BTC/USD H4 Downfall ⚠️ Disrupted Market Perspective
🟩 False Resistance Zone
The marked resistance area (~109,000) has been breached multiple times with high volatility, suggesting weak resistance strength. Instead of rejecting price, this zone acts more like a liquidity trap — luring in sellers before price spikes higher. Expect fake-outs or bullish traps near this area.
🟨 Questionable Bearish Pattern
The projected zig-zag drop is speculative. The current market structure shows higher lows forming, hinting at potential accumulation rather than breakdown. If price consolidates above 108,000, this setup might flip bullish instead of heading to the 106,000 target.
🟥 Support Area Disruption
The labeled support zone around 106,000 may not hold if broken, but it has been respected multiple times in the past. If bulls defend it again, we might see a sharp rebound rather than a continuation downward. Therefore, the “Target” area could instead become a springboard for upward reversal.
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BTCUSD h4 down surelybtcusd down idia Resistance Zone: Around 110,000–111,000
Price Action Expectation:
→ Short-term push to 110,629
→ Then rejection toward 105,000, and potentially all the way down to 96,794 or even 94,091
Bearish bias after resistance is hit
⚡ Disruption Analysis (Contrarian View)
✅ 1. Resistance Flip Possibility
What if the 110,000 resistance breaks cleanly with strong volume?
Invalidates the bearish rejection arrow
Could trigger FOMO buying → Acceleration toward 112,500+
Bullish scenario: formation of a bull flag above resistance = continuation setup
✅ 2. Bear Trap Theory at 105,000 Zone
That “target” zone near 105k could be a fake breakdown zone
Market might dip there briefly, lure shorts, then reverse violently
This creates liquidity for a rapid long squeeze breakout
✅ 3. Market Structure Still Bullish on HTF
Higher lows from June 24 to July 6
Clean breakout at 105,152
Still respecting ascending structure — which is not bearish yet
🚨 Disruption Summary Chart Moves
🔼 Alternate Path 1 (Bullish Disruption):
Price consolidates under resistance → breaks above 110,629 → targets 112,500–115,000
🔄 Alternate Path 2 (Fake Breakdown Disruption):
Drops to 105,000, triggers sell-off → sharp reversal → back above 108,637
🔽 Original Path (Rejection-Based Bearish):
Still possible — but not the only high-probability path anymore
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $108,895.04, with a 24-hour change of +$619.70 (+0.57%). Key levels include a support zone around $107,278.58 and a resistance near $110,908.05. The chart highlights recent price action, including a potential upward trend indicated by a green shaded area, with buy and sell signals marked at $108,895.04.
Bitcoin Maintaining Mild Uptrend, Poised Toward $110k📊 Market Overview:
• Strong ETF inflows continue, with over $13.5 billion in YTD flows into BTC, now making up nearly 70% of gold ETF inflows.
• Institutional investors like BlackRock (IBIT currently holds ~700k BTC) are still accumulating. The U.S. is also building a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” reinforcing long-term confidence.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $109,000–$110,000, opening the path toward $110,500–$110,600 (Supertrend around $110,174).
• Nearest Support: $108,300 (EMA), followed by $107,800–$108,000; deeper pullback support at $105,000.
• EMA 09: Price is above this EMA → short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick/Volume/Momentum: RSI is neutral around 58; MACD is converging near the zero line, signaling weakening bearish momentum and possible base formation.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue its mild upward movement if it holds above $108,300–$108,000 and breaks clearly above $109k–110k with strong volume. Failure to do so could trigger a pullback toward $107,000–$108,000.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
📉 SELL BTC/USD at: 109,500–110,000
🎯 TP: 108,000
❌ SL: 110,400
📈 BUY BTC/USD at: 108,200–108,500
🎯 TP: 109,500–110,000
❌ SL: 107,800
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $110,838.12, reflecting a 1.75% increase (+$1,908.56). The chart highlights a recent significant upward movement, with a notable green candlestick indicating a strong buying trend. Key price levels include a support zone around $109,336.26 and resistance near $112,117.13. The chart also shows buy and sell options at the current price level of $110,838.11.
