$BTC.D bearish but the result is disapointing for alts.📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D Turning Bearish
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought and starting to turn bearish. Influencers are hyping up an alt season, but don’t fall for the FOMO.
⚠️ Reality Check
✅ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D dropped 2%, but altcoins barely moved.
✅ A small pump happened, but retail investors are not buying in.
✅ Many alt holders are selling to avoid further losses.
💰 Where's the Money Going?
🔻 CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance is decreasing, but funds are flowing into CRYPTOCAP:USDT and stocks, not altcoins.
📊 Technical Outlook
🟢 MACD & RSI indicate some potential in strong altcoins.
🚨 A flash crash in CRYPTOCAP:BTC could wipe out altcoin gains.
🔴 Major resistance at 60% may trigger a bounce, keeping alts suppressed.
📈 If the descending channel breaks upward, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D could hit 64%, leading to a 20%+ crash in altcoins.
🛑 Trading Strategy Recommendation
✔️ Day trade: Buy support, sell resistance, target 5-10% gains 📈
✔️ Avoid leverage: Too risky in this market ⚖️
✔️ Monitor MACD, RSI, and economic news for signals 📰
❌ Holding is NOT recommended in these choppy conditions. Be cautious, take profits, and stay ahead of the game. 🚀
Btcdominancechart
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast Based on Market Cap and BTC DominanBitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast Based on Market Cap and BTC Dominance
If the total market capitalization decreases to $2.77 trillion and Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) drops to 58%, then the price of Bitcoin would be approximately $84,000. This aligns with previous analyses where I discussed the potential for BTC to adjust within the GETTEX:82K -$85k range.
To calculate the price of Bitcoin (BTC) when the total market capitalization decreases to $2.77 trillion and BTC Dominance (BTC.D) decreases to 58%, we use the following formulas:
BTC Price Formula:
BTC Price = (BTC Market Cap) / (Total BTC Supply)
Calculating BTC Market Cap:
BTC Market Cap = (Total Market Cap) × (BTC Dominance / 100)
Given the data provided:
Total Market Cap = $2.77 trillion
BTC Dominance = 58%
BTC Price Calculation:
To calculate the price of BTC, we need the current total supply of BTC, which is approximately 19 million BTC (you may confirm the exact figure at the time of calculation).
Steps:
Calculate BTC Market Cap:
BTC Market Cap = 2.77 trillion × 0.58 = $1.6086 trillion
Calculate BTC Price:
BTC Price = $1.6086 trillion / 19 million BTC ≈ $84,526.3
Thus, the price of BTC would be approximately $84,526 if the total market cap drops to $2.77 trillion and BTC Dominance reaches 58%, assuming a circulating supply of 19 million BTC.
This conclusion aligns with previous assessments, indicating that Bitcoin could be adjusting toward the GETTEX:82K -$85k range.
BTC dominance .... Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!Crypto is More Than Just Bitcoin; Just Like Automobiles Are More Than One Brand!
In the world of digital currencies, many newcomers have only heard of "Bitcoin" and assume that the entire crypto market revolves around it. However, just as the automobile industry is not limited to a single brand, the crypto world is also filled with innovative projects and diverse digital assets, each with its own unique applications and features.
Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!
Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It is considered digital gold and serves as a store of value. But that's not the whole story! If we compare Bitcoin to brands like "Ferrari" or "Lamborghini," which are luxurious and powerful, other cryptocurrencies can be likened to different car brands, each with its own unique functionalities and purposes.
Altcoins: The Major Players in the Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH): If Bitcoin is Ferrari, Ethereum is like Tesla—a platform that has paved a new path in blockchain technology. Smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) run on its network.
Polkadot (DOT): Polkadot is like a versatile car, such as the BMW X5, allowing interoperability between different blockchain networks and enhancing cross-chain communication.
Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is akin to a secure and smart car like Volvo, acting as an oracle in the blockchain space, connecting real-world data to smart contracts.
Solana (SOL): This cryptocurrency is like a sports car, such as Porsche—fast, scalable, and with low fees, making it highly popular among developers.
Cardano (ADA): Cardano can be compared to Toyota or Honda—stable, secure, and equipped with innovative technologies aiming to solve blockchain scalability issues.
Is Altseason Coming?
Altseason is a term referring to a period in the crypto market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth. This typically happens after Bitcoin stabilizes or when investors feel that Bitcoin has reached a short-term price peak.
