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Btclongterm

BTC Bottom is in, incoming uptrend Monthly close above $46k only means one thing, bullish uptrend incoming 🚀 this current downtrend period has been a lot longer than that experienced during summer and we have been waiting on confirmation of trend reversal, the fake out last week, coupled with the current geopolitical news i am more confident in the trend reversal, I believe the bottom was $33k, the next push phase is going to be astronomical…patience is key 🚀
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
2
BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSWelcome to this quick BTC /USD analysis. I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart. Hello friends BTC 1 Day Update BTC trend line is moving up and falling wedge pattern create BTC trade line is trading and the same is visible in the RSI BTC 1 day update. We were watching that moment. In RSI also we can see that the trend line is moving up and once it crosses above the trend and the market dumps and then the market falls down but once again market can bounce in btc or if This is going to be bullish so BTC could jump from here. This is not a piece of financial advice. Sorry for my English it is not my native language. Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section. thank you.
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC/USDT 1DAY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSWelcome to this quick BTC /USD analysis. I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart. Hello friends BTC 1 Day Update BTC trend line is moving up and falling wedge pattern create BTC trade line is trading and the same is visible in the RSI BTC 1 day update. We were watching that moment. In RSI also we can see that the trend line is moving up and once it crosses above the trend and the market dumps and then the market falls down but once again market can bounce in btc or if This is going to be bullish so BTC could jump from here. This is not a piece of financial advice. Sorry for my English it is not my native language. Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section. thank you.
by CryptoSanders9563
2
Bitcoin (BTC) potential bull trap, bouncing 15% before the FED Bitcoin Update 26/01/22: Bitcoin (BTC) potential bull trap, bouncing 15% before the FED announcement, currently BTC is -45% gain from the ATH reached in November 2021. We currently are in a downtrend, BTC has recovered fast before and we could get the same here. The current RSI on the weekly is close to that of the March 2020 crash (which was a little lower than the current level)..patience will be key, wait for confirmation & price action, large volume back in the market will be key for confirmation of a reversal of the current trend. The FED will be deciding whether they will be hiking the current interest rates, and whether the current quantitative easing will continue or if they will be quantitative tightening. I believe we have not yet reached full capitulation and the $32K level will be very key before finding a true bottom. See previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 19/ 01 /22: BTC Death Cross on 14th January 2022, currently BTC is 63% away from the all time high price @ $69,004. A final capitulation may be in play before we can finally start climbing back up with a steady upward trend direction towards the previous ATH and the $79k target at the 127.20% fibonacci level. It is important to highlight that this final capitulation could occur at any time as long as there is high volume to confirm the bottom for us, a true bottom before a full trend reversal back to the ATH . One of the main aspects of the key capitulation from Dec 2018, March 2020 & May 2021 is that this has always signalled the bottom and the start of a new upward trend for BTC and alt-coins alike. Bitcoin ( BTC ) on the daily chart is showing strong signs of an oversold market and is currently sitting just above a key support level at $40k, currently priced @ $41k. If the $40k level fails to hold as support BTC is on its way back down to retest the 23.60% at $39,694 which is currently -6% from the current price level. This current downward trend we are experiencing may lead to another consolidation period similar to that after the May crash where we saw BTC struggling to get past the 23.60% fibs 3 times consecutively during a 3 month period before finally breaking out in early August. Our AI script signalled a strong Buy Signal on the 28th July confirming the start of the last bull run phase which saw Bitcoin setting a new ATH just under $70K, a 1671% gain for BTC from the March 13th 2020 Bottom @ $3.8k. As mentioned previously during the last year we believe the current cycle we are experiencing is something we have never experienced before (extended super cycle to foster the adoption cycle), old cycles have been broke and it is important to look at new information and data to better understand where we are going in terms of innovation. Technically, looking at the current structure of Bitcoin , we have a head and shoulders pattern, if this pattern plays out, which in a downtrend could see BTC below the bottom experienced in May. *Note this is just technically speaking, when looking at the market and on-chain analysis we can see that they are less and less Bitcoins available on exchanges, that coupled with the current inflation crisis & ongoing money printing are very strong fundamentals signals which are very bullish on the price of Bitcoin . 2022 promises to be yet another explosive year for the industry and like experienced in the past before, during these times you can really sniper in some great discounts for the next leg up 🎯
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