Bitcoin on Fire: Targeting $110K in Relentless Uptrend!Hi traders! , Analyzing BTC/USD on the 30 minute timeframe, price is currently respecting an upward channel and showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent bounce from dynamic support suggests bullish continuation.
🔹 Entry: 109,545
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 110,612
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 108,438
Price is trading above both the 50 and 200 EMA, confirming bullish momentum. The RSI remains above the midline, indicating buyers are still in control. This long setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio within the context of the broader uptrend.
A confirmed breakout from the short-term resistance, combined with trendline support and channel structure, adds confluence to this idea. Watch for potential resistance near the 110,612 zone.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
BTC Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-PoliticsBitcoin at the Precipice: A Perfect Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-Political Tailwinds
In the intricate and often tempestuous world of digital assets, there are moments of frantic volatility and periods of eerie calm. Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, currently finds itself in one of these fascinating lulls—a state of high-altitude consolidation that is anything but sleepy. Trading just a whisper away from its all-time high, the asset is coiling like a spring, absorbing immense selling pressure from early adopters while simultaneously drawing in a new, powerful wave of buyers. This delicate equilibrium, however, is set against a backdrop of explosive potential catalysts. From tightening technical indicators screaming of an imminent breakout to the looming deadline of US tariffs, the vocal endorsement of tech titans, and the unprecedented entry of Bitcoin into the mainstream political arena, the stage is being meticulously set. The question on every analyst's and investor's mind is no longer if Bitcoin will make its next major move, but when, and just how monumental it will be. This is not just another market cycle; it is a convergence of forces that could propel Bitcoin toward price horizons that were once the domain of only the most fervent optimists.
The Anatomy of a Healthy Consolidation: Whales Recede as a New Foundation is Built
At first glance, a market that stalls just below its peak might seem like a sign of weakness, an indication that the bullish momentum has been exhausted. However, a deeper look into the current structure of the Bitcoin market reveals a picture of profound strength and maturity. This period of consolidation is characterized by a crucial and healthy rotation of ownership. The so-called "whales"—early investors and large-scale holders who have accumulated vast quantities of Bitcoin at much lower prices—are beginning to ease their holdings. This is not the panic-selling seen during bear market capitulations. Rather, it is a strategic and logical process of taking profits, de-risking portfolios, and realizing life-changing gains after a historic run.
Every Bitcoin sold by a whale must be bought by someone else, and the identity of these new buyers is what makes the current phase so compellingly bullish. The supply being released onto the market is not causing a price crash; instead, it is being steadily absorbed by a fresh cohort of participants. This new wave includes a diverse mix of players: retail investors who are gaining confidence as Bitcoin solidifies its mainstream status, smaller institutional players who are now more comfortable entering the market, and, most significantly, corporations that are beginning to view Bitcoin as a legitimate treasury reserve asset. This process is akin to the changing of the guard. The early pioneers are passing the baton to a new generation of holders who are establishing a new, higher cost basis. This dynamic is incredibly constructive for long-term price stability. It builds a robust and formidable wall of support at these elevated price levels, transforming what was once a speculative peak into a solid foundation for the next leg up.
Further evidence of this underlying strength can be seen in Bitcoin's recent weekly performance. The asset has managed to set another record high weekly close. In the world of technical analysis, a weekly close is considered far more significant than a brief, volatile intraday spike. An intraday high can be the result of a short-lived speculative frenzy or a liquidation cascade, but a high weekly close demonstrates sustained buying pressure and conviction over a longer duration. It signifies that, for seven straight days, buyers successfully defended higher price levels against sellers, ultimately winning the battle as the candle closed. This repeated ability to secure high weekly closes indicates that the market is systematically accepting and validating these new price territories, creating a psychological and technical launchpad for a future assault on all-time highs. Traders are now intensely focused on this dynamic, attempting to pinpoint the new, higher bottoms of this consolidation range, recognizing that these levels are likely to serve as the bedrock for the next major bull run.
