ALTSEASON 2025Dear investors and traders, members of the Horban Brothers community!
Today I come to you not with a warning of an impending crisis, but with the certainty that we are on the threshold of significant changes. The cryptocurrency market, which has been wavering in uncertainty for a long time, is finally entering a phase of active growth. Yes, you heard me right - from this moment, from today, we see all the signs that cryptocurrency is ready to take off.
All the data points to this: institutional investment in cryptocurrency is up 400% year-on-year, regulation is becoming clearer, leading to increased confidence among the big players, and most importantly, technological innovation in blockchain continues to convince even the most skeptical.
Make no mistake, the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not go away, but those who are willing to accept these risks can expect rewards that are rarely seen in traditional markets. I'm not suggesting you rush out to buy everything, but carefully analyze those assets that show fundamental strength and technological resilience.
Now is not the time to be passive. Check your portfolios, reassess your strategies. If you're still standing on the sidelines of cryptocurrencies, now is the time to get in on the action. But remember, this is not for the faint of heart - this is a game for those who are willing to study, analyze and act.
This market, like any other, requires discipline and knowledge. Don't get caught up in emotions, don't fall for the hype, evaluate each project critically. But if you see that the project has potential, do not be afraid to invest.
Remember that cryptocurrencies are not just tokens; they are the foundation of the future financial world. And that world is already beginning to take shape.
Regards CFO Horban Brothers,
Alex Kostenich
Btcdominance
BTC - Dominance Rise puts ALT Season on IceThe CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D index has developed an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern on the 2H timeframe, which points to further trouble ahead until we get some certainty and clarity with how the new administration decides to move.
The recent shakedown on ALTs has been driven by higher than expected inflation and repricing of FED reserve rate cut expectations, with no rate cut expected in the next FOMC. Wednesday is a key macro day as the CPI, a key gauge of inflation is due to be released. This data ultimately shapes policy and a hot print could spell more trouble for risk assets.
Having said that, we're only a week a way from the most crypto friendly White House administration taking office.
Will the crypto friendly policies turn the page to enable Risk Assets to surge higher despite inflation woes?
BTC.D Death Cross Formation:
The “death cross” occurs when the short-term moving average (50-day MA) crosses below the long-term moving average (200-day MA).
This is considered a bearish signal, often indicating a potential decline in the market.
In your chart, the highlighted circle represents this potential crossover or the situation after it.
The narrow trendline indicates a symmetrical triangle or wedge formation, where the price consolidates before the breakout.
The breakout direction appears to be initially upward, breaking above resistance but eventually moving downward.
The blue horizontal line at around 59.21% dominance is a key resistance area.
Bitcoin dominance has broken above the triangle for some time but may struggle to remain above resistance.
After initial upward movement, the chart suggests a downward trajectory, possibly retesting lower dominance levels (towards the 55.50% and 54% areas).
This implies a potential altcoin resurgence or broader market uncertainty if BTC.D declines.
The red and green moving averages are important in defining the current trend.
A bearish cross between these moving averages aligns with the death cross narrative and signals caution.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
BTC.D; LONG TERM ANALYSIS (read the description)First of all sorry that my chart is not looking too messy and there are no weird indicators nor anything.
We have only two possible scenarios for bitcoin’s dominance.
1) The bearish pattern you can clearly see is broken after 2 years so two things might happen here: 1-1: BTC.D can have 60% touched in the coming days as a pullback to the broken resistance but what happens afterwards will be important.
1-1: if the pullback is confirmed ethereum will finally shine along with many altcoins.
the target for the dominance will be 45-48%.
What can happen afterwards: the price will keep moving in the pattern until a real breakout happens which will likely result in new lows for the dominance.
2) If the pullback is ruined and we see the support lost it will mean the pattern had a fake breakout & that would mean this current pattern is not a reversal one:
2-1: we can see new highs for the dominance if this is confirmed,
The target will be 70-72%. If bitcoin price falls too the market will bleed.🩸
But what can happen afterwards, two scenarios again:
1) Since the price will touch the top of the long-term trading range we can see the dominance moving towards the bottom again.
2) A double bottom will be confirmed, depending on the situation then, if dominance fails to break the shoulder at around 57% we can see even new highs but the chance of this happening is below 10% lol unless ethereum is destroyed lol.
So that’s all. I recommend yall to wait if you want to buy anything. And note that btc.d can go up and the price can still fall so beware and dyor.
Thanks for reading this.
Get ready for ALT-SEASON!We got confirmation on breaking uptrend channel downwards in last few weeks and we all know what that means. More CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D goes down better for alt-coins. 47-51% is the range I am looking for. There are few alt-coins haven't made major moves in last year, I will post about it soon. Keep posted!
USDT Dominance Falls, BTC Rises: What It Means for TradersThe chart highlights the inverse relationship between BTC/USDT and USDT.D (Tether Dominance). When USDT.D drops, capital flows out of stablecoins into Bitcoin, driving BTC’s price higher.
Conversely, a rise in USDT.D signals increased caution, often leading to BTC price declines. This correlation helps traders gauge market sentiment and identify potential trend shifts.
Bitcoin’s Deja Vu: A Bullish Flag Unfolds Towards a Historic ATHIn March 202 0, ( COINBASE:BTCUSD ) Bitcoin reached a low on Friday the 13th , forming a bullish flag pattern that initiated a new upward cycle.
