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Bitcoin Bullish Bat Harmonic Forming – Breakout Imminent!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) then reached $85,500 , as I expected in my previous post . Today, I want to share with you a short-term analysis of Bitcoin , and Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line ! Bitcoin is trading near the Support zone($83,880-$82,380) and Support lines . Bitcoin is likely to start rising again with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again either with the help of the Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern or near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($82,426-$81,439) . The first target could be the important resistance line , and if it breaks, it looks like Bitcoin could break the resistance zone ($87,520-$85,840 ) as well. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,624-$85,486 Note: To break the Important Resistance line , we need a candle with high volume at least on the 4-hour time frame , like the Bullish Marubozu candle ; otherwise, it is probably we will see fake break . Since this line is of great importance, it is better to look for a confirming candle on the 4-hour time frame as well ( even a Doji candle with a small green body ). Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,000, we can expect further declines. Do you think Bitcoin can break the Important Resistance line!? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
8
Bitcoin’s 80-Day Correction Ending!?(Signs)Today, I want to share with you a mid-term analysis of Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I hope it will be useful for you. Please stay with me. Bitcoin started to fall last week due to the tariffs that Donald Trump imposed on countries around the world. In general, since last week, Bitcoin has become more correlated with US stock market indices (such as FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) than before. But yesterday, Donald Trump postponed the implementation of tariffs for 90 days , except for China , which caused the US stock market indices to grow rapidly, and Bitcoin did not miss out on this growth. So, for the next 90 days , we should wait for news of bilateral tariffs between China and the US , which is likely to make an agreement between the two countries. What do you think!? Also, just minutes ago, key U.S. inflation data was released — and it came in softer than expected. The CPI m/m dropped to -0.1%, and Core CPI m/m slowed to 0.1% , both missing forecasts. This drop in inflation significantly reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance . With inflation cooling off, the market is now pricing in a more dovish Fed , which has historically been a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin . Also, in the last 24 hours , another positive news came for Bitcoin: " China and Russia are using Bitcoin to settle energy trades ," which could be effective in increasing the price of Bitcoin . -------------------------------------------- Now, based on the above explanation, let's focus on analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 12-hour time frame . Bitcoin started to rise quickly after touching the Heavy Support zone($73,780-$59,000) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and 50_SMA(Weekly) . It seems that the Important Uptrend line breakout has NOT been successfully completed. One sign of a return could be the formation of a Morningstar Candlestick Pattern , which has also been accompanied by good volume . Bitcoin has been moving in a descending channel for the past 80 days since its All-Time High(ATH=$109,588) , so a break of the upper line of this descending channel could be a significant sign of a rebound for Bitcoin . Bitcoin is trying to break the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) . The price that is important for Bitcoin right now is $84,000 ; if Bitcoin can close a candle on the 4-hour time frame above the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) and $84,000 , we can hope for a breakout of the descending channel. In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have been in a Double Three Correction(WXY) for the past 80 days. A break of the descending channel could reconfirm the end of this correction. I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($85,940-$85,240) after breaking the Resistance zone($84,000-$81,130) in the first step and make the first attack on 50_SMA(Daily) . If the descending channel breaks, the second target could be around $88,000 , where there is an important Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($89,319-$88,375) . Also, if Bitcoin moves in a range between $90,000 and $85,000 , we can expect an Altseason , given the conditions of BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ). What do you think? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $77,200, we should expect further declines. Note: If Bitcoin can break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,000-$88,500), we should expect a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 12-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
51
Bitcoin Pullback Complete – Bears Gearing Up for Round Two!!!First of all, let me say that the market has been very excited these past few days, so be more careful with your capital management. Also, these days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has a high correlation with the US stock market indices , and one of the most important of them is the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ). Today, I published the following analysis for the S&P 500 Index , which I used as a result of that analysis for Bitcoin . Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($81,610-$79,800) , the Yearly Pivot Point , the Daily Pivot Point , the important uptrend line (broken) , and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($81,500-$79,677). Overall, it seems that this uptrend in Bitcoin over the past few hours was a pullback to the broken Important uptrend line and the liquidation of short position s. Do you agree with me? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the uptrend of the last few hours has been in the form of a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) and we should expect another decline . Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend and approach the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) again ( after breaking the support lines ). Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $74,520-$73,244 If you want to see my overall view of Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and further understand the significance of the Uptrend line(broken) , you can refer to the following idea: Note: If Bitcoin can completely fill the CME Gap($84,475-$81,450), we should expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
28
Critical zone for Bitcoin – Pump or Dump!(Mid-term Analysis)Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on a weekly time frame so that you can take a mid-term view of BTC. On November 12, 2024 , I shared with you another weekly analysis in which we found the All-Time High(ATH) zone well. Please stay with me. Bitcoin has been on an upward trend for the past 27 months , increasing by about +600% . Have you been able to profit from this upward trend in Bitcoin? During these 27 months , Bitcoin has had two significant corrections , the first correction -20% and the second correction -33% (interestingly, both corrections lasted about 5 months ). Another thing we can understand from the two main corrections is that the second correction is bigger than the first correction , and since Bitcoin is currently in the third correction , we can expect the third correction to be either equal to the second correction or greater than the second correction . Of course, this is just an analysis that should be placed alongside the analyses below . It seems that the start of Bitcoin's correction can be confirmed with the help of the Adam & Adam Double Top Pattern(AADT) . Bitcoin also created a fake breakout above the Resistance lines . Educational tip : The Adam & Adam Double Top (AADT) is a bearish reversal pattern characterized by two sharp, ^-shaped peaks at nearly the same price level. It indicates strong resistance and a potential trend reversal once the price breaks below the neckline between the peaks. Bitcoin appears to be completing a pullback to the broken neckline . According to Elliott's Wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed its 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . It is a bit early to determine the structure of the corrective waves , but I think it will have a Zigzag Correction . The structure of the corrective waves depends on the news and events of the coming weeks and months. I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) will be a very sensitive zone for Bitcoin. I expect Bitcoin to start correcting again when it approaches $87,000 or $90,000 at most, and fills the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) , and at least approaches the Heavy Support zone($73,800_$59,000) AFTER breaking the uptrend line . In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin goes above $90,500, we should expect further increases and even make a new All-Time High(ATH). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), Weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
42
Bitcoin Holding PRZ Support Lines – Is a Weekend Rebound Coming?First of all, I would like to say that the Trading Volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , so I don't expect the Support Lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) [$82,340-$82,000 ] to break. Of course, we should always be prepared for any scenario. Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the Support lines and PRZ , and with the help of the Failed Falling Wedge Pattern , Bitcoin has declined in the last few hours . Educational Note : In technical analysis, if a Reversal Pattern fails , it often acts as a Continuation Pattern instead . I expect Bitcoin to trend upward in the coming hours and be able to reach the targets I have outlined on the chart. Note: If Bitcoin touches $81,900, we should most likely expect more dumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
45
Bitcoin Breaks Resistance – Bullish Flag in Play(Short-term)!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise and pump after '' the Mastercard Plans to Enable 3.5 Billion Cardholders to Transact with Bitcoin and Crypto, " and the US indexes movements and managed to break the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) . Bitcoin is moving near the Monthly Pivot Point and Support lines . Bitcoin seems to be completing the Bullish Flag Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to reach the Targets I have outlined on the chart in the coming hours and most likely fill the CME Gap($86,620_$86,565) . There is a possibility that Bitcoin will fall again after this increase. What do you think!? Note: The Crypto market is full of excitement. Please pay more attention to capital management than before. Note: This analysis could be a short-term Roadmap for Bitcoin . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,500, we should expect further declines, possibly heavy declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
11
CME Gap Target: Is Bitcoin Headed for $80K!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving in the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) , and on the 1-hour time frame , Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($82,360_$82,000) and the lower line of the ascending channel (small) . Overall, Bitcoin has started another downtrend after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel (big) . Since trading volume is generally low on Saturdays and Sundays , it is unlikely that the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) will be broken before the financial markets open . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 3 at $81,644 and is currently completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 will most likely have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . In general, the financial markets and US indices such as TVC:DJI , SP:SPX CME_MINI:NQ1! were not in a good state last week , and this trend will most likely continue next week . The tariffs that Donald Trump is imposing on countries around the world, as well as the turbulent situation in the Middle East , will all lead to the possibility of a fall in Bitcoin and other financial markets in the coming days. I expect Bitcoin to make at least a temporary increase to $83,200 and then next target the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580) and the upper line of the ascending channel before starting to fall and attack the important Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and also fill the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) . Note: If Bitcoin breaks above the Resistance zone($84,380_$83,580), we can expect more pumping. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
35
Bitcoin Short short ermThis is just a trade idea! And an idea is an idea and exists as an idea,as nobody can predict the markets. No body! Some media say:Trump Pushes Advisers To Intensify Tariffs Ahead Of April 2.If it will be true , Then I prepare for this scenario(SEE THE CHART) above!. Someoone commented below my last idea,he wants price action and I should draw lines and paint the charts for him . I wonder,that he doesent know that there is always price action! We just need to look at the charts. Above is also a chart. Lol. But drawing lines, projection ghost lines is Not trading! It is drawing and painting. Whatever: Fundamentals align with long term trend sentiment: Bearish. Sure surprises will always be present.Thats speculation! Therefor:Put always stops. And dont follow blindly any trade idea. Also my trade idea is just an idea. But you should take responssibility to take your own decision. Because you trade with your own money. EMAS: 15 min. 200MA, 3min. 200MA Stop above val of yesterday Resisatnce:POC of yesterday red line. Breakthrough above the red line is bullish setup, and leading to val of yesterday If rejected, falls back.If holds above the price will climb.I dont think that it happens, because the trend continutation pattern I use(There are billions of trend continuation patterns!!!!!!!! Also billions of ways to define a trend!!!!!) is currently bearish!.... Ofcourse on any other TF you will have billions of reasons to do the opposite of trade idea,you you are welcomed. Have a good trading day.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDShort
by DaveBrascoFX
15-Min Bitcoin Setup – Quick Scalping Opportunity?First of all, I must say that this is a short-term analysis in a 15-minute time frame . Please be careful . Let's take risks while respecting capital management. Be sure to respect capital management. Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the support zone($84,120_$81,500) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) near the lower line of the ascending channel . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could complete its 5 bearish waves near the lower line of the ascending channel . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to be able to rise to at least $85,400. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $86,397_$85,760 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,262_$83,336 Note: One of the reasons for Bitcoin's decline is the decline in US indices such as CME_MINI:NQ1! , SP:SPX , and TVC:DJI . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $83,000, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
30
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack to Heavy Resistance Zone!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) was successful in three moves , as I expected in my previous post . I still think Bitcoin will NOT stop trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) . Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($87,100_$85,800) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,376_$85,411) . Regarding the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . If we look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart on the 4-hour time frame , USDT.D% is pulling back to the Uptrend line and is currently in the Resistance zone(5.30%-5.15%) . There is a possibility of completing the Bearish Flag Pattern .👇 I expect Bitcoin to rise again in the coming hours and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,400, we can expect more dumps. Market Developments: GameStop announced BTC adoption as a treasury asset, signaling growing corporate interest. Trump Media partnered with Crypto to launch crypto ETFs, adding institutional momentum. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
56
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup: Potential Reversal & Target Proje200 EMA (Blue): 86,960.21 30 EMA (Red): 86,149.39 The price is currently below both EMAs, indicating a short-term bearish trend. Key Levels: Stop Loss: 83,954.20 (marked in blue at the bottom) Re-entry Level: 86,198.54 (near the 30 EMA) Target Price: 89,056.91 Support & Resistance Zones: Strong Support Zone: Around 83,954.20 Intermediate Resistance: Near 86,198.54 Major Resistance Zone: Close to 89,056.91 Trade Setup & Projection: The chart suggests a potential reversal from the support zone. The expected price movement shows a bounce from support, a breakthrough of the intermediate resistance, and a push toward the target price (89,056.91). The expected gain is 4,509.86 points (5.34%). Conclusion: If BTC holds the support zone, an upside move is likely. Breaking above 86,198.54 would confirm a bullish reversal. Failing to hold support at 83,954.20 could lead to further downside.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Bitcoin’s Next Challenge – Can BTC Break the Heavy Resistance?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise from the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) as I expected in the previous post . The question is, can Bitcoin break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) and Resistance lines ? Please stay with me. Bitcoin appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) and is preparing for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) . In terms of waves, Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of microwave C of the main wave Y . The waves structure inside the Ascending Channel appears to be of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to prepare for its first attack on the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), the upper line of the ascending channel , the monthly pivot point , 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Resistance lines after completing the pullback to the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800 ) and fill first CME Gap($86,640_$86,520) . I think the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) could be the zone to start a new decline for Bitcoin. I chose the label of this analysis ''SHORT'' because I think Bitcoin is in a bit of a risky zone for a LONG position, what do you think? Note: If Bitcoin goes over $91,000, we can expect more pumps. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,200 before hitting the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200), we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
44
Bitcoin’s Next Move – Another Attack on Resistance zone?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell to $83,400 as I expected in the previous analysis , the question is whether Bitcoin will continue to decline or not. Please stay with me. Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($84,120_$81,500) and near the Support lines . The way Bitcoin has moved and decreased since yesterday until now has been such that it seems that Bitcoin can attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) at least once more. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , given Bitcoin’s movements over the past few hours, it appears that Bitcoin is completing a microwave B of the main wave Y . I expect Bitcoin to be able to attack the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) once again and if it breaks, I have marked the next targets on the chart . Do you think Bitcoin can touch $90,000 again? Note: If Bitcoin goes below $81,800, we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
45
Bitcoin at Key Resistance – Will Bears Take Control?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in the previous posts . Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) , the upper line of the Ascending Channel , and the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect Bitcoin to start declining from the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) again, the first target could be $83,400 and the second target can be the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) filling. Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance zone($87,100_$85,800) we can expect more pumps. This analysis is in line with the following analysis that I shared with you on the weekly timeframe. 👇 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
27
Bitcoin at the D-Point of a Bullish Gartley – What’s Next?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($80,600_$79,000) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support line . Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Gartley is a harmonic pattern that signals a potential reversal in an uptrend after a corrective move. It consists of five points (X-A-B-C-D) and follows specific Fibonacci retracements, with the D-point acting as a key buying zone. Regarding Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin is completing the microwave B of the main wave Y . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys . I expect Bitcoin to rise at least to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage . If the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) is broken, we can expect further increases in Bitcoin . Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($80,600_$79,000), we can expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
16
Inverse Head & Shoulders in Play – Bitcoin’s Bullish Setup!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $84,500 as I expected in my previous post (even higher). Right now it seems like Bitcoin has managed to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and the 200_SMA(Daily) . The formation of the classic pattern , the Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern , could be a sign that Bitcoin is preparing to break the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) . Another Classic Pattern that we can see on the one-hour Bitcoin chart and hope for an increase in Bitcoin is the Fan Principle at the Bottom Pattern . Educational tip : The Fan Principle at the Bottom is a bullish reversal pattern where the price forms a series of downward trendline breaks, signaling weakening bearish momentum. As each trendline is broken, buying pressure increases, leading to a potential uptrend. According to Elliott Wave theory , with the resistance zone broken, we can expect Bitcoin to enter the next impulsive wave , which will likely continue to at least $86,300 . Also, Today's U.S. economic data release could significantly impact financial markets, including Bitcoin : UoM Consumer Sentiment : 57.9 (Forecast: 63.1 | Previous: 64.7) – A sharp decline, indicating consumer pessimism about the economy. UoM Inflation Expectations : 4.9% (Previous: 4.3%) – A worrying increase, which could push the Fed toward a more hawkish stance. Declining consumer sentiment may pressure the Fed to adopt a more accommodative stance, which is positive for risk assets like Bitcoin. Rising inflation expectations could increase demand for inflation-hedge assets like Bitcoin. However, if the Fed sees inflation rising as a concern, they may maintain a tighter policy, which could weigh on markets. Today's data presents mixed signals, but falling consumer confidence and rising inflation expectations could ultimately fuel Bitcoin's next leg up. Based on the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the upper resistance zone($87,000_$85,820) after completing its pullback and complete the mission of filling the CME Gap($86,400_$85,595) . Of course, a CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) has also formed. In your opinion, has Bitcoin finished its correction or created an opportunity for us to escape again? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $81,300, we should expect further declines. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $87,800, we should expect further increases. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
54
Bitcoin under 40k? Possible, but is this also probable?In life, anything is possible , and when it comes to crypto, everything is possible . But, as I mentioned in my educational post yesterday, there’s a big difference between what is possible and what is probable. In this article, I want to analyze the possibility of Bitcoin dropping below $40,000 and more importantly, what would need to happen for this scenario to shift from just possible to truly probable. ________________________________________ BTC — From All-Time High to Distribution? If we look at the Bitcoin chart, we notice that after the first all-time high very close to $100,000 at the end of November, the market began a consolidation phase. Although we saw two more all-time highs — one around $108,000 in mid-December and another near $110,000 in January — the entire structure from late November to late February appears to be a distribution pattern rather than a healthy continuation. Once Bitcoin broke below $90,000, we can consider this distribution phase complete, with a target for short positions around $75,000 — a level I’ve highlighted in my previous posts. ________________________________________ Long-Term Logarithmic Chart — Diminishing Returns and the Bigger Picture Looking at the long-term logarithmic chart, we can see a clear pattern of diminishing returns: • The first major leg up, starting in late 2011, was approximately 600x and lasted about two years, followed by a correction. • The next leg was 100x, spanning four years, followed by another correction. • Then, a 20x rally, which lasted just over a year. • Finally, the most recent leg up has been around 7x. What’s crucial here is that returns are decreasing and, even more importantly, the last leg up looks more like an ascending channel than a parabolic move like in previous cycles. ________________________________________ The Significance of the Ascending Channel This ascending channel is not unusual — the market has matured, and big players are now involved, reducing volatility. However, ascending channels on the long-term often signal potential reversals, rather than continuation. ________________________________________ What Would Make $40,000 Probable? Now, let’s address the real question: What would need to happen for Bitcoin to drop to $40,000? Zooming in on the logarithmic chart, it becomes evident that the $72,000 - $75,000 zone is a major support confluence. If this area is broken — meaning a weekly candle closes below this level — the scenario of BTC dropping toward $40,000 becomes probable. The target zone I’m watching in this case is $32,000 - $36,000, a strong historical support that is clearly visible on higher timeframes. ________________________________________ Conclusion — Watch the Key Levels, Not What you Hope To conclude: • Bitcoin dropping to those extreme levels is possible, but not yet probable. • Probabilities will shift only if key support levels are broken — specifically $72k-$75k. • The market has matured, cycles are changing, and returns are diminishing, so expecting a repeat of past parabolic runs may not be realistic. • As traders and investors, we must focus on the charts and key levels, not on hopium and hype.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Potential Bullish BreakoutCurrent Market Overview: Price: $83,295 24h Change: -1.24% (-$1,043.43) Exchange: Binance (2-Day Timeframe) Technical Breakdown: Support Levels: 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement: ~$77,262 – This level has acted as a significant support area. Trendline Support: Bitcoin is currently bouncing off a key ascending trendline that has been respected since mid-2023. Major Fibonacci Support: Lower retracement levels at $67,346 (50%), $57,430 (61.8%), and $50,539 (70%) indicate potential deeper corrections if the trendline breaks. Resistance Levels: Key Resistance at $106,183 - $109,588: A breakout above this zone could trigger a rally toward new all-time highs. Psychological Level at $100,000: A critical milestone for BTC that could act as temporary resistance. Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin maintains support above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and trendline, a potential breakout above $109,588 could push prices toward $130,000. The upward projection aligns with historical price action and Fibonacci extensions. Bearish Scenario: A break below $77,262 could lead to further downside, with possible retracements to $67,346 (50%) or lower levels like $50,539 (70%). The long-term trendline breakdown would be a major bearish signal. Conclusion & Strategy: Short-Term: Look for confirmation of support at $77,262 before entering long positions. Mid-Term: If BTC breaks $109,588 with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward $130,000 is likely. Risk Management: A drop below $77,000 could invalidate the bullish setup, prompting caution. 🚀 Bullish Outlook Above $109,588 | ⚠️ Caution Below $77,000
by ultreosforex
1
Bullish Quasimodo in Play – Bitcoin’s Next Target: $84,500?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) attacked the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) again as I expected yesterday . Has Bitcoin given up or is it gathering momentum to attack the resistance zone again? What do you think? Bitcoin is moving near Yearly Pivot Point and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($80,537_$78,390) . From Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing an Expanding Flat(ABC/5-3-5) corrective wave . According to the Price Action , Bitcoin appears to be completing the Bullish Quasimodo Pattern . Educational Note : The Bullish Quasimodo Pattern is a reversal pattern that signals a potential uptrend after a downtrend. It forms when the price creates a lower low followed by a higher high and a higher low, confirming a shift in market structure. I expect Bitcoin will NOT leave the CME Gap($86,400_$84,650) unfilled and will rise to at least $84,500 . What do you think, will Bitcoin leave this CME Gap($86,400_$84,650)? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $78,800, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
35
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Potential Impact on Bitcoin : Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin Historical Influence : In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin. I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!? Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) . Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend. Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
18