The Technical Cauldron: Bollinger Bands Signal an Imminent and Violent Breakout
While the fundamental picture is one of healthy rotation, the technical charts are sending an even more urgent message: prepare for a massive move. Among the myriad of indicators used by traders, the Bollinger Bands are currently painting a particularly dramatic picture. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines plotted over a price chart. The middle band is a simple moving average, while the upper and lower bands are positioned at a set number of standard deviations away from the middle band. In essence, they are a direct measure of market volatility. When the market is volatile, the bands widen. When the market is calm and consolidating, the bands contract, or "squeeze."
Bitcoin is currently in the midst of one of the most significant Bollinger Band squeezes seen in recent history. The upper and lower bands have drawn incredibly close to one another, indicating that volatility has been wrung out of the market to an extreme degree. Historically, such periods of low volatility are the calm before the storm. A Bollinger Band squeeze is almost always resolved by a period of explosive, high volatility—a powerful breakout. The longer and tighter the squeeze, the more violent the subsequent price move tends to be. The indicator itself does not predict the direction of the breakout, but in the current context, the directional bias is overwhelmingly clear. With Bitcoin consolidating just shy of its all-time high after a powerful uptrend, and with the fundamental backdrop being so strong, the path of least resistance is overwhelmingly to the upside.
This technical setup creates a powerful psychological feedback loop. As more traders and algorithms spot the tightening bands, they begin to position themselves for the inevitable breakout. This builds a massive amount of potential energy within the market. When the price finally does break through the upper band, it can trigger a cascade of buy orders—from traders entering new long positions, to short-sellers being forced to buy back to cover their losing bets. This rush of buying pressure is what can turn a simple breakout into a parabolic, face-ripping rally.
The anticipation surrounding this move has led to some audacious price targets being discussed. Analysts are now contemplating the possibility of a "false move" to as high as $105,000. The term "false move" in this context is intriguing. It could imply a rapid, almost wick-like surge to that level, driven by extreme speculation and leverage, which might then be followed by a sharp correction to shake out the "paper hands" before a more sustainable climb resumes. Alternatively, it could simply be a way of expressing disbelief at the sheer velocity of the potential move. Whether the target is $105,000 or another figure, the underlying message from the charts is unambiguous: Bitcoin is on the verge of a big move, and the technicals strongly suggest it will be a powerful breakout to the upside, potentially ushering in a new phase of price discovery.
The Confluence of Catalysts: Tariffs, Politics, and The Musk Effect
A primed technical setup is potent on its own, but when combined with powerful external catalysts, it creates the recipe for a perfect storm. Bitcoin's next potential move is not just being driven by its internal market dynamics; it is being pulled forward by a confluence of macroeconomic and political forces that are aligning in its favor.
One of the most significant near-term catalysts is the looming US tariff deadline. Historically, periods of geopolitical tension and economic uncertainty have been incredibly bullish for Bitcoin. Tariffs, trade wars, and protectionist policies create instability in global markets and can erode the value and trust in fiat currencies. As nations engage in economic conflict, savvy investors and even central banks begin to look for non-sovereign, censorship-resistant stores of value to hedge their wealth. Bitcoin, with its decentralized nature and fixed supply, is the ultimate hedge against such fiat currency debasement and geopolitical turmoil. The impending tariff deadline is forcing a global conversation about the stability of the current financial system, and Bitcoin stands to be a primary beneficiary as capital seeks a safe haven from the storm.