Some signs of an approaching altseason include:
Bitcoin dominance rising and then declining (indicating a shift of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins)
Explosive growth in certain altcoins, signaling increased investor interest in alternative projects
Improved macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity in the market
Just as the automotive world is not dominated by a single brand, the crypto market extends beyond Bitcoin. Major projects like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, and many others offer diverse use cases worth exploring and investing in. Given current market indicators, we may soon witness a powerful altseason where altcoins experience substantial growth. Therefore, it's essential to look beyond Bitcoin and view the market from a broader perspective!
good luck
$BTC.D again above 60% After the tariff tantrum between US, Canda, Mexico and China during the weekend, we saw CRYPTOCAP:BTC again below 100K. But the weekly closure on the weekly chart in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC weekly chart is still not broken. So, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC bull run is still intact with short term hiccups.
But the topic of the discussion is not the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price instead we are looking at the Dominance chart. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is again above 60% even if CRYPTOCAP:BTC is below 100K. The Alt Coins have lost more Market Cap during this weekend’s shakeout in comparison to BTC. But it is highly coincidental that the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is back at the 0.618 Fib retracement level. The Fib retracement is plotted on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly chart. There is no Alt Coin season unless the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D breaks down decisively. Watch out if CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D weekly close breaks below the 0.5 Fib retracement level. Until then stay long $BTC.
BTC Dominance Breakdown = Altseason Incoming?BTC dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from key support, signaling a potential altseason ahead.
The breakdown below the 54.11% – 54.85% support zone suggests capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, which could trigger major moves across the altcoin market.
If you find our work helpful, please like, comment, and follow us for more market insights—all in one place! Stay updated on Forex, Commodities, Crypto, and Global Indices with expert analysis.
BTC.D Testing Confluence Zone: Will It Break Below?BTC dominance (BTC.D) is currently trading at a critical confluence zone, where the support of a rising channel intersects with a horizontal support level.
Many investors are closely watching this area for clarity on the next directional move. If the marked red zone (area of confluence) is broken, we could witness another leg of altseason as BTC.D trends lower.
Get ready for ALT-SEASON!We got confirmation on breaking uptrend channel downwards in last few weeks and we all know what that means. More CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D goes down better for alt-coins. 47-51% is the range I am looking for. There are few alt-coins haven't made major moves in last year, I will post about it soon. Keep posted!
BTC.D Chart: A Bullish Signal for Altcoin HoldersRight now, I can't find a better example of a rising wedge breakdown and retest on the weekly timeframe than on the BTC dominance chart. This is incredibly promising for anyone holding altcoins
Six months to glory for our alts !!
ETHBTC to the moon in Q1
#CHRISTMAS RALLY INCOMING OR JUST A TRAP?CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance is Finally Seeing a Rejection!
The upcoming weekly close will be critical for ALTCOINS.
The rejection looks good and it's important for BTC to stay stable for the altcoins to pump.
The weekend is here and you don't decide on a trend on the weekend, you must wait for a weekly close and how traditional markets open.
So more clarity will be seen on Monday.
Is this the start of the altcoin rally you've been waiting for?
Or is there more pain ahead?
The answers will reveal themselves soon.
So make sure you follow me on all socials.
More updates will be posted on confirmation!
I’ve shared 13 altcoins on request in my TG, and they’re already up 10%-25% in the last 4 hours.
Also, do not forget to hit that like button and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
The Calm Before the Altcoin Storm: Prepare for the Biggest Run!!#Bitcoin Dominance Update:**
Bitcoin dominance has started to dump, breaking the support that has held since November 2022. It faced rejection at a long-term resistance level, which has been a key barrier since May 2017.
Historically, when this happens, we’ve seen alt season kick-off and last for 6 to 8 months.
When does the real alt season begin?**
It starts when ETH/BTC begins pumping, and other altcoins follow suit.
Trending Narratives for the Next Few Months:
🚀 AI
🚀 RWA (Real World Assets)
🚀 Memecoins (MEMES)
🚀 Layer 1s (L1)
These sectors are likely to perform exceptionally well. The key is to position yourself early and buy any dips. This is how you build generational wealth this season!
What to Buy?
Make sure you follow me and join all my socials!
I’ll be sharing the top altcoin picks over the next few weeks.
Stay tuned and let’s make it happen !🚀
Please hit that like button if you like it and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Altseason Starts SoonThe Chart above show Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) over time, with highlighted patterns and cycles that may be tied to Bitcoin halvings and market trends. Here’s my analysis based on the chart's structure:
Key Observations:
Repeated Patterns:
The chart highlights similar phases of Bitcoin dominance decline across three separate cycles, lasting roughly 231 days.
Each phase seems to correspond to a bearish period for Bitcoin dominance, where altcoins gain relative strength.
Halving Impact:
Vertical lines mark Bitcoin halving dates (green lines), which historically have a significant impact on the crypto market.
Following halvings, BTC dominance often rises as Bitcoin leads the market in initial rallies.
Projection:
The chart projects a decline in dominance after the current rally, extending into mid-to-late 2024.
A potential drop to ~44%-46% dominance is outlined, indicating a possible altcoin season or broader market rotation.
Support and Resistance:
The chart highlights a resistance zone around 62% dominance, which Bitcoin dominance seems to have tested recently.
A bearish breakout is suggested, aligning with a downward trend in the future.
Possible Interpretation:
Short-Term View: Bitcoin dominance might continue upward for a while but could face resistance near 60%-62%. If this area holds, a reversal could lead to dominance declining, benefiting altcoins.
Medium-Term View: If the projection holds, BTC dominance could see a prolonged decline lasting nearly a year, dropping below 50%. This scenario typically coincides with altcoin seasons where altcoins outperform Bitcoin in relative gains.
Risk Factors:Bitcoin dominance does not always drop due to bullish altcoins; it can also decline during a market-wide sell-off where Bitcoin loses less than altcoins. Macroeconomic factors, regulatory changes, and adoption rates could alter the outcome.
Bitcoin's Final Push: Altcoin Rotation LoomsBitcoin dominance seems to be nearing its peak, but as with every end, we often see one last strong push.
It’s clear that only specific coins are currently outperforming Bitcoin, so I suggest continuing to focus on those until January/February. I believe Q1 will bring a massive rotation of capital into altcoins.
Just remember: most Bitcoin dominance tops tend to come after strong surges. So, I expect Bitcoin to continue climbing before we start calling the top.
If, by some chance, dominance hits 72%, I’ll be shifting the majority of my BTC stack into altcoins.
#BTC DOMINANCE, LAST OPPORTUNITY TO BUY CHEAP ALTS!Bitcoin Dominance is currently around 60.51%, keeping BTC in the 68k–70k range while altcoins drop 20-40% from recent highs.
This pattern is common in bull runs, as rising BTC dominance typically pulls altcoins down. In my experience, a rejection zone between 64% and 65.81% could trigger an altcoin rally while BTC hits new all-time highs and moves sideways.
Here are three key points to watch:-
1. BTC Dominance reaching rejection levels.
2. BTC closing above the monthly resistance of $71,378.
3. Altcoins holding higher time frame supports and showing reversal signs.
If these align, it could be a strong opportunity for altcoins.
Patience here pays off – holding USDT or stablecoins now could let you buy altcoins at lower levels soon.
I'll be sharing important updates as needed. Currently, I’m on complete bed rest due to a fractured wrist and some deep wounds, but my DMs are open if you need to reach out. I'll do my best to answer questions whenever I'm able.
Thank you for your understanding!
For now, stay focused, and let’s spot these opportunities.
If you enjoy these insights, hit like and share your thoughts. Let me know if you’d like any specific chart requests.
Thank you!
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
What's next - the Altseason or the strong growth of the $BTC? 💶 What's next - the Altseason or the strong growth of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC ? $ CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D thought about it.
Even though CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently going down, there is no doubt that CRYPTOCAP:BTC will make a new high soon. Perhaps this correction phase will end this month.
Next, November 5, another election in the USA, And... Growth?
I think so, but we will soon see how it will be.
And as for Altcoins, what about them?
Here, everything is not so clear. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D does not want to go below 57%, which means a higher hike, up to 69%, is possible.
This was the case in 2020 when the last US presidential election was held.
History tends to repeat itself.
We don't know how it will be this time, but we can safely say that if so, the altseason will be postponed until the new year. The time has come for CRYPTOCAP:BTC
And what do you think about it?
BTC.D based on 1d chartHey Traders!
We're approaching a crucial moment for BTC dominance as it hovers around a key resistance zone. I'm anticipating a potential breakdown, with the possibility of it revisiting the low of February.
Stay sharp and make the most of the market opportunities ahead!
Happy Trading!
BTC DOMINANCE / BTC.DI think #BTC.D is done>>
Good Luck >>
• Warning •
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The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)