A similar formation appeared on August 5, 2024 , indicating the continuation of this bullish trend.
Currently, Bitcoin is at the PR3 price level, establishing a base support around $108,923 .
The next resistance is at QR1, approximately $197,491 . Upon reaching this level, a slight correction to around $145,669 is anticipated before continuing to the final all-time high (ATH) at QR2, set near $281,216 . From this peak, a significant correction to the correction support level (CS2) at $145,669 is expected.
Analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin's trajectory. H.C. Wainwright forecasts a rise to $225,000 by the end of 2025 , considering historical price patterns and potential favorable regulatory changes under the Trump administration.
Additionally, Standard Chartered projects Bitcoin could reach $150,000 in 2025, aligning with historical trends of major rallies post-U.S. presidential elections and following halving events.
However, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a concern. Predictions suggest potential corrections of 15% to 30% during the bull run before reaching higher price targets.
In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market structure and historical patterns indicate a bullish trajectory with potential significant price levels and corrections. Investors should remain vigilant and consider market volatility when making investment decisions.
BTC.D: Critical Triangle Breakdown | Alt Season Signal?Current: 57.98% |
Pattern: Large descending triangle since November peak
Technical Analysis:
1. Macro Structure
- Multi-month descending trendline resistance
- Double rejection at 60% level
- Key support at 56% zone
- Volume profile decreasing in consolidation
2. Key Levels
- Major resistance: 60%
- Current resistance: 58%
- Critical support: 56%
- Target zone: 52-54%
3. Signals
- Triple rejection at descending line
- Volume decreasing in triangle
- Weak bounces from support
- Bearish RSI divergence forming
Trading Scenario:
- Targets:
T1: 56% (initial support)
T2: 55% (measured move)
T3: 54% (max target)
Market Implications:
- BTC.D drop typically signals alt season
- Monitor top 10 alts for rotation
- ETF approval could affect dominance
DYOR - Not financial advice. High-risk market period with ETF decisions approaching. Size positions accordingly.
BTC dominance reveals how to navigate crypto cyclesHello everyone,
this one is for patient (long-term) traders/investors, not for those chasing daily gains or short term swings.
We are looking at BTC dominance chart. BTC dominance is currently at 60%, which is pretty high.
Everyone who follows cryptos for some time should know how crypto cycles work. BTC is king and always leads the way. BTC if the first one to start the bull run, altcoins follow. When BTC is near its peak, money transfers into ALTs --> start of ALTSEASON.
The first peak of altcoin season was January 2018. BTC dominance was at 35%. After Jan 2018 we went into a bear market. BTC dropped in value, ALTCOINS dropped even more. Consequently, BTC dominance went up.
BTC dominance reached top at 74% in Jan 2021. That is when ALTSEASON started.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT BTC REACHED TOP in Jan 2021.
BTC rose from 40k to 70k between Jan 2021 and Nov 2021, but ALTs in this period made bigger gains.
BTC dominance in this period plummeted from 74% to 40%, creating a base for future.
From Jan 2023 BTC has been rising and increasing its dominance, currently sitting at 60%. I am positive it will not break high of Jan 2018. Next strong resistance is in the area of 64-67%, I expect dominance to reverse in this area.
BTC has already made a new ATH, but total crypto market space is not at an ATH yet. So ALTs are lagging in comparison to previous cycle.
I believe we are at the start of ALT season and I will be looking into ALTs for my last gains this cycle. Check my other posts to see which ALTS I am considering. I will also be posting some other ALTs in coming days/weeks, so subscribe to stay notified.
Good luck to everyone.
Total 3 Crypto Market Cap multi year base BreakoutTotal 3 Crypto Market Cap excluding #BTC and #ETH trying to breakout of the previous highs of Oct 2021 during the prior Alt season. Already did try a failed breakout once. Will it succeed the next time ? For this to happen the big caps #SOL , #BNB and #XRP have to outperform.
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
BTC DOMINANCE (4H) UpdateThis analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, Bitcoin dominance correction has started.
After completing wave A, the price entered wave B.
Wave B appears to be a diametric, and we are currently in wave f of this diametric.
It seems that one wave g of this diametric remains, which could extend until December 31, 2024. From January 1, 2025, this index may experience a decline. This date aligns with when Trump takes office, bringing various plans for the crypto market.
If a weekly candle closes below the green zone, this scenario will be invalidated, and Bitcoin dominance will likely experience a more significant drop.
For now, this is our perspective on Bitcoin dominance.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin DominanceMaximum suffering is nearing completion for #alts
While the major correction that occurred in #Bitcoin recently will cause a major upward phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , it will also be left behind as a healthy RETEST for the supply zone lost on a monthly basis and the rising wedge.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance confirms retest for retracement on monthly basis heikin ashi candles!
They wanna Cill us, But we will rise again soon!Bitcoin is oscillating in a rather boring price range, while altcoins have experienced a significant price drop. However, we shouldn't lose hope. A historical comparison suggests that we can expect growth in altcoins. This is not an investment advice, and I do not consider myself an expert analyst. Please invest in the crypto market with risk management in mind. Wishing you all the best!