Adding fuel to this fire is the upcoming "Crypto Week," a period of heightened focus on the industry through conferences, major announcements, and media coverage. These events act as a gravitational force, pulling the attention of the financial world toward the digital asset space. This concentrated attention almost always leads to increased trading volume and volatility. It creates a self-fulfilling prophecy where the expectation of big news and market moves encourages traders to participate, thereby creating the very volatility they anticipated.
Perhaps the most electrifying and unpredictable catalyst, however, is the re-emergence of Elon Musk's "love" for Bitcoin and the asset's dramatic entrance onto the main stage of American politics. Musk, with his colossal social media following, has a proven and unparalleled ability to influence market sentiment with a single post. His recent teasing of a "Pro-Bitcoin America Party" has sent shockwaves far beyond the crypto community. This move, whether serious or satirical, has injected Bitcoin directly into the heart of the US political discourse. It reframes Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a political symbol—a representation of innovation, decentralization, and freedom from government control.
This has been met with a reaction from other major political figures, including Donald Trump, creating a fascinating push-and-pull. The fact that leading presidential candidates and political influencers are now debating Bitcoin's merits and role in the nation's future is a monumental step in its journey toward mainstream legitimacy. It forces the public and policymakers to take it seriously. This political theater creates an environment where assets perceived as being aligned with pro-growth, pro-innovation, and pro-freedom ideologies can thrive. The emergence of a "BTC Bull Token" or similar concepts tied to this political momentum underscores the new reality: Bitcoin is no longer just a tech story; it is a powerful political and cultural movement, and this new dimension is likely to attract a wave of capital from those who align with its burgeoning ideology.
The Institutional Stamp of Approval: A Corporate Treasury Revolution
While retail excitement and political drama provide the fuel, the institutional adoption of Bitcoin provides the solid, unshakeable foundation for its long-term trajectory. The most powerful recent example of this trend is the announcement from Genius Group, a publicly traded education technology company, that it is increasing its Bitcoin treasury target to a staggering 10,000 BTC. This is not a speculative trade; it is a profound strategic shift in corporate treasury management.
This decision signifies that corporate boards and CFOs are beginning to understand and act upon Bitcoin's value proposition as a superior treasury reserve asset. In an era of persistent inflation and low-to-negative real yields on traditional assets like government bonds, holding large amounts of cash on a balance sheet is a guaranteed way to lose purchasing power. By allocating a portion of its treasury to Bitcoin, Genius Group is taking a proactive step to protect its shareholders' value from the ravages of monetary debasement. It is a declaration of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential as a reliable store of value.
The importance of such a move cannot be overstated. It provides a powerful stamp of approval and a case study for thousands of other corporations around the world. When one publicly traded company makes such a bold move and outlines its rationale, it normalizes the strategy. Other CFOs, who may have been hesitant, now have a blueprint to follow and a precedent to point to when presenting the idea to their own boards. This has the potential to unlock a veritable floodgate of corporate capital. Even a small, single-digit percentage allocation from the treasuries of the S&P 500 companies would represent hundreds of billions of dollars of new, sustained buying pressure for Bitcoin. The move by Genius Group is not an isolated event; it is the leading edge of a seismic shift in how the corporate world perceives and utilizes money.
Conclusion: The Dawn of a New Epoch
Bitcoin stands at a historic inflection point. The current period of quiet consolidation is deceptive; beneath the surface, a powerful confluence of forces is converging to launch the asset into its next major chapter. The market's internal structure has never been healthier, with the holdings of early whales being patiently absorbed by a new and committed class of buyers, building a formidable price floor far above previous highs. The technical charts are screaming of an imminent and powerful breakout, with the tightening Bollinger Bands signaling a massive release of energy that heavily favors the upside.
Layered on top of this potent technical and structural setup is a perfect storm of external catalysts. The specter of global economic instability driven by tariffs, the focused attention of a "Crypto Week," the unparalleled influence of figures like Elon Musk, and the shocking but legitimizing entry of Bitcoin into the partisan political arena are all acting as powerful tailwinds. This is all underpinned by the quiet but revolutionary trend of institutional and corporate adoption, which promises to bring waves of new capital into the asset for years to come.
