BTCDOMUSDT.P there is a very old AMEXP model from June 5, 2023, which essentially describes the entire current uptrend on this index. So within this model there was a target value of 100% level (2625.1), which has been a resistance for 112 days and during this time there were 4 attempts to test it.
In case we see a breakout, there may well be a very strong impulse, which will be accompanied by great volatility in the market.
What two scenarios could work at this point?
1️⃣ Index growth will be due to the fact that the top 20 altcoins will stand still/fall on the background of INDEX:BTCUSD growth.
2️⃣ Index growth will be due to the fact that the top-20 altcoins will fall faster than INDEX:BTCUSD will fall.
Which direction should Bitcoin Dominance take?#Bitcoin Dominance 1D chart;
The white trendline starts from January 2015 and continues to the present day with a peak in January 2021.
It managed to rise above the trendline with strong momentum.
A decline will surely come, but it is too early for that.
So why not now?
In order for the decline to begin, the necessary infrastructures must first be formed. One of them is the RSI mismatch.
There is no decline at the moment.
Pay attention to the levels I have circled in red circles; the first one is a strong resistance level, the other is OB resistance.
My opinion is that we can see a rise at least until the OB region.
Altseason ahead: Bitcoin Dominance - a Pullback, or Reversal?BTCDOMUSDT is showing signs of being overheated, and we believe the price may have topped out, at least in the short term. This comes after a strong rejection at the double Fibonacci resistance level around the psychological 2600 mark, suggesting that a significant pullback could be coming.
Currently, the price seems ready for a relief bounce, which should mark the beginning of a long-term trend reversal. If this scenario plays out, we might witness a massive altcoin rally as funds rotate out of Bitcoin dominance and into alternative cryptocurrencies.
Keep an eye on this setup, as it could signal an exciting opportunity for altcoin traders. Prepare for the potential shift, and stay tuned for what could be an electrifying period in the crypto markets! 🔥
#BTCDOMUSDT #1D (Binance Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownBitcoin Dominance is pulling back towards 50MA resistance on daily, seems likely to get rejected next.
⚡️⚡️ #BTCDOM/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (6.0X)
Amount: 6.0%
Current Price:
2374.2
Entry Targets:
1) 2411.5
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 2010.3
Stop Targets:
1) 2612.6
Published By: @Zblaba
BINANCE:BTCDOMUSDT.P CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D #Bitcoin #Dominance #Index
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +99.8%
Possible Loss= -50.0%
BTC DOMINANCE WEEKLY SHIFT.. a SIGN of upcoming Crypto PUMPS?!I've been tracking btcdominance' weekly data and it looks like a major shift is starting to transpire.
Shorters seems to have found their peaks -- and altcoin bulls may take over anytime now.
Double top has been created -- and a strong order block resistance is being met with rejection.
Expect reversal to the downside from here on for BTCDOM (expect altcoins/overall crypto market to dominate the upside region again)
spotted at 1594 (target: extended downtrend)
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On crypto market, a coin dominance is a ratio of its market cap to cumulative market cap of cryptocurrencies. It's a great way to see how big a coin is relative to the whole crypto market — the value of everything is in comparison. It's calculated by dividing a coin market cap by the overall market cap of the top 125 coins and then multiplying it by 100.
It's only when Bitcoin's dominance increases while Bitcoin's price is stable or when Bitcoin's dominance decreases, and its price also decreases that the prices of altcoins remain rather stable. When Bitcoin's dominance increases, altcoins usually lose market share and therefore value vis-à-vis Bitcoin.
$BTC dominance' s bearish retest#btc #bitcoin dominance has bounced after leaving the channel. Now, #btcd performing a bearish retest. If reclaims the channel BTC.d may rise. But, in my previous posts, i have said BTCD chart has an important bearish divergence (now as seen on the chart with red lines). Thus, if bearish retest succeeds, BTCD declines here and fails to enter channel, money will likely flow into #altcoins or #usdt . USDT is more likely, because #memecoins sucked the money already.
Not financial advice.
Dominance the system core- for me it has always been very complicate to explain BTC.D to peoples, because it's complicate ! lol
- it's weird to understand the moves and many factors have to be compared together an alchemy have to happen to see something happening.
- So basically to explain it, i will tell you what "we want to see" or "what we don't want to see" in the future. if the story repeats again.
1/ BTC.D have to grow up, then Altcoins will struggle down trying to find a potential bottom.
- While BTC.D grow up, BTC price have to grow up also or at least stabilize ( this is a good sign )
2 / if BTC price down and BTC.D up, it's bad, it's just the normal way ( No Divergence )
- When BTC price + BTC.D both up together, it's a kind of " inversed divergence ", it means something good gonna happens. ( get it ?)
- Basically also if USDT/USDC Dom Grow and BTC price stabilize and not goes down anymore, it's a good sign.
- Normality the normal way is : BTC up / USDT/USDC.D Down OR BTC Down / USDT/USDC.D up.
- Before we had no reason to check those Stables coins because they had not much DOM in markets, but now have to count with them.
- So While BTC.D is growing, altcoins will just make some weak moves.
- When BTC will reach is next Dominance's ATH ( witch have to be lower than last years because more concurrence )
- BTC.D will crash and ALT SEASON will start.
- it took me many years to understand that, but it's pure logic ( Fibonacci is working perfectly on it )
- again it's not easy to get it.
- if you have any questions feel free to add a comment.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.D has NEVER Broken Above This Line! Ever.Traders,
I know there's a first for everything but, as traders, we usually do our best work NOT guessing when that first will be. In this case, I have traced that descending purple TL back to sometime around November of 2016, which is nearly to the inception of dominance on this particular chart. In it's history, BTC.D has NEVER broken above our trend line with confirmation on the daily. You can observe a few wick ups but no body closes, let alone confirmation. Until we get a close above that TL with confirmation, I believe it's safe to conclude that we may see Bitcoin struggle a bit here vs. the Alts. Bitcoin needs to close above this trend line or larger cap alts, like Ethereum, will continue to outperform.
Stew
Dominance to drop to 35% if it can't reclaim 58%Should Bitcoin Dominance fail to reclaim an old neckline at 57-58%, it will likely drop back down to its recent lows and continue down to make a new ATL just below 35%
Presently, Bitcoin dominance may fail to get above 54.09% on the weekly chart, after losing its uptrend and getting stopped 3x.
If instead it does get above it, it still has to reclaim the neckline of a double-top that occurred the last time it tapped ~73.6%, and it appears to be facing resistance to that already, several percentage points below that level.
It also has never hit an old rising wedge's TP 2, which happens to line up with a 2x measured move down from the aforementioned double-top.
This idea is contrary to another post I've made that sees Bitcoin Dominance as long-term bullish, and headed back towards 100%, which I've linked to below and in the related ideas section as well:
If I were to trade Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM), I would sell now.Bitcoin Dominance (BTCDOM) has formed a distinctive double top at 2380, a key level marked by a bearish divergence observed in the MACD oscillator. While a strong support zone has emerged around the psychological level of 2000, a critical shift could be underway.
It's important to note that BTCDOM has breached below the 50 Moving Average on a 3-Day chart, signaling a departure from its recent trend. The convergence of a bearish MACD divergence and the breach below the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) paints a picture of potential weakness in the BTC dominance dynamics.
The emphasis on this potential weakness raises a flag, presenting a reasonable selling opportunity. This decision is bolstered by the recognition of a solid risk-to-reward ratio, underlining the strategic nature of the suggested trade. Traders, take note – the current technical signals suggest that now might be the opportune moment to act on a bearish outlook for Bitcoin Dominance.
BTC.D at its support. May rise soon, Alts dump is expected!BTC Dominance is at its major support and is expected to rise soon from this level, if this happens then we will witness a major drop in alt coins from 20% to 50% retracement.
major drop in some coins like MATIC, XRP, FTM, DYDX, LUNA could be seen in few days.