Update on BTC DominanceBTC dominance is currently around its resistance line on 4H timeframe and it recently bounced back from the support level.
if btc breaks this resistance level we can expect the btc price to pump and ALTs to bleed.
im expecting the dominance to get rejected from the resistance level and hit the support again.
Lets wait and see
Btcdominance
BTC DOMINANCE WEEKLY SHIFT.. a SIGN of upcoming Crypto PUMPS?!I've been tracking btcdominance' weekly data and it looks like a major shift is starting to transpire.
Shorters seems to have found their peaks -- and altcoin bulls may take over anytime now.
Double top has been created -- and a strong order block resistance is being met with rejection.
Expect reversal to the downside from here on for BTCDOM (expect altcoins/overall crypto market to dominate the upside region again)
spotted at 1594 (target: extended downtrend)
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On crypto market, a coin dominance is a ratio of its market cap to cumulative market cap of cryptocurrencies. It's a great way to see how big a coin is relative to the whole crypto market — the value of everything is in comparison. It's calculated by dividing a coin market cap by the overall market cap of the top 125 coins and then multiplying it by 100.
It's only when Bitcoin's dominance increases while Bitcoin's price is stable or when Bitcoin's dominance decreases, and its price also decreases that the prices of altcoins remain rather stable. When Bitcoin's dominance increases, altcoins usually lose market share and therefore value vis-à-vis Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Dominance Technical AnalysisCurrently, Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) retesting the channel trend line after a breakdown from it and bounced back from the support zone (Green) at 53.69% - 54.39%. BTC.D was moving in an ascending channel from august 2022 till May 2024.
Due to the upward movement of BTC.D after making support from green zone to ascending channel trend line the alt market is heavily bleeding. That is why we always say every time you take a trade use stop loss because this market is very volatile.
If Bitcoin Dominance rejects from the channel and breaks down from the green zone we will see massive gains in the price of alt’s market and if it do inverse and did not break the zone in green moves upwards and breaks into the channel that will be a bad dream for the alt’s.
According to our analysis, we could see BTC.D pull back from here and we will see it moving towards the next levels and massive pumps in alt coins price.
Overall, we understand that BTC.D is currently in a bullish momentum. It is retesting the channel trend line and has rebounded upward from the support zone, indicating a bullish sign. However, if it breaks down from the support zone, it could shift to a bearish momentum.
Bull Flag | Falling Wedge FormingMight be a drop here down towards the 200 day EMA/MA and the bottom of this bull flag or falling wedge on the daily.
This could provide some reliefs to #alts vs. BTC while Bitcoin corrects down to 60-63k area
Short-term short until 53-54% area, then long again, may range within the wedge for a while, too.
TOTAL 3 - Can do +30% move versus #BTC pre halving #ALT runThis chart Total 3 minus the 3 biggest stablecoins
OVER the price of #Bitcoin
If this number is going up so are your #altcoins
We have a clear double bottom forming
just a matter of clearing the neckline to confirm.
Also interesting to note how the 0.786 Fibonacci was front-run by eager investors looking for Risk assets.
A disappointing #Altcoin season? Maybe! OTHERS.d/BTC.dMaking gains in #Crypto has gotten harder and harder with each passing cycle for the vast majority of participants.
That is an unquestionable truth that I see and hear from people.
#Bitcoin itself is in it's 4th Hype cycle... which is bearish
2013 Mt Gox ponzi cycle top/collapse
2017 Eth/ICO craze, CME futures. CNBC XRP shill top.
2021 Uniswap/DEFI innovation , Elon doge /Coinbase IPO top.
2024/5 Memecoins craze --- topping signals are already appearing Andrew Tate / Iggy Azalea at NYSE. A Trump Election Win could be the final nail in the coffin whilst ppl celebrate the news and January 2025 Inauguration may seal crypto's fate.
The left translated 4 year cycle is a definite possibility as made popular by #BobLoukas
We know that retail investors are rejecting High valued VC backed projects and rather take high risk gambles on #Memecoins for a chance to be early... this is not bullish behaviour obviously!
As only a tiny percentage of people can win at that game and often it is not YOU!
Once that speculative capital & energy is rinsed many people will be left holding a worthless bag of tokens.
#Leverage trading destroys many people's lives
And a digital store of value whilst has obviously it's merits is unlikely to flip #Gold in marketcap imho
It cannot compete with a 5000 year history of storing wealth for generation to generation.
I can bury Gold coins in my garden and dig them up in 50 years knowing full well that they will have value.
