Btcshorts
BTC Shorts indicating a drop may be imminentIt pays to be a contrarian and never is this proved better than the BTC Shorts chart. In most cases, when it peaks into a resistance area shown in blue (and traders are betting that BTC will drop ) BTC rises or at least moves sideways. More telling is when the shorts fall down to a support area shown in pink (and traders are predicting BTC will rise ) ... BTC has tended to begin a violent drop .
Essentially more often than not, BTC does the opposite of what the masses are predicting = be a contrarian.
BTC is now approaching this support area yet again, IF this plays out as before we can expect a big drop in BTC to be imminent. I would imagine something in the $2500 area to be feasible.
At the very least, this is something to be aware of when making your own Technical Analysis.
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This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
BTC shorts vs price. Another drop coming! or new bottom?
Hi all I am looking to history BTCUSD shorts. In history there is some similarities, look at 2.Aug, 1.Sep, 12.Nov. This dates is very important, in this days a lot of people start shorts BTC, and price in usd go down rapidly, 23%, 16% and 50%.
Now is situation similar, If we bounce from line on shorts, can be drop like in history, a lot of shorters are waiting if price above 4000usd hold and Head and shoulders will be confirmed. If BTC dont break 4250usd soon, drop here will be resolution I think.
If we fall around 20% 800usd from 4000usd, we can created double bottom on 3200usd, if drop will be more than 20% we can get new bottom.
Important resistance which we need break soon
My bottomed Idea is 2688usd
This is my own idea, if you have some another ,please leave in comments.
Dont forgot for some action here :) like, comment, follow.
I will be update it. Thank you
Thank you
Ascending triangle with rising baseline | Short-term bullishAs I had stated before a short term ascending triangle has formed and looks dominate. It could be a strong bottom argument. Only time will tell.
The ascending triangle as in all triangle patterns can be used as trend
reversals. It must be noted that the ascending triangle must form at a
key level of support or resistance, I like to use double tops or bottoms.
This pattern forms as price pushes into support or resistance and then
consolidates making equal highs and higher lows forming the ascending
triangle, Once price breaks the pattern conforming the reversal, I personally
always wait for a pullback to the previous highs or lows to see if price will
be resisted or supported before taking a reversal trade. There are different
methods Like Fibonacci Retracements to find targets after a confirmed
reversol but I will lay out the conventional way which is the Distance
Between The Mouth Of The Triangle Added To The Breakout.
ADAZ18 bearish divergence I spotted a bearish divergence on ADA it seems to be between 2 resitance lines at the 4h chart, probably preparing to short it if bitcoin follows.
A Correction in the Short Term & Continuation of the BearsA correction is now at our doorstep. We are in day 4 of the recent bull run, which typically exhausts by day 3 or 5.
- Volume Divergence
- RSI Divergence
- MACD Divergence
- Long red candle forming on 4 hour
- Long green wick on the 1 day
- Elliot Wave complete
- Correction wave initiated
This is only a prediction off the TA I am currently viewing, which BTC has remarkably adhered to during this bearish market. Take it with a grain of salt and always do your own due diligence.
BTC USD WHEN LONG ?BTC USD in 12h timeframe is situated into a falling wedge which means at the final will be a breakout,Usualy the price test this support of wedge three times and after will be a breakout
Stochastic RSI at 12h timeframe is overbought(they can go up from here a little but after will made a bear cross and price will come down in my opinion)
RSI below neutral zone
MACD bull cross but we haven t volume
When btc will come to 3050-3080$ we can open a long position for 3770-4000$ targetpoint which means aproximately 27.41% potentialy gains.
This chart it s only for an market update,i will NOT open any position in bitmex.
#Bitcoin $BTC shorts will be cut down to size before bottomAnyone who believes that BTC will go straight to a new low from resistance at $3500 should keep a close eye on the very high amount of short interest that is in play.
At this point we will likely see $3800 or 12% gains before a renewed crash and making a new lows. Another possibility is an extended horizontal move as shorts cover gradually.
Bitcoin Shorts approaching critical resistance levelBTCUSD Shorts (essentially traders betting that the value of BTC will continue down against the dollar) are rapidly approaching the 40000 level, which throughout 2018 has provided strong resistance and consistently marked the end of downward price action - and hence the beginning of the next uptrend. Although the Bitcoin market appears very bearish at the moment, with many expecting sub-$3000 in the coming weeks, it's worth keeping an eye on the shorts to see if they can help you predict when the bottom is about to occur.
As shorts are currently at 37455 (and 40719 was the previous 2018 high), we definitely have some room to continue up... and hence the BTC price down. But for how much longer? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below. How useful is the BTC Shorts chart to you?
Please give me a thumbs up and follow me if you found my analysis interesting.
This is for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Rising Wedge signals the end of this small rallyBTC is clearly about to break a very steep wedge, and that should take us at least to the 1 fibonacci level. We could take a very nice profit there and then let the rest of the position run. No volume since yesterday to keep this rally up.
Always use SL!
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**BTC - 6400->STOP + LONG LIQUIDATION HUNTS->6100?->7000?**Please read this, this is long but its VERY comprehensive about what is likely to play out in the next day or so. Market is going to likely move big...
Note: Hourly chart, Bitfinex exchange.
Listen, believe what you want to about the price of BTC. The one thing that is for sure is that in the current channel (lower high, lower lows) we will go down to 6400. The EMAs, SMAs, RCI, Kumo twist and downtrend channel all point to the fact that we are going down to 6400. SO - let's pretty much call that an established fact.
Ok, so the question isn't where we will end up here in the next few hours, the question is what will happen where this downtrend channel meets the end of its Elliot Waves in the bigger channel?
ONE MAJOR THING TO CONSIDER BEFORE GOING INTO A LONG POSITION! And I hope that a ton of you think about this before going into a high leverage long position at the end of this channel.
Its absolutely not a secret that LONGS have overtaken the SHORTS. Everyone is saying up up and away, I think there are SOME good signals to consider, but what you have to understand about the basics of these exchanges where you go into a leveraged position is that THEY ARE THE CASINO. Ok?
You better be Warren Buffet to be able to out-leverage these exchanges, and guess what they have to do if more people are right then they are wrong??? That's right! They have to pay them. And let me tell you why these exchanges are considerably more dangerous than casinos: because they make the dice, they don't have full control of it, but they can tilt the table a bit to have those dice roll in their favor.
Now just think about this setup. Everyone and their mother is thinking "BULL BULL BULL BULL - MOONSHOT MOONSHOT MOONSHOT" and they have already revealed their hand.
Not so fast!
First off, understand that these markets ***ARE IN FACT MANIPULATED*** PERIOD. They have already calculated and (even possibly working with each other) to tip the scales towards their profit margins. As much as they would LOVE to pay you for guessing correctly what the market "SHOULD" do, that's not how they make their money. They make their money by liquidating your positions, not by paying people out for getting the market right. And these periods of instability in the prices where it moves outside of the channel is exactly where they make the most profits.
Could we shoot straight up? SURE. Exchanges lose a ton of money because more people are long than they are short. Do you really think that's going to happen? You'd be betting against the casino's leverage ability and their will to use it to make profit though.
Ok, so they can't full out control the prices for too long, because money pours in with Market buys and starts manipulating them. They already calculated this in, they know generally what percentage will come in with market buys that they cant guess, and I guarantee you that it STILL makes them a ton more profit to lose some profit against the market to a certain price than it does to pay out leverage calls that they already know about (ie limit buys).
This is how the exchanges work guys. they essentially GIVE YOU MONEY to put orders in a way so that they can see what people are going to do! (market maker rebates on limit orders)... Those that rush into a position as a market buy have to pay "taker fees". They throw pennies at traders so that we can all, in mass, show them our cards. Those that aren't willing to show their cards, have to pay fees because they can't guess what you're going to do, so they can't fully calculate it.
Most advanced traders know this, but a ton of you out there don't... Now just start adding all that up.
Here is my pure GUESS:
1) We hit 6400ish, we break lower. How much lower? Not sure. They take a TON of longs out by liquidating them (pure profit for them) and activate a ton of stop losses (some profit them) before they are forced by the market to move up because market buys rush in. This is my most likely scenario
2) We hit 6400ish, we break lower, the market gets spooked, because we all still have itchy trigger fingers from the bear market and we slide LOW... And I mean we retest 6100 for sure. 5800? MARKET IS WRECKED... BEAR season for a while again. Second likely scenario.
3) We hit 6400, everything goes up as planned. Everyone makes profits from all their long positions, everyone is uber happy, BULL MARKET in for good. Exchanges lose a ton of money........ Least likely scenario.
Seriously guys, think about this. You're going to have to have a plan in place before stuff starts going wrong, having to make decisions on the fly almost always makes you lose money.
As a matter of fact, I can tell you that a lot of traders that have been doing this for years are sitting this one out till we have a perfectly clear signal of where this market is going. Right now, it still ain't BULL season yet, regardless of what we all want.
Enjoy.
BTC USD FINAL DIP Prepare your money
BTC is situated into a falling wedge and i think it will go down from here to test 4788$ 0.236 fib support which is a weekly support.We need to test it ,to capitulate and after we can go up.
We have a lot of positive signs at 6k or below:
-First when we are dropped below 6k all time was too much buyers and the price was pushed above 6k fast,around 5000-5200$ institutions will buy BTC.
-To hold the price below 5k we need to have very little volume.Little volume=is not profitable for exchanges and also not for miners
-If you looked at statistics every trader know the mass adoption it s started(Check increase of BTC ATMs for exemple)
-We are near rezistence,it s crucial to break 7000$ to be bullish.
-In 26 OCT we have 9 ETFs and i think all will be denied or postponed
-In 26 OCT CME futures will expire which is bullish contracts,after we are bearish till mid november again
-We need to capitulate that s the reason why i think we are going down,capitulation must be part of market cycle
BTC SHORTS Different StoryMost important is to have a look at orange arrows and green circles to understand the situation.
the last time MACD crossed down, in the beginning of August, Shorts had a very big marge to go up, they started a push around 17500.
now it's not the same. MACD Crossing but they start from 32500. it give a small marge to go 40000.
what it means is when Shorts will hit 40k again (if they can), they will down and we will get an hard BTC push up (MACD in the dip).
Happy Tr4Ding !