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BTC thesis by Titan_KarmaBitcoin Investment Thesis Market Analysis Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $96,938.18, showing potential for bullish momentum. The recommendation is to OPEN LONG positions, supported by technical and market indicators suggesting upside potential. Key Technical Indicators Stop-loss: Positioned at $95,000.00, providing a safety net against sudden price drops while allowing room for market fluctuations. Take-profit: Targeted at $103,000.00, aligning with recent resistance levels for an optimal risk-reward ratio. Exit Point: Set at $100,000.00, offering a balanced opportunity for securing partial profits before hitting the take-profit level. Confidence Level With a confidence level of 75%, this strategy reflects cautious optimism. While the data supports a bullish move, traders should remain vigilant due to the neutral correlation and market volatility. Correlation with BTC The neutral correlation (0.00) indicates BTC is moving independently, unaffected by broader market dynamics or external asset influences. Position Analysis Open Long Positions: None currently, presenting an opportunity to capitalize on the suggested strategy. Open Short Positions: None, indicating no significant bearish sentiment in the market. Risk Management Strategy Entry should occur near the current price of $96,938.18, with a well-defined stop-loss at $95,000.00 to minimize downside risk. The take-profit at $103,000.00 provides an attractive upside, and the exit point at $100,000.00 allows for partial profit-taking. Maintain flexibility to adjust the stop-loss and take-profit levels based on evolving market conditions. Recommendation OPEN LONG positions near the current price, targeting the upper resistance level at $103,000.00. The neutral correlation and technical setup support this strategy, but traders should monitor the market closely for sudden shifts in sentiment or price action.
Long
by titankarma
Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...Bitcoin, we're testing a correction... Not to scare anyone, testing 3 situations..... on the last developed tool. 1. growth on the last 2 fractal structures is over, so a fall follows and the trend will change, but the older structure allows maximum growth around 118000. 2. a global decline follows around 46/43000 and then 37/36000/ on the current chart. 3. very, very soon we are in for a correction in the 66666 area..... many altcoins will probably make a new low and then a rapid rise - here I am testing a correction following a growth pattern. .... I wrote for the future. ...This is not investment advice. ...If anyone finds my postings useful and wants to thank me, they can always find me in the comments. Disclaimer, the author of this article has not and will not open positions in bitcoins, this article is a way to analyze the price, do not open positions based on the above.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?Bitcoin What to do and where to run to? Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important. Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction. Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction. In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts. What will happen next? Two main scenarios now: 1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values. 2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the sellers. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels. At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side. Write in the comments, what is your mood? Do you want to sell or strong hold?
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
BTCUSD Correction may Continue Bitcoin briefly dipped below $94,000 earlier this week but recovered strongly, stabilizing around the $100,000 mark by Friday. Despite these mixed sentiments this week, institutional demand remained strong, adding $1.72 billion until Thursday. Bla bla bla! The COO of Indian crypto exchange Giottustold FXstreet that the financial incentive for investors is to support adding Bitcoin to a company’s balance sheet. Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $100K level, trading near $100,100 on Friday after a recent decline earlier this week. The recent pullback in BTC was mostly due to high-leverage traders and some holders booking profits. Despite Microsoft’s rejection of adding Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet, institutional demand remained strong, recording a total inflow of $1.72 billion until Thursday. Giottus COO Arjun Vijay highlighted the growing financial incentive for companies to adopt Bitcoin on their balance sheets. Bitcoin reaction this week
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by POWERFUL_TRADERS
#BTC - Ready to pivot and head to 108k In my latest post I mentioned that we might visit 93-95k. Sadly for alt coins that resulted in a massive bloodbath, but fear not, it is a healthy pullback meant to clear leverage, that will fuel the next move on #BTC What's next for BINANCE:BTCUSDT ? 1. After the reaction swing high to 102k price now retraced into the 0.618 zone 2. It also fits perfectly on the fib time zone, and as we've seen in the past, it signalled almost perfectly the reversal in the trend 3. Given the massive sell-off from alts, I believe now it has enough strength to move to the extension zone which is around 108k 4. Based on the impulse we should know if it's just a manipulation or it will continue to go higher Personally I think we should see another sweep from 108k to 90-95k, and only afterwards we can continue higher to 120k What are your thoughts?
Long
by tamastery
4
#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC? As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis: 1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected 2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k 3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal) 4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
by tamastery
2
BTC/USD: Navigating ATHs, Corrections, Long-Term TrajectoriesBitcoin has recently achieved a new all-time high (ATH), signaling strong bullish momentum. However, historical patterns suggest that a significant correction is imminent, with a potential decline of 32% to the $70,000 level. This critical juncture will define Bitcoin’s next move and its long-term trajectory. Key Scenarios for BTC’s Path: Scenario 1: Consolidation Above $90,000 and Push to $120,000 (March 2025) Bitcoin’s first challenge is to maintain support above $90,000. If successful, the bullish momentum could drive BTC to a new ATH of $120,000 by March 2025. Following this peak, BTC may face a significant correction to $40,000, signaling the end of the current market cycle. Scenario 2: Correction to $70,000 Before Reclaiming $120,000 (July 2025) If BTC struggles to hold $90,000, it could drop to $70,000 for a deeper correction. After this retracement, a rebound could see BTC reaching $105,000–$109,000, before ultimately achieving the $120,000 ATH by July 2025. This path ensures a more sustainable rally but still concludes with a cycle-ending correction to $40,000. Long-Term Outlook: The Lowest Lows (2026) As the market cools and enters a bearish phase, BTC may experience its lowest low between April and July 2026, targeting: $38,000 (most likely scenario). $33,000 (worst-case scenario). Key Buying Opportunities: For long-term investors, BTC’s anticipated price movements create excellent entry points: First Buy: $41,000 Second Buy: $39,000 Best Buy: $33,000 Summary of BTC’s Cyclical Movement: Short-Term: Fight to stay above $90,000 and potentially hit $120,000 by March 2025. Mid-Term: Correct to $70,000 before establishing a new ATH by July 2025. Long-Term: Fall to $38,000–$33,000 by mid-2026, marking the lowest phase of the cycle. This roadmap emphasizes BTC’s cyclical nature, offering both opportunities and risks for investors to navigate strategically.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
BTC Parallel Channel in Daily ChartOn the BTCUSD daily chart, we can observe that Bitcoin's price has been oscillating within a well-defined parallel channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line serves as support. This channel has been respected multiple times, making it a reliable indicator for future price movements. Key Observations : Resistance and Support : The upper trend line has consistently acted as a resistance level, limiting the upward movement of BTC. The lower trend line has provided strong support, preventing significant downward breakouts. Price Action: The price has touched the upper trend line many times, indicating a strong resistance level. Similarly, the lower trend line has been tested few times, confirming its role as a robust support level. Potential Breakout : A breakout above the upper trend line could signal a bullish trend continuation, leading to higher price levels. Conversely, a breakdown below the lower trend line might indicate a bearish trend reversal, resulting in lower price levels. Technical Indicators: To complement the parallel channel analysis, I have included the following technical indicators: 50-Day Moving Average (50 DMA): Provides a smoothed trend direction. 200-Day Moving Average (200 DMA): Indicates long-term trend direction and potential reversal points. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions. Conclusion: The parallel channel on the BTC daily chart provides valuable insights into potential price movements. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trend line for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trend line for a bearish signal. Additionally, keeping an eye on the included technical indicators can help confirm these signals and enhance trading decisions. Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by rukshan2102
Altseason is Here - Follow Triangle BreakoutLong positions are piling up on Bitcoin (BTC) after each other. I think that investors follow the consolidation to buy more. Know that symmetrical triangles can break on either side. Enabling you to follow the breakout, I made this chart. This chart shows a symmetrical triangle tracing Bitcoin price action. High as investors' risk appetite is, any drawback is potentially considered an opportunity. I estimate that large-cap altcoins will do even better. So, it might be a good idea to follow up on Ethereum.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Elysian_Mind
BITCOIN UPDATE: MUST READ!!!I may get a lot of criticism for this, but before you write a hate comment, please read the update carefully. November has been a great month for BTC, with a solid 48% gain, pushing it to a new all-time high. This growth has also benefited altcoins. Currently, BTC is facing rejection, and if it undergoes a correction, we are likely to see levels around FWB:73K –$74k by February 2025. The RSI is already in the overbought zone and is displaying a bearish divergence pattern. The only way BTC can avoid this rejection is by breaking above its new all-time high. I plan to follow this pattern unless BTC successfully breaks above its all-time high. That’s all for now. I hope this helps you make better decisions. As always, conduct your own research and analysis before investing. Thank you!
Short
by Dexter_The_Trader
BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!! The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements. The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout. The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay? Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices. Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum. Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again. My Position and Outlook I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase. In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis. Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs. Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
by Data_Driven_Trading
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello, BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy. Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue. I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Setting Up for a Pullback and An Opportunity?👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently dipped from a key liquidity area and is now revisiting previous highs. This movement has traders watching closely for what could come next. I'm eyeing a possible buying setup, but only if it retraces to a balanced price level and confirms with a bullish structural shift. 🛠️ Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and trade responsibly. 📢
Long
by fxtraderanthony
10
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Major Crash? Warning Signs Ahead!👀👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has recently surged to all-time highs, but is the rally about to reverse? On the 1M monthly timeframe, a key horizontal resistance level is flashing warning signals. BTC appears heavily overbought, and the trend shows clear signs of overextension. 📉 Using advanced trading concepts like Wyckoff theory and ICT methodology, this video breaks down: 
 - How historical price action reveals similar overextended moves that led to significant pullbacks. - Why the Fibonacci tool suggests a potential retracement to equilibrium after a parabolic price swing. - The lack of smart money accumulation since the last major price breakout, signaling potential vulnerabilities. 🔍 We’ll examine two key scenarios: 1. Bearish Opportunity: If price action breaks structure and takes out existing range lows, it could signal a deeper correction. 2. Bullish Opportunity: If BTC trades into a discounted zone below equilibrium, this could present a strong buy opportunity for longer-term positioning. 📊 This analysis is for educational purposes only and highlights the importance of managing risk in a market known for its volatility. Past performance is no guarantee of future results—trade wisely and always assess your risk tolerance! 👉 Don’t miss this critical breakdown. Learn how to read the charts like a pro and prepare for what’s next in Bitcoin’s journey!📊
by fxtraderanthony
45