Bitcoin update before enter the weekendA small bitcoin update before we go into the weekend... I expect a small correction due the LTF distribution of Bitcoin...
Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC Trade IdeaBTC BITCOIN is overextended, Im looking for a break of the range low and continuation for a counter trend short. Not financial advice.
BTC/USDT.P update - Post ElectionThere are two potential scenarios currently. One is that we continue to push into price discovery and the bull run officially starts, or we will have a decent pull back that traps all the easy retail loans at the top before the actual bull starts....
I think both are likely and I'm not here to predict, but I am going to prepare for both situations.
I've marked in yellow circle indicating where the pull back is likely to land if we do see one. If we don't, I am already packed with previous accumulations and I'm happy to ride this bull with some left over sideline capital.
It's never a good idea to spend all your resources at any given time, that is like "show hand", you can play it where you always have left over resource to do something and put yourself in an advantage. It is my opinion of course, but it's been working out great for me so far. Trade safely guys, no matter what, something is about to get down LOL. @Nate Alert
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf we ignore the election, we had a bearish weekly candle close this past week so I anticipate a sizeable pull back. If we considering election effects, usually the election week is bearish and then an unconditional rally comes soon after; typically it will last till the end of the year. If this pattern holds true, I would personally hedge a trade to profit on both sides. I'm still long term BTC bullish, but this week, I will consider shorting to hedge against my longs. I have marked a few places where I would take TPs on the short and DCA for my longs for you to reference. Trade safely! @Nate Alert
BTC Parallel Channel in Daily ChartOn the BTCUSD daily chart, we can observe that Bitcoin's price has been oscillating within a well-defined parallel channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line serves as support. This channel has been respected multiple times, making it a reliable indicator for future price movements.
Key Observations :
Resistance and Support :
The upper trend line has consistently acted as a resistance level, limiting the upward movement of BTC.
The lower trend line has provided strong support, preventing significant downward breakouts.
Price Action:
The price has touched the upper trend line many times, indicating a strong resistance level.
Similarly, the lower trend line has been tested few times, confirming its role as a robust support level.
Potential Breakout :
A breakout above the upper trend line could signal a bullish trend continuation, leading to higher price levels.
Conversely, a breakdown below the lower trend line might indicate a bearish trend reversal, resulting in lower price levels.
Technical Indicators:
To complement the parallel channel analysis, I have included the following technical indicators:
50-Day Moving Average (50 DMA): Provides a smoothed trend direction.
200-Day Moving Average (200 DMA): Indicates long-term trend direction and potential reversal points.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Indicates overbought or oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
The parallel channel on the BTC daily chart provides valuable insights into potential price movements. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trend line for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trend line for a bearish signal. Additionally, keeping an eye on the included technical indicators can help confirm these signals and enhance trading decisions.
Disclaimer : The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BTCUSDHigh Quality Pullback or Continuation Trade according to SMC defined everything in this chart even 1H demand conformation and entry conformation.
BTC/USDT.P UpdateIf you haven't already, you might want to take advantage of this retrace to start building towards BTC ath breakout that is most likely coming in the near future. Here are some great DCA points you can take advantage of if that is what you would like to do. This is what I'm doing 😄
Trade safely, and remember to play on both sides! @Nate Alert
USTD.D updateThis is USDT.D, a reverse indication to how BTC will perform based on money flow concepts. It looks like USDT.D is starting to form a bullish harmonic pattern and if it does and plays out, BTC will dump. Now only that, the PRZ (potential reversal zone) on the harmonic pattern has weight being based on both yearly VWAP as well as a trend line that is based on Fib levels. Therefore, I am looking for quick short scalps today as I believe a retrace is coming.
Analysis can always be wrong based on these, so no matter what or how much you trust me, trade safely and have back up plans! @Nate Alert
BTC TargetsBitcoin next targets Fibo
We could see Bitcoin reach the targets shown in chart using fibo
Always do your research
BTC/USDT.P UpdateI know you guys are excited about the bull action that finally came after a long wait, but this is where things can get volatile due to manipulation. Remember, if the price action is this obvious all the time, everyone would have been billionaires lol.
Always keep an eye behind you and play on both sides of the market is the best way to go. With that said, we actually did not have a daily candle close "above" the previous major swing high, that is also what I considered as the CHOCH for the bullish trend change. I would be very interested to see if we can give it another attempt today and finally close above that major swing level at 70078. If we close above it on the daily candle, I'll be more bullish, until then, I expect pull backs to grab more liquidity. If it does dump, I'll be ready to accumulate more into my long positions.
