BTC soon breakout?Hello traders!
Here's a quick update on BTC. My thoughts remain the same—it's likely that we'll see growth soon.
The reasons are:
1) Bears are quite weak.
2) According to wave patterns and the flag, we're moving toward the top.
3) Historically, autumn has shown upward movements.
IMPORTANT! Always follow your risk management strategy. Don’t risk more than 5%. Happy trading!
Btcpriceprediction
Bitcoin's Dual DestinyAs a long-time Bitcoin enthusiast, I've ridden the rollercoaster of crypto markets more times than I can count. Today, I'm here to share my insights on Bitcoin's fascinating journey ahead – a tale of short-term struggles and long-term triumphs.
The Bearish Storm on the Horizon
Looking at the day chart, the next 1-3 months paint a somewhat gloomy picture for Bitcoin. The 15 and 50 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are telling a bearish story, with the shorter-term EMA consistently staying below the longer-term one – a classic sign of downward momentum.
Fibonacci retracements, those mystical levels that often act as support and resistance, are also hinting at potential further downside. We're seeing price action respecting these levels with an eerie precision, suggesting that Bitcoin might be searching for its short-term bottom.
But here's the kicker – this bearish phase isn't necessarily bad news. In fact, it might be setting the stage for something much bigger.
The Bullish Horizon: A 5-Year Vision
While the short-term outlook might make some hodlers nervous, zooming out to the 1-5 year timeframe reveals a much more optimistic picture. Despite regulatory headwinds, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin continue to strengthen.
Institutional adoption is accelerating, with major companies adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets. The recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs in the US has opened the floodgates for more mainstream investment. These factors, combined with the upcoming halving event, paint a bullish long-term picture that could see Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
Riding the Elliott Waves
To understand Bitcoin's price movements better, let's dive into the world of Elliott Wave Theory. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, this theory suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns driven by investor psychology.
The basic Elliott Wave pattern consists of five waves in the direction of the main trend, followed by three corrective waves. These patterns can be seen across various timeframes, from minutes to years.
ABC Corrections: The Market's Natural Rhythm
Within the Elliott Wave framework, ABC corrections play a crucial role. These are the three waves (A, B, and C) that move against the main trend, providing necessary retracements before the larger trend continues.
In Bitcoin's current context, we might be in the midst of an ABC correction within a larger bullish cycle. The 'A' wave could represent the initial drop from all-time highs, 'B' the subsequent relief rally, and 'C' the final leg down to find the short-term bottom.
The Road Ahead: Embracing the Dual Nature
As we navigate these choppy waters, it's crucial to maintain perspective. The short-term bearish outlook provides an opportunity for accumulation, while the long-term bullish thesis reminds us of Bitcoin's revolutionary potential.
Remember, every bear market in Bitcoin's history has eventually given way to new bull runs. This time is likely no different. The key is to stay informed, manage risk wisely, and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
As we watch the charts and analyze the patterns, let's not forget the bigger picture. Bitcoin isn't just an asset – it's a technological revolution that's reshaping our understanding of money and finance.
So, whether you're a day trader riding the short-term waves or a long-term hodler with your eyes on the horizon, remember: in the world of Bitcoin, change is the only constant. Embrace it, learn from it, and most importantly, enjoy the ride!
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWaves #BullishBTC #BearishShortTerm #LongTermHodl #ABCCorrections #CryptoTrading #BlockchainRevolution #FinancialFreedom
BTC/CRYPTO PRICE MOVEMENTS PREDICTIONThe cycle is cycle... the price is price... But 100k for BTC is psychological barier for a lot of people. The crowd is always wrong! So, please don't fall in the upcoming traps game! Don't be hurry, don't be too much greede! Things will happen if you just be careful!
Moon Phases and BTC/CRYPTO correlation (nov 2022 /dec 2024)Charts shows us the people collective psychology and emotions. We all know that the Moon and her phases reflecting on people psychology, directly or indirectly, more or less. Then, let's combine the Charts and Moon phases to see what we will find and how this can help us to be a better traders. Enjoy!
BTC 1D Showing major red flagsHey how's everyone doing? It's been a while but I'm going to keep this explanation brief as the chart is self explanatory.
This is one of the strongest indications I look for when trying to predict price drops.
The way the MACD and RSI look together right now shows very strong potential for a sharp drop.
Keep in mind that this is the daily timeframe so it the move may not necessarily play out overnight but it is possible. Even though it is the weekend, I do feel its one of those rare weekends where we can possible see price movement.
I do think there's some potential for a move higher in the short term as I've indicated here on the 4H timeframe.
As long as BTC is below the 0.786 level on the chart (70K) there is strong potential for a 15%+ move to the downside IMO. I'd look for potential support in the lower 50K area (54K +/- 2K)
Another possibility to look out for is a quick sharp drop that plays out very fast (within a day) creating a quick wick / bullish hammer candle which would be a strong bullish indicator on the daily chart for upside continuation. The point is the possibility for the move down before upside continuation is very high.
As I've mentioned, Invalidation point would be a move above 70K. That's all for now. Take care & Trade safe.
$1M - BTC MACRO Long OverviewIMO,
Were in a mid cycle elliot wave 3 correction and about to complete:
- a knock on GREEN 4.236FIB (non log scale) Elliot Wave 3 simutaenously hitting the 2015 GREY 3.618 FIB (log scale).
2028 correction to $70k for EW 4,correction.
2031-2032 MIL:1M BTC, touching the 2015 GREY 4.236FIB (log scale).
Short-term BTC movement prediction based on S&R and trendWe know things are going up from here. Maybe up only on the monthly candles. But this is still volatile and we're fooling ourselves if we don't think pullbacks and even large corrections are in order. But we have never had ETF's before. We're seeing large price movements to the upside, without any notable retail interest. Google Trends is showing a small increase in searches for Bitcoin, but when retail really get interested then even my Father-in-Law is going to be Googling the hell out of this.
The search term "is real money fake" is at an all time high. So perhaps more people are becoming aware that fiat is the real ponzi scheme.
INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
$173k/$450k MACRO #BTC 2025IF, BTC follows 4 year patterns...
$173k (1.618FIB) is the target.
~~ BTC should close ABOVE the 1.618FIB for a potential Blow Off Top.
~~ $450k - 85% retrace = $70k bottom. *$450k Prediction Chart Below
~~ $15k Bottom: Macro Wave 4 - FIB: 0.50 Retrace
WAVE 5 Rally Notes: (PRE 2024 Halvening)
- $27.3k
- $32.6k (0.5FIB)
- $38.8k
- $44k (0.702FIB)
- $49.6k ( FOMO/Here comes retail money)
- $55.3k (0.854FIB)
- $21k (0.236FIB-RETEST)
- Back test on 200MA before Halvening
There has not been a decent retrace for BTC and lets hope this puppy cooks to the 0.854FIB $55k BTC.
- MASS FEAR in MSM. (Bullish!)
Emotion:
I want to sell... but $15k WAVE 4 BOTTOM IS IN!
($14k, $10k, $7k BTC Bottom Narratives are NULL.)
This is my FINAL Projected Macro Outlook for BTC.
Good luck all holders.
BTC performed a sweep to both side.The Move Is Today!bitcoin swept both LATE longers and Shorters. Today is for bitcoin to make its move which I think its downside towards 27.9 then holding the equilibrium around there.After that we have to be glued to the charts to figure out the next move(More Downside IMO).
Thanks for watching