Would you do that with a trezor? Lol.
So what do we do ... try to take advantage of the next 6 months and rotate S coin profits into
#Stablecoins and maybe a small allocation to #PAXG #XAUT (buyer beware on those gold backed #RWA coins obviously)
This should buy you enough time, to let you assess the fallout of any top that may occur this Christmas/new year.
Remember many people and especially the Bitcoin community will be partying and celebrating the 15 year journey of a $100k plus BTC.
You must avoid being sucked into that hype and cash in a good chunk of your crypto portfolio IMO
This is just a scenario I give to you ... and not a prediction ofc.
We are trying to predict the future irrational behaviour of humans, an almost impossible task. But as the wall St cheat sheet demonstrates speculative bubbles, generally do repeat often enough for us to try and capture profits from them.
So we watch and wait, place our bets and see where the chips may fall, one foot in and one foot out is my general kind of viewpoint of how most people should be thinking at this stage of the cycle.
It might be end of the bullish trend in 4h chart.If daily price closes in the orange channel and continues to range around the roof in the mentioned channel, it might be a good opportunity for a short position. I'm still long, BUT am waiting for some more confirmations in the solbtc and btc.D charts.
Bitcoin dominance consolidation?The dominance dump that led to the last alt coin rally, based on reviewing the monthly chart, shows a bearish engulfing candle (red box) before breaking down out of a multi year trend. This time we are seeing a recent bullish engulfing candle (green box) and what seems like a possible bearish fake out based on the bullish trend support line over the past 2 years.
What do we think is next, fellow plebs? Bitcoin dominance multi year breakout this cycle? Or what every alt coiner has been calling for over a year now …is it finally time for “alt season”???
ETHEREUM DOMINANCE #ETH.D To 38% = $19,000 ETHThis would really upset the #Bitcoin maxis's wouldn't it? :)
The number's in terms of dollar's per coin start to get ginormous.
Assuming a $6 trillion Total Market cap and a peak dominance of 38% by ETH
= 2.28 Trillion market cap for Ethereum
Divided by the current supply of 120M coins
We get a usd value of $19k per coin
Is this my prediction ? IDK
Smashing through $10k so significantly seems hard to imagine
Unless a Ethereum ETF is launched early next year!!!
Rather than a Bull trap if approved late in 2025
Either way The ETH 38% dominance could very be a likely scenario in my mind based on this chart pattern alone.
$BTC dominance' s bearish retest#btc #bitcoin dominance has bounced after leaving the channel. Now, #btcd performing a bearish retest. If reclaims the channel BTC.d may rise. But, in my previous posts, i have said BTCD chart has an important bearish divergence (now as seen on the chart with red lines). Thus, if bearish retest succeeds, BTCD declines here and fails to enter channel, money will likely flow into #altcoins or #usdt . USDT is more likely, because #memecoins sucked the money already.
Not financial advice.
$BITCOIN DOMINANCE UPDATE👨🏻💻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC DOMINANCE (LOCAL) UPDATE
#BTC dominance was rejected from the historical descending trend line (that I believe will never be broken upwards), but faced a local horizontal support at 54%.
Once this level is broken downwards, the massive Altcoin Season will start. When majors will finally print not just 5% - 15%, but 50% - 100%+ profit.
As I said, expect this summer to be insanely profitable.
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CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
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did you notice what's happened in BTC.D (bitcoin dominance) hereafter good jump from 53.76%, we faced our big resistance which percent is 56.09%
then we saw a good correction from what we bounced .
here we are again at that strong support line which is 53.76%
we have two scenario for future:
1.we break down that support line(53.76%) which can cause our btc dominance weakness
2. we break up that yellow range and start another leg up to 56.09%
why should we analyze BTC.D chart?
watch and analyze this chart will give you a good insight for understanding where is money going throw , bitcoin or alt coins.
Beginning of Alt-Season?As you can see BTC.D making huge divergence, and Bitcoin's volume going down bit by bit. Doesn't mean that Bitcoin gonna go down right away, maybe it is time to BTC to cool down a bit. 47% is reasonable target, but could go down till 43%. Longer it goes down better for Altcoin and Alt-season.
Will do update on some of the altcoin.
ALT season incomingBTC Dominance has been rising since the end of 2022.
That's about 1.5 year.
We can find a similar pattern from Jan 2018 - Sep 2019 (little over 1.5 year), BTC dominance had dropped from Sep 2019 - May 2021 (about 1.5 year)
I drew the expected BTC dominance for next 1 year (white line)
Let's see the result after a year.