BTC: Aftermath of the Pump - Why We Still Have More Room to GrowBitcoin has witnessed a strong rise in price action over the past few days! And our previous analysis has been aligning perfectly with current sentiment. Just based on pure technicals, we still believe that there is room to grow, despite strong resistance in this area. We are seeing possible growth after a small correction/consolidation in these regions due to several factors that we believe will bring the price up even further into the lower $11,000 region:
1. Strong breakout of the RSI downtrend that was creating lower highs.
2. MACD Histogram is now printing an absolutely clear golden cross that is giving us more momentum to the upside - both volume and price.
3. This new downwards parallel channel is being played out perfectly and the break of the middle line was a big obstacle that was easily taken over by the bulls.
Playing the relief bounce does not make us immediately bullish for the longer term. We can't assume Bitcoin will go up to 20K within any time frame. In fact, we have to play each time frame since they all have a domino effect onto the larger time frame - this is why we must be cautious when we are overly euphoric about the market. Following the trend is absolutely CRITICAL. While short term gains are important, we still want to emphasize that a drop down to any of the major support zones is still considered incredibly bullish . We have consistently noted that we are still going to be seeing mid 9K levels and will be monitoring the situation on how the market reacts at that certain period of time. Too many people are making predictions way ahead of the spectrum when they do not know what will happen in the immediate term.
Trade Safe.
X Force
BTCEUR
BTC: Further Bullish Evidence Suggests Higher Prices - 10% R:RBitcoin has been ranging for the past few days, but with our previous analysis suggesting a long at 9.8-10K levels, we are in profit. Now that we have further data available to make an educated guess for the direction of Bitcoin, we are finding even stronger evidence that Bitcoin may be heading higher, rather than lower. As we are gathering stronger support at these regions at the $10,000 region, especially on the higher time frames, we can only try and go with the trend - not against it. We know many are bearish, and we are aware of it - but remember, we also want to reap as much possible profits within the smaller time frames. With that being said, here are the biggest reasons we believe Bitcoin may be going higher that is based on purely technicals and market psychology:
1. STRONG support as of currently, and trading between TWO important CME gaps. Also multiple failed attempts by the bears trying to see lower levels.
2. Ascending Triangle = Technical bullish pattern.
3. Larger parallel channel suggests we will have strong resistance at the middle line. WE WILL RE-ANALYZE HERE!
4. Reaching oversold territory on the RSI via lower highs (LH).
5. Would like to see Bitcoin re-test our newly created fib resistance at the 618 level before reanalyzing
Playing the relief bounce does not make us immediately bullish for the mid term. We have consistently noted that we are still going to be seeing mid 9K levels and will be monitoring the situation on how the market reacts at that certain period of time. Too many people are making predictions way ahead of the spectrum when they do not know what will happen in the immediate term.
Trade Safe.
X Force
ridethepig | Next leg up for BTC?I love it when BTC goes for a walk.... cheap cheap coins on sale here with buyers back from their vacation. Moreover they have their eyes on the $12,000 highs which they seem too fancy.
📍 And here for a change of scenery we shall dig into the LT macro chart. The multi year battlefield adds all kinds of clarity for our attack, buyers want to load the lows and trap any late sellers walking offside and catch them out of position.
The technical setup here constitutes a buying opportunity from a strictly risk:reward perspective too. The purpose of protecting the $9,765 lows is endurable for the most part, naturally the retest of support is easy to defend. As long as it is holding there is still hope! Here tracking for a move back towards $12,000 over the coming sessions with a tradable momentum gambit through the breakouts.
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
BTC: Creating Solid Support at 10K - How to Trade Short TermNothing has changed for our view on Bitcoin for the short term. In fact, we are now more bullish with more interesting developments being created on the technical side of things:
1. We are seeing a clear bullish divergence on the 1D Time Frame (TF), now. Almost 100% of bullish divergences play out on the day charts.
2. We just witnessed a strong reaction, once again by the bulls trying to secure these levels.
3. We have created a new CME gap between 10.4K through 10.6K.
4. Descending channel is being created, which is bullish in textbook standards.
You may be wondering which gap may be filled, right? Due to the gap being created over the weekend, we believe there is a much higher probability of the 10.4K CME gap to be filled now, taken into account of the RSI bullish divergence being created on the daily. Bears are doing a great job keeping price suppressed; however, we are also seeing a fantastic job by the bulls trying to keep the RSI at neutral levels, creating a higher low.
Trade Safe.
X Force.
ridethepig | The Long Road Turns to JoyIn the realm of 2020, the struggle for freedom is identical to the struggle to shake off the latest resistance which is still bothering us, and for that reason our problem is reduced to a timing problem .
📌 We are going to dig deeper into the concept of liquidity warfare, as applied to that of positional game theory, as applied to swing trading. The attack is just a matter of "when".