The consolidation will soon end. The question is not about direction, but about magnitude. The forces at play are no longer just about market cycles; they are about a fundamental repricing of a global, non-sovereign asset in a world grappling with economic and political uncertainty. The stage is set for a breakout that could not only shatter previous all-time highs but could also permanently elevate Bitcoin's status, solidifying its role as a cornerstone of the 21st-century financial and political landscape.
7.7 Analysis of the latest BTC trend and operation layout📊 Cautious wait-and-see strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. Digital Market Asset Transparency Act
2. Anti-CBDC Regulation Act
3. US Stablecoin Innovation Act
📈 Technical Analysis:
At present, the price of BTC is around 109,000, and the overall narrow fluctuation pattern continues. The market as a whole lacks clear direction. However, it is worth noting that the trading volume has dropped to 30.1 billion US dollars, which has further shrunk compared with the previous day, reflecting a decline in market participation.
In my opinion, the driving factors of the market include the following:
1. The continued activity of ancient whales has attracted attention
2. The technical side shows that the momentum is weakening
3. Market sentiment has turned neutral
4. ETF fund inflows remain strong
5. The "Crypto Week" policy catalyst is coming
Currently, BTC continues to consolidate within the upward trend line, but the momentum indicator shows fatigue, the 4H Bollinger Bands shrink, and the price is running near the middle track of 108,400. Enter the market cautiously during the day and pay attention to the support of 107,000
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 109,000-110,000
TP 107,500-107,000
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by bros. I hope my analysis can help you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
BTCUSDT – Accumulation Confirmed? Wyckoff Blueprint Playing Out Bitcoin continues to compress inside a defined range, resting above both a rising trendline and a former resistance turned support zone. This structure fits cleanly within a Wyckoff-style Accumulation Phase (B-C).
We’re now at a critical moment where smart money may be absorbing supply, preparing for the next phase.
🔍 Key Observations:
Range-bound price action with higher lows and muted volume
Spring-like wick and recovery from the bottom of the range
Support holding at prior breakout zone and ascending trendline
Structure shows signs of stealth accumulation with a possible breakout ahead
Sideways movement with fading volatility
Gradual compression within the range
Strong support defended multiple times (might make the support weaker as well !)
A potential spring/retest event may already be in play
You’ll see fakeouts, wicks, and hesitation in this phase — designed to trap weak hands. But the underlying behavior points to preparation, not distribution.
The quiet before the markup. Let the market reveal its hand. 📈
BTC/USDT H1 Chart Out look Bitcoin is Now running at near the 107500 and following a short term Bearish pattern on EMA 50 and 200 by using that we can consider on sell side with the given Targets like 107000 which is near the Bitcoin is consolidating and the Final target support is 106000/105000.
Bearish Scenario
1st Target is 107000 ( from here it may make some retest)
2nd Target is 106000( main target).
3rd Target is 105000.
Use stop loss at 108100.
BTC shorting opportunity comes againBTC climbed above 108000 again, and the short-term bullish power was slightly stronger. According to the current strength, BTC still has room for growth, but it is still under pressure in the 109000-110000 area in the short term; if there is no major positive news, BTC may find it difficult to break through the resistance area in the short term under the current conditions, and may even experience stagflation and retreat again after approaching the resistance area.
Therefore, I think shorting BTC with the help of the resistance area is still the first choice for short-term trading. We can boldly short BTC in the 108500-109500 area and look towards the target area around 106000 again.
BTC Bulls Target $111,653, Is This the Next Explosive BreakoutThe BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is showing a clearly bullish structure. After consolidating below the $108,664–$107,800 resistance for several weeks, Bitcoin finally broke above this area with a strong impulsive move, confirming the zone as a new support. This breakout coincides with improving market sentiment, especially after Metaplanet’s $108 million purchase of BTC and a surge in ETF inflows, which have been helping Bitcoin reclaim levels above $109,000. The price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, indicating that buyers are defending this zone aggressively.