Bitcoin Update 19/01/22: BTC Death Cross Road, road to $74kBitcoin Update 19/01/22: BTC Death Cross on 14th January 2022, currently BTC is 63% away from the all time high price @ $69,004. A final capitulation may be in play before we can finally start climbing back up with a steady upward trend direction towards the previous ATH and the $79k target at the 127.20% fibonacci level. It is important to highlight that this final capitulation could occur at any time as long as there is high volume to confirm the bottom for us, a true bottom before a full trend reversal back to the ATH. One of the main aspects of the key capitulation from Dec 2018, March 2020 & May 2021 is that this has always signalled the bottom and the start of a new upward trend for BTC and alt-coins alike. Bitcoin ( BTC ) on the daily chart is showing strong signs of an oversold market and is currently sitting just above a key support level at $40k, currently priced @ $41k. If the $40k level fails to hold as support BTC is on its way back down to retest the 23.60% at $39,694 which is currently -6% from the current price level. This current downward trend we are experiencing may lead to another consolidation period similar to that after the May crash where we saw BTC struggling to get past the 23.60% fibs 3 times consecutively during a 3 month period before finally breaking out in early August. Our AI script signalled a strong Buy Signal on the 28th July confirming the start of the last bull run phase which saw Bitcoin setting a new ATH just under $70K, a 1671% gain for BTC from the March 13th 2020 Bottom @ $3.8k. As mentioned previously during the last year we believe the current cycle we are experiencing is something we have never experienced before (extended super cycle to foster the adoption cycle), old cycles have been broke and it is important to look at new information and data to better understand where we are going in terms of innovation. Technically, looking at the current structure of Bitcoin, we have a head and shoulders pattern, if this pattern plays out, which in a downtrend could see BTC below the bottom experienced in May. *Note this is just technically speaking, when looking at the market and on-chain analysis we can see that they are less and less Bitcoins available on exchanges, that coupled with the current inflation crisis & ongoing money printing are very strong fundamentals signals which are very bullish on the price of Bitcoin. 2022 promises to be yet another explosive year for the industry and like experienced in the past before, during these times you can really sniper in some great discounts for the next leg up 🎯
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
Bitcoin Update 05/01/22: Short-term Outlook BearishOn the Daily Chart Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a consolidation period over the past month since the December crash. BTC has been consolidating in our Whale Accumulation Zone between $46k & $52k failing to retest the 61.80% fibs @ $53k. Since the December crash, we have been waiting for strong price action to give more clues on the Short-term Bitcoin direction. From the current price @ $44,108, Bitcoin has broken down out of our whale accumulation zone. Further to this the 13ema has failed to cross up above the 50 sma and the current short-term sentiment of BTC is bearish and it's important to note that we could see the previous levels experienced in the summer where we bottomed @ $28K, although we hold a bullish sentiment for BTC, it is not impossible to revisit these previous levels as current structure on the Daily chart is broken and BTC is currently retesting the 38.20% fibs @ $43k, the next level of support is at the 23.60% fibs @ $37k and it will be interesting to see how the BTC price reacts to this support level as this has proven to be quite a strong level of support. Previous at this support level, BTC failed to break above the $37k level 3 times from the May Crash until the bottom which we reached towards the the end of July @ $29k. We have seen this play before, lets see how this one plays out 🚀
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
2
Bitcoin Update 13/12/21: Long Opportunity After the crash on the 3rd December Bitcoin has retested the 200sma just below the 50% fibs, since then BTC has failed to break above the 61.80% fibs @ $53,253. For the past 10 Days since the crash BTC has been consolidating in the whale accumulation zone...we have now broke below this zone and if we fail to break above the 50% fibs we could see BTC fall to the 38.20% fibs @ $43,597 which is a 6% drop from the current price which would leave BTC 57% away from the ATH. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 07/12/21: From the last push phase in late September, we saw Bitcoin gain 68% in just under 42 days from $40,994 on the 29th September to $69,044 on the 10th November. Our A.I script caught this huge move with a strong Buy signal triggered on the Daily Chart (4th October) catching 47% of this move to the new ATH . This was an explosive move for Bitcoin which was met with some heavy resistance, failing to break above $65k on the 20th and 21st October which resulted in a small sell off with BTC dropping 13% from the 21st October to the 28th before starting the next wave of the rally to a New ATH set on the 10th November. Bitcoin rallied another 20% from the 28/10/21 to 10/11/21. Since setting a new ATH BTC started a slow retracement with BTC unable to maintain the $65K as an area of strong level of support. Our A.I script triggered a strong Sell signal on the 20th November, only 10 days after hitting a new ATH . From the Sell Signal BTC retraced 30%, bottoming with a huge wick rejection at the Golden Ration, which saw Bitcoin retracing just over 61.80% from the ATH price (Huge opportunity of you caught the bottom). The Bull Run is still on! From the current price we expect a small consolidation period as we currently face some heavy resistance at this previous key level faced back in August and September. After a much needed retest of the 200SMA, Bitcoin is showing strong price rejection since the 4/12/21. From the 4th December crash, Bitcoin has recovered 20% already showing strong signs we are still in a bullish market. As mentioned above this is a key price level for Bitcoin and we can expect some consolidation before retesting the $60k price level @ the 78.60% fibs (currently 19% gain away from the price level). From the 78.60% fibs we expect a small pullback before retesting the ATH at $69,044 (Currently 36% gain away). From the ATH our next price target is at the 127.20% fibs @ $80,173. From the current price Bitcoin is 86% gain away from the 161.80% price target @ $94,330 which we now can expect 2022 Q1/Q2. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 13/10/21: BTC Golden Cross Road to $74k (18/09/21). BTC is showing strong support around 53k-55k, from here we expect a clear breakout above the 78.60% fibs and a retest of the ATH🎯@$64k! Currently BTC is only 12% away from the previous ATH . BTC is now back above 55k for the 2nd time now in 5 months. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 03/10/21: Since the 30th September, Bitcoin has grown 18%+ over the past 3 days. From the current price level Bitcoin is 33% away from the ATH . Scenario 1 didn't quite play out for BTC as we mentioned earlier during the start of the month (September). From here we can expect the Scenario 2 Push Phase to play out. A clear break from here with the 13 EMA crossing up above the 50 SMA will be further confirmation of this continued bullish momentum pushing above Key Resistance at $46k. September is historically a red month, and this year we saw this across the board from stocks to cryptocurrencies. The BTC Golden Cross experienced on the 16/09/21 signals very bullish momentum. From a technical perspective Bitcoin is in a Bullish market, further to this we have the Golden Cross for BTC which occurred on the 16th September on the Daily Chart (Historically every time we see this movement on the moving averages, we have experienced significant growth in BTC ). The Golden Cross signals very strong bullish momentum which could see Bitcoin back at the ATH price level after a clear breakout above the 61.80% Fibonacci which is a significant level for whale action as we see accumulation around this key price level range between $47k-$52k. From the current price level @ $48k, BTC is 54% away from the ATH price. We expect some explosive movement incoming in the next 2-3 months as we head towards eoy. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) 🎯 Bitcoin Update 05 /09/21: Bitcoin has been in a steady accumulation range between $46k-$51k for the past 23 days. From this key level we can expect continued bullish momentum towards the upside to the next key level of resistance at $57k. Currently Bitcoin is 25% from its ATH price @ $64k. If we can have a clear break of this resistance and hold above $51k flipping it into support we can expect a bullish run towards the $57k resistance, this move might be met with some heavy resistance above this key level as $58k-$60k is a key psychological barrier for Bitcoin . The next few months are critical for BTC as bullish momentum could see the 127.20 fib target at $74k. Please see previous analysis below :) Happy Trading! $50K incoming again for the weekend 🚀, if we can break resistance and hold above $51k flipping it into support we can expect a bullish run towards $57k resistance. The next few months are critical for BTC as bullish momentum could see the 127.20 fib target at $74k. Please see previous analysis below :) Happy Trading! Bitcoin Update 21/08/21: Road to $74k is clear, but first Bitcoin has to break above $51,068 and flip this into support for the next leg up to the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $57,125. If Bitcoin can flip the 61.80% fibonacci level into support we could see bitcoin approaching the $60K region looking to push for a new ATH . The 61.80% fibonacci level is a key resistance level and a level where we previously saw large amount of whale accumulation in the previous run before the May crash. In another possible scenario we could see Bitcoin retracing and consolidating in the short term but when we look on the lower time frame 4H, the swing call script has just triggered a strong buy signal showing continued bullish momentum for Bitcoin . It is official the Bitcoin Bulls are back!! Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 14/08/21: Update: Currently 4% Gain from this Short-term Swing Opportunity, stops just below $43,812, TP @ $51,068 at the 61.80% Fibs, additional TP at the 78.60% @ $57,125 (19% Gain from current price level). Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) The Bitcoin Bulls are Back! After setting a new ATH @ $64,841 in April, Bitcoin experienced its the first major sell (some may say manipulated) off in this Bull Run Cycle (-50% from the top). We have been closely watching the BTC chart for a strong trend reversal signal. From the ATH @ $64,841, Bitcoin formed a triple bottom in the $28-30k region, the last bottom experienced on the 21st July is confirmed as our bottom here. The Swing Call Script gave further confirmation of the strong trend reversal as a Buy signal was triggered on the 4H Chart on the 22 July and further on the 6th August showing strong signs of bullish momentum back into the market. From here we expect BTC to retest the current ATH @ $64k which is a 40% Gain from the current price @ $45k. Further to this, we can expect some heavy resistance between the 61.80% - 78.60% fibonacci level. A clear break past the 78.60% fibonacci level see BTC setting a new ATH at the 127.20% fibonacci level. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) BTC finally testing the 200 SMA and is showing strong signs of bullish momentum as we see the BTC Bulls coming back into the market 🚀. After 4 failed attempts of trying to break above the key resistance @ $38,595 BTC has finally broken above this key price level. Since the crash BTC found its Bottom tanking down -51% on the 19th May to $28,787 from $57,777 and had previous retraced from the ATH price @ $64,841 to $46,814 (-27%). BTC has been in a whale accumulation zone for the past 27 days from 19th May to 15th June. Our Swing Call Script triggered a strong buy signal for #BTC LONG when the 13 EMA crossed up above the 50 SMA on the 10th June; BTC has since increased over 10% in just over 5 days. From the current price level we have longs positioned and the current TP 1 is at the 127.20% Fibonacci level @ $74,647 (85% gain from current price level) and TP 2 at the 161.80% Fibonacci level @ $87,122 (116% from current price level). Note the price targets are for long term swings, we may be in this accumulation phase a little longer. Happy Trading :). See previous analysis below. Bitcoin Update 02/04/21 Next Target @ $66,953 13% Gain New ATH in April I've loved charting BTC last Month, analysis has been quite spot on just waiting on our new ATH now @$66,953 13% Gain from current price level. #Bitcoin has found key support around $58k price level. It looks like the Bitcoin Bulls are back in the market. Worst case scenario from here in the short-term could see the price test the 50SMA, and breaking below this level would see another test of the 200SMA before the anticipated move to the upside and our target of $66.953 at