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Btcfutures

BTC Futures Analysis: Key Levels, and Potential ScenariosBig Picture: BTC Futures reached a new high at 108,960 last Tuesday Dec 17, 2024. FED rate decision and 2025 rate cut projections tampered down from 4 to 2 resulted in market sell-off. BTC futures were also down reaching a low of 92,355 on Friday and closing at 96,600. CME Futures halt early tomorrow and are closed on Wednesday Dec 25th, 2024 for Christmas holiday. We also have a very light economic calendar. Lower liquidity during the holiday period may push prices in either direction. Key Levels to Watch: Nov 18th Week Hi: 101,110 Dec 10th Low: 94,785 Last Week Low: 92,355 LIS (Line in Sand) for short-term bulls: 92000- 90,000 support zone. Scenario 1: Consolidation Above Key Support BTC futures further consolidate between Dec 10th Low and Nov 18th Week Hi at 101,110. Price did not close below LIS last week. As long as this support holds, price holding above 94,785 may provide a setup towards 100,000- 101,110. Scenario: 2: Breakdown below LIS Break down of LIS will see a deeper pull back towards 78,000. Here it will be a wait and see approach for BTC futures to hold below 90,000 mark and expect further downside if buyers fail to push prices back above. Disclaimer: The views expressed are opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
CME:BTC1!
by EdgeClear
BTC1! - HARD TO BUY AT THE TOP? - BUY AT THE RED LINE - WEEKLYBTC Future price is ranging at the top of his historical price range zone. We feel that there is a potential for the price to just leave earth and go beyond easily and at the same time deception can occur with possibility to see the price squeeze down buyers before going in its potential historical run up to new highs. This is when DCA or Entry could potentially be done at the RED LINE zone. Long Entry to not miss history! Who still believe that it could go to zero? here fundamental analysis is necessary depending on how regulation is going to evolve in the next years....
CME:BTC1!
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
BTC – Weekly Perspective – 02/25 to 03/03As reported in a previous analysis, the crypto finally managed to overcome and remain above an important resistance band, 44.9K. A beautiful victory for the bulls and, with that, the path seems to be clear for prices to seek the historical top region at 65K and, consequently, scare away once and for all the ABC corrective pattern of ELLIOTT's final sequence. (12345ABC). Based on this premise, don't be surprised if there is a drop to the 40K range, as a drop like that is within the corrective script for any steeper climb. If this corrective process takes place, we can think of new levels of increase in the following values: 55.4K and finally, 65K. And now, is it possible to dream of this bullish pattern for crypto? This pattern usually happens at high times, demonstrating that the asset in question is the hot ticket. If this bullish pattern holds true, it will closely resemble the pattern of the true protective asset. Click here and find out what this protective asset is. Below is an image of the possible pattern that could emerge, as well as the upward pivot on the weekly chart. Do your analysis and good business. Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss. See other graphical analyzes below.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MacD_Bollinger
Crypto Spring Beckons As Regulatory Fog ClearsAI hot; Crypto not! That’s set to change. Bitcoin prices have bounced back even as AI hype hogs the newsfeed. Crypto was disregarded as a product of inflated bull market fuelled by easy money last year. “Risk-on” assets like Bitcoin (BTC) plunged sharply. Subsequent recovery has been refreshingly consistent suggesting a potential resurgence. BTC stands 80% higher YTD, outperforming the S&P-500, Nasdaq-100, and Gold. The collapse of Luna, and FTX, among others resulted in much-needed deleveraging and separated the wheat from the chaff. Some regulatory guardrails are justifiably necessary for investor protection and responsible industry growth. With a positive resolution of Ripple Labs’ lawsuit against the SEC, a more disciplined regulatory approach appears to prevail. The improving regulatory landscape, rising institutional adoption, and falling US inflation are likely to drive BTC prices higher this year into the next halving cycle. This paper posits a long position in Micro BTC futures with an entry at 29,750 combined with a target of 36,000 hedged by a stop at 26,400, yielding a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.85x. UNPARALLELED BTC OUTPERFORMANCE YTD, BTC has significantly outperformed even the sizzling Nasdaq-100 index which has rallied thanks to large AI-driven gains. Interestingly, the correlation between them indicate that each had unique driving forces. Like Gold, BTC rally this year was driven by crisis in US regional banks. The collapse of SVB and Credit Suisse drove higher demand for alternative assets. More bullish drivers await for BTC. First, clarity in regulatory landscape. Second, rising institutional adoption. Third, BTC Halving next year. Finally, falling inflation. REGULATORY CLARITY A major ruling in the lawsuit between the SEC and Ripple Labs has lent much needed clarity. The ruling highlighted that XRP’s programmatic and exchange sales did not constitute investment contracts. Though, sales to institutional buyers did constitute a contract. Though the lawsuit is far from complete, the ruling did indicate that cryptocurrencies are not securities by default. This highlighted that new regulations are warranted and the heavy-handed SEC enforcement in recent months may need to be tempered. Regulation of digital assets is also progressing well elsewhere. The EU’s MiCA regulation is already in effect. Several other countries are developing regulatory frameworks. Although this ruling does not have a direct impact on Bitcoin, which was already considered by the SEC and CFTC as a commodity, it does provide much-needed clarity to the larger crypto industry which Bitcoin will benefit from. RISING INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION New and growing institutional entrants in the space have spurred hopes of greater adoption. A spot Bitcoin ETF has been in the works for the last two years. Grayscale’s initial application was rejected by the SEC citing that the underlying asset lacked adequate security measures for investors. Since then, new spot BTC ETF applications have popped up, most notably from Blackrock