ridethepig | BTC Market Commentary 14.01.2021📌 Bitcoin Market Commentary 14.01.2021
It is sellers turn to move, we are hitting the main target for this third wave as widely expected since before the yearly close. The lows are clearly still mobile and the leg lower should now be safe to play.
After much thought, and completely recognising stepping against the train, this should be a decision for experienced speculators only .
When faced with the choice of protecting the retracement swing and continuation towards and impulsive leg (in this case it will be our invalidation at $42,800), is important in the sense that we are at a decision point. Sellers are looking to take advantage of the very contemplative buyers who will be late to react and before they know it we will be $10,000 lower. The pullback is completely healthy, a 5-3-5 typical corrective pattern will mean business as usual (BTFD) later in the year. For now, the main target belongs to $27,600 lows.
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
BTCEUR
All BTc lovers (like me) please be carefoul..!Hello traders!
It's been a while since i posted here and a lot of you have some complaints but i have to run my office work with my clients plus the Greek trader site is underway!
So let's get to the point!
I am long BTC since 6k figure but it's about time to lock some profits!
Technical Observations
1.We are heading to the previous all time high of the BTC at 20k mark from December 2017.
A lot of trapped traders for years might find the opportunity to sell.
2.We had a H&S pattern on the weekly chart as i have drawn on the chart.
If we project the distance from the neck to the head in order to find the TP of the pattern it coincides with the previous highs!
3.Fibonacci extensions from the last dip also coincide with the previous highs!
4.We have a big MACD and volume divergence which is crucial for the prominent massive double top pattern which is going to be created.
So please traders lock some profits with trail stop loss or partial close of the longs.
Possible short trade NOT yet confirmed.
BITCOIN ( BTC ) FUTURE ! after Head& Shoulder pattern in H1-H4 BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITMEX:XBTUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITBAY:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSD
Hello
As I mentioned in my last idea about double top or head and shoulder pattern for last movement of its top I can say :
It seems All whales had a common idea regarding short positions .
there is no fuel at all for new fishes .
I strongly believe that there will be a bump again before it continues to down .
indeed it should be a corrective wave or Wave B .
Above Support line I think about buy orders and vice versa about Resistance line .
we will see a Side way trend till it breaks the floor to 20,000 channel .
Are you with me ?
it should be a great time for Alt coins .
lets see what would happen .
ridethepig | BTC for the Yearly Close📌 @ridethepig XBT Market Commentary 19.12.2020
So we have the following picture; the prince slowly approaching his city after slaying the dragon, rescuing the princess and conquering the treasure. All the ministers and advisers are wanting to meet for a hearty breakfast and consider the correct way to balance the rewards. This picture is intended to convey how slowly this is happening despite how fast and decisive it seems at the time.
Only the most important characters are present during the impulsive waves:
The next moves in BTC are going to get very interesting for trading, a fresh break is not simply to create more space but also via a liquidity trap. So you must take the following to heart; try everything you can to not marry the position for its own sake but also not deny that BTC has rightfully earned its place in the sun!
The answer will come from the yearly close. Holding the break up will not be simply something to play with. Here looking for $31,800; $42,600 and $53,400 as magical line targets above for 2021 before a pullback at some point into 2022 as governments become more aggressive. The main blind spots to the BTC thesis come from the political side, for now like hero from the fairy tale; head off happily.
XRP = Symmetrical Triangle After Breakout of the down XRP could fall and give us a very interesting Short Trade in order of Technical Analysis's rules regarding Symmetrical Triangle Patter.
Take also a look at the LINK RELATED IDEA on the bottom to see our Long Term Vision XRP/BTC.
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HAVE A NICE TRADE
BTC approaching 2017's RSI peak, still some room to push higherI've been focusing mostly on the daily chart and the 8-day and the 21-day MAs, but when we take a look at the monthly chart, we're still not at the peak RSI levels we've seen in 2017. At the very least, this suggests we've room to push higher in the short term.
I would like to see it cool off a bit, though, but every dip is being bought with strength, suggesting we can still go a lot higher in the short term.
btceur top would be if 200% gain happens in less than 40 days.This is not the top.