the 127.20% Fibonacci level. See previous analysis below. Happy trading :) Update 29/03/21 Bitcoin next Target @ $66,953 21% Gain Nice bounce from the whale accumulation zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci Level. Looks like the BTC Bulls are back in the market. See previous analysis below. BTC Monthly Outlook Update (23/03/2021) Approaching Whale Accumulation Zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci level @ $52,371. Interesting next few days from here as a bounce from the 200 SMA at the whale accumulation zone could finally see us break through the key resistance at the current ATH level from 14/03/21 @ $61,690. April is set to be a very interesting and pivotal month for the cryptocurrency space. See previous analysis and monthly outlook below. Happy Trading :) #whaleaccumulationzone Update 21/03/21: Yesterday the Bulls failed to push the price higher and we had a small retracement down from $59.5k to $55.6 where we found some support of the current price level (-7%). From here the worst case scenario would find us in a key whale accumulation zone @ 78.60% Fibonacci level $52,371. However this scenario is unlikely to play out and as expected from the previous outlook before, we expect the Bulls to come back in the market, pushing as further to higher highs as we have been consolidating around this key price range between $54.5K to the current ATH @ $61.8k. If we fail to break past the previous ATH , the bearish scenario may see a test of the 200 SMA around the 78.60% Fibonacci level, otherwise the Bullish scenario is still in play. Note that from this current trend from 28th January we have only tested the 200 SMA once and a bounce from this level may signal a much stronger bullish move towards our price target $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension and further $107,340 @ the 261.80% Fibonacci level. So far great performance this month from £BTC as March is usually quite a bearish month looking back at the past. April looks ready for us to really fly, testing the 161.80% Fibonacci extension , but note this may not be a straight forward push but all the fundamentals are pointing towards the $70K as our next significant area of interest for the Bulls, currently a 16% gain from the current price level would see BTC reach $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. See previous analysis from 1st March 2021 below. Happy Trading :) $BTC #HODL *Update 20/03/21 #BTC Monthly Outlook Update from 1st March 2021; 13 EMA crossing up 50 SMA showing strong bullish sentiment as we are about to enter the last week of the month, expect the bulls to come back and to push the price higher. Currently the 127.20% Fibonacci Target ($66,953) has not been tested yet, but we expect some big movement in price over the next few days and further going into the last week of the month (Yes, it has been March Madness), 13% Gain from the current price level @ $59,390 to $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. Our next target after this is $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension . From our analysis at the beginning of the month It looks like scenario 2 has been in play, see below previous analysis from 2nd March 2021. In addition to previous price analysis, the Cryptocurrency 'Super Cycle' is in play as we are just at the brink of global adoption. 2017/18 was the hype era, we cannot continue to set targets based on the price movements during the cycle mainly fuelled by hyper and euphoria, it is now 4 years later and real development has been happening behind the scenes, a lot of people cannot quite comprehend the growth and the different cycle that we are now in as Moore's Law of exponential growth can only give us a hint at the growth that is about to be experienced over the next 4 year cycle. An increased influx of capital injection into this now trillion dollar market will only continue, as Defi takes its hold on current Global financial infrastructure, and yes history repeats itself, We call this the 'Roaring 20s' just like before at the end of WW1, the pandemic has only accelerated the current adoption rate of blockchain technology. As some are already aware, the best time to grow a million dollar portfolio was from 2009 to 2019 just after the housing market crash. The second best time in our lifetime is Now! from 2021 to 2029 after the pandemic market crash. We are still very much Bullish for BTC to reach our EOY Target of $356,000, See below key fundamentals which support our bullish sentiment. *(March 02, 2021 Update) BTC is currently consolidating at 61.80 Fibonacci Level. BTC outlook for the month ahead is still very much bullish . Although the sellers have been in control of the market since soaring to a new ATH on 21/02/21, BTC took a sharp retracement as expected at these new level of resistance as well as a new ATHof$58,792 on the Gemini Exchange. As from historic highs we see a lot of profit taking occurring after 3 weeks of setting new constant highs from the previous low of the last push wave which saw BTC setting a high of $42K and then sharply retracing down to $28,787 where we found the previous resistance and also the beginning of the last phase which saw one of the greatest run of Bitcoin in history, reaching the current ATH of $58,792. With the current push phase now over we find ourselves asking how low can we go from here and when do we expect to break past a new ATH . This outlook is based on 2 possible scenarios which could both play out. We have seen the 50% Fibonacci retracement level respected on the last 2 Push phases which both set new ATHs, the first being $42K and latter, the recent high of $58K. As we have seen a strong retracement over the past 7 days back down to the 50% Fibonacci, it may be time for the BTC Bulls to regain control of the market as the current fundamentals point to the 50%-38.2% Fibonacci level of key resistance as well as a point of accumulation for the BTC whales, more importantly the $39,000 mark when looking left at the previous key resistance before the parabolic move to the $58k ATH . With this in mind, from the current levels we could see the price of BTC sink further before the much expected move which could see BTC testing the previous High of $58k and further pushing to the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level setting a new ATH @ $66,953. Scenario 2 would see the current push towards the ATH continue but may face some resistance, and further consolidation expected around $46k-$49k as they are the key Whale Supports towards the upside, so a further retracement could be in play, possibly testing the 50% Fibonacci level, as well as the 50 SMA , with a bounce confirming an explosive move to the upside which could see BTC easily smash past the 127.20% Fib extension level setting new fresh Highs between $67,000-$78,400+ by mid to late March. Use the buy zone indicated to map out your position as a possible 52% gain is achievable from the Buy zone. Stochastics showing an extremely oversold market condition. Happy Trading :) * Key Supporting Fundamentals for BTC: Strong Interest of Institutional Players A survey of institutional investors and wealth managers who already engage with bitcoin reveals that 85 per cent plan to increase their investment in the cryptocurrency over the next two years. The survey, which was commissioned by Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), a regulated investment manager connecting traditional finance with the digital assets market, also reveals that between now and 2023, 72 per cent expect professional investors in general to invest in bitcoin for the first time or increase their exposure. Current Economic Instability The policy of the US Federal Reserve and the economic instability that has arisen as a result of the unprecedented emission of new dollars may further play a role in the growth of Bitcoin price...10% of the $380 billion stimulus money could be going directly into cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin . Digital Gold Crypto currencies certainly look as if they’re here to stay. It makes a lot of sense to have them in an increasingly digitised world. While bitcoin has a strong tendency to polarise opinion, it has now gained acceptance among some of the world’s largest financial institutions and payments companies. MasterCard, for instance, has said it will begin supporting crypto currencies on its network later this year. PayPal already allows eligible users to buy, sell and hold bitcoin in the US and expects to roll out its service in other territories soon. The Case For Global Adoption and New Reserve Currency Cryptocurrencies promise to help solve problems that are particularly acute in emerging markets (EM). Their governments are often centralized but relatively unreliable, which destabilizes currencies, opens the door to profiteering middlemen, and erodes public trust. Blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin’s decentralized network, promises to cut out the grasping hands of governments and middlemen, and speed up transactions with more transparency and lower fees. It is offering what many EM customers are desperate for. The Development and Extensions of Blockchain Technology Due to the nature of blockchain technology’s ability to benefit all parties involved in different business operations. Since it was introduced in 2009 through the application of Bitcoin , blockchain technology continues to attract not just the financial institutions of the world, but also other fields and industries in insurance , law, entertainment and the Internet of Things ( IOT ) applications. Several scholars and advocates have also strongly suggested the use of the technology in voting systems globally, medical records and vehicle registrations by the state to further increase efficiency, simultaneously eradicating fraud in many areas. This technology does not only aim to improve conventional business operations but can also empower the greater society out of poverty as 1.7 billion adults in the world remain unbanked. The widespread adoption of a cryptocurrency like bitcoin running on the blockchain would mean that anyone with access to the internet can send and receive value from point A to B without the need of a third party. Although many Banks were very hesitant and in fact spread fear in the markets due to cryptocurrencies being linked to nefarious activities on the dark web. A recent study by Goldman Sachs suggested that the adoption of blockchain technology in facilitating seamless cross border transactions without the worry of fraudulent transactions could save up to $6 billion a year; as the new models currently being developed by the bank would mean inefficient payment and accounting networks would be eradicated.
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet
Bitcoin (BTC) - 4H OBV remains remarkably instructive Take a look at the consistency of the (Binance) 4H OBV trend, which remains for me very instructive. I use the Binance volumes as they are the largest but I am looking to script something that draws OBV data from all the major exchanges to see if it yields anything actionable. But the Binance 4H OBV has remained remarkably instructive - this is part of the reason I suspected we could see a wick down into the 40ks in my last BTC analysis, as the accumulation that seemed to be happening was happening so far above my green baseline trend, to which the OBV has consistently checked back in to, with each rise and pullback. I hoped that this would not take place, but it is remarkable to see how the OBV trend has so consistently tracked these capitulations (to the candle close). This OBV trend will be one of the things I will be watching in the coming days, if I begin to see it break-down that will be a red flag for me, and I will look for other signals that might confirm a more significant price break down to come. These MACD trends are also instructive here, and as yet all seems to be trading within trend. Will be interesting to see if BTC can consolidate above my OBV green baseline trend, before clearly breaking the declining OBV distribution channel trend that has each time signaled the start of another bullish accumulation phase. What I thought to be accumulation happening in my last BTC analysis may have in fact been an extended period of distribution at that price range before a rug pull. As it seems that OBV trend did indeed check back into its baseline
Long
by jamoooo
Bitcoin Update 07/12/21: Short-term Outlook, Swing Opportunity From the last push phase in late September, we saw Bitcoin gain 68% in just under 42 days from $40,994 on the 29th September to $69,044 on the 10th November. Our A.I script caught this huge move with a strong Buy signal triggered on the Daily Chart (4th October) catching 47% of this move to the new ATH. This was an explosive move for Bitcoin which was met with some heavy resistance, failing to break above $65k on the 20th and 21st October which resulted in a small sell off with BTC dropping 13% from the 21st October to the 28th before starting the next wave of the rally to a New ATH set on the 10th November. Bitcoin rallied another 20% from the 28/10/21 to 10/11/21. Since setting a new ATH BTC started a slow retracement with BTC unable to maintain the $65K as an area of strong level of support. Our A.I script triggered a strong Sell signal on the 20th November, only 10 days after hitting a new ATH. From the Sell Signal BTC retraced 30%, bottoming with a huge wick rejection at the Golden Ration, which saw Bitcoin retracing just over 61.80% from the ATH price (Huge opportunity of you caught the bottom). The Bull Run is still on! From the current price we expect a small consolidation period as we currently face some heavy resistance at this previous key level faced back in August and September. After a much needed retest of the 200SMA, Bitcoin is showing strong price rejection since the 4/12/21. From the 4th December crash, Bitcoin has recovered 20% already showing strong signs we are still in a bullish market. As mentioned above this is a key price level for Bitcoin and we can expect some consolidation before retesting the $60k price level @ the 78.60% fibs (currently 19% gain away from the price level). From the 78.60% fibs we expect a small pullback before retesting the ATH at $69,044 (Currently 36% gain away). From the ATH our next price target is at the 127.20% fibs @ $80,173. From the current price Bitcoin is 86% gain away from the 161.80% price target @ $94,330 which we now can expect 2022 Q1/Q2. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 13/10/21: BTC Golden Cross Road to $74k (18/09/21). BTC is showing strong support around 53k-55k, from here we expect a clear breakout above the 78.60% fibs and a retest of the ATH🎯@$64k! Currently BTC is only 12% away from the previous ATH . BTC is now back above 55k for the 2nd time now in 5 months. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 03/10/21: Since the 30th September, Bitcoin has grown 18%+ over the past 3 days. From the current price level Bitcoin is 33% away from the ATH . Scenario 1 didn't quite play out for BTC as we mentioned earlier during the start of the month (September). From here we can expect the Scenario 2 Push Phase to play out. A clear break from here with the 13 EMA crossing up above the 50 SMA will be further confirmation of this continued bullish momentum pushing above Key Resistance at $46k. September is historically a red month, and this year we saw this across the board from stocks to cryptocurrencies. The BTC Golden Cross experienced on the 16/09/21 signals very bullish momentum. From a technical perspective Bitcoin is in a Bullish market, further to this we have the Golden Cross for BTC which occurred on the 16th September on the Daily Chart (Historically every time we see this movement on the moving averages, we have experienced significant growth in BTC ). The Golden Cross signals very strong bullish momentum which could see Bitcoin back at the ATH price level after a clear breakout above the 61.80% Fibonacci which is a significant level for whale action as we see accumulation around this key price level range between $47k-$52k. From the current price level @ $48k, BTC is 54% away from the ATH price. We expect some explosive movement incoming in the next 2-3 months as we head towards eoy. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) 🎯 Bitcoin Update 05 /09/21: Bitcoin has been in a steady accumulation range between $46k-$51k for the past 23 days. From this key level we can expect continued bullish momentum towards the upside to the next key level of resistance at $57k. Currently Bitcoin is 25% from its ATH price @ $64k. If we can have a clear break of this resistance and hold above $51k flipping it into support we can expect a bullish run towards the $57k resistance, this move might be met with some heavy resistance above this key level as $58k-$60k is a key psychological barrier for Bitcoin . The next few months are critical for BTC as bullish momentum could see the 127.20 fib target at $74k. Please see previous analysis below :) Happy Trading! $50K incoming again for the weekend 🚀, if we can break resistance and hold above $51k flipping it into support we can expect a bullish run towards $57k resistance. The next few months are critical for BTC as bullish momentum could see the 127.20 fib target at $74k. Please see previous analysis below :) Happy Trading! Bitcoin Update 21/08/21: Road to $74k is clear, but first Bitcoin has to break above $51,068 and flip this into support for the next leg up to the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $57,125. If Bitcoin can flip the 61.80% fibonacci level into support we could see bitcoin approaching the $60K region looking to push for a new ATH . The 61.80% fibonacci level is a key resistance level and a level where we previously saw large amount of whale accumulation in the previous run before the May crash. In another possible scenario we could see Bitcoin retracing and consolidating in the short term but when we look on the lower time frame 4H, the swing call script has just triggered a strong buy signal showing continued bullish momentum for Bitcoin . It is official the Bitcoin Bulls are back!! Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) Bitcoin Update 14/08/21: Update: Currently 4% Gain from this Short-term Swing Opportunity, stops just below $43,812, TP @ $51,068 at the 61.80% Fibs, additional TP at the 78.60% @ $57,125 (19% Gain from current price level). Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) The Bitcoin Bulls are Back! After setting a new ATH @ $64,841 in April, Bitcoin experienced its the first major sell (some may say manipulated) off in this Bull Run Cycle (-50% from the top). We have been closely watching the BTC chart for a strong trend reversal signal. From the ATH @ $64,841, Bitcoin formed a triple bottom in the $28-30k region, the last bottom experienced on the 21st July is confirmed as our bottom here. The Swing Call Script gave further confirmation of the strong trend reversal as a Buy signal was triggered on the 4H Chart on the 22 July and further on the 6th August showing strong signs of bullish momentum back into the market. From here we expect BTC to retest the current ATH @ $64k which is a 40% Gain from the current price @ $45k. Further to this, we can expect some heavy resistance between the 61.80% - 78.60% fibonacci level. A clear break past the 78.60% fibonacci level see BTC setting a new ATH at the 127.20% fibonacci level. Please see previous analysis below. Happy Trading :) BTC finally testing the 200 SMA and is showing strong signs of bullish momentum as we see the BTC Bulls coming back into the market 🚀. After 4 failed attempts of trying to break above the key resistance @ $38,595 BTC has finally broken above this key price level. Since the crash BTC found its Bottom tanking down -51% on the 19th May to $28,787 from $57,777 and had previous retraced from the ATH price @ $64,841 to $46,814 (-27%). BTC has been in a whale accumulation zone for the past 27 days from 19th May to 15th June. Our Swing Call Script triggered a strong buy signal for #BTC LONG when the 13 EMA crossed up above the 50 SMA on the 10th June; BTC has since increased over 10% in just over 5 days. From the current price level we have longs positioned and the current TP 1 is at the 127.20% Fibonacci level @ $74,647 (85% gain from current price level) and TP 2 at the 161.80% Fibonacci level @ $87,122 (116% from current price level). Note the price targets are for long term swings, we may be in this accumulation phase a little longer. Happy Trading :). See previous analysis below. Bitcoin Update 02/04/21 Next Target @ $66,953 13% Gain New ATH in April I've loved charting BTC last Month, analysis has been quite spot on just waiting on our new ATH now @$66,953 13% Gain from current price level. #Bitcoin has found key support around $58k price level. It looks like the Bitcoin Bulls are back in the market. Worst case scenario from here in the short-term could see the price test the 50SMA, and breaking below this level would see another test of the 200SMA before the anticipated move to the upside and our target of $66.953 at the 127.20% Fibonacci level. See previous analysis below. Happy trading :) Update 29/03/21 Bitcoin next Target @ $66,953 21% Gain Nice bounce from the whale accumulation zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci Level. Looks like the BTC Bulls are back in the market. See previous analysis below. BTC Monthly Outlook Update (23/03/2021) Approaching Whale Accumulation Zone at the 78.60% Fibonacci level @ $52,371. Interesting next few days from here as a bounce from the 200 SMA at the whale accumulation zone could finally see us break through the key resistance at the current ATH level from 14/03/21 @ $61,690. April is set to be a very interesting and pivotal month for the cryptocurrency space. See previous analysis and monthly outlook below. Happy Trading :) #whaleaccumulationzone Update 21/03/21: Yesterday the Bulls failed to push the price higher and we had a small retracement down from $59.5k to $55.6 where we found some support of the current price level (-7%). From here the worst case scenario would find us in a key whale accumulation zone @ 78.60% Fibonacci level $52,371. However this scenario is unlikely to play out and as expected from the previous outlook before, we expect the Bulls to come back in the market, pushing as further to higher highs as we have been consolidating around this key price range between $54.5K to the current ATH @ $61.8k. If we fail to break past the previous ATH , the bearish scenario may see a test of the 200 SMA around the 78.60% Fibonacci level, otherwise the Bullish scenario is still in play. Note that from this current trend from 28th January we have only tested the 200 SMA once and a bounce from this level may signal a much stronger bullish move towards our price target $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension and further $107,340 @ the 261.80% Fibonacci level. So far great performance this month from £BTC as March is usually quite a bearish month looking back at the past. April looks ready for us to really fly, testing the 161.80% Fibonacci extension , but note this may not be a straight forward push but all the fundamentals are pointing towards the $70K as our next significant area of interest for the Bulls, currently a 16% gain from the current price level would see BTC reach $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. See previous analysis from 1st March 2021 below. Happy Trading :) $BTC #HODL *Update 20/03/21 #BTC Monthly Outlook Update from 1st March 2021; 13 EMA crossing up 50 SMA showing strong bullish sentiment as we are about to enter the last week of the month, expect the bulls to come back and to push the price higher. Currently the 127.20% Fibonacci Target ($66,953) has not been tested yet, but we expect some big movement in price over the next few days and further going into the last week of the month (Yes, it has been March Madness), 13% Gain from the current price level @ $59,390 to $66,953 127.20% Fib extension. Our next target after this is $77,335 @ the 161.80% Fibonacci extension . From our analysis at the beginning of the month It looks like scenario 2 has been in play, see below previous analysis from 2nd March 2021. In addition to previous price analysis, the Cryptocurrency 'Super Cycle' is in play as we are just at the brink of global adoption. 2017/18 was the hype era, we cannot continue to set targets based on the price movements during the cycle mainly fuelled by hyper and euphoria, it is now 4 years later and real development has been happening behind the scenes, a lot of people cannot quite comprehend the growth and the different cycle that we are now in as Moore's Law of exponential growth can only give us a hint at the growth that is about to be experienced over the next 4 year cycle. An increased influx of capital injection into this now trillion dollar market will only continue, as Defi takes its hold on current Global financial infrastructure, and yes history repeats itself, We call this the 'Roaring 20s' just like before at the end of WW1, the pandemic has only accelerated the current adoption rate of blockchain technology. As some are already aware, the best time to grow a million dollar portfolio was from 2009 to 2019 just after the housing market crash. The second best time in our lifetime is Now! from 2021 to 2029 after the pandemic market crash. We are still very much Bullish for BTC to reach our EOY Target of $356,000, See below key fundamentals which support our bullish sentiment. *(March 02, 2021 Update) BTC is currently consolidating at 61.80 Fibonacci Level. BTC outlook for the month ahead is still very much bullish . Although the sellers have been in control of the market since soaring to a new ATH on 21/02/21, BTC took a sharp retracement as expected at these new level of resistance as well as a new ATHof$58,792 on the Gemini Exchange. As from historic highs we see a lot of profit taking occurring after 3 weeks of setting new constant highs from the previous low of the last push wave which saw BTC setting a high of $42K and then sharply retracing down to $28,787 where we found the previous resistance and also the beginning of the last phase which saw one of the greatest run of Bitcoin in history, reaching the current ATH of $58,792. With the current push phase now over we find ourselves asking how low can we go from here and when do we expect to break past a new ATH . This outlook is based on 2 possible scenarios which could both play out. We have seen the 50% Fibonacci retracement level respected on the last 2 Push phases which both set new ATHs, the first being $42K and latter, the recent high of $58K. As we have seen a strong retracement over the past 7 days back down to the 50% Fibonacci, it may be time for the BTC Bulls to regain control of the market as the current fundamentals point to the 50%-38.2% Fibonacci level of key resistance as well as a point of accumulation for the BTC whales, more importantly the $39,000 mark when looking left at the previous key resistance before the parabolic move to the $58k ATH . With this in mind, from the current levels we could see the price of BTC sink further before the much expected move which could see BTC testing the previous High of $58k and further pushing to the 127.20% Fibonacci extension level setting a new ATH @ $66,953. Scenario 2 would see the current push towards the ATH continue but may face some resistance, and further consolidation expected around $46k-$49k as they are the key Whale Supports towards the upside, so a further retracement could be in play, possibly testing the 50% Fibonacci level, as well as the 50 SMA , with a bounce confirming an explosive move to the upside which could see BTC easily smash past the 127.20% Fib extension level setting new fresh Highs between $67,000-$78,400+ by mid to late March. Use the buy zone indicated to map out your position as a possible 52% gain is achievable from the Buy zone. Stochastics showing an extremely oversold market condition. Happy Trading :) * Key Supporting Fundamentals for BTC: Strong Interest of Institutional Players A survey of institutional investors and wealth managers who already engage with bitcoin reveals that 85 per cent plan to increase their investment in the cryptocurrency over the next two years. The survey, which was commissioned by Nickel Digital Asset Management (Nickel), a regulated investment manager connecting traditional finance with the digital assets market, also reveals that between now and 2023, 72 per cent expect professional investors in general to invest in bitcoin for the first time or increase their exposure. Current Economic Instability The policy of the US Federal Reserve and the economic instability that has arisen as a result of the unprecedented emission of new dollars may further play a role in the growth of Bitcoin price...10% of the $380 billion stimulus money could be going directly into cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin . Digital Gold Crypto currencies certainly look as if they’re here to stay. It makes a lot of sense to have them in an increasingly digitised world. While bitcoin has a strong tendency to polarise opinion, it has now gained acceptance among some of the world’s largest financial institutions and payments companies. MasterCard, for instance, has said it will begin supporting crypto currencies on its network later this year. PayPal already allows eligible users to buy, sell and hold bitcoin in the US and expects to roll out its service in other territories soon. The Case For Global Adoption and New Reserve Currency Cryptocurrencies promise to help solve problems that are particularly acute in emerging markets (EM). Their governments are often centralized but relatively unreliable, which destabilizes currencies, opens the door to profiteering middlemen, and erodes public trust. Blockchain, the technology behind Bitcoin’s decentralized network, promises to cut out the grasping hands of governments and middlemen, and speed up transactions with more transparency and lower fees. It is offering what many EM customers are desperate for. The Development and Extensions of Blockchain Technology Due to the nature of blockchain technology’s ability to benefit all parties involved in different business operations. Since it was introduced in 2009 through the application of Bitcoin , blockchain technology continues to attract not just the financial institutions of the world, but also other fields and industries in insurance , law, entertainment and the Internet of Things ( IOT ) applications. Several scholars and advocates have also strongly suggested the use of the technology in voting systems globally, medical records and vehicle registrations by the state to further increase efficiency, simultaneously eradicating fraud in many areas. This technology does not only aim to improve conventional business operations but can also empower the greater society out of poverty as 1.7 billion adults in the world remain unbanked. The widespread adoption of a cryptocurrency like bitcoin running on the blockchain would mean that anyone with access to the internet can send and receive value from point A to B without the need of a third party. Although many Banks were very hesitant and in fact spread fear in the markets due to cryptocurrencies being linked to nefarious activities on the dark web. A recent study by Goldman Sachs suggested that the adoption of blockchain technology in facilitating seamless cross border transactions without the worry of fraudulent transactions could save up to $6 billion a year; as the new models currently being developed by the bank would mean inefficient payment and accounting networks would be eradicated.
GEMINI:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyMagnet