BTCUSDT Could Go Lower to 30115.0
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Hi Traders, BTCUSDT on H1 is in the Bearish channel, it seems that after the rejection from the lower band of the channel because of the pressure from the bears it couldn’t go much higher from the band, I think before reaching the upper band of the channel it will reverse and go down to 31685.0 and then 30115.0
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Btcsignals
TRXUSDT Is about to Breakout of the Triangle
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Hi Traders, TRXUSDT on H4 if it breaks above the Resistance line there would be a possibility for long. If it breaks below the Support line it might go around 0.059 before it goes up
⬆️Buy at 0.059 or Buy at Resistance Breakout
⭕️SL @ 0.055
✅TP1 @ 0.073
✅TP2 @ 0.082
✅TP3 @ 0.092
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ONEUSDT Can Reach 0.090
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Hi Traders, ONEUSDT on H4 after breaking above the Resistance, Retest and Rejection has formed a large green candle which indicates Bulls are in power. The market potentially can go higher to 0.090
⬆️Buy now or Buy at 0.065
⭕️SL @ SL @ 0.057
✅TP1 @ 0.09
✅TP2 @ 0.12
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IQBUSD Can Go hHigher
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Hi Traders, IQBUSD on H1 after breakout, retest and rejection has been making HLs. There is good potential that the pair goes higher. To 0.0145
⬆️Buy now or Buy at 0.0107
⭕️SL @ 0.0080
✅TP1 @ 0.0145
✅TP2 @ 0.0175
✅TP3 @ 0.0215
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DODOUSDT Has Been Making HHs and HLs on H1
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Hi Traders, DODOUSDT on H1 has broken above a long term Resistance line and also has been making HHs and HLs, Potentially it can go to 1.031
⬆️Buy now or Buy at 0.883
⭕️SL @ 0.790
✅TP1 @ 1.031
✅TP2 @ 1.23
✅TP3 @ 1.50
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BCHUSDT Is Going up in the Bullish Channel
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Hi Traders, BCHUSDT on H4 has broken above the Bearish channel with 2 large green candles and it has been making HHs and HLs which all indicates the market could go higher. The first TP must be the upper line of the Bullish channel.
⬆️Buy now or Buy at 501.0
⭕️SL @ 420.0
✅TP1 @ 632.0
✅TP2 @ 782.0
✅TP3 @ 1007.0
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BITCOIN Is it repeating the late 2019 formation?Bitcoin's price action since the May sell-off has drawn many comparisons to blow-off tops of its cyclical Bear Cycles. However as the consolidation since the May 19 low continues, it displays more and more similarities with the late 2019 price action, which was a mini bear phase following the very aggressive rise of April/ May/ June 2019 that was based to a big extend on the 'Libra mania'.
** Similarities with 2019 **
On the 1D time-frame the two sequences (today and late 2019) have one key similarity that stands out. The price was 'squeezed' within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (bold red trend-line) following a 1D Death Cross (when the 1D MA50 crosses below the 1D MA200). The second is that both started trading below a Lower Highs trend-line of a -13o angle. Right now the 1W MA50 is supporting, almost the same way it did in October 2019, and even though it marginally broke in November - December (2019), it was what initiated a strong rebound to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
** The RSI bullish divergence **
The support of the 1W MA50 is key as it is being achieved despite Bitcoin being on Lower Lows (LL) while the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows (HL). This is a Bullish Divergence and was also seen both during October and late Nov - early Dec 2019. This divergence was enough to start the rebound to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
** Fundamentals took over **
It can be argued that if it wasn't for the 'once in a decade' event of the March 2020 COVID crash, Bitcoin would have extended the rebound past the 0.618 Fib, essentially fully completing the recovery. We can't know that for sure but such an abnormal event should be classified as an anomaly and be taken into consideration as such. We can argue that the May 2021 sell-off wasn't just a technical correction of the very aggressive October 2020 - April 2021 parabolic rise but was also fueled by very negative fundamentals (Tesla, China-miners etc).
Have all the negative fundamentals priced in already? We can't know for sure but if they have, the Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI definitely shows something.
What do you think? Is this MA50 squeeze about to kick-start a rebound to the 0.618 Fib and if yes has the market digested all the negative fundamentals so that, as opposed to the COVID crash, it can resume the long-term Bull Trend? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
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Bitcoin: Frosty 🥶🥶🥶We are still expecting lower prices for Bitcoin as we are approaching the blue trading zone. Within that area, the price should recover and push for a bullish run. However, it should not drop below $16400. If the price increases and crosses the resistance line at $42300 (30% probability), we should see new all-time highs much earlier.
Have a great weekend!
BTCUSD: Quick analysis Fib channel and Elliot wave showing our corrective zones for completion of short term correction,
8h chart showing the levels to be watching if no eq break up from a current completed C , BTC still showing she is still yet to complete the end of wave C before further upside, I will go into more detail at a later date , for now playing scalp trades inside the current channel is worth while taking entry notes via stoch rsi , macd , and KC band confluence until we either break up out of EQ into a wave 1 or wave B of primary ss count meaning 1 more corrective leg , we are coming close to the end of a wave, as far as technicals , BTC is looking pretty maxed out on most TF'S not to say full may enter the tank at anytime, but from a technical stand point, a tight scalp stop under and above current wicks playing os/ob conditions or patently awaiting a breakout or breakdown into ranges of technical interest .
BTC could turn bullish again, but the price needs to breach $35KCryptocurrency market is still under the regulation’s pressure.
BTC has been moving inside a range between 30-41K USD since 19th of May. 5 weeks without any clear trend - this is a serious psychological challenge for the beginners on the financial market, especially for new crypto-traders, who came for the quickly results.
But this is a common situation for the professional traders, for those who have been trading many years. Professional knows that after long consolidations always comes a huge movement. And all you need is to be prepared for this moment.
BTC now down around 50% from its April peak. And the main question for crypto community is «So, is it the bottom or not?». Without any doubts, crypto bulls are here, support areal $31’000 per BTC had been worked 5 times already.
However, the price didn’t breach the resistance area at $41’000, so the signal of the potential uptrend moving didn’t exist yet.
What is the main reason for the crypto market weakness?
In my opinion, this is a Chinese crypto ban. But this weakness could be the benefits in the future. Why? Let me explain.
The People’s Bank of China has intensified its crackdown on crypto. Government sad that “virtual currency trading activities disrupt the normal economic and financial orders, breed the risks of illegal cross-border transfer of assets, money laundering and other illegal and criminal activities, and seriously infringe the people’s property safety.
China focuses on CBDC. But why?
The question is - if the PBoC is such against the traditional crypto, why they create its own digital currency? The answer in the one word is «CONTROL». Chinese CBDC, cyber yuan, will stands to give Beijing power to track spending in real time, plus money that isn’t linked to the dollar-dominated global financial system.
China plans to be the world’s most advanced blockchain technology by 2025. But it means the centralization and control increasing.
The country is currently rolling out its CBDC, promoting them through lotteries across the country - $6.2 million digital yuan is raffled for Beijing residents in the lottery. China has also added digital yuan support to over 3,000 ATMs across Beijing. And several banks in China already offering cash exchange services for the digital yuan.
Chinese ban for miners - is it a smart decision?
The regional Chinese government in Sichuan announced it would shutting down more than two dozen suspected cryptocurrency-mining operations in the hydroelectricity-rich region.
Bitcoin mining facilities in other parts of China received orders to cease operations. Yunnan province, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Qinghai have also ordered crypto mining operations to shut down amid investigations into the alleged illegal use of power for bitcoin mining activities. The move has also seen China prohibit financial institutions from using crypto services.
China was a crypto-mining capital of the world. But that time is over.
In the aftermath of the mining ban in Sichuan, which shut down over 90% of the country’s crypto mining, Chinese miners are moving their operations to other, more crypto-friendly nations like the US, Kazakhstan, Canada, and Russia. Mining becomes a geopolitical decision concerning monetary policy and the wealth of nations.
Does this affect users?
Large-scale bans in bitcoin mining in China have seen the decline in mining hash rate reaching the 2019 levels. Bitcoin’s hash rate was on an uptrend in 2021, hitting 198M TH/s on May 15. It has since dropped to nearly 58.46M TH/s for Jun 27 2021.
Bitcoin Network Hash Rate is at a current level of 58.46M, down from 88.19M yesterday and down from 115.23M one year ago. This is a change of -33.71% from yesterday and -49.27% from one year ago. Most Chinese Bitcoin pools like AntPool and F2Pool have witnessed a drop of more than 50% in their hash rate.
Miners shut down are temporary. However, a drop in the hash rate means chances of landing on the correct hash to earn Bitcoin are very low. In addition to miners from China trying to shift shop offshore as soon as possible, Bitcoin has an inbuilt safeguard that will push hash rates level back up with time.
The largest infrastructure displacement in modern history is taking place - roughly 45% of the bitcoin mining industry is relocating countries and continents.
What is a prospect for BTC?
The psychological $30K support level has held strong as Bitcoin prices rise back into their range-bound channel. Currently, the price is trying to breach the first resistance level at $35K per BTC.
After a potential breakout of the current resistance, the next target will be $41K per BTC. However, as long as the pressure of regulators on the market persists, all we should be prepared for a potential decline to the level of $20K.
Disclaimer:
All investment strategies and investments involve the risk of loss. Nothing contained in this article should be construed as investment advice. Any reference to an investment's past or potential performance is not, and should not be construed as a recommendation or as a guarantee of any specific outcome or profit.
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BTCUSD: Support and resistance Zones for long bias aside shortHolding K.C Band on the 8h chart, for btc to test upper targets we first must break marked resistance blocks for any continuation to the upside,
we can wait for a break out of block 1 for a scalp , block 2 for a better R.R intra D swing, a break below current support without a wick up back into cahnnel may spell a further retracement into the 25-22k range before upside movements on a larger scale. ,
we may have completed our corrective cycle on a macro level around these price points, simply put you can play this a few ways, wait for a break out of res, Long a high r.r from upper support block with a tight stop or dca ladder under prev wick low, or again wait for break down confirmation into a short swing towards 25-22k long blocks., never oveer trade, always plan and remember to look left ;)
Bitcoin Roadmap (Version 2) This is an updated version of my previous TA "Bitcoin roadmap" which I will include below.
Using the Total Crypto Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin ) chart I have found a potential market cycle top later in 2022 which I go over briefly in "Bitcoin Roadmap" about having a lot of Fibonacci Time Zone dates around that time. Have a look below at this TA how I came up with that conclusion.
So if Bitcoin breaks Momentum Shift 1 before reaching Momentum Shift 2 price trajectory will peak in January 2022 but if Bitcoin takes longer to break, Momentum Shift 2 trajectory is April 2022.
The orange dotted line across the chart with the blue drop is showing where the top Fibonacci Log regression would be.
So we all know that last cycle Bitcoin peaked and then 28days later alt coin market peaked , well looking into this cycle so far exactly the same thing has happened, Bitcoin peaked at 65k and exactly 28days later the alt coin market peaked , incredible how it played out the same way.
Cycle Peak Zone 1
Fibonacci Time Zone = 10th January 2022
Fibonacci level 0.5
Fibonacci log growth 150000
Cycle Peak Zone 2
This date is now based on the idea that total crypto market cap will peak around that date , also on top of the Fibonacci Log regression and on 0.618 Fib.
Bitcoin Roadmap Version 1