Previous top followed the 250% gain that happen during only 6 weeks.
The speed of acceleration is not yet at maximum like it was during the previous rally.
There would be a short 2 week -20% pullback soon, around about 38 000 € or c. $45 000.
But bigger dip with 40% would be 3 Months later in April.
And if real HODLer will hold and survive the -40% they will see biggest 250% gain to prices above 150 000 in May.
After that I expect the real long Bear Market for 360 Days like the whole 2018 to prices below 25 000€
Parabolic advance always ends up crashingWe came up to near $20,000 from the $12,000 breakout of the Cup&Handle pattern, but with a rapid parabolic advance.
Whenever prices change too quickly in a short period, it tends to correct hard.
Right now we're seeing similar pattern happening across the board, gold is also showing a parabolic roll over.
With that said, Bitcoin is still in a bull cycle makes it hard to short. For the moment I'm not engaged in any trade, being patient is also a part of the job.
###NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE###
Investing in BTCBTC has begun his journey to a 6 figure value asset.
We must think to ourselves what is our position in this market. Are we traders or are we investors? Because I see a lot of investors behavin like traders and letting themselves be caught in the trader mentality.
We are bombed with youtubers and gurus predicting the tops and bottoms, urging us to sell our positions to reenter at a better price or predicting a bottom so deep that never happens and keeping so many people out of this new gold rush.
If you want to invest in btc, behave like an investor.
Reduce the noise around you, put your position in (by euro cost average or just buying the hole position, that's up to you), relax and always check the price in a high time frame.
Get in the train, the journey has began but we are only in the beginning
btceur bear market will start earlier will end earlierAs earlier the Bear market correcion will start as faster it will end.
if bitcoin will continue rising and reach the parallel channel top at 30000 €uro then the following bear market will hold more than 1 year till middle of 2022.
Parallel channel to 2019 ATH is broken.
Parallel channel to 2018 ATH is close.
25000 €uro ca. 30000 USD is target to sell.
But it is very risky now to enter any Markets
Brexit deal failed from economic point of view...
COVID Mutation is more pandemic and even more deadly...
Almost all EU countries entering harder lockdowns in next days ....
Vacation will effect earliest end of Summer.
I expect an awakening after Christmas holidays are over on 28 December and next week all markets will crush.
CME Cheat Sheet 2021CME Group Futures Dates:
Dec 2020 BTCZ20 16 Dec 2019 > 24 Dec 2020 Settlement: 28 Dec 2020 -
Jan 2021 BTCF21 03 Aug 2020 > 29 Jan 2021 Settlement: 01 Feb 2021 -
Feb 2021 BTCG21 31 Aug 2020 > 26 Feb 2021 Settlement: 01 Mar 2021 -
Mar 2021 BTCH21 28 Sep 2020 > 26 Mar 2021 Settlement: 29 Mar 2021 -
Apr 2021 BTCJ21 02 Nov 2020 > 30 Apr 2021 Settlement: 03 May 2021 -
May 2021 BTCK21 30 Nov 2020 > 28 May 2021 Settlement: 01 Jun 2021 -
Jun 2021 BTCM21 28 Dec 2020 > 25 Jun 2021 Settlement: 28 Jun 2021 -
Dec 2021 BTCZ21 30 Dec 2019 > 31 Dec 2021 Settlement: 03 Jan 2022 -
Dec 2022 BTCZ22 28 Dec 2020 > 30 Dec 2022 Settlement: 03 Jan 2023 -
Source:
www.cmegroup.com
CME Bitcoin Gaps Study:
marketsscience.com
CME Futures Info:
www.cmegroup.com
CME Futures Open Interest Info:
www.cmegroup.com
Indicator To Track CME Sunday Opens:
🚀 XRP COULD PUMP VERY SOON AGAINST BTC 🚀
XRP'S PRICE IS RIGHT NOW AT A LEVEL WHERE, IN ITS HISTORY, IT PUMPS TWICE AGAINST BITCOIN'S PRICE.
WILL IT PUMP AGAIN?
HERE YOU'VE GOT OUR VIEW OF POSSIBLE NEXT TARGETS.
“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful” - cit. WARREN BUFFETT
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