BTCUSD Textbook but bad for LongsAccording to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect.
If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH.
Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again.
Turbulent times ahead...
Btcshort
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
ARKUSDT Trendline Betrayal Bearish Plunge !Trendline Break
The chart shows a clear upward trendline that has been broken. This break indicates a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Retest Confirmation
After breaking the trendline, the price retraced upward, testing the previous trendline as resistance (red zone). This is a classic confirmation for a short setup.
Entry and Risk Zone
Entry :The short position is initiated just below the retest of the trendline, around the price of 0.5510.
Stop-Loss : Placed slightly above the retest zone, around 0.5897, to minimize risk if the price reclaims the trendline.
Target Zone
The blue area indicates the take-profit target, with a potential level around 0.3908. This level might have been chosen based on prior support or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk-to-Reward
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the stop-loss relatively close to the entry and a much larger distance to the target.
Market Context
The sharp drop in price following the trendline break signals strong bearish momentum. Ensure that this move aligns with higher timeframes and broader market sentiment for confirmation.
Key Considerations
Watch for any sudden buying pressure or market reversal signs that could invalidate the setup.
Volume analysis can provide additional confirmation for the strength of the trendline break and the retest rejection.
Stay disciplined with stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
Book profits with usual profit locking rule of 10% by moving SL to BE for safe ride
BTC Short to 62kDistribution Structure:
The chart shows a clear distribution pattern at the top (highlighted in gray), indicating a potential reversal zone. This structure suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and we may see a price pullback or correction.
BTC.D at Key Level: Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) is currently at a key level, and we are expecting a retracement here. The confluence between the distribution structure on BTCUSDT and the critical BTC dominance level enhances the likelihood of a short opportunity.
Price Action: After reaching the distribution zone, BTC has shown signs of slowing momentum, which further suggests that a pullback or continuation of a downtrend could occur.
Target Range:
The short position could be targeted toward the lower consolidation levels, with a focus on the $87,500 - $85,000 area. The lower end of the original consolidation zone provides strong support that could act as a potential reversal zone.
Risk Management:
Set stops just above the distribution structure to manage risk effectively. Keep the risk-to-reward ratio favorable for the expected move.
BITCOIN Reaches Critical Level - Will Bitcoin Sell Off?COINBASE:BTCUSD is reached a significant resistance zone, aligning with past price rejections and a strong supply area. This region has historically triggered strong selling pressure, making it a key level to watch.
If price struggles to break higher and forms bearish signals—such as rejection wicks, a bearish engulfing candle, or a shift in order flow—a pullback toward $102,500 could follow. This would confirm sellers stepping in to defend the level.
However, if BTC manages a strong breakout and holds above resistance, bullish momentum could extend further, invalidating the short setup.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
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Best of luck , TrendDiva
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!The chart focuses on the BTC/USDT price action and highlights key technical levels.
The chart shows Bitcoin breaking above the descending trendline, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
A successful retest of the trendline could confirm this breakout.
The green area below (around $92,500-$95,000) represents a strong support area where buyers will likely step in.
Immediate resistance is around $107,500-$110,000, which could hinder further upside.
The 21-day MA (black) and 50-day MA (red) are plotted.
Price trading above both moving averages indicates bullish momentum.
The 21-day MA appears to be providing short-term support.
Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows, consistent with an uptrend.
A close above the recent high could signal continued upward momentum.
A breakout above $107,500 could lead to further gains toward the $112,500-$115,000 region.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Possible Double Top? What to expect?So BINANCE:BTCUSDT hit and checked 105k-108k area twice in last month. That means it is Double Top pattern in either 4H and 1D timeframe. And there is another thing concerning me and it might lead to 75k. As you can see it is also possible that BINANCE:BTCUSDT made triple top too and MACD is making huge divergence, so we might see new low in next few weeks or months.
BTC/USDT chart analysis !
BTC is retesting the breakout point near the descending trendline (around $98,000-$100,000).
If buyers step in, this retest could act as a launchpad for a potential bounce.
The green zone ($92,000-$96,000) remains a crucial area of demand, offering strong support in case of a deeper retracement.
The 50-day SMA (red line) is moving upwards, currently around $98,000. It acts as a dynamic support level.
BTC is slightly above the 21-day SMA (black line), which suggests short-term support.
Despite the pullback, the overall structure suggests a bullish continuation.
The orange projection shows a potential consolidation followed by a move towards higher targets near $112,000-$116,000.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!BTC has sustained its move above the descending trendline, indicating a valid breakout with continued bullish momentum.
The green zone between $92,000–$96,000 remains a critical support area. Any pullbacks into this region could present buying opportunities.
The 50-day SMA (red) at $98,596 is trending upwards, providing additional dynamic support.
BTC is trading above key moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
The chart suggests a potential pullback followed by a continuation to the upside.
The projected path (orange line) targets the $112,000–$116,000 resistance zone.
Assess volume during pullbacks to ensure strong accumulation support for the upward trend.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Buy When Others Sell, Sell When Others Buy – Time to Reflect.The current market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The anticipation surrounding Trump’s inauguration and the potential for pro-crypto regulations has created massive optimism for continued upside. But isn’t this the perfect time to ask – is now a good moment to lock in some profits?
On the chart, I’m showcasing two of my custom indicators: PrimeMomentum Long Term Signal BTC and Weekly Peak Finder. Both indicators are based on long-term analysis and have historically been extremely reliable at identifying key market turning points.
Current Situation
🔸 Both indicators have flashed simultaneously. Historically, such occurrences are rare and have consistently signaled significant downward movements.
🔸 Historical correction analysis:
For Weekly Peak Finder, after a bearish signal:
- The first correction resulted in a 25% drop.
- The second correction saw a 65% drop.
- Now, with both indicators flashing together, the market has only dropped by around 5%. This is the smallest correction in history following such combined signals. Is this really it, or is the market preparing for a larger move downward?
Can we assume this time is different and the correction is over? Or is the current euphoria and optimism masking a potential larger drop?
My Decision
Considering the historical reliability of these indicators and the fact that both are flashing simultaneously, I’ve decided to lock in 50% of my BTC position. This approach allows me to secure profits while still leaving room for potential further upside.
Is the market gearing up for a historic rally, or is this the perfect setup for a deeper correction? I’d love to hear your thoughts – what’s your take on this setup?
BTC/USDT – chart analysis. BTC is testing a crucial descending trendline that has acted as resistance over the past several weeks.
The 21 EMA (black) is above the 50 EMA (red), indicating short-term bullish momentum.
Price action near the moving averages suggests a potential breakout or rejection scenario.
$100,000 – $102,000: Immediate resistance zone aligned with the descending trendline.
A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally towards $110,000 – $114,000.
$97,000 – $95,000: Strong demand zone. BTC needs to hold above this zone to maintain the bullish momentum.
Below $94,000, BTC could revisit the crucial support zone of $92,000 – $90,000 (highlighted in green).
A confirmed breakout above $100,000 with strong volume could take BTC towards $110,000 – $114,000, invalidating the downtrend.
If BTC gets rejected at the descending trendline, it could retest the $95,000 level. A break below this level could push BTC towards $92,000.
Volume Profile: Increased volume near the resistance trendline is crucial for a breakout.
RSI (not visible on the chart): Monitor overbought or oversold conditions for additional confirmation.
Breakout Entry: Enter a long position above $100,000, target $110,000 - $114,000. Stop-loss below $98,000.
Rejection Short: If BTC rejects $100,000, enter a short position, target near $95,000 - $92,000.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin's Midweek Liquidity Play Detailed Analysis Bitcoin's Price Analysis Based on Current Market Conditions
1. Bullish Price Action from CPI Triggers
Recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has provided a significant bullish trigger, aligning with the market's expectation of reduced inflationary pressures. This macroeconomic indicator is a key driver, as it reassures investors about the Federal Reserve's potential to maintain or reduce interest rate hikes. Bitcoin's price has reacted positively, with a clear bullish breakout, showing strength in its upward trajectory. The CPI induced move is critical as it reflects institutional confidence and a shift in liquidity toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
2. Midweek Reversal Dynamics
Retailer FOMO at Play
Historically, Wednesday and Thursday are pivotal days for Bitcoin's price action, often characterized by reversals. This behavior is driven by a mix of institutional repositioning and retail traders' emotional responses. Currently, retail traders appear to be in a state of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), entering positions aggressively as Bitcoin pumps. This scenario creates a ripe environment for market makers to exploit, as over leveraged long positions begin to dominate. A liquidity sweep targeting stop loss clusters below current support levels is highly probable.
3. Stop-Loss Sweep and Liquidity Dynamics
The chart indicates that a significant number of stop-loss orders are concentrated around the $98,600 level, just below recent support. This aligns with a 4-hour imbalance zone, which remains untested. Market makers are likely to drive the price down to this level to fill pending orders and collect liquidity. Such a move would shake out weak hands before the price regains upward momentum.
Following the liquidity sweep, a strong pump is expected toward the $102,400 zone, a key area of interest where previous imbalances and institutional orders are likely stacked. This zone serves as a springboard for the next leg of the rally.
4. Projection to Key Levels: $108,362 and Beyond
Once liquidity at $98,600 is absorbed and the $102,400 zone is reclaimed, Bitcoin is poised to target the next major resistance at $108,362. This level aligns with a confluence of technical factors, including previous highs and Fibonacci extensions. Breaking this resistance would open the path to the $110,000 psychological level, further validating the bullish macro trend.
Bitcoin's price action is entering a critical phase influenced by macroeconomic triggers, market structure, and liquidity dynamics. Traders should remain cautious of midweek reversals and liquidity sweeps, while positioning for potential upside targeting $108,362 and beyond. Proper risk management is essential, given the market's high volatility and the potential for unexpected deviations.
"BTC Head and Shoulders Breakdown: Key Sell Zone at $98,000 withBased on the chart:
- **Pattern Formation**: A classic Head and Shoulders pattern is visible, indicating a potential bearish reversal. The price action has tested the neckline, followed by a possible retest near the "right shoulder."
- **Key Zone**: The area around $98,000 is marked as a "possible sell zone" and aligns with the retest of the neckline.
- **Breakout and Retest**: The price seems to have broken the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern and is currently retesting it. If the retest holds as resistance, a strong downside move could follow.
- **Target Levels**: Based on the projected move, the target appears to be around $79,350, with intermediate zones likely around $90,000–$87,000 for partial profit-taking or reactions.
- **Strategy**: A sell setup near $98,000, with invalidation if the price closes convincingly above the neckline, could be considered.
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern
The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area.
For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs.
The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior.
Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors
Monitor the wedge breakout closely.
Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position.
Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data.
BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart !!The BTC/USDT 4-hour chart highlights key technical levels and potential market movements:
Bitcoin has rebounded strongly from the green horizontal demand zone near $92,000-$94,000, indicating that buyers are coming to defend this crucial level.
A descending trendline continues to act as resistance around the $98,000-$100,000 range. A breakout above this line will signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
The recent surge indicates renewed buying interest, and if Bitcoin maintains this upward momentum, it could challenge the descending trendline in the near term.
A breakout above this resistance could open the door for further gains, potentially targeting the $102,000-$105,000 range.
Moving Averages:
The 21-period moving average is currently at $94,105 and could act as a dynamic support level if the price pulls back.
A clean break above the descending trendline could start a strong upward rally, with higher price targets in sight.
If Bitcoin fails to move above the trendline and reverses, retesting the green demand zone becomes possible. A breakdown below this zone could trigger further upward pressure.
Traders should keep an eye out for a decisive breakout or rejection at the trendline to confirm the market’s next direction.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Resistance Broken? BTC Aims for $96K!Falling Trendline Breakout
Bitcoin has broken above a descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Entry Zone
The recommended buy zone is $91,500 to $90,500. Price is currently within this range, making it an ideal area for a long entry.
Stop Loss
A tight stop-loss at $89,500 helps minimize downside risk if the breakout fails.
Targets
Target 1: $92,000
Target 2: $93,000
Target 3: $94,000
Target 4: $95,000
Target 5: $96,000
Risk Management
Stop-loss placement is critical to avoid potential losses, with a strong downside risk below $89,500.
Recommendation
Watch for a sustained close above the breakout level and monitor volume confirmation for continued upside momentum. This trade aligns well with a bullish reversal structure and offers multiple profit-taking levels.
Bitcoin CME Futures Analysis: Key Support and Resistance LevelsIn this analysis, I delve into the current price action of Bitcoin CME Futures, highlighting critical resistance and support zones based on the recent market structure. The insights provided aim to assist traders in understanding potential market movements and identifying key areas of interest.
Resistance Zone:
The chart shows a clear rejection from the highlighted resistance zone (purple box) around the $108,000-$112,000 price level. This zone has proven to be a strong ceiling, where sellers have taken control and pushed the price downward. The rejection confirms that this level is significant and should be monitored closely for future price movements.
Support Zone:
On the downside, we observe a critical support level around the $80,655-$77,965 range (yellow box). This zone is derived from a confluence of historical price reactions and psychological round numbers. If the price reaches this level, we might see strong buying interest, which could act as a reversal point.
Market Structure
Currently, the market appears to be in a corrective phase, with lower highs forming after the rejection from the resistance zone. A potential move towards the identified support zone could serve as a critical test for buyers. If the price breaks below this level, it may signal a deeper correction or trend reversal.
BTC/USDT CHART UPDATE !!#BTC breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the 50-day MA, it could signal renewed bullish momentum.
The breakout will likely initially target $97,500-$100,000, and further upside towards $107,500 is possible.
Failure to hold the support zone ($92,500) could lead to a deeper correction.
The next major support is near $87,500, with extended downside risk towards the beige zone (around $80,000-$75,000).
A continued sideways movement is possible if BTC remains range-bound between $92,500 (support) and $97,500 (resistance).
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin’s Next Move Major Breakout or Breakdown ?Chart Pattern
The chart displays range-bound trading between key levels of $91,535.66 (support) and $95,752.48 (resistance).
A recent pullback from the upper resistance indicates potential consolidation before the next significant price movement.
Key Insights
1.Current Price Action
Bitcoin is trading near $94,181.41, below the immediate resistance zone of $95,752.48.
The price has been rejected multiple times at the upper resistance, signaling a strong supply zone.
2. Potential Breakdown Scenario
If BTC breaks the $91,535.66 support, the next potential downside target could be $90,000 or lower.
Volume confirmation and momentum indicators would be crucial for validating a downward continuation.
3.Bullish Reversal Possibility
If BTC holds above $91,500, it may bounce back to test $95,750 again.
A breakout above $95,750 could target higher levels, with $100,000 being the psychological resistance.
Trading Plan
Bearish Setup
Short below $91,500 with a target of $89,500–$90,000.
Bullish Setup
Long above $95,750, targeting $98,000–$100,000.
Market Sentiment
Neutral to Bearish, Caution is advised until clear breakout/breakdown confirmation is observed.
The market remains unstable, with both upside and downside risks. Stay alert for macroeconomic news and BTC dominance trends.