The transition with "The Great Lockdown" is playing out as expected. Unemployment Claims are still maintaining pressure on the Global Economy and by doing so put the ideal of an advantage towards retail participation and a liquidity trap or bubble of posturing in Bitcoin. This advantage can be exploited either by riding the inflows towards large cap crypto's or the mid caps to a lesser extent.
The notes taken from our earlier Dollar macro chart, which is playing out accordingly to plan (i.e Powell artificial dollar devaluation) will give us an example of the shift away from government backed currencies. See the following chart, we are witnessing a digital migration as the stem game for a new monetary philosophy. Get long scarcity .
This sort of tendency, which toys with the idea to roll up the whole transition, should come as no surprise with the timing with confidence in the public sector is collapsing, and a shift of capital towards the private sector unfolding right on time for a decade of privatisation.
It is now important to take a retrospective look at Volatility after the earlier moves. VIX could and should have moved in the calmer waters, but sharp speculators are itching to complete a capitulation move towards 85 which is concerning for the more short-term view on BTC. The plan was:
1️⃣ Long Vix @ 11 in 2019
2️⃣ Covered @ 85 possible temporary top, e.g a retrace towards 25 was to be played
3️⃣ Long Vix again to advance in triumph
It is important to understand the effective relationship with VIX, confidence and economic cycles. When risk is being strangled it makes absolutely no difference to the BTC supply side; consequently what is really important for us to track is confidence in the public sector and whether and to what extent the latter causes inflows towards Cryptocurrencies.
To illustrate the inner flows, we should consider the following cup and handle as a base towards the 3rd impulsive leg. After Bitcoin significantly broke out of the log chart, we are unlocking the highs once more with $20,941, as a minimum target. What would be a risk to the move? Well, we have a lot of work still to be done in the $10,000 - $9,000 area, for good or ill, to leave scaffolding around the base. I am actively looking to buy this dip and eyeballing an ambitious momentum swing towards the highs.
Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
SHORT TO 9000!Tesla's price at the market opening time will be 391-392, right now it is 418. But people have made sale pre-orders before the market open. BTC follows stock market!
btceur parabolic fall are more dramatic than parabolic growsTime for parabolic fall.
-Buncrupcy waves worldwide due to lockdowns
-new grow of covid infections
-elections in USA
-new wars in middle east
-sanctions agains russia
There are more and more black swans landing till end of the year.
We will see parabolic crush even bigger than in March.
BTC headed back down to $7,000 due to yield farming stupidityDeFi as they say is the greatest scam ever in crypto history, even greater than the infamous BitConnect...
They promise you huge % amount in valueless coins term and in return people are supposed to 'LOCK IN' by buying their valueless coins/tokens
All of this non-sense will draw Bitcoin down significantly.
We just turned from HODL to SODL.
ridethepig | BTC Long-Term Macro ChartI am certain that in the coming years, the lack of confidence in the public sector is going to continue falling and stopping this train is extraordinarily difficult. You should also note that the position in BTC (which is itching to move higher) is now operating with a successful halving and in a world where Keynsian economics seeks salvation.
In this game, the simple notion of a technical breakout on the log-chart will be enough to trigger the capitulation from speculative sellers. Despite that bears are lost, nature has a tendency to even things out from time to time, and we can expect that to be the same flow here. With the direction settled as we assume BTC is a hedge against governments , the flows are going to create energy and freedom to manoeuvre higher.
This 3rd wave would not have been possible if the Strong 4235 Support was taken ( see red dashed line above ), it was the original breakup of the previous wave 3. These setups should simply always be met with the benefit of the doubt as a profitable strategy over time, in this case we are right back to the middle of the battlefield, this time with sellers exhausted and running for the hills.
Buyers are in full control and we can expect a leg towards the 12,800 , 15,600 and finally 21,000 targets in the 3rd wave. We are talking about an extended swing. Highly recommend digging into the archives for those wanting to understand the different phases. As this fells straight into the pocket buy zone from before:
The entire crypto board is forming a base, and momentum already appears to be pushing through (from the sizings and just how quickly the dips are bought). All eyes on BTC, here actively adding positions in LTC, ETH, EOS and a few other names. The log-chart breaking out here will be a game changer and give us the appropriate advantage:
BTC USD - Bitcoin Bitcoin formed a channel as well as a rising wHello
Bitcoin formed a channel as well as a rising wedge
To continue the large upward movement, the price needs to break through the previous support and now there is strong resistance at $ 11,100
At the moment, I see a rising wedge and a local trend line that can drive the price to the level of 10750-10950, where you can open a short trade.
Local support at 10100 -9950
Next level 9200
This is just my opinion, and is not a call to action)
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Thanks for visiting.
BTC: Aftermath of the Drop - 14% Relief Bounce STILL Possible!Bitcoin has witnessed another strong drop, but has not triggered the main stop loss, as we are now approaching the demand accumulation zone. Now that we are getting closer to our CME Gap, we can start analyzing the long positions, while everyone remains bearish. We have remained bearish while everyone was bullish. While everyone remains bullish for the time being, we may start building long positions every step down. Remember folks, we have been calling for the drop weeks ago. Here is why we believe a relief bounce is in the books:
1. Strong bullish divergence on the 1H TF.
2. Contrarian theory suggests that while the 'Crypto Fear and Greed' Index is now showing a 'fear', we can assume that most people will be shorting the bottom at this point in time.