Trade safely guys! @Nate Alert
PS** congrats to all the wins from last night's stream, glad to see so many of you making money!
BTC Gap created We may see the Bitcoin gap closed sooner than later, the last 2 were close when the fake news about USDT and Israel-Iran attack happened. We may see some volatile moves this weeks. Crude Oil drop, USA Yields rising as well as the SP500 big companies earnings.
Always do your research
BTC/USDT.P UpdateNew week, new start. Here we are closing the week without any new bullish momentum which makes me suspect we are gonna need to seek out more liquidity before breaking above this trend line level.
I've in this daily tf chart marked potential levels of where it could retrace to. It would be a swing trade or you can see this as potentially building your position before the bull rally starts to finally break that ATH into price discovery.
I still think you need to trade with risk management regardless, because there are a lot of potential event volatilities coming up in the near future. I'll be scalping more in streams and swing in these market updates. Trade safely!
BTC/USDT.P Trade setupSwing Trade:
if today's daily candle closes confirming the lower high, I would be interested to get into a swing short as we are likely retracing further down for a lower low retest some of the previous broke out areas.
However, if in 7 hours and today's candle closes bullish and continues the the trend upwards, then this idea would be invalidated.
I would not get into this trade until the this daily candle closes. It is Friday, and price action can get crazy (as you can see for the past few hours lol), trade safely.
BTC CME 2 GapsBTC CME 2 Gaps
We can see 2 gaps that may be closed sooner than later, we also have couple gaps in the upper area in lower timeframes
Always do your research
Bitcoin will obliterate the 69k markCRYPTOCAP:BTC will obliterate the 69k mark ‼️
Buy as much as you can
BTC/USDT.P Market AnalysisHey guys, happy Friday. The analysis today will be an interesting one as we close out the week. Although recent price action has been relatively bullish, we have only closed above the most recent swing high trend line. That means the buyer dominance isn't as strong or will need more liquidity to push through the next level (yellow circle).
Until we have a break out of that level, I think we might see more swing actions especially on Fridays. We are currently getting a local rejection off the bearish OB that was created a few days ago when we initially reached this most recent swing high, depends on which direction it breaks, you might want to place your trades accordingly.
I think we have hit a local high for now and I would be more bullish if we can have a daily candle close above the trend line zone, I would add to my longs then. Until that happens, I'm going to hedge in a short, take some profits on my previous long setups and speculate.
**Fridays are usually volatile especially during NY sessions, trade safely** @Nate Alert
BTC next move ? BTC / USDT
BTC pumped from my level 59k (last BTC idea) directly to 69k without any serious correction
I expect a pullback to 65-64k from this level there is high chance for bounce
In case of deep correction we might visit 62k
Note : BTC must not break HH and HL pattern to keep its bullish plan otherwise we can hit 50s zone again
BTC/USDT.P UpdateLooks like we were able to get the 382 reaction we were looking for. Congrats to those who took short and profited at that level. This current price action suggests that we are now back on track for a new higher high.
If you are building a long position, you can start layering in your longs as each BOS and retrace happens.
Trade safely
BTC/USDT.P market updateThe outlook for today is still bearish unless we break and close above 67513.8 on the 1h time frame. The SR's I've pointed out yesterday are still valid, so if you want to build your long position with DCAs or take a short scalp, you have options.
Trade safely.
BTC reacting at trend line on Daily TFPA touched the trend line that I've been anticipating for the past few days and now showing a nice reaction. This could potentially be the beginning of the retrace on the daily TF that I've been waiting for. There is also the possibility of a minor retrace then continue momentum upwards, if that happens, I'll jump into market longs at semi-large positions.
However, if it does retrace from here, I've marked the potential reversal points in yellow circles for reference. Trade safely!
*Summary: I'm currently bearish during this retrace until PA proves that the momentum continues upwards.*
BTC target 130k1D time frame
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TP: $100K & $130K
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(1) Break out the Bullish Flag on 1D time frame
(2) Big cup and handle is creating since 2021
(3) Target for bullish flag is $109,807
(4) Target for cup and handle is $130,278
(5) Probably reach $130k before 2025 Q3
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello,
BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy.
Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue.
I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance.
Regards,
Ely
BTC : What did we say ?As shown before, BTC rose up to 66K+, now returning to lower levels under 60K.
The current circle shows a potential rush to 55/56K, be careful though BTC will always be BTC.
