TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #60👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I want to review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔍 Yesterday, both of the long triggers I gave were activated, and the price moved upward. Today is also an important day, and we can look for both long and short positions.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, our long triggers from yesterday — the 83899 and 84572 levels — were activated, and the price moved up to the 85552 zone.
✔️ If the position you opened had a small stop-loss, it likely already hit your target. But if you entered with a wider stop-loss, it probably hasn't reached the target yet, which is reasonable, as your position is longer-term.
⚡️ Now for today, as you can see, the price has broken its ascending trendline and it seems the trendline trigger is getting activated. If a candle closes below the 84382 level, the price is likely to move downward.
📊 The next support the price has is at 82813, and if this level breaks, we can say that the trend has changed and the price might head toward lower lows.
💥 The 50 level on the RSI is also significant, and if the break of 84382 coincides with a break below 50 on the RSI, strong bearish momentum could enter the market.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. This index is in a range box between 63.23 and 63.80. There’s also a mid-range level at 63.51 — breaking it would give us temporary confirmation of a bullish move in dominance.
🔽 For bearish confirmation, breaking 63.23 would be suitable.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now onto Total2: this index hasn't fully stabilized below its trendline yet and still shows slightly more bullish momentum compared to Bitcoin.
📉 For a short position, we have a 966 trigger, but it’s quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t open my main position with this trigger — I’d wait for confirmation using Dow Theory with a lower high and lower low.
🔼 For a long position, the trigger is clear: we can enter if the 980 level breaks.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s check Tether Dominance. This index has made a bearish move and dropped to 5.39.
⭐ The next drop trigger is the same 5.39 level, which is a very good one. For a bullish scenario, we currently need to wait for a new structure to form.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Btcdominance
TradeCityPro | ARB: Key Levels in DeFi Coin’s Descending Channel👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to review the ARB coin for you. It's one of the DeFi coins, currently ranked 54 on CoinMarketCap with a market cap of $1.41 billion.
⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour time frame, as you can see, we're witnessing a downtrend within a descending channel, and the price is moving downward.
✔️ There is a very important support at the 0.2501 level, which is the main support, and the price has already reacted to it once, bounced from the bottom of the channel, and is now positioned above the channel’s midline.
🔽 If the price fails to reach the top of the channel and gets rejected from lower levels such as the 0.3172 resistance, the probability of the channel breaking to the downside increases, and more bearish momentum may enter. When the price gets rejected before reaching the channel top, it indicates weakening buyer strength.
✨ So, if the price gets rejected from the 0.3172 resistance, we can open a suitable position. The lower the rejection, the higher the probability of a drop. A rejection from the channel top or even a fake breakout can also act as a valid trigger.
📉 The main trigger for a short position is the break of the 0.2501 level, which is a very strong support, and its break can lead to a significant bearish leg.
⚡️ For a long position, the first trigger is the break of 0.3172, which is a good area but very risky, because just above it lies the channel ceiling, and the price might get rejected from there and move downward.
🔼 Therefore, it's better to wait for the channel to be broken first and then look for a long trigger. Currently, the most reliable trigger for a long position after a channel breakout is at 0.4018, but this level is quite far. So, for a long position, we can also enter on a pullback to the channel or after getting confirmation from Dow Theory.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #59👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. In this analysis, as usual, I’ll review the futures session triggers for New York.
🔄 Yesterday, one of the long triggers was activated, and the price moved up to the 83899 zone. Let’s see what triggers we can identify from today’s price action.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the 1-hour time frame, as you can see, the price broke through the 83349 level yesterday and moved up to 83899. However, the candles weren’t strong enough to break this zone, and the price reached the resistance range between 83899 and 84572, then got rejected.
✨ An ascending trendline that started from the 74760 low has been accompanying the price, and each time the price has touched this trendline, the following bullish leg has been shorter, indicating a gradual weakening in bullish momentum.
✔️ Currently, the price is near the trendline, and if bearish momentum enters the market and selling volume increases, breaking the trendline trigger can give us a short position.
💫 The current trendline trigger is at 83813, and if it breaks, the price could open positions down to 80595 or even 78778.
💥 As mentioned, there is a resistance zone above the current price, which seems quite strong. The first trigger to break this resistance is 83899, and the second is 84572. The first trigger is riskier and more likely to hit the stop-loss. The second trigger, being higher, might not give a good candle setup, making it harder to enter a position, but it’s more reliable.
📊 If buying volume increases, a bullish move toward 88502 is likely. If selling volume increases, the likelihood of the trendline breaking also rises.
