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Btctechnicalanalysis

Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup Outcome: Open Long Entry Price: $97,070 Stop Loss: $96,000 Take Profit: $100,000 Confidence Level: 75% Market Context & Justification 🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals: RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals). MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000. 🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure. Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases. 🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning. Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market. Conclusion Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Long
by titankarma
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by wolfchemist
3
BTC Intraday Market Analysis (Thesis Prediction)1. Current Market Position: Price: $101,645.39, down -1.9% in the last few hours. Support: $101,000 | Resistance: $103,000. Trend: Short-term bearish; BTC has failed to sustain key support levels but shows signs of possible stabilization on hourly charts. 2. Technical Indicators: RSI: 30.04, oversold territory, suggesting a possible short-term bounce or consolidation. MACD: Bearish signal with MACD line at -46.82 below the signal line at -193.45. The narrowing histogram (-146.63) hints at diminishing bearish momentum. VWMA: Current price below VWMA at $102,847.77, signaling strong bearish sentiment. A move above this could suggest a reversal. 3. On-Chain Insights: Exchange Balances: No significant inflows or outflows (1.81M BTC held on exchanges), indicating stable liquidity. Open Interest: Longs: Down -27.39% to $3.78B. Shorts: Up +47.47% to $6.26B, reinforcing bearish bias. Funding Rates: Low (Binance: 0.0100%), reflecting minimal cost for holding short positions and bearish sentiment. 4. Financial and Sentiment Analysis: Trading Volume: Down -29.68% to $81.58B, signaling reduced activity or market consolidation. Fear & Greed Index: Dropped -10.71% to 75 (closer to neutral), indicating waning speculative enthusiasm. Market News: Reports on declining altcoins and BTC slipping below $102K from Cointelegraph could contribute to bearish sentiment. 5. Scenarios: Bearish Scenario (Confidence: 60%) Conditions: Persistent bearish sentiment, outflows from exchanges, and low funding rates suggest further selling pressure. Outcome: BTC could test $100,000 or lower, driven by technical and sentiment-based momentum. Bullish Scenario (Confidence: 25%) Conditions: Recovery if RSI moves out of oversold territory or positive sentiment emerges from news or trader behavior (e.g., increased long positions). Outcome: BTC might bounce to $102,000 or $103,000, especially if it breaks above the VWMA, signaling a potential trend reversal. Sideways Scenario (Confidence: 15%) Conditions: Mixed market sentiment with consolidation around current levels, lacking strong catalysts. Outcome: BTC likely trades in a narrow range between $101,000–$102,000, awaiting clearer direction. 6. Trading Strategies: Contrarian Play: With RSI in oversold, cautious long entries near $101,000 could target $102,000 or higher, but require tight risk management. Bearish Continuation: Align with the current trend by shorting on failed recoveries, targeting $100,000 with stop-losses above $103,000. 7. Conclusion: BTC’s short-term outlook remains bearish, but oversold indicators suggest potential for a bounce or consolidation. Traders should monitor VWMA, funding rates, and news updates to gauge momentum shifts. With market volatility elevated, maintaining strict risk controls and staying updated on sentiment is crucial for navigating the current conditions.
by titankarma
BTC: Claimed a New All-Time High!BTC touched a new all-time high of $109,568 on the same day Trump entered the White House to take office. Previously, I mentioned a potential rejection toward FWB:73K , but BTC was rejected at $89.3k and eventually rebounded to claim a new all-time high. Following this 23% rally, BTC still needs to break above the resistance trendline for further bullish movement. Unless BTC breaks through the resistance, the chances of rejection remain valid. Bullish Move: A breakout above the resistance trendline, creating a new all-time high. Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance trendline. Trade safely.
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
Next target for Bitcoin BTC price is $110k but there is a nuanceCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has reached $90000 - this is something incredible, considering that just 8 years ago we were trading #BTCUSD for $900) X100 is easy money if you save it) And the coolest thing is that this is just the beginning) However, no one on our planet has yet canceled the effect of gravity so everything that takes off will be attracted to the ground OKX:BTCUSDT price needs a correction, at least to $77-78k. And even more so, this correction is needed for altcoins, so that the “fresh” capital that entered the cryptocurrency market through #Bitcoin CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:SOL CRYPTOCAP:DOGE CRYPTOCAP:TON can flow into low-cap #Altcoins It may hurt a little at first, but it will be pleasant later Use the correction period to monitor altcoins very closely to determine which ones are being redeemed, where there is strength and support, and the greatest chance of further growth Or follow us, we regularly give tips;)
by P_S_trade
3
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BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
BTC: Following the track.BTC Update: BTC has been on track, as expected. The price reached $108,341 and was rejected at $92,280. According to the chart, it will likely experience another rejection around FWB:73K , followed by a strong rebound. If BTC follows this analysis, it could be considered a healthy correction and an opportunity to buy back. For BTC to turn bullish, it must break above the resistance trendline or surpass the all-time high level. I hope this update is helpful. Trade safely!
by Dexter_The_Trader
Bitcoin’s $100K Battle: Why the Lows Matter More Than the HighsRejections are part of Bitcoin’s journey, and they often come from predictable places. While I fully expect BTC to eventually R/S Flip $100K, it doesn’t need to happen today—or even this month. In fact, at this stage, the lows are more critical to watch than the highs. The Current Setup We’ve just seen a Death Cross between the 21-Day and 50-Day Moving Averages on the BTC Daily Chart, signaling the potential for more downside. These shorter-term moving averages often indicate near-term trends, but this isn’t necessarily a cause for panic. The Trump Pump, driven by today’s election certification and the upcoming inauguration, could unwind the Death Cross relatively quickly. Instead of speculating, it’s better to observe how price action evolves. While a successful R/S Flip at $100K would be a clear sign of strength, we’ve just experienced a rejection. This doesn’t rule out another attempt, but for now, I see the 21-Day Simple Moving Average is a critical level to watch. Key Levels to Watch Above the 21-Day SMA: Staying above this level keeps the Trump Pump alive and signals resilience. Below the 21-Day SMA: Losing this level could lead to a deeper correction: First target: Retest support at $91.5K Next potential targets: $86.5K and the CME Gap at $77.9K Possible low: $76K, which aligns with the prior consolidation range. A move down to $76K would represent a 30% correction from the recent ATH—well within the range of 20%-50% corrections seen in previous bull markets. It's worth noting that with the right catalyst, price could drop 50% from the ATH this month and the MACRO trend would still be intact, but I don't think that's a high probability move at this point. Bigger Picture: MACRO Bullish Let me be clear: This is not a bearish post. I remain MACRO bullish on Bitcoin for this cycle. However, pullbacks and corrections are part of every healthy market, and identifying key levels can help us prepare for the next leg up. Right now, the focus isn’t on when Bitcoin breaks $100K but on how it holds support during this period of consolidation and FUD. A solid foundation here will strengthen the case for a sustainable move higher in the future.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by kapro
Bitcoin (BTC): Rise up to $135,000 or drop to $80,000-$90,000The current market situation is uncertain. The market often moves contrary to public sentiment. Currently, most expect a correction. ETF inflow/outflow data indicates significant outflows from December 19, 2024, to January 2, 2025, which is evident in the BTC chart. On January 3, 2025, there was an inflow of $905M. In a bearish scenario, panic could dominate the market, making it difficult for BTC whales to sustain distribution above $100,000. However, if a bullish scenario unfolds, the $91,000–$108,000 zone could act as a strong support level after a price increase to $135,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level. This bullish scenario would become even more significant if the growth aligns with major international events at the end of January, February, or March. 👀 1. Bullish Scenario: The price breaks through the current resistance levels, targeting up to $136,000 or the 161.8% Fibonacci level. 2. Bearish Scenario: A correction to the $80,000–$90,000 range or the 38.2-61.8% Fibonacci levels, with a potential test of the $88,000 support level aligned with the 800 EMA. 👇 About Me: I maintain a personal trading journal. I don't possess extrasensory abilities or insider information. Disclaimer: Trading involves risk—always do your own research and seek professional advice. We are not responsible for any financial losses. #DYOR Share your thoughts in the comments below 👇
Long
by azctortheliclu
Bitcoin (BTC): Is $83K Just the Start of a Bigger Drop?Bitcoin is showing signs of heading lower, and the next few levels could be make-or-break. Let’s break it down simply so you know what to watch. What’s Happening Right Now? The market’s pointing downward, and we’re eyeing FWB:83K –$85K as the first target. If BTC doesn’t hold there, things could get rough. Where BTC Could Go Next - FWB:83K –$85K: This is the next stop. If Bitcoin can’t bounce here, the selling could pick up. -$70K: A deeper drop, and a key support level where buyers might step in. -$55K: The worst-case scenario for now, but also a spot where we could see some recovery. The Big Picture We’re also seeing a head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong clue that prices might keep dropping. Let’s wait and see how the market reacts as we approach FWB:83K –$85K. What’s the Plan? -Watch FWB:83K –$85K carefully—it’s the first key level. -If BTC doesn’t hold, prepare for $70K or even $55K. -Be patient and trade what you see, not what you hope. If you liked this breakdown, hit like or follow. Got questions about Bitcoin or another chart? DM me—I’d love to help. Feeling stressed about trading or struggling with burnout? Let’s chat. I’m here to help you stay focused and balanced so you can trade with confidence. Let’s tackle this together! Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
Bitcoin Battles Between Key Support and Resistance – What’s NextBitcoin is currently trading near $94,500, resting on a strong confluence of support. The price is testing the 100 EMA on the 12-hour chart, which aligns with a critical horizontal support zone around $93,000. At the same time, a descending trendline is acting as resistance, keeping the price under pressure. A breakdown below the marked support zone could trigger a sharp decline toward the next significant level around $88,000. On the other hand, if BTC holds this support and breaks above the descending trendline, it could signal a bullish reversal, pushing the price back toward $98,000 and potentially higher.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by unichartz
Trading plan for Bitcoin price for Christmas & New Year holidays🎄 Christmas and New Year's holidays are coming up, and we congratulate you on that!) We survived, even earned a little, so thank you for that) Currently, the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has been stopped on "the verge of a foul", but the holidays will lead to a decrease in business activity and an increase in “manipulative volatility.” So, to follow the behavior of the OKX:BTCUSDT price, subscribe to this idea! A big temptation is to “break the stops” of #Bitcoin, which are hiding below $85k, and an even bigger temptation is to close the GAP on the CME BTC chart in the range of $77-78k. And there are several other options for the development of events by combining the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, but I'm too lazy to write about it yet) ⁉️ But if you are interested in us writing “voluminous reflections”, like at the end of 2022 before the start of super growth with plans for 2023-25, which are working out very well👇 then we need inspiration from you in the form of reactions and comments here and maybe a miracle will happen, the main thing is to believe in it!)
by P_S_trade
7