Btcfutures
BTC1! - HARD TO BUY AT THE TOP? - BUY AT THE RED LINE - WEEKLYBTC Future price is ranging at the top of his historical price range zone.
We feel that there is a potential for the price to just leave earth and go beyond easily and at the same time deception can occur with possibility to see the price squeeze down buyers before going in its potential historical run up to new highs.
This is when DCA or Entry could potentially be done at the RED LINE zone. Long Entry to not miss history!
Who still believe that it could go to zero? here fundamental analysis is necessary depending on how regulation is going to evolve in the next years....
BTC – Weekly Perspective – 02/25 to 03/03As reported in a previous analysis, the crypto finally managed to overcome and remain above an important resistance band, 44.9K. A beautiful victory for the bulls and, with that, the path seems to be clear for prices to seek the historical top region at 65K and, consequently, scare away once and for all the ABC corrective pattern of ELLIOTT's final sequence. (12345ABC).
Based on this premise, don't be surprised if there is a drop to the 40K range, as a drop like that is within the corrective script for any steeper climb. If this corrective process takes place, we can think of new levels of increase in the following values: 55.4K and finally, 65K.
And now, is it possible to dream of this bullish pattern for crypto? This pattern usually happens at high times, demonstrating that the asset in question is the hot ticket. If this bullish pattern holds true, it will closely resemble the pattern of the true protective asset. Click here and find out what this protective asset is. Below is an image of the possible pattern that could emerge, as well as the upward pivot on the weekly chart.
Do your analysis and good business.
Be aware, if you buy, use stop loss.
See other graphical analyzes below.
$BTC Daily updateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC Called it almost 6 hours before, bearish divergence played out on 4H and given support at $48,644 came in effect, $49,734 resistance testing as of now, RSI back below overbought thanks to the correction here and managed to keep the progress nicely, Bullish pin bar on previous daily close if followed thru next S/R area expected at $50,579 / $51,630, some resistance at $52,932-$53,672.
Crypto Spring Beckons As Regulatory Fog ClearsAI hot; Crypto not! That’s set to change. Bitcoin prices have bounced back even as AI hype hogs the newsfeed.
Crypto was disregarded as a product of inflated bull market fuelled by easy money last year. “Risk-on” assets like Bitcoin (BTC) plunged sharply. Subsequent recovery has been refreshingly consistent suggesting a potential resurgence.
BTC stands 80% higher YTD, outperforming the S&P-500, Nasdaq-100, and Gold.
The collapse of Luna, and FTX, among others resulted in much-needed deleveraging and separated the wheat from the chaff.
Some regulatory guardrails are justifiably necessary for investor protection and responsible industry growth. With a positive resolution of Ripple Labs’ lawsuit against the SEC, a more disciplined regulatory approach appears to prevail.
The improving regulatory landscape, rising institutional adoption, and falling US inflation are likely to drive BTC prices higher this year into the next halving cycle.
This paper posits a long position in Micro BTC futures with an entry at 29,750 combined with a target of 36,000 hedged by a stop at 26,400, yielding a reward-to-risk ratio of 1.85x.
UNPARALLELED BTC OUTPERFORMANCE
YTD, BTC has significantly outperformed even the sizzling Nasdaq-100 index which has rallied thanks to large AI-driven gains. Interestingly, the correlation between them indicate that each had unique driving forces.
Like Gold, BTC rally this year was driven by crisis in US regional banks. The collapse of SVB and Credit Suisse drove higher demand for alternative assets.
More bullish drivers await for BTC. First, clarity in regulatory landscape. Second, rising institutional adoption. Third, BTC Halving next year. Finally, falling inflation.
REGULATORY CLARITY
A major ruling in the lawsuit between the SEC and Ripple Labs has lent much needed clarity. The ruling highlighted that XRP’s programmatic and exchange sales did not constitute investment contracts. Though, sales to institutional buyers did constitute a contract.
Though the lawsuit is far from complete, the ruling did indicate that cryptocurrencies are not securities by default. This highlighted that new regulations are warranted and the heavy-handed SEC enforcement in recent months may need to be tempered.
Regulation of digital assets is also progressing well elsewhere. The EU’s MiCA regulation is already in effect. Several other countries are developing regulatory frameworks.
Although this ruling does not have a direct impact on Bitcoin, which was already considered by the SEC and CFTC as a commodity, it does provide much-needed clarity to the larger crypto industry which Bitcoin will benefit from.
RISING INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION
New and growing institutional entrants in the space have spurred hopes of greater adoption.
A spot Bitcoin ETF has been in the works for the last two years. Grayscale’s initial application was rejected by the SEC citing that the underlying asset lacked adequate security measures for investors.
Since then, new spot BTC ETF applications have popped up, most notably from Blackrock and Fidelity.
Blackrock is the world’s largest asset manager and their entry in the space has revived hopes. Though these initial applications were rejected, they have filed amendments that include a surveillance sharing agreement with Coinbase which is currently under review.
The launch of EDX markets, a crypto exchange created by US financial majors Charles Schwab, Citadel and Fidelity offers investors a much needed trusted and reliable digital asset exchange. This addresses one of the major concerns from last year - Operational and Liquidity risks.
BTC HALVING
Halving is the periodic reduction in block rewards for mining BTC. Every ~4 years, the rewards for mining BTC are halved effectively reducing the available and future supply. This has previously led to a rally in BTC prices.
Currently, BTC trades 2.5x its price at its last halving. At its peak in November 2021, price was 7x the price at last halving.
The next halving is expected around April 2024, coinciding with the expected start of Fed rate cuts. Price gains witnessed during previous halving’s are unlikely as BTC’s market capitalisation grows.
FALLING INFLATION
Finally, falling US inflation foretells the end of the Fed’s rate hiking cycle. CME’s FedWatch tool forecasts one last rate hike this month with rate cuts expected at the end of January 2024.
Loose monetary policy will act like a tailwind for bitcoin prices.
BULLISH POSITIONING ON CME BTC DERIVATIVES
OI in CME Bitcoin futures has increased sharply over the past month as have the total traders
More of this OI is also positioned long. Asset managers have increased their net long positioning by 40% over the past month highlighting bullish sentiment.
Interestingly, leveraged funds have increased their net short positioning in the same period indicating bearish sentiment.
Contango in BTC futures term structure has steepened increasing the likelihood of higher prices in future.
TRADE SET UP
CME’s cryptocurrency suite offers robust index methodology, and regulated exposure to digital assets. CME cryptocurrency futures are also cash settled, removing the hassle of managing private keys or dealing with unregulated exchanges.
Full-size BTC contracts offer exposure to 5 BTC while micro futures allow for more granular exposure with contract size of 0.1 BTC.
Micro BTC contracts have a margin requirement of just USD 760 which translates to built-in leverage of 4x at current prices.
• Entry: 29,750
• Target: 36,000
• Stop Loss: 26,400
• Profit at Target: USD 625
• Loss at Stop: USD 335
• Reward to Risk: 1.85x
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DISCLAIMER
This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Potential BTC move towards CME GAP Hello Guys,
Short update on my tradingplan. I think the CEM Future GAP between $27400 - 28800 wil get filled before we make a move to the downside.
Lets see how this plan is gonna work out before or maybe after the weekend.
****Its my tradingplan and its not financial advise!
Good luck brothers :)
Cryptodjens
BTCPERP NEAR FUTURE ANALYSIS (4H Chart)Technical Analysis Summary
BTC/USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Downtrend in red color (Short Term).
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks (Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
White levels Levels are very tight stop losses that could be used in high leverage future trading.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
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Exercise Proper Risk Management
BTC/USDT 4HOUR UPDATEHello, welcome to this BTC /USDT chart update by CRYPTO SANDERS.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
CHART ANALYSIS:-Bitcoin respecting the channel trendlines. Still, there is no movement in the market. Bitcoin CME trading is closed till 3rd January so we may not see much movement in the market. Some volatility is expected in the second week of January.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
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Unique Update Of BitcoinHello, welcome to this BTC /USDT 1DAY chart update by CRYPTOSANDERS.
I have tried to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
CHART ANALYSIS:-Bitcoin (BTC) fell for a fifth straight session on Monday, as the token moved closer to a breakout below $16,000.
BTC/USD slipped to an intraday low of $16,086.36 to start the week, which comes less than 24 hours after hitting a peak of $16,594.41.
As a result of today’s drop, bitcoin moved to its lowest point since last Tuesday, November 22, when the price was at a low of $15,613.
Looking at the chart, Monday’s sell-off intensified once a breakout on the relative strength index (RSI) occurred.
The index, which is currently tracking at 36.89, moved below a recent support point of 38.00 and looks to be heading for a lower floor at 35.50.
Should price strength reach its perceived destination, This will likely lead to BTC falling below $16,000.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
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THIS CHART IS INVERTED!!!! EVERYTHING IS INVERTED!! Hello.
This is my analysis for the bitcoin against the US dollar.
The Fibo. level for the end of the 5th wave is 100% it might go further but I highly doubt that.
if the 5th wave is extended it might go to the 127% or the 138%.
this analysis will FAIL under two scenarios:
1- the price breaks the end of the 3rd wave and then breaks the end of the 4th wave. Which will result in a compound correction .
2- the 4th wave breaks the end of the 1st wave.
Bitcoin and green November? BINANCE:BTCUSDT
✅Before we start to discuss, I would be glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it.
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Bitcoin made retested downtrend line on D1. According to my "Take profit" indicator we bounced at real value price in June. Usually when we touch this line we going to test take profit line on D1 timeframe. Marked this zone on a chart. Also my indicator "Direction" showed signal to buy, so now im waiting Bitcoin around 25-29K in this range and signals to take profit on this both indicators and others.
Possible Targets
➡️After retest trend line and fundamental value line - 25000 - 29000
➡️When we touch take profit line in this ill looking to open local short
➡️Watching on FOMC rate at the beginning November and continuation local uptrend.
In December Ill expect test 20K again
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✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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BTC Bullish Cypher Update #3: A Falling Wedge AdditionSince first identifying this Cypher on the weekly I have noticed that BTC seems to have been trading within this huge Falling Wedge and now this week after bouncing up from a much Smaller Daily Timeframe Bullish Shark for the second time, it is attempting a weekly Breakout of the more prominent Falling Wedge.
The Measured Move for this wedge breakout would be around a $29,580 upside move to which would take us very close to the 61.8% Retrace from high to low at $49.6k.
We currently have Multiple Harmonic Supports between $18.5k and $17.5k along with an Equally as strong Price Action Support Floor at around $18.5k based off of some weekly candle closes we got in 2017 and in 2020.
A screanshot of the much smaller Daily Bullish Shark can be seen here on the CME chart but can also be seen on the Bybit chart underneath the CME screenshot in the Related Ideas tab below:
#BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS Hello dear traders, we here new so we ask you to support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys.
BITCOIN UPDATE: -Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $20,000 to start the weekend, as bearish sentiment returned following a brief rally late on Friday.
Following the release of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for September, which showed improvement from the previous month, BTC surged to a peak of $20,109.85.
However, on Saturday, the token slipped to an intraday low of $19,238.12, falling below its floor of $19,300 in the process.
Looking at the chart, the move comes as the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) continues to move away from its ceiling at 49.00.
As of writing, the index is tracking at 45.45, which is close to another support point near the 44.00 regions.
Should this floor hold firm, there is a strong possibility that we could see a rebound, with bitcoin bulls not only taking the price back to $20,000 but potentially above this point.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
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