🔑 The RSI oscillator is also oscillating in the upper half. Entering the overbought zone could be a signal for long positions, while a break below 50 would be suitable for shorts.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s take a look at Bitcoin Dominance. Yesterday, BTC.D had a bullish move up to 63.80 but got rejected from that area and has now returned to the range between 63.30 and 63.50.
⭐ Today, a bearish confirmation for BTC.D comes with a break below 63.30, while a bullish continuation is confirmed with a break above 63.50.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2: today this index continued its bullish movement and even broke the 957 trigger. If this move continues up to 989, altcoins could experience significant growth—especially considering the weakening momentum in BTC Dominance.
🧲 Today, there is no long trigger for Total2, but if this move turns out to be a fakeout, the 934 zone will be a good trigger for a short position.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now for Tether Dominance: its short trigger has been activated. The next support level is at 5.41, and if this zone breaks, we could see a sharp downward move.
⚡️ For a bullish reversal in dominance, the first trigger is the 5.59 area, and if dominance stabilizes above this level, we can consider opening short positions on Bitcoin and altcoins.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Dominance, We Are Waiting For You!Hello, Skyrexians!
We are changing color according to the new upcoming market cycle phase, hope our forecast will be realized and it's time to be bullish. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is about to flash the reversal signal, while altcoins dominance and USDT dominance are already did it, but we don't also forget about disaster targets.
Let's take a look at the daily chart. Earlier we told that this is final wave 5 and now we are trying to catch its top. We mentioned that dominance will enter into 63-66% target area and it did it. Now we have to be focused on the reversal signals. For example Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator has already printed the red dot at the top. Moreover Awesome Oscillator started reversing. You can say that this is the top, be our intuition tell us that some small move to the upside will be continued to 65%. Also we need to mention about nightmare wave 5 extended target at 70%, but this scenario is unlikely because it will break the divergence on the daily chart.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Bitcoin Dominance Update (1D)Bitcoin dominance is currently showing signs of weakness and appears to be losing momentum for another upward move.
If we see a breakdown below the 62% level, a sharp decline toward 57% is likely.
During this phase, it may feel like an altcoin season is approaching, but in reality, most altcoins will likely just be retracing previous losses rather than entering true price discovery.
Still, for those who buy the dips, it can present a profitable rally opportunity—especially in short to mid-term cycles.
— Thanks for reading.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #58👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Today, we'll delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session.
🔄 Yesterday, the price broke through the support zone between 80,595 and 81,522, retracing down to 78,778. Let's see what triggers the market could offer us today.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the 78,778 level, the price quickly recovered and climbed back above the 81,522 zone. Currently, it is hovering near 83,349.
🔍 Today, for a long position, we can consider opening a trade upon breaking the 83,349 resistance. The next resistance level at 84,572 could act as the following trigger point.
🔽 For short positions, we need to wait for a new market structure to form and observe whether the 81,522 or 80,595 zones can serve as our triggers.
⭐️ The RSI oscillator is near the Overbought zone, and a breakout above 70 into Overbought territory would provide good confirmation for a long position.
📊 Market volume has been increasing since the bullish leg started from 78,778. If this volume growth continues, the probability of breaking through the 83,349 resistance will rise.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Now, let's move to Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D). Yesterday, the 63.50 resistance was broken, and as Bitcoin's price climbed, its dominance also rose. This has caused altcoins to underperform compared to Bitcoin.
🔼 Currently, the next resistance for BTC.D is at 63.86. A break above this level would confirm the next bullish leg in Bitcoin Dominance.
📉 For a bearish move in dominance, the Futures triggers are at 63.50 and 63.30. However, for a confirmation in spot trading, we would need a break below 62.65.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the Total2 (altcoin market cap excluding Bitcoin), I've slightly adjusted the zones and updated the triggers for altcoins.
✨ As I mentioned in the Bitcoin Dominance analysis, altcoins have been lagging behind Bitcoin. Even though Bitcoin reached 83,349, Total2 failed to retest its previous highs and instead formed a lower high.
✔️ For long positions on altcoins, a break above 940 would be ideal. For short positions, you can look for confirmation if 903 is broken.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let's analyze USDT Dominance (USDT.D). Yesterday, it bounced from the 5.53 support level, climbing to 5.84 before starting a new downtrend, now approaching 5.53 again.
⚡️ To continue the bearish move, a break below 5.53 would be significant. Conversely, for a bullish move, the first trigger is at 5.84.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #57👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Today, we'll delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I want to review the triggers for the New York futures session.
🔄 Yesterday, there was news from Trump granting a 90-day tariff reprieve to all countries except China, which activated both long triggers I outlined for you yesterday—one before the news and one after.
⏳ 1-Hour Time Frame
In the hourly time frame, as you can see, after the price was supported at 74760 in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that breaking 77735 could be a risky long entry and breaking 80595 would activate the Double Bottom long trigger.
🔍 As observed, the first trigger at 77735 provided a very good entry, allowing us to open a robust position. However, the 80595 position, as it activated a four-hour pattern, naturally takes longer to reach the target or stop-loss.
📈 Currently, the price has made a bullish leg and is in a correction phase, and we need to see how far this correction can continue. A new support is forming at 81522, where the price had previously shown support and is now being supported again.
✔️ With 80595 and 81522 being close, we can say that a yet unconfirmed support zone has formed around this area, and the price could start its next bullish move after correcting into this zone.
🔼 Thus, for a long position, reacting to this support zone and breaking the short-term ceiling in lower time frames can give us a position. The next trigger is breaking the ceiling at 83349, which could start the next bullish leg upon making a higher high.
💫 However, the main trigger for going long is breaking 84572, which is a major resistance. Since this area is very significant, I wouldn't open a position with just the break of 83349, as a rejection from 84572 could hit our stop-loss and poses a high risk.
✨ If you recall, in analysis number 52, I drew a trendline in the daily time frame that now coincides with this price area, and the trigger for breaking this trendline overlaps with 84572, another reason this resistance is significant and why its breach is crucial.
🔽 For short positions, as you know from following my analyses, I trade based on the current momentum and market trend. Since we have entered a bullish momentum and no bearish structure has been formed yet, there is no reason for a short position. However, if you still want to open one no matter what, breaking areas 81522 or 80595 could be very risky but suitable.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday, there was a detailed analysis of Bitcoin dominance, complete with explanations of its utility and why we use it. I strongly recommend reviewing that analysis to understand why this chart needs to be checked and what's happening in its higher time frames.
☘️ Yesterday, the dominance faked out from the area of 63.30, then returned above this area, moving towards the ceiling of the box it had created, 63.50, and now it seems to be faking this area too.
⚡️ When this occurs in the chart, it indicates that the chart is not analyzable correctly, and we must wait until a proper structure is formed. Until then, we can decide candle by candle, following the momentum of each candle.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the analysis of Total2, triggers in the areas of 896 and 920 were activated, and the price movement continued near the area of 965, now entering a corrective phase.
📊 The support floor being formed is slightly above 920, and we should wait for a new structure. Until then, breaking 965 for a long and breaking 920 for a short are suitable.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's turn to Tether dominance, which, like Total2 and Bitcoin, has had its triggers activated and moved downward, reaching the support area at 5.53.
🎲 We confirm the continuation of the downtrend with the break of this 5.53, and for further correction, breaking 5.73 gives us confirmation.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC dominance hinting at one last push?Hello everyone
We all are looking for a way how the BTC dominance can go down to 40% area. If we somehow can predict it correctly then we can make some money in the process.
Here is a (maybe not so) wild idea for medium term.
We are on a weekly chart.
Let's check some facts first:
- Stoch RSI is currently high (near 100).
- RSI is at 68
- Chart is making a new higher high - keep in mind previous dominance high (Feb 3rd) was a result of a flash crash of the market so I am referring to previous high as Nov 18th
So we are witnessing a bearish divergence (RSI making lower highs while chart is making higher highs). Hence drop in BTC dominance should just be a matter of time.
What if the universe aligns and following happens:
We are in economically unstable times. Markets are volatile, politicians are unpredictable so further drop in Crypto space is not impossible. BTC drops less then ALTs, BTC dominance reaches top somewhere between now and 67-68% area. In the meantime traditional markets also crash some more. After that the economic situation stabilises, we get Quantitative Easing and this drives price of ETH up, followed by other ALTs.
For reference: ETHBTC has reached strong support between 0.002300 and 0.001700 Satoshi, RSI is at 24 (same level as Sept 2019 when ETHBTC was at a longterm low).
This scenario would ignite Altseason, bringing BTC dominance down for a reset and start of a new cycle.
There are other bearish scenarios as well, keep that in mind. So trade safe and smart.
I am not predicting any of this, I am not even mentioning any possibilities for this to happen. I am just giving you some food for thought.
Good luck!
Bitcoin Dominance Quick UpdateThe high happened in February 2025. 7-April produced a lower high.
The session that produced the lower high is also a hammer. A hammer here can indicate an upcoming change of trend.
As long as BTC.D remains below 64% it has a very high probability of starting a descent.
If BTC Dominance moves and closes daily above 64%, this analysis and signals become invalid.
If the BTC.D hovers below 64%, the longer it stays below this level the weaker it becomes.
When this index goes down, everything Cryptocurrency grows, including Bitcoin.
It will be very interesting to see how it all develops. More and more signals are pointing toward an Altcoins market bullish wave developing now, not later. Do you agree?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D: Predicting Alt Seasons with Bitcoin Domina👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis.
🤔 What is Bitcoin Dominance?
Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically.
⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market.
100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance
✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%.
✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%.
Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful.
🤔 How is Bitcoin Dominance useful?
When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable?
🔹 As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis.
📈 In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance.
📉 In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound.
✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases.
🔹 Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum.
📊 In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first.
⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons.
🤔 How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance?
So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months.
✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party.
💥 On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season.
🔹 An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party.
Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart.
📅 Monthly Time Frame
As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin.
✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced.
🔍 At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season.
🎲 In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly.
💥 If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years.
🧩 The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options.
🔽 For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations.
📅 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail.
💫 Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area.
📉 For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #56👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. Today, as usual, I will review the New York futures session triggers.
✔️ Yesterday, the short trigger we discussed was activated, and the price moved downward to the area of 74760.
👀 Today, the market conditions are favorable for opening positions, both long and short.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As I mentioned yesterday, the price executed another downward leg after pulling back to the 80595 area, activating our trigger at 78913 and moving to the main support floor. Today, I have adjusted this area, and we will explore why this adjustment was made.
📚 Positions like the one yesterday, which are opened for scalping, I usually set with a risk to reward ratio of 2 or 3, and I don’t leave them open for long, opting instead to secure profits. If you also open such positions, I recommend not holding them long term.
💥 However, today, as you can see, the price is forming more structure and giving us more logical triggers. The SMA99 indicator is nearing the price, and the RSI is showing divergence compared to the first bottom that the price made at 74650, which was accompanied by divergence.
🔼 For the divergence in RSI to activate, it needs to break the area of 59.87. If this happens, we can say that the divergence is active, and we can look for a price trigger for a long position.
⚡️ The first trigger for a long position is the 77735 area, which is considered risky, and with the breaking of this area, you can open a scalping position. The main long trigger is the breaking of 80595, which, if broken, activates a Double Bottom pattern that could change the market trend.
⭐ Keep in mind, there is currently no Double Bottom, and only if the 80595 area breaks will this pattern form.
📉 For a short position, the 74760 trigger is still appropriate, and you can enter a short position if this area breaks. However, it is important to note that this area is very close to the 71779 area, and opening a position on the break of 74760 will be risky.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's now analyze Bitcoin dominance, which continues to range between the areas of 63.30 and 63.50. Breaking this box could define the positions we open today.
💫 If the 63.30 area breaks, dominance might temporarily decline, allowing more capital to flow into altcoins. Conversely, if the dominance breaks upwards at 63.50, more capital will flow into Bitcoin. Soon, we will have a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin dominance that I highly recommend not to miss.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the analysis of Total2, yesterday the Total2 trigger at the 896 area was activated, and altcoins, like Bitcoin, declined, causing this index to drop to the area of 860.
🔍 Today, for a short position, breaking the 860 area is appropriate. However, for a long position, I recommend seeking confirmation from Bitcoin itself and its dominance.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, for the Tether dominance analysis, this index activated its upward trigger at the 5.84 area and performed an upward leg to 6.13.
📊 Currently, confirmation for the next upward leg in dominance will be with the breaking of 6.13, and the confirmation for a downward turn remains at the 5.73 area.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC DOMINANCE is fading - the altcoin wave is coming (3D)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
First of all, you should know that the time frame is large. the 3-day chart which means altcoins could remain bullish for 1 to 3 months. We should be looking for buy/long positions on altcoins that have strong setups.
We expect a drop from the red zone or even from the current price to complete wave f of this diametric pattern.
Targets have been marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #55👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices, focusing today on the New York futures session triggers as usual.
🔄 Yesterday, the market was in a corrective phase of a downward trend, coinciding with news about the date of a meeting between Iran and the USA, which caused a slight upward movement in the market.
📊 As I mentioned, due to the low market volume, any news from the USA can significantly impact the price. The news was that Iran and the USA have scheduled a meeting for Saturday to negotiate an agreement.
📰 However, a more significant news item that the whole world is waiting for is China's reaction to the 35% tariffs imposed by the USA. Trump has declared that if China does not accept these tariffs within the next few days, he will increase them to 50%.
🎲 If this happens, the next downward leg in price might begin. However, if news comes out that these two countries are nearing an agreement and are ready to negotiate tariffs, the market will undoubtedly move upwards, and this news could even be the start of a new bullish trend.
Let's move on to the chart to find the technical triggers.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As I said yesterday, with the breaking of the 50 area in the RSI, the price underwent a deeper correction and moved upwards.
⭐ It appears that an ascending structure is forming, and the price is steadily moving upwards. However, this movement doesn't have much upward momentum, and its volume isn't very high.
🔽 Today, for a short position, we can open a position in line with the trend at a high risk with the break of the 78913 area. The price has corrected to a reasonable extent and has pulled back near the SMA99. If the price moves towards this SMA and gets rejected, the importance of breaking 78913 will increase.
📉 The main trigger is currently the 74760 area, which is the market's primary floor. However, in general, I believe that the market structure isn't yet in a state where we should open major positions, and we should wait for more structure to form. This way, we can open more secure and precise positions, which would allow us to take higher risks and ultimately make more profit.
💫 If you want to open a short position with the break of 78913, the RSI moving below the 50 area could be a good confirmation, but be careful not to involve too much risk.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let's move to the analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which is still ascending and has created a temporary support floor at 63.30. If this area breaks, we might temporarily confirm a decline in dominance.
🚀 Keep in mind that the dominance trend is bullish in all market cycles, and breaking this area does not mean a bearish trend. However, if it breaks 63.30, dominance might pull back to 63.07 and could enter a correction phase for a few days, which would impact our position choices.
✔️ If dominance is supported from this area, the likelihood of its continued growth increases.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to the analysis of Total2, as you can see, with the slight correction of Bitcoin dominance, this index has performed slightly better than Bitcoin and has currently reached a similar peak at 920.
📉 The short trigger I gave on Bitcoin at 78913 is a better trigger compared to Total2, where the 896 area has not yet been tested and is riskier than Bitcoin.
🔼 For long positions, you can open one with the break of 920, but I do not recommend it because the market is in a downward trend, and there is a downward momentum in the market, and since I do not trade against the trend, I also do not recommend that you take a long position against the downward trend.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, the analysis of Tether dominance is performing similarly to Total2 and is currently fluctuating between 5.73 and 5.84.
✨ Both of these areas could be used as triggers, but as I mentioned, it's better to wait for the market to create more structure and reveal the main triggers.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
crypto downtrend exhaustion indicatorsA couple facts:
1) usdt.d is above 5.60% for ~two days. This is a major fact. We have an early bull market end confirmation, or at least the end of an impulse structure of intermediate degree. There is a probability that the structure of the current bull market will be either extended or will end with the final diagonal.
2) usdt.d below 5.60% is confirmation of current dump exhaustion.
3) Crossing down one of the trend lines at BTC dominance chart will mean start of alt season. The target for the mini alt season is ~53% at BTC.D;
4) The terminal target for upcoming Dogecoin rally is range between 0.5 - 1.37 USD. Beware pullback, i look at whole crypto market structure and anticipate one.
XRP could flip Bitcoin again at the end of this cycle around Sepothers.d is ready to bounce after 5 red monthly candles. Just like December 2016.
while Bitcoin Dominance looks like this under Trump 2.0 trolling the economy on a much grander scale while XRP has already given us a tease of what's to come this cycle reaching a historic new ATH. And tether on the other hand, unstoppable! They are about to print so much money they could at some point flip Ethereum while Ethereum finally goes home.
Imagine if XRP and tether flip Bitcoin together (relax! it wouldn't be the 1st time. XRP did in Jan 2018 if only for a moment)
Looks promising now that Europe offered 0 to 0 tariffs. 1929 scenario could take years since dedollarization takes years to develop. (it's not going to happen overnight.)
Spring is finally here. Buy others like VeChain (the next xrp this cycle)
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #54👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's delve into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, I will review the New York futures session triggers for you.
⚡️ The market has experienced a drop since yesterday, and I had identified the triggers for this drop in the previous analysis. Let's analyze today to see what we can do in the market.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, the price made a downward move after the triggers at 82633 and 81473 were activated, even breaking the important support at 79120 and now has rebounded from the area of 74760.
✔️ If we draw a Fibonacci from this downward leg, we can find potential resistance levels. A few moments ago, there was also a fake news report from Trump stating that he would give 90 days to all countries except China to start tariffs, which, although fake, had a significant impact on the market.
📊 The market volume is very low, which makes it susceptible to such short and small news about tariffs to react this way.
📰 If such news continues and the market acts emotionally, the technical analysis I perform for you will not be very reliable, and the price will move more emotionally.
🔼 However, if these emotional moves end and the price stabilizes in these areas, the potential resistances we have are the Fibonacci levels of 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786, where the 0.5 and 0.786 areas overlap with static price resistances, and the 0.618 area, being the golden Fibonacci, could prevent further price drops.
💥 The RSI oscillator, after a sharp fall and being mostly in Oversell yesterday, has finally exited this area and now reached around 50. If this area is broken in the RSI, the likelihood of a deeper correction will increase.
📉 Today, for a short position, we only have the break of the 74760 area, which I also suggest not opening a position with this trigger because the market has recently moved and needs to create a new structure.
📈 For long positions, according to the strategy I have, it does not make sense for me to open a position in this trend that has so much downward momentum. The best analogy is that when a knife is falling, you shouldn't try to catch it mid-air because it might cut your hand; you should wait for it to fall to the ground so you can pick it up safely without risk.
Let's look at the indices to take a look at the situation with altcoins.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance has made another upward move after breaking 63.07. This caused altcoins to fall more than Bitcoin during this drop, and short positions on altcoins would have given us more profit compared to Bitcoin.
🚀 In the analyses of Bitcoin and altcoins, I've repeatedly told you that for buying altcoins, we should wait until Bitcoin dominance starts to drop. That hasn't happened yet, and it still has a strong upward trend, so today if the market gives a short trigger, altcoins would be more logical.
📅 Total2 Analysis
As you can see, this index has fallen much more than Bitcoin, experiencing a very sharp downward leg upon activating the trigger at 965.
⭐ Currently, I've only added the 949 line to the chart, which overlaps with the 0.786 Fibonacci of this downward leg, and I haven't added any other lines and am waiting for the price to create its structure.
✨ The nearest support the price has is 816, which is very important, and there is nothing else notable about Total2 yet, and we need to wait until a structure is created that can be analyzed.
🎲 The only opinion I can give for now is that the 816 area is very important, and reaching this area in Total2 could end its downward trend, which is more like a prediction than an analysis and is a gut feeling and currently has no logical reason.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Tether dominance, which is very similar to Total2 but seems like a reverse of it.
👀 Yesterday, the trigger at 5.53 activated simultaneously with 965 in Total2, and the dominance moved upward. There's not much I can analyze about this chart, and the main resistance is in the area of 6.34, which acts like the 816 in Total2.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Dominance – Are We Near the true Altseason?BTC Dominance – Are We Near the Altseason?
BTC dominance has been rising recently, and many believe the real altseason will begin once BTC.D reaches 71%, just like in the previous cycle.
However, it might happen sooner than expected.
On the 1W timeframe, several signs are flashing:
RSI is showing a bearish divergence that’s about to play out.
Since January 2023, the MACD has been in overbought territory.
Each time RSI peaked above 70%, we saw a rejection of 8–10%. It's currently at 68% and nearing that level again.
On December 2nd, 2024, the structure was broken, but it has since re-entered its rising channel.
🔗
On the Daily chart:
BTC.D is approaching its cycle peak around 65%, which should act as a resistance and potential reversal point.
Since the structure was already broken once, another downside break is highly probable.
🔗
On the Monthly chart, it’s pretty clear we’re nearing the end of the BTC dominance cycle, and a rotation of capital is likely to follow soon.
Now, there are 2 possible scenarios:
Altseason starts at 65% in this cycle.
Altseason starts again at 71%, mirroring the previous cycle.
When you look at the Monthly chart, it’s easy to see that this cycle is different. With an overbought RSI, and a potential break of structure, a long-awaited MACD correction could be the trigger for the real altseason.
🚨 DYOR (Do Your Own Research) 🚨
BTC dominance will stay high and maybe go higher! last 2 monthly candles closed pointing at revisiting last high and I that's about to happen as bitcoin dominance is ~2% from last wick's top. Break 64.4% and it can go from 65.5 to 69%. Meaning altcoins will probably bleed bad! Wait for bottom and buy crypto!
Monthly chart confirms