Btcforecast
BTC – Weekly Perspective – 02/06 to 09/06On the first day of June, the SETUP used indicates a corrective bearish pivot on the long-term chart. Will we have a correction later on, so that the cryptocurrency finally breaks free and reaches new peaks?
When we analyze the impressive rise that the cryptocurrency has had in the last 16 months and trace just one Fibonacci retracement, we will see that the 50% region is around 44.6K.
In my opinion, a correction as soon as possible is completely healthy, as nothing goes up forever in a straight line without there being a correction at some point in the future.
Coming to the daily chart, we have prices on the verge of forming a corrective pivot, with enough strength to reach 44.5K, if prices do not remain above 69.6K.
The most interesting thing is to see that we have a confluence between the values provided by the Fibonacci retracement of the rise, in which 50% of this correction is at 44.6K, with the corrective pivot found on the daily chart, whose final destination has the potential to reach 44 .5K, as shown in the images above.
Can I trust what my eyes have just seen? To know for sure, unfortunately, I will have to live day by day.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
TP may be between 72 to 73 based on inverse H$S !I think that considering that the MACD is positive in the four-hour and daily time frames and the inverse head and shoulder pattern was made in Bitcoin in the one-hour time frame, but the pullback has not been confirmed yet, so I believe that the target is between 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci. we can say that our target will be between the price of 72000 and 73000 dollars.
Good luck
The first TP will be around 58,987, and the second TP is 64250.An interesting development is unfolding on the fifteen-minute timeframe in Bitcoin, indicating readiness for selling and shorting.
Due to two candles forming around the $60,000 mark within a fifteen-and-a-half-hour timeframe, along with the formation of a head and shoulders pattern, if the price can break the trend line in the lower timeframe, we can expect the confirmation of the forming head and shoulders pattern and a slight price drop slightly below the Fibonacci 1.618 level at $58,987.
However, the intriguing aspect is that since $58,987 is the last candle in the lower timeframe, and there's a candle at $64,250 in the half-hour and one-hour timeframe, there's a high probability that after reaching $58,987, the price drop will quickly reverse and move upwards, hitting the second TP at $64,250, before experiencing another price drop below $58,987.
Crazy analysis and forecast for bitcoin Bitcoin Chart in my expectation:
- The pattern of cup and handle:
The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern often seen in price charts. It consists of a rounded bottom (the cup) followed by a smaller consolidation period (the handle) before a breakout to the upside. The target for the cup and handle pattern is typically measured by adding the depth of the cup to the breakout point of the handle.
the 1st round target is 135000 satoshi
the 2nd round target for the main coup is 265000 satoshi
- Magenta color 5 waves:
it shows that the prices are moving in 5 wave elliott waves.
Elliott Wave Theory is a method of technical analysis that attempts to predict future price movements by identifying repeating patterns in market data. According to this theory, markets move in waves, both upward and downward, in a series of five waves. These waves are further categorized into motive waves (1, 3, and 5) and corrective waves (2 and 4).
The final target for the wave is 135000 satoshi and it matching the 1st round of the main shape formed coup and handle targets for the handle part.
- Blue color 3 Correction waves ABC:
The ABC correction pattern is a fundamental aspect of Elliott Wave Theory and can be found in various time frames and across different financial markets. Traders often use these corrective waves to anticipate potential entry points or to confirm the overall direction of the market trend.
1- Wave A: This is the first wave in the correction sequence and represents the initial move against the trend. In an uptrend, Wave A is a downward move, while in a downtrend, it's an upward move.
2- Wave B: Following Wave A, there is a partial retracement, labeled as Wave B. Wave B typically retraces a portion of the preceding Wave A but does not surpass its starting point.
3- Wave C: Wave C is the final wave in the correction sequence and typically represents the strongest move against the trend. In an uptrend, Wave C is a downward move, often extending beyond the starting point of Wave A. In a downtrend, Wave C is an upward move, again potentially exceeding the starting point of Wave A.
- Main trend in yellow will be the final correction of the blue wave
- Red color 3 Correction waves ABC:
the prices will drop down for the correction area between 27000 to 32000 satoshi and it is the start for the end of this wave by final lvls in between 218000 to 265000 satoshi.
the final red wave target is matching the 2nd round target for the main cup and handle shape 265000.
this will take years to achieve and i am writing this analysis on 5-5-2024.
Thanks for reading and remember these words if we will achieve them
best regards
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC $66,961 resisted strong failing to hold $66,323 support as expected, currently testing given support area $64,344. RSI on 1D and 4H looks fine, needs push here, last 1D closed good but current 1D weak on volume, $62,580 lowest support from here, expect resistance around $65,521. Watch given S/R
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Nicely gained $64,344 support, currently testing $66,323 support - time to see if it can hold it, seems unlikely judging by current RSI on 4h, but last 1D close looks great and RSI on 1D also good. $64,344 next support from here. $68,546 next key resistance from here. Watch given S/R
BITCOIN is preparing for an ATH update. What happens next?The time has come when all the investors who bought bitcoin at $69,000 will be able to sleep peacefully. But what will happen after the historical high is updated?
To begin with, there is a good chance that bitcoin will continue to grow without correction or even consolidation.
The result will be a renewal of historical highs. This is evidenced by the dominance of USDT, which shows the prospect of a drop to 3.7-3.9%:
In addition, the focus on bitcoin is further confirmed by the growth of its dominance:
After updating the historical highs, we expect a sharp impulse to fall in the range of $57700-60000. If the upward wave is not complete, the BTC price should not fall and consolidate below this range.
For us, the range of $57700-60000 is a critical point for determining a new medium-term trend in the market. If buyers hold this range, we will consider a long position in altcoins in the medium term.
If the BTC price breaks through this range without any problems and stops in the range of 50000-52000 , we will look for entries into short positions during a new local growth wave:
Another question is what will happen to altcoins at this time !
However, this is another story. First, let's see how this forecast will work out.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $71,379 tested as expected! Trying to hold support at $71,379, RSI on 4H and 1D suggests it could drop below $71,379 unless maintains volume here and heads towards $73,523 test (latest ATH area), 11 Days from halving, Current 4h 25 minutes from close and forming bullish pin bar, let's hope it can remain bullish on close. $68,543 Key support below $71,379, Watch given S/R
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Tested $66,961 on Friday as expected, revisiting key support at $66,323. Finally above $68,546 on 3rd attempt, $69,813 testing. Bullish engulfing on last 1D close and RSI also looking good on 1D, expect $71,379 test if followed thru, $68,546 support yet to be tested, it will be key support if held.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC nice getting back above $66,323, currently testing resistance at $68,546 required to reattempt at $71,379. previous 4h close failed to follow up to bullish pin bar, $66,961 could be tested if followed thru on previous 4h bearish close. RSI on 1D looks good, just needs a bit of a push to breakout, so close! Watch given S/R
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC second attempt at $71,379 followed by bullish engulfing on 4h from yesterday as expected! Hanging above $69,813 support, moving sideways with very weak volume. Put bullish engulfing on last daily close, needs volume to follow thru, Which could result in a test of $73,523 previous highest resistance - first and last tested on March 13-14. Support area $69,813-$68,546 to watch as RSI support test likely. Watch given S/R.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC On $68,548 support followed by bearish engulfing on 4h, Support held good. $69,813 testing as of now. Previous 1D closed bearish, support could be tested further, $71,379 resisted last climb. RSI is looking good on 4h, if maintained the pace it could reattempt the $72,162 resistance. Possible Bullish engulfing forming on 4h - almost 2h to close yet. $66,961 next key support from here, Watch given S/R areas.