3. Possible parallel channel in the making here, connecting the high and low points.
4. If the bottom has been established, we can see a strong relief bounce to the 618 fib level, which is a 14-15% bounce from these levels.
Playing the relief bounce does not make us immediately bullish for the mid term. We have consistently noted that we are still going to be seeing mid 9K levels and will be monitoring the situation on how the market reacts at that certain period of time. Too many people are making predictions way ahead of the spectrum when they do not know what will happen in the immediate term.
Trade Safe.
X Force
BTC: Previous Target Achieved - Small Relief Bounce PossibleCongratulations to who may have profited from our short call for the past week.
We have made an observation on a previous fractal that may have finalized our drop on the previous post.
Bitcoin is currently trading 11% down in the past 24 hours and is now testing major confluent psychological support for the bulls. This may be a small opportunity to open a long position for the short term or intraday traders. As there might be a small relief rally with Ethereum, BItcoin can most definitely follow a similar footpath.
Remember, the arrows are not exactly what might happen, but the overall direction or idea is what we are trying to portray. We will be uploading a new idea for the longer time frames shortly after.
Trade Safe.
X Force
it's time to hedge your BTCHey everyone.
Crazy times right? With the stonks market ready to drop the bass (reffering to lonely island song). Dollar basing for a rally. And crypto fighting right at the downtrend upper median. The stars look alligned for something big right as we end this COVID summer.
You might also want to check out the other ideas linked below for some perspective on this idea.
Oh and also, a qoute from todays zerohedge article "The Last Time This Happened Was The Day The Dot-Com Bubble Burst"
"So, to sum up:
1) Valuations have never been this extreme... ever,
2) VIX Correlation to stocks is at its highest since Volmageddon 2018, and
3) VIX and Stocks are showing similar patterns of extreme speculation as occurred right at the peak of the dotcom bubble.
Trade accordingly."
Stay safe, and stay liquid. :)
50 day window miners dump bitcoin for price above 10000 closingTill end of the September the window when miners dump their bitcoin for price above 10 000 is 50 days.
This one is closing in 2 weeks.
Taking into account that in New York luxus properties already crushed more than 60% in price I expect similar crush in bitcoin till end of this year.
6000 is the dip to buy some.
BTCUSD | SWING - 3. Sep. 2020Hello my friend | Welcome Back.
Please support this idea with LIKE if you find it useful.
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It may be positive for the rally if the support is not broken, so it will rise to the resistance, a slight bounce will occur, and then it will rise again and break the channel up.
BTCUSD GBPUSD EURUSD XAUUSD
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Here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Remember this analysis is not 100% accurate No single analysis is To make a decision follow your own thoughts.
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The information given is not a Financial Advice.
BTC: Short Term Fractal - Consolidation Phase in Play?Bitcoin may be showing signs of consolidation at these levels and is also painting a similar pattern (fractal) to the previous candles before we had the leg up.
This post is not to indicate whether we are bearish or bullish, it just an observation.
This can possibly indicate that we have bottomed out for the short term if this fractal plays out! In other words, this fractal can lead us to higher levels if we continue to consolidate at these levels, disregarding the immediate white trend line resistance.
While we believe this can be a mere coincidence, the fact that bulls have been resilient for securing the upper 10K levels, we don't want to leave this bullish case out of the book!
Trade Safe,
X Force.
BTC/USD 17 000$ COMING SOON?!-------------------------------------------------------------
What if we´ll see 17 000$ sooner than we expect?
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I took chart from May 11 to June 26 (2019) and it seems pretty same
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Can we expect some consolidation in the next few days and then run to values around 17,000?
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Do your own research!
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This is divination of crystal ball! And I am amateur oracle :)
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BTC: How to Trade BTC Right Now - Smart and Disciplined StrategyHere we would like to suggest to you a breakout strategy that we know that can bring guaranteed profits for any trader. This is the most safest strategy that bring the highest rewards, lower risk, and still expose you to the market in a time of volatility.
First things first, making a position with zero discipline is a recipe for disaster. We all would like to take a position right now and hope that it will go the anticipated direction of our long or short. No one knows where the market will be heading to, and although the market is in a considerably bullish state, it doesn't mean that it will just shoot straight (although we love for it too!).
The best possible way to approach the current rising wedge we are seeing at the moment, is to make sure and buy or sell on the BREAKOUT. The breakout doesn't mean, "it's breaking out, I should get in!". It's simply, a retest of the breakout. A retest of the breakout almost ALWAYS occurs unless there is some kind of anomaly in price action (impulse wave) - but even this, is always followed up with some form of follow up pullback.
Another interesting thing is we are trading below the legacy trendline from the log chart on the daily:
Please let us know, are you bullish or bearish?!