and Fidelity. Blackrock is the world’s largest asset manager and their entry in the space has revived hopes. Though these initial applications were rejected, they have filed amendments that include a surveillance sharing agreement with Coinbase which is currently under review. The launch of EDX markets, a crypto exchange created by US financial majors Charles Schwab, Citadel and Fidelity offers investors a much needed trusted and reliable digital asset exchange. This addresses one of the major concerns from last year - Operational and Liquidity risks. BTC HALVING Halving is the periodic reduction in block rewards for mining BTC. Every ~4 years, the rewards for mining BTC are halved effectively reducing the available and future supply. This has previously led to a rally in BTC prices. Currently, BTC trades 2.5x its price at its last halving. At its peak in November 2021, price was 7x the price at last halving. The next halving is expected around April 2024, coinciding with the expected start of Fed rate cuts. Price gains witnessed during previous halving’s are unlikely as BTC’s market capitalisation grows. FALLING INFLATION Finally, falling US inflation foretells the end of the Fed’s rate hiking cycle. CME’s FedWatch tool forecasts one last rate hike this month with rate cuts expected at the end of January 2024. Loose monetary policy will act like a tailwind for bitcoin prices. BULLISH POSITIONING ON CME BTC DERIVATIVES OI in CME Bitcoin futures has increased sharply over the past month as have the total traders More of this OI is also positioned long. Asset managers have increased their net long positioning by 40% over the past month highlighting bullish sentiment. Interestingly, leveraged funds have increased their net short positioning in the same period indicating bearish sentiment. Contango in BTC futures term structure has steepened increasing the likelihood of higher prices in future. TRADE SET UP CME’s cryptocurrency suite offers robust index methodology, and regulated exposure to digital assets. CME cryptocurrency futures are also cash settled, removing the hassle of managing private keys or dealing with unregulated exchanges. Full-size BTC contracts offer exposure to 5 BTC while micro futures allow for more granular exposure with contract size of 0.1 BTC. Micro BTC contracts have a margin requirement of just USD 760 which translates to built-in leverage of 4x at current prices. • Entry: 29,750 • Target: 36,000 • Stop Loss: 26,400 • Profit at Target: USD 625 • Loss at Stop: USD 335 • Reward to Risk: 1.85x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mintdotfinance
BTCPERP NEAR FUTURE ANALYSIS (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary BTC/USDT TREND ANALYSIS We have 1 Downtrend in red color (Short Term). Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks (Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend). FUTURE PREDICTIONS We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above. I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS). White levels Levels are very tight stop losses that could be used in high leverage future trading. Good luck everyone, stay safe! If you need help ​don't hesitate to send me a message or comment If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW Trading Involves High Risk Not Financial Advice Exercise Proper Risk Management
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by husseindergham
BTC/USDT 4HOUR UPDATEHello, welcome to this BTC /USDT chart update by CRYPTO SANDERS. I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart. CHART ANALYSIS:-Bitcoin respecting the channel trendlines. Still, there is no movement in the market. Bitcoin CME trading is closed till 3rd January so we may not see much movement in the market. Some volatility is expected in the second week of January. This is not a piece of financial advice. Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoSanders9563
Unique Update Of BitcoinHello, welcome to this BTC /USDT 1DAY chart update by CRYPTOSANDERS. I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart. CHART ANALYSIS:-Bitcoin (BTC) fell for a fifth straight session on Monday, as the token moved closer to a breakout below $16,000. BTC/USD slipped to an intraday low of $16,086.36 to start the week, which comes less than 24 hours after hitting a peak of $16,594.41. As a result of today’s drop, bitcoin moved to its lowest point since last Tuesday, November 22, when the price was at a low of $15,613. Looking at the chart, Monday’s sell-off intensified once a breakout on the relative strength index (RSI) occurred. The index, which is currently tracking at 36.89, moved below a recent support point of 38.00 and looks to be heading for a lower floor at 35.50. Should price strength reach its perceived destination, This will likely lead to BTC falling below $16,000. This is not a piece of financial advice. Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoSanders9563
1
THIS CHART IS INVERTED!!!! EVERYTHING IS INVERTED!! Hello. This is my analysis for the bitcoin against the US dollar. The Fibo. level for the end of the 5th wave is 100% it might go further but I highly doubt that. if the 5th wave is extended it might go to the 127% or the 138%. this analysis will FAIL under two scenarios: 1- the price breaks the end of the 3rd wave and then breaks the end of the 4th wave. Which will result in a compound correction . 2- the 4th wave breaks the end of the 1st wave.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by hgpvfd132
1
Bitcoin and green November? BINANCE:BTCUSDT ✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it. Thank you. Bitcoin made retested downtrend line on D1. According to my "Take profit" indicator we bounced at real value price in June. Usually when we touch this line we going to test take profit line on D1 timeframe. Marked this zone on a chart. Also my indicator "Direction" showed signal to buy, so now im waiting Bitcoin around 25-29K in this range and signals to take profit on this both indicators and others. Possible Targets ➡️After retest trend line and fundamental value line - 25000 - 29000 ➡️When we touch take profit line in this ill looking to open local short ➡️Watching on FOMC rate at the beginning November and continuation local uptrend. In December Ill expect test 20K again Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch! ✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes. * Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓ * For more ideas please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Long
by Crypto4light
4