Resistance Level 1, around $110,254, is the first significant barrier and aligns with the area that rejected price several times in late May. If this level is broken, the next target sits at Resistance Level 2 near $111,653, which was the major swing high established in early May. Holding above the current support is critical, as a decisive 4-hour close below $107,440 would invalidate this bullish scenario and likely trigger a deeper retracement.
The recent price behavior suggests a potential ascending triangle breakout retest, a classic continuation pattern where buyers step in on each dip. Momentum remains strong, and the risk/reward profile favors long setups as long as the higher-low structure is preserved.
Trade Setup (Bullish Idea)
Entry Zone: $108,700–$109,000 (on a confirmed retest of support)
Stop Loss: $107,440 (beneath the invalidation zone)
Take Profit Targets
o TP1: $110,254
o TP2: $111,653
The setup offers an estimated 2.4–2.7 risk/reward ratio, depending on precise entry and execution. As always, it’s recommended to wait for confirmation candles or wicks rejecting the support zone before entering.
If the breakout holds and volume expands on the push through TP1, Bitcoin could quickly revisit the $112,000 area in line with broader market optimism and institutional buying. Just be aware of the invalidation level, as any breakdown below $107,440 could trigger a fast move back to prior range lows.
BITCOIN Short From Resistance!
HI,Traders !
#BITCION went up sharply
Made a retest of the
Horizontal resistance level
Of 110026.5 from where we
Are already seeing a local
Bearish reaction so we
Are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A local bearish correction !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout if Clears $114,000📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin trades around $109,350, with an intraday high near $109,610
• Rosenberg Research notes BTC could rally ~6% to clear $114,000, potentially triggering a 25% rise to $143,000 on the back of ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and Fed rate cut expectations
📉 Technical Analysis:
•Key Resistance: ~$114,000; followed by the psychological $112,000 zone .
•Nearest Support: $107,000 (prior highs/descending channel bottom) and key floor at $100,000
•EMA Levels:
o Price consolidates near 50-day EMA ($105,800), a crucial confluence zone
•Candlestick/Momentum:
o RSI near 50 (neutral),
o Flag pattern breakout suggests continuation potential
📌 Viewpoint:
Bitcoin may extend its rally if it breaks above $114,000, targeting $137,000–$143,000. If rejected, a pullback toward $107,000 is likely before bouncing.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL BTC/USD at: $113,500–$114,000
🎯 TP: $110,000–$110,500
❌ SL: $114,500
BUY BTC/USD at: $107,000–$108,000
🎯 TP: $112,000–$113,000
❌ SL: $106,000
break, BTC soon reaches new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC after NFP (July 3)
Notable news about BTC:
Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to $ 109,000 on Wednesday when the US agreement with Vietnam and the increase in global M2 supply of M2 money has promoted an increase in open interest rates (OI), soaring to 689.78 thousand BTC worth about $ 75 billion. The cryptocurrency market in general has increased the price along with BTC, with leading altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) increased by 7%, 3%and 4%respectively.
Bitcoin, the market cryptocurrency market increased by the trade agreement with Vietnam and M2 money supply soared
The cryptocurrency market has recovered on Wednesday, an increase of 2% to regain the market capitalization of $ 3.5 trillion.
Technical analysis angle
First, congratulate the investors who follow the plan when we previously traded according to the model and had a short signal at 108k and took profit and then Long in the 106k area.
Currently, BTC is in wave 5 and is trapped in the Fibonanci area of 2,618 golden ratio around the price of 109k, this is also the threshold of the price of investors who are under pressure before the price area goes to 112k
The 112k region is a psychological area of profit and will appear on the 109k sales situation before the BTC price may rise further in the last 6 months of the year.
Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC /-Teart /-heart
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading