BTC Short to 59600Hey guys, we have tested 64200 and turned back with sell power and small buy volume.
I think it was fake out and bull trap, i expected to see hard move down first to 61500, than one more leg down to 59600.
Its not financial recommendation, just my personal opinion , whats yours ideas guys?
Btctrade
BTC Following the planBitcoin is following my plan. Perfect bounce and range at support, and now i placed my stop at break even to be safe. I expect a continuation of the upside moves, but i prefer to play safe because a possible manipulation can dump BTC, and if it will close below the support zone we could potentially see a 10% drop
BTC Flips Bearish, Price Plummets Below $70.5KPanic gripped the cryptocurrency market this week as Bitcoin, the world's leading digital asset, tumbled below the crucial $70,500 mark. This sharp decline was accompanied by a disheartening shift in a key technical indicator, signaling a potential bear market on the horizon.
The CoinDesk Bitcoin Trend Indicator (BTI), long a trusted gauge of Bitcoin's price momentum, has delivered a devastating blow to investor confidence. After a period of bullish dominance since late February 2024, the BTI has decisively flipped into bearish territory. This shift indicates a fundamental change in market sentiment, suggesting a potential reversal of the uptrend that had propelled Bitcoin to record highs earlier this year.
While the price plunge and the BTI's bearish turn are undoubtedly concerning developments, some analysts caution against hitting the panic button just yet. Intriguingly, trading volume for Bitcoin remains relatively stable, indicating that some level of investor interest persists despite the selloff. This ongoing activity suggests that the market might be undergoing a period of aggressive correction rather than a complete collapse.
Several factors are likely contributing to the current bloodbath in the cryptocurrency market. Mounting regulatory concerns continue to cast a shadow over the industry, with government agencies around the world scrutinizing cryptocurrency transactions and exchanges. This heightened scrutiny is creating uncertainty and deterring some institutional investors from entering the market.
Geopolitical tensions and rising inflation are also playing a role in dampening investor sentiment. As traditional markets experience volatility, investors tend to seek safer havens for their assets, and cryptocurrency often gets sidelined during these periods. Furthermore, profit-taking by short-term investors who entered the market during the recent upswing could be exacerbating the price decline.
The BTI's plunge into bearish territory serves as a stark warning for Bitcoin bulls. While the indicator doesn't guarantee a prolonged downturn, it suggests a significant shift in the balance of power between buyers and sellers. The coming weeks and months will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can reverse this bearish trend.
If Bitcoin can find support and stabilize above key price points, it could potentially restore some investor confidence and pave the way for a recovery. However, if the price continues its descent and the BTI remains in bearish territory, it could signal a more extended period of decline. This scenario could lead to a significant shakeout in the cryptocurrency market, potentially weeding out weaker players and fundamentally altering the landscape.
Looking beyond the immediate turmoil, some analysts believe that Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain promising. They point to the continued development of blockchain technology and the potential for wider institutional adoption as reasons for optimism. These believers argue that the current downturn presents a buying opportunity for investors with a long-term outlook, allowing them to accumulate Bitcoin at a discount.
The coming weeks and months will be a test of resilience for the entire cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin, as the bellwether of the industry, will be closely watched as it navigates these turbulent waters. Whether Bitcoin can weather the storm and emerge stronger, or succumb to the pressures of the bear market, remains to be seen. One thing is certain: the cryptocurrency market is in for a wild ride.
BITCOIN DUMP 42000$ BEFORE PARABOLIC MOVE ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
Bitcoin BTC price starts a pre-halving correction?On April 1, the BTCUSDT price started with a "humorous" correction.
In general, April promises to be quite interesting and provide "many answers."
During the likely long-awaited correction, it will be necessary to closely monitor such indicators as BTC.D and USDT.D:
- It will be possible to trace where the capital that previously entered the cryptocurrency market through the purchase of BTC by large players is flowing.
- It will be possible to track which "industry's" altcoins are best held and bribed.
Do you think there is something more interesting to invest in the cryptocurrency market than various memecoins?)
And on April 19, 2024, the long-awaited "BTC halving" is to take place.
The halving of the reward for a mined block from 6.25BTC to 3.25BTC will reduce the supply on the market in the medium and long term.
If we compare the growth dynamics of the BTCUSD price in 2024, we will see that it is more similar to 2021 than to the previous years when halving took place - 2020 and 2016.
What are your goals for the Bitcoin price movement in April 2024?
We would like to see a correction at least to $65 thousand, or even better, a drop in the BTCUSDT price $58400-59100
But there is also the $78000 mark, which would also be good to test for strength, the only question is when)
_____________________
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Bitcoin Cash Halving Jitters: A Cautionary Tale for Bitcoin?
With Bitcoin's fourth mining reward halving just days away, all eyes are on the leading cryptocurrency. However, a recent price slump in Bitcoin Cash (BCH), a derivative of Bitcoin, is sending a potential warning sign to Bitcoin traders.
Understanding the Halving
Bitcoin's mining reward halving is a pre-programmed event that occurs roughly every four years. It cuts the number of new bitcoins awarded to miners for verifying transactions on the blockchain in half. This economic model is designed to control the overall supply of Bitcoin, theoretically leading to price appreciation in the long run due to scarcity.
Bitcoin Cash: A Proxy for Bitcoin's Halving?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) emerged from a hard fork of the Bitcoin blockchain in 2017. While sharing similar core functionalities, BCH has a larger block size, allowing for faster transaction processing compared to Bitcoin.
Historically, the price movements of Bitcoin Cash have often mirrored those of Bitcoin, making it a potential indicator for Bitcoin's future performance. This is why the recent post-halving price drop in BCH has some analysts worried about the potential impact on Bitcoin after its upcoming halving on April 20th.
BCH's Cautionary Tale: A 15% Slide
Following its own halving on April 4th, 2024, Bitcoin Cash experienced a significant price drop of around 15%. This decline suggests that the anticipated rise in value post-halving might not materialize immediately.
Furthermore, BCH futures markets also witnessed a significant drop in open interest, indicating a potential decrease in bullish sentiment among traders. Negative funding rates on BCH perpetual futures contracts further highlight a shift towards a bearish outlook.
Why BCH Might Not Be a Perfect Proxy
While BCH offers some insights, it's important to acknowledge key differences between the two cryptocurrencies:
• Market Capitalization: Bitcoin dwarfs Bitcoin Cash in terms of market capitalization. This vast difference means that Bitcoin's halving will likely have a more muted impact on its price compared to BCH.
• Adoption Rate: Bitcoin enjoys a wider user base and higher adoption rate compared to BCH. This translates to a potentially more robust and resilient market for Bitcoin.
What to Expect for Bitcoin's Halving
Despite BCH's recent price slump, predicting the exact impact of Bitcoin's halving remains a challenge. Here are some factors that could influence Bitcoin's post-halving performance:
• Institutional Investment: Increased institutional investment in Bitcoin could provide significant support for the price post-halving.
• Regulatory Landscape: Evolving regulations surrounding cryptocurrencies can significantly impact investor sentiment and market stability.
• Overall Market Conditions: Broader economic factors and the prevailing risk appetite in the market will also influence Bitcoin's post-halving trajectory.
A Measured Approach: Long-Term Perspective
While the BCH price movement post-halving is a cause for some concern, it shouldn't be the sole indicator for Bitcoin's future. Investors should approach the upcoming halving with a well-rounded perspective, considering the unique fundamentals of Bitcoin and the broader market environment.
Historically, Bitcoin has demonstrated a tendency for price appreciation in the long term after halving events. However, short-term volatility is inevitable. Investors should exercise caution and adopt a long-term investment horizon when navigating the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
The Bottom Line: A Learning Experience
The recent price behavior of Bitcoin Cash serves as a valuable learning experience for Bitcoin traders. It highlights the inherent volatility in the cryptocurrency market and the potential for short-term setbacks even after anticipated positive events like a halving. While BCH might not be a perfect proxy, its performance offers a glimpse into the potential psychological impact of a halving on investor sentiment.
BTCUSD:Go short first, then go long
BTCUSD:
It is currently located near the resistance level, and the strong resistance is near 72400. According to the 30M chart, the transaction should be short first, pay attention to the support and strong support before conducting long transactions. In the 2H chart, the MACD indicator is biased towards the long side.
You can choose to go long near the support, and the chance of hitting strong resistance is relatively high.
#BTC/USDT Technical Analysis. #BTCUSDT Update: Our initial scenario is unfolding perfectly so far.
BTC is likely to go higher when the BTC Dominance hits 58%+ followed by a correction which is likely to lead to an altseason.
Do you believe BTC will surge past $80,000, or will it continue to move sideways until the halving?
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your views in the comment section.
Thank you
#PEACE
Unlocking Bitcoin's PotentialTrading within the price channel defined by the Bollinger Bands involves using the upper band as resistance and the lower band as support. Traders often utilize these bands as dynamic levels to guide their decision-making process.
When the price approaches the upper band, it indicates potential overbought conditions, suggesting a possible reversal or a temporary pause in the upward momentum. This level serves as a resistance point where traders might consider selling or taking profits.
Conversely, when the price nears the lower band, it suggests potential oversold conditions, signaling a potential reversal or a temporary pause in the downward momentum. The lower band acts as a support level, where traders may consider buying or entering long positions.
In addition to the Bollinger Bands, traders often use technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to confirm their trading decisions.
An RSI trending upwards indicates strengthening buying pressure, suggesting potential upward momentum in the price. When the RSI is rising, it suggests that the buying force is increasing, supporting the idea of a bullish trend.
Similarly, a weakening selling force, as indicated by the MACD, further reinforces the bullish outlook. When the MACD line crosses above the signal line and moves into positive territory, it suggests a shift towards bullish momentum.
With all three indicators—Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MACD—pointing towards potential upward movement in the price, traders may consider long positions or buying opportunities. However, it's essential to monitor market conditions closely and manage risk appropriately.
Analyzing Bitcoin's Trends with Ichimoku cloudCurrently, there are few indicators that can provide a quick view of support and resistance levels, momentum, and trend in a single calculation while displaying data correlated with each other. The Ichimoku Cloud serves as a comprehensive chart evaluation tool because all lines and data displayed are interrelated.
The Ichimoku Cloud allows you to formulate trading ideas and setups in just a few minutes. Therefore, traders can easily identify the direction of price movement and the strength of the trend.
While most other indicators may only provide a signal about trend or momentum, requiring another indicator to confirm the accuracy of the signal, through the Ichimoku Cloud, traders can confirm trading trends in a single indicator.
Looking at the Ichimoku indicator, traders will recognize the market price trend:
- An uptrend when the price line is above the Ichimoku Cloud.
- A downtrend when the price line is below the Ichimoku Cloud.
- No trend when the price is within the Ichimoku Cloud area.
In some cases, traders may find the Ichimoku indicator effective when the market is in a certain trend. However, when there is a breakout, traders may not be able to find entry points that meet a good Risk:Reward ratio.
BTC Correction Wave in Progress: Targeting $56,303As BTC undergoes a downward trend, it appears that wave 5 has concluded, initiating the correction wave A. Upon the completion of wave C, I anticipate BTC to stabilize around $56,303. Traders should remain vigilant as the correction unfolds, adjusting their strategies accordingly.
Deciphering Bitcoin Trends: Insights and AnalysisA large supercycle wave is composed of smaller supercycle waves. Each supercycle wave consists of multiple cycle waves. A cycle wave is made up of primary waves. Primary waves are formed by intermediate waves. Intermediate waves are composed of minor waves. Minor waves are made up of minute waves. Minute waves are composed of minuette waves. Minuette waves are formed by subminuette waves. I believe the current price movement is indicative of the first wave of a downward trend.
Analyzing Bitcoin Trends: Insights from ADX IndicatorADX, like Stochastic or RSI, is another oscillating indicator. It fluctuates between 0 and 100, with readings below 20 indicating a weak trend and readings above 50 signaling a strong trend. ADX doesn't determine whether the current trend is bullish or bearish. It merely measures the strength of that trend. Therefore, ADX is often used to identify ranging markets or the beginning of a new trend.
In the example above, initially, ADX was below 20. When it crossed above 50, it signaled that a strong trend could be forming. You can see on the chart that BTC broke below the ranging area and started a downtrend.
The BTC continues its upward trajectoryA correction is possible if the bottom of the triangle is breached.
If there's a breakout to the upside, well, we continue buying.
This analysis reflects only my personal perspective and is not financial advice.
The BTC is showing strength as it continues its ascent towards higher levels. However, there's a possibility of a correction if the bottom of the triangle pattern is broken. In such a scenario, we might witness some profit-taking and a temporary pullback in price. On the other hand, if there's a breakout to the upside, indicating a bullish continuation pattern, it would signal further buying opportunities. It's important to remember that this analysis is based on personal observation and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
BTC Breaks Bullish FlagBTC has successfully broken out of the bullish flag pattern, as indicated on the chart. Following the breakout, a period of consolidation is expected, which is crucial for sustaining the trend. The ultimate target remains at 74804, with two potential scenarios outlined on the chart
BTC price will move in either directionMany educational resources suggest that in most cases, the bulls will win the battle and the price will break through the resistance level. However, based on our experience, this is not always the case. Sometimes the resistance zone is too strong and the buyers lack the strength to overcome it. Prices usually increase after breaking out of the pattern in the majority of cases. The point we want to make is not to fixate on which direction the price will move but to prepare for the price to move in either direction. In this scenario, we would place a buy stop above the upper resistance line and a sell stop below the ascending slope.
BTCUSD Consolidation Amid Institutional Interest and Technical SFollowing a slight retracement, BTCUSD is currently consolidating within a narrow range. A significant factor affecting Bitcoin sentiment is the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF by Morgan Stanley in the coming weeks, as indicated by documents filed with the SEC. This prospective institutional embrace of Bitcoin could trigger a fresh influx of capital into the crypto market.
Monitoring the negative correlation between Bitcoin and NASDAQ is crucial. A decline in NASDAQ could lead to a Bitcoin downturn. Currently, NASDAQ shows consolidation signs after trimming some gains ahead of US GDP data. A close above 18,700 could propel the index towards 19,000.
Technically, BTC is trading below its short-term moving averages (21 and 55 EMA) but above its long-term moving average (200 EMA) on an H4 chart. This suggests a short-term neutral trend but a long-term bullish bias.
Minor support is located at 65,000, with additional support levels to watch in case of a breakdown, notably at 63,000, 61,800, and 60,000. Buy signals are identified at 63,000 with a stop-loss around 59,000 and a take-profit at 74,000. Sell signals are suggested at 74,000 with a stop-loss around 75,000 and a take-profit at 60,000.
An important observation is the upcoming Bitcoin halving expected in late April, historically associated with significant price movements. It's also noteworthy that Bitcoin has surpassed its previous ATH before the halving for the first time, signaling a shift in market dynamics. This could potentially lead to surprises, particularly in terms of volatility and investor behavior. As such, traders should be prepared to react swiftly to market developments and adjust their strategies accordingly.
BTCMaintains Stability, Selling Bias Supported by EMA 9 SignalToday, BTCUSD is holding steady around the $67,645-68,000 range, with no notable fluctuations observed. In this context, I continue to advocate for a bearish stance on BTCUSDT, especially as it moves away from its sideways trend. The signal from the EMA 9 further strengthens the optimism that the market may lean towards the selling side.
BTC Price Surge: What's Driving the Increase and What Lies AheadThe Bullish Pennant Signals Continuation of Uptrend - indicating that the upward trend may resume. This means that the upward momentum will soon return after a consolidation phase, where the buyers have accumulated enough energy to push prices higher. I believe the price will continue to rise.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaExamining Bitcoin (BTC), this analysis identifies a potential short-term long trade. We'll be deconstructing the current price trend, meticulously evaluating recent price action, gauging market forces, and targeting a potential entry point aligned with favorable technical indicators (further details provided in the video). However, I cannot emphasize enough the importance of robust risk management practices. By its very nature, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
Bitcoin Market Analysis: Trends and PredictionsMany educational resources suggest that in most cases, the buying side will win the battle and prices will break through resistance. However, based on our experience, this isn't always the case. Sometimes, the resistance zone is too strong and the buying side lacks the strength to break through. Prices often move upwards after breaking the pattern in the majority of cases. The point we want to make is not to be fixated on which direction prices will move, but rather to be prepared for them to move in either direction. In this scenario, we will place a buy stop order above the upper resistance line and a sell stop order below the ascending slope line.