BTC Moving Average Remains Flatline with RSI Below 60Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed a rather unsettling trend in the BTC market. The moving average, a key indicator used to assess the overall direction of an asset's price, has been alarmingly flatlined. This lack of movement indicates a potential stagnation or absence of significant price momentum.
Furthermore, the relative strength index (RSI), a widely used oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, has dropped below the critical level of 60. This drop below 60 suggests the market sentiment has weakened, and BTC may be losing its upward momentum.
Given these indicators, we must cautiously approach the current BTC price action. While the cryptocurrency market is volatile, the prolonged flatline in the moving average and the declining RSI should not be taken lightly. This situation demands carefully evaluating our trading strategies and risk management techniques.
Therefore, I urge you to reassess your positions, review your stop-loss orders, and consider implementing tighter risk management measures. As traders, we are responsible for adapting and responding to changing market conditions, and this moment calls for heightened vigilance.
Please remember that no single indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty. However, considering the current BTC price action with the flatline moving average and the dropping RSI, we can make more informed decisions and navigate the market more cautiously.
Stay informed, stay vigilant, and remain focused on protecting your capital. Together, we can weather these challenging times and emerge stronger.
If you have any questions or need further guidance, please comment away.
Btctechnicalanalysis
BTC Retracement Long Trade (1D TF)
Based on the current trend, we are gradually approaching the midpoint, which seems to present a favorable opportunity for entering a long trade towards the resistance zone. It is worth noting that we haven't witnessed a retest of the midpoint as support yet, indicating potential buying interest in that area. By positioning our entry just below the midpoint, we can potentially avoid any false breakdowns and minimize the risk of stop hunting
BTC FALLING TOWARD $26K ONCE AGAIN.BTC got rejected from the $28k resistance level as expected and this rejection has brought the price back to $26.8k. Now, the upcoming possible move could be BTC reaching down toward $26k and then bouncing back. Failing to hold the $26k support level could be disappointing.
Key points:
1. Drop levels: $25.8k to $26.3k.
2. Invalidation level: A breakdown and close below $26k.
3. Positive move: A bounce back from the drop level.
Trade safely.
BTC.D still building up and 40K target remains.Haven't shared this in a while. This is a 3D Wyckoff BTC.D Accumulation chart. And we have been in the final climax buildup zone for a while, and whenever we go to 3D Breakout resistance line at 49%, we dump and whenever we tap the Buildup Support line at 47%, we pump. So, nothing has changed from this perspective, and we can pump to 40K as per this.
Just to be clear I am not saying we will rally to 40K, it's just I have been tracking this chart since BTC entered the 3D build up zone and 40K is a target I had based on this chart and so far, nothing has changed.
Another interesting thing to note here is the volume divergence, In the chart to the bottom which shows btc price I have highlighted the Volume supported move in yellow lines and volume divergent moves in blue, the previous volume divergent move gave us a bottom at 15K, and we are again seeing the same volume divergence with this dump from 31K.
Again, this does not mean we are about to pump; the volume divergence can continue for a while (Weeks and months) there is no technical limit to it, but we usually see a pump if we see a level hold for a long time with volume divergence.
What is volume divergence?
Volume divergence takes place when we see volume in a downtrend when an asset is trending. So whatever trend the asset is in, up or down we want to see either volume go sideways or up with it , but if we start to see volume go down with a trending move , that's divergent volume , it means less and less people are willing to participate in the current trend which ultimately lead to complete exhaustion of people from the trend and a reversal follows with volume convergence.
BITCOIN 23May2023BTC hasn't shown any significant bullish movement in the last 7 days, looking at the charts that tend to be sideways. The elliot wave notation shows it is still in the wave 2 area, I can't predict how long this correction will last, but when you are an investor, maybe now can be a reference to buy BTC bit by bit
BTC/USDT BinanceBTC/USDT Binance
4H hollow candlesticks
Since mid-March, a sideways movement continues between $25860 and $31000 as an All-Time High (ATH).
In the present phase, a symmetrical triangle has been formed, where a price breakout is expected soon.
The Support area occurs from the extension of the golden ratio of the last Fibonacci retracement.
The Resistance area occurs, if we reverse the golden ratio of extension of the Fibonacci retracement starting from 15/03/2023.
Another conclusion, is that the price is expected to fluctuate within the Descending triangle that has been formed since 06/05/2023, until the price breakout occurs.
Finally, a hypothetical scenario is that the price may follow the slightly resized footprint (Bar Pattern), of a previous price movement (fractal).
Bitcoin (BTC) = $26,928.54 -0.54% (1d)
Market Cap: $1,126,847,982,844
24h Vol: $30,866,809,616
Dominance:
BTC: 46.3%
ETH: 19.4%
Good Luck
#CryptoHellas Team
BTC-24 MONTH PRICE EXPECTATIONSHalving History Performance
A zoomed in view of yesterdays chart. The chart below illustrates the two prior halving cycles fractals 1 year pre & post the halving date.
Whilst past performance is no guarantee of future returns, the chart can help us frame the 24 month period ahead of us and give an idea of reasonable price expectations.
Reasonable Price Expectations
May 2023 - April 2024:
$19,150 to $44,284
(Average $31.7k)
May 2024 - April 2025:
$28,790 to $86,000
(Average $57.4k)
BTC FALL BASED ON GAP AND H&S AND TRENDLINE.The good thing that is happening is that the head and shoulders pattern has been confirmed and the acceptance of the fall of Bitcoin has become accepted in the society and the fall will definitely continue until the trend line.
TP1@25381
TP2@20486
1. H&S CONFIRMED.
2. TRENDLINE CONFIRMED.
3.MARKET READY AND ACCEPT FALLING.
BTC/USDT Binance BINANCE:BTCUSDT Binance
4H hollow candlesticks
After the price breakout, we saw an all-time high (ATH) at $31000.
The beginning of the Support area, results from the extension of the upper point of the first Fibonacci retracement, combined with the extension of the golden ratio of the second Fibonacci retracement.
It seems that an uptrend parallel channel has been formed.
Conclusion:
The price is expected to fluctuate, within the uptrend parallel channel and the Support & Resistance areas.
Bitcoin Price (BTC) = $30.460,23 -0.84%
= 14.47 ETH -0.67%
Market Cap: 278.166.387.330
24h Vol: $47.878.436.872
Dominance: BTC: 46.1%
ETH: 19.8%
Good Luck
#CryptoHellas Team
BTC - Are we in a Bull Market?Hi guys. Welcome to my Macro TA analysis on Bitcoin and the bull case. I like to use different tools to see if i can find patterns that things clear, especially for long term/ macro trends. Since it is becoming more likely that we are in the beginning stages of a bull market atleast for bitcoin. Its now necessary to keep an eye and find confluences.
What i have on my charts today are:
2 moving averages
Blue line = 50 month moving average
Yellow line = 21 month moving average
2 indicators
1. Wave trend oscillator
2. ADX and DI
These 2 indicators i like because they help establish direction of trend by marking overbought or oversold areas. Gives somewhat of a picture on momentum as well
NOw lets first look at our moving averages the Blue and Yellow lines.
Just looking at the placement of the candles in relation to the lines.
Anytime we are above the yellow, we are in a bull market
Anytime we interact with the blue, its marked a solid BUY opportunity.
But taking a focus on the yellow line, as to stay on topic with our title. The green circles highlight everytime we've interacted with the yellow line coming from the blue line. Very important to highlight this, as we are CURRENTLY in the process of interacting with yellow line.
We are also going to close APrils monthly candle, so how we react to the yellow line is key to knowing if we are indeed in a bull market. OUr previous data points (2 in #), which is not many. Indicates that it takes 1 candle to hover right below yellow line, BUT the next monthly candle breaks through the yellow line. So perhaps MAY we do get above yellow line. Remember, however that this does not mean its definite. It is not a definite or sure thing we repeat history. Its more about probabilities. But one way to use this in trading, would be to see what we do in May and June, and if their is a confirmation candle during Junes close. That can be an opportunity to get in for the entire duration of bull market.
Now lets look at the 2 indicators.
1. Wave Oscillator -> Normally i use this in a way to determine buys and sells. And i would buy if the green line goes to the lower horizontal dotted green/ lined green combo at the bottom. And sell when the green line gets over the red horizontal line.
But what im using this now for is how it moves or reacts when we get to yellow line. What i came up with is, mainly looking for curvatures and placement of green line with red dots. From previous 2 green circles, green line has to be on top of the red dots and the green line should be curved upwards. Currently we have both of those happening and we are at a lower low compared to previous times we repeated this.
This is a great thing but there is a slight danger. Since this indicator is creating a lower low and price action is creating higher low as indicated by the white trend lines. This is a bearish divergence. We need to be watchful of this. If this plays out, we can see drop in price. Probability of this playing out for now is low as well.
2. ADX & DI - For this we have to note the white boxes drawn. These atleast the previous one, indicates a bear market. Ive highlighted the 2015 area because it is similar to how we are acting on ADX DI currently. One thing to note and in this chart goes against the bull case or has not yet confirmed yet. Is that the white line or moving average, needs to be curved/ pointed UPWARDS to indicate a bull case. And we must keep an eye on this as well.
Currently we are showing a bull cross of green line being over the red line which is a good sign so far. If in the next couple months, the white line does curve UPWARDS. That would make this inddicator supportive of the bull case, in my opinion.
CONCLUSION: AS per this analysis on the MOnthly time frame. We are still not yet in a CONFIRMED bull market. However, the current interactions with the yellow moving average, the upward curve of the Wave Trend Oscillator and its green line being on top of red dots indicate we are perhas 1 to 2 months away frm confirming. We have to keep observing the ADX and its white line particularly. If it curves up, this will support the bull case. One danger is the bearish divergence on wave oscillator. But remember confluence is more support of divergences, meaning if multiple indicators 3+ are showing it, it may be MORE likely. So it is something to search for. (be on the look out for an analysis lo0king for divergence). All in all, we could be in the beginning stage of a BULL MARKET, and next 2 or so months will be crucial for BITCOIN, how it interacts with yellow line if above or if pushed lower, if ADX white line curves up and if wave trend oscillator cointunues its upward trajectory towards red zone.
Hope this sheds some light on Bitcoin. If you enjoyed this, please boost, follow and if you have any thoughts of your own COMMENT. I'd like to know what you think. Also ill be posting updates not only for crypto but other markets as well.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advise, i am not a financial advisor. The conent expressed here are my opinion only and for educational purpose. Always remember to focus on risk management when trading and to protect yourself with stop losses.
Bitcoin price analysis
According to Bitcoin chart data on daily time frame
Bitcoin is in the support zone (red zone).
My personal analysis:
According to the following analysis, which is related to the total market and dominance of Bitcoin
As indicated in the chart (blue circles), the price has broken its two hundred day average and entered the upward phase, and then the pullback has hit the two hundred day average again.
According to the price performance in the Bitcoin chart and the Total Market and Dominance Bitcoin analyses, I expect the price to grow up to the specified areas (purple areas).
Trade smartly
BTCUSDT 4hHello guys, Hope you well.
as I explain to you we lost the uptrend and consolidate, it is the form of market that trader lost their money, I waiting for complete this setup, and sell bitcoin to 25500 zone ,
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰26/April/23
⛔️(DYOR)
always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
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