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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound Ahead?4-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals a potential rebound opportunity. After a sharp decline, the price has stabilized around $97,245.43, forming a support level. The green and red box annotations suggest a possible price range breakout, with an upward arrow indicating a potential price increase. The current price stands at $100,461.58, down 1.63% from its recent peak. Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue its downward trend?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
1
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of ​​105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space. At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level. 🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning? The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play. 🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues: First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
by EhsanZeydabadi
20
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Continuation After Failed Support !Bitcoin attempted to hold the $101,409 support level but failed to sustain above it. The breakdown confirms weakness, and the chart now suggests a continuation of the downtrend if bulls don’t reclaim lost ground quickly. Technical Breakdown: Failed Bounce: BTC briefly bounced near $101.4K but got rejected and closed back below the zone. Bearish Structure: Price continues forming lower highs and lower lows — a clear downtrend. RSI at 30.34: Close to oversold but still room to fall, which means downside isn’t exhausted yet. Market Sentiment: Weak hands are exiting, and support zones are getting tested faster than they’re defended. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $101,409 – Immediate level, now flipped to resistance $103,573 – Strong barrier if bulls attempt recovery $105,807 – Major horizontal resistance and lower high zone Support: $97,340 – Next major support zone (possible short-term bounce) $93,343 – Key level if $97.3K fails to hold $92,200 – Final support before panic could set in Trade Idea – Bearish Bias: Short on Retest Zone: $101.4K – $102K Stoploss: Above $103.6K Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $97,300 TP2: $93,300 TP3: Optional – trail lower if breakdown continues What Bulls Need to Do: Reclaim $101.4K fast with a strong close above it on the 4H chart Otherwise, sellers remain in control This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly.
Short
by ScramblerG
BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22) Notable news about BTC: Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes. However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs. Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets. Technical analysis angle Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50. Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets. If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1
Btc seizes the opportunity to trade with the trendTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 20: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with a continuous negative line. The price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross and running downward, but we should note that the overall volatility this week was not large, and the fluctuation was in a small range. So we should pay attention to keeping short-term trading and closing profits in time. Don't hesitate, drag, and don't think about a big rise or fall. After a large drop on Tuesday this week, the short-term hourly chart has entered a small range of fluctuations. There is no continuation or breakout, so we should just follow the trend. We have sold at the high point of 105,500 as a defense, and bought at 103,000 as a defense, for short-term trading.
by NuggetsWarriors
1
continue to move accumulation: below 109,000💎 Update Plan BTC (June 20) Notable news about BTC: Semler Scientific (SMLR) unveiled an ambitious three-year strategy on Thursday aimed at significantly expanding its Bitcoin holdings to 105,000 BTC by the end of 2027. The announcement coincided with the appointment of a new executive to lead the firm’s digital asset initiative. The Nasdaq-listed healthcare firm has named Joe Burnett as its Director of Bitcoin Strategy, a move it believes will strengthen its long-term treasury vision and enhance shareholder value. As part of this strategic shift, Semler Scientific plans to accumulate Bitcoin through a mix of equity and debt financing, alongside reinvested cash flows from its core business operations. Technical analysis angle BTC as well as XauUSD are trapped in the channel price 104k to 110k these are also two important milestones of BTC. Also congratulations to investors when detecting the bottom of 104k. The next expectation within the price channel is still maintained at 110k landmark But with the recent moves of investors, the community is afraid that BTC will continue to adjust in the future. ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Short
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis🔍 BTC/USDT Technical Analysis 📆 Chart Context: Published on: June 18, 2025 Instrument: Bitcoin (BTC) vs Tether (USDT) Timeframe: Appears to be 4H or 1H based on candle width and structure 🧠 Market Structure 🔸 Lower Highs Forming Clear rejection from around 110,000–112,000 USDT A sequence of lower highs suggests bearish momentum Market is failing to break previous highs, signaling potential reversal 🔸 Strong Support Zone Marked between $99,000 – $100,000 This level has previously caused price reversals (see June 6 and 13 wicks) Currently being tested again — buyers have defended this area twice 🔁 Price Action & Candlestick Behavior Recent candles show indecision and weakness after a mild bounce Wick rejections near $106,000–$107,000 point to supply zone Projected path (gray curve) implies a small pullback, then a breakdown into the support zone 📉 Prediction: Price Outlook ✴️ Short-Term (1–3 Days): A likely pullback to $106,000, then a drop toward $100,000–$99,000 If support fails to hold, next target is $96,000–$94,500 ✴️ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Candle close below $99,000 with high volume = clear sell signal In this case, bears may aim for $92,000–$90,000 next ✴️ Bullish Scenario (Less Likely): If price holds above $104,000 and breaks $108,000, next resistance: $110,500–$112,000 📊 Key Technical Zones Zone Type Price Level (USDT) Note Resistance $110,000–$112,000 Previous top, major supply zone Short-Term Resistance $106,000–$107,000 Weak bounce, possible entry area for shorts Current Price ~$104,376 Weak consolidation Support Zone $99,000–$100,000 Key demand area Breakdown Target $96,000–$94,000 If support fails ✅ Professional Outlook Summary Market Bias: 📉 Bearish Action Zone: 🔍 Watching $106K as potential short entry Support Critical: $99K must hold, or deeper drop Risk Level: ⚠️ High volatility likely
Short
by MQL_CodedPips
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June. Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed. 🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump. 💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k. And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little. ⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume. What do you think?
by P_S_trade
2
BTC/USD Bearish Outlook AnalysisBTC/USD Bearish Outlook Analysis 📉🧠 📊 Technical Overview: The BTC/USD chart is showing signs of a bearish structure formation, suggesting increased downside momentum in the short term. 🔻 Resistance Zone: Clear resistance is identified near $110,345, marked by multiple price rejections (🔴 red arrows). Price failed to break above this zone several times, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔸 Support Zone: Strong support lies near the $100,000 psychological level. Price has respected this zone multiple times (🟠 orange circles), indicating buyer interest. 📉 Current Price Action: A descending trendline breakout attempt failed and price is now consolidating just below $105,000. Price is forming a bearish flag/consolidation structure after recent rejection. A breakdown from the current box range is likely to push BTC toward the support zone at $100,000. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC breaks below $104,000, expect continuation towards $100,000. A daily candle close below support could signal further downside. 📈 Invalidation: Bullish invalidation occurs if BTC reclaims and closes above $108,000, with volume, retesting resistance at $110,345. 🧭 Summary: BTC/USD is exhibiting a lower highs structure within a descending channel. Unless it breaks above the resistance zone, the bias remains bearish with a high probability of retesting support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart AnalysisBTC/USDT Long Trade Setup – 1H Chart Analysis BINANCE:BTCUSDT Hello traders! Sharing a recent long entry I took on Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) based on price action and liquidity concepts. This trade is taken on the 1-hour timeframe and aligns with my strategy of combining liquidity sweeps, support zones, and market structure shifts. --- 🔍 Trade Overview: Entry Price: 104,704 USDT Stop Loss: 103,660 USDT Take Profit (Target): 108,349 USDT Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 1:3 --- 🧠 Trade Idea Behind the Entry: As you can see on the chart, BTC had been in a downtrend and recently made a strong move into a key liquidity zone. This zone had previously seen multiple touches and rejections, making it an area of interest for both buyers and sellers. The price swept liquidity below the previous low (labelled as “Liquidity Sweep $$$”), grabbing stop losses of early buyers and triggering limit orders of smart money. This move into the liquidity zone was followed by a strong bullish reaction – a signal that buyers may be stepping in. Additionally, the "Break of Structure" (BOS) confirms a potential shift in market direction. The reaction from the liquidity zone indicates that this level is holding as new support. --- 🛠️ Why I Took the Trade: 1. Liquidity Sweep: The wick that pierced the liquidity zone signals stop-hunting and accumulation. These moves often precede a strong reversal. 2. Demand Zone Reaction: After the sweep, the candle closed bullish inside the demand box. This shows buyer strength. 3. Risk Management: The stop loss is set just below the liquidity zone to protect from deeper sweeps while keeping the RR healthy. 4. High Probability Target: The target is placed near the next resistance level around 108,349, which also aligns with a clean imbalance that price may want to fill. --- 📊 Technical Confidence: Confluence Factors: ✅ Liquidity sweep ✅ Demand zone reaction ✅ Market structure shift ✅ High RR ✅ No immediate resistance till target This type of setup reflects smart money behavior – first pushing price below structure to grab liquidity and then reversing sharply. The bullish momentum after the sweep gave extra confirmation. --- 🧭 What I’m Watching Now: I will continue monitoring how price reacts around the 105,500–106,000 range. If momentum continues with higher highs and higher lows, I may trail my stop loss to lock in profits. --- Let me know what you think of this setup! Have you taken a similar trade or are you waiting for confirmation? Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇 Stay disciplined, manage your risk, and trust the process. 🚀 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeJournal
Long
by Jamtara_Trader
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend. Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy: The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Is the Bitcoin Cash Hype Over? BCH/BTC Ratio Flashes WarningThe Great Divergence: Why the Bitcoin Cash-Bitcoin Ratio Breakdown Signals More Than Just a Price Drop In the unforgiving arena of the cryptocurrency markets, every chart tells a story. Some whisper of quiet accumulation, others scream of speculative frenzy. But few charts tell a story as profound and historically charged as the Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin (BCH/BTC) ratio. For years, this ratio has been the ultimate barometer of a digital civil war, a measure of the hopes and failures of a project born from a contentious schism. Recently, that barometer has given its clearest signal in months: a decisive and powerful breakdown from a multi-month triangle pattern. This technical event is far more than a simple squiggle on a screen for traders. It represents the potential end of a speculative, hype-driven rally and the forceful reassertion of a brutal, long-term trend. It signals that the fundamental chasm between Bitcoin, the undisputed king of digital assets, and Bitcoin Cash, its most famous and ambitious offshoot, may be widening once again. The breakdown suggests that the brief period of optimism for Bitcoin Cash, fueled by its own halving event and a broader market updraft, may be conclusively over. To understand the gravity of this moment, one must dissect not only the technical pattern itself but also the deep-seated historical and fundamental weaknesses that made this breakdown almost inevitable. The Anatomy of a Technical Collapse: Smashing the Triangle For much of 2024, the BCH/BTC ratio was trapped in a state of compression. On the chart, this appeared as a classic symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, creating two converging trendlines that form the shape of a triangle. In market terms, it represents a period of intense equilibrium and indecision. Buyers and sellers are locked in a fierce battle, with neither side able to gain a definitive edge. The price coils tighter and tighter, like a compressed spring, building up energy for an explosive move. The only question is which direction it will break. In the case of the BCH/BTC ratio, that question has been answered with a resounding crash. The price has decisively broken below the lower trendline of the triangle. This is known as a "breakdown," and it is a powerfully bearish signal. It signifies that the sellers have overwhelmed the buyers, the equilibrium has been shattered, and the path of least resistance is now firmly downwards. Traders often measure the potential target of such a breakdown by taking the height of the triangle at its widest point and projecting that distance downwards from the point of the breakdown. Given the scale of this particular pattern, this technical measurement points to a significant further decline in the ratio, potentially revisiting and even surpassing its all-time lows. This isn't just a minor dip; it's a structural failure on the chart that suggests a new, sustained leg down in Bitcoin Cash's performance relative to Bitcoin. The "hype rally" that saw the ratio climb in the lead-up to the Bitcoin Cash halving has been effectively erased, and the market is signaling that the fundamental gravity of the long-term downtrend is taking hold once more. A Ghost in the Machine: The Lingering Shadow of the 2017 Fork This technical breakdown did not occur in a vacuum. It is a single chapter in a long and bitter saga that began in 2017. To grasp its significance, we must revisit the great "Block Size War" that tore the Bitcoin community apart. At its heart was a philosophical disagreement about how to scale Bitcoin to accommodate more users. One camp, which included many of the earliest adopters and evangelists, argued for a simple solution: increase the block size. By allowing more transactions to fit into each block, the network could process more volume and keep fees low, preserving what they saw as Bitcoin's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system." The other camp, which ultimately retained control of the Bitcoin protocol, argued for a more cautious approach. They feared that large blocks would lead to centralization, making it too expensive for ordinary users to run a full node and validate the blockchain. Their solution was to keep the base layer small and secure, and to build scaling solutions on top of it, such as the Lightning Network. This ideological impasse led to a "hard fork" in August 2017, creating Bitcoin Cash. For a brief, euphoric period, BCH was seen as a legitimate contender. Fueled by a powerful narrative and influential backers, its price soared, and the BCH/BTC ratio hit an all-time high of over 0.5 in late 2017, sparking serious talk of a "flippening"—the moment BCH would overtake BTC in market capitalization. That moment never came. Since that peak, the BCH/BTC ratio has been locked in a devastating, multi-year downtrend. The recent triangle pattern was merely a pause, a brief consolidation within this much larger waterfall decline. The breakdown from the triangle is therefore not a new event, but a continuation of a historical trend. It is the market's brutal verdict on the outcome of that civil war. The Fundamental Chasm: Why Bitcoin Cash Keeps Losing Ground A chart pattern is ultimately a reflection of underlying fundamentals. The relentless decline of the BCH/BTC ratio is a direct consequence of the widening gap between the two networks across every meaningful metric. 1. Narrative and Brand Identity: Bitcoin has successfully cultivated a simple, powerful, and globally understood narrative: it is digital gold. It is a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a pristine, unconfiscatable asset. This narrative has attracted institutions, nation-states, and trillions of dollars in potential capital. Bitcoin Cash, meanwhile, has struggled to define itself. Its narrative as "peer-to-peer electronic cash" is less compelling in a world with countless low-fee payment options, including stablecoins and Bitcoin's own Lightning Network. Without a clear and unique value proposition, it has failed to capture the market's imagination. 2. Security and Hash Rate: The most critical measure of a proof-of-work blockchain's health is its hash rate—the total computational power dedicated to securing the network. Here, the difference is staggering. Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than Bitcoin Cash's. This makes Bitcoin exponentially more secure and resistant to a 51% attack, where a malicious actor could gain control of the network. Bitcoin Cash, with its comparatively minuscule hash rate, remains theoretically vulnerable, a fundamental flaw that deters serious institutional capital. 3. Developer Activity and Innovation: The heart of any technology is its developer community. The most innovative and exciting developments in the Bitcoin ecosystem are happening on the main chain. The activation of Taproot, the explosion of Ordinals and Inscriptions, and the continued growth of the Lightning Network all demonstrate a vibrant and evolving protocol. In contrast, the developer ecosystem for Bitcoin Cash has been far less dynamic. While it has its dedicated builders, it has not produced the kind of groundbreaking innovation needed to attract new users and capital. 3. Adoption and Network Effects: Bitcoin's network effect is its ultimate moat. It has spot ETFs trading on major stock exchanges, granting it unparalleled access to traditional finance. It is held on the balance sheets of public companies and is recognized as legal tender in some countries. Bitcoin Cash has none of these things. Merchant adoption has stalled, and institutional interest is virtually non-existent. In the world of networks, winners tend to take all, and Bitcoin's lead has become seemingly insurmountable. The Aftermath: What Comes Next for the BCH/BTC Ratio? With the triangle pattern now shattered, the path forward for the BCH/BTC ratio looks precarious. The most likely scenario is a continuation of the bearish trend that has been in place for over six years. The breakdown has released the coiled energy to the downside, and the ratio will likely seek out lower levels of support, potentially bleeding towards its all-time lows. For investors, this serves as a stark reminder of the risks of holding assets that are fundamentally and technically weaker than the market leader. Is there any hope for a reversal? A bull case for Bitcoin Cash would require a monumental shift. It would need to carve out a sustainable niche that Bitcoin cannot serve, perhaps in ultra-low-fee microtransactions. It would require a renaissance in developer activity, producing a "killer app" that draws in millions of users. More likely, any significant bounce in the BCH/BTC ratio would probably be a result of a massive, indiscriminate altcoin rally that lifts all boats, rather than a specific vote of confidence in Bitcoin Cash itself. Even then, history suggests such bounces are temporary and ultimately present better opportunities to sell than to buy for the long term. Conclusion: The Market Has Spoken The breakdown of the BCH/BTC ratio from its multi-month triangle is a technically significant event with profound fundamental implications. It is the market's latest verdict in the long-running war for the "real Bitcoin" title. The verdict is clear: the hype is over. The dream of a "flippening" is a distant memory, a ghost from 2017. The story of the BCH/BTC chart is a powerful lesson in market dynamics. It shows that in the brutal competition of open-source protocols, a superior narrative, impenetrable security, and a powerful network effect are the ultimate weapons. Bitcoin Cash began its life as a legitimate contender with a compelling vision. But over time, it has been outmaneuvered, out-developed, and out-adopted. The chart does not lie. It simply reflects this divergent reality, and its latest signal suggests that the great divergence between Bitcoin and its most famous offspring is set to continue.
Short
by bryandowningqln
3
PENGUUSDT Forming Falling WedgePENGUUSDT is currently showing a textbook falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, which is a bullish technical setup often signaling a trend reversal. The price has been compressing within downward-sloping resistance and support lines, and with the wedge tightening, a breakout is becoming more likely. This setup is particularly appealing when paired with the recent increase in trading volume, suggesting accumulation and growing market interest. If a breakout confirms, the projected upside could be in the range of 90% to 100%+ based on historical wedge breakouts and current technical targets. From a volume and sentiment perspective, the coin has seen consistent liquidity, and investor chatter is increasing across forums and social platforms. The consolidation after a previous strong uptrend adds further strength to the setup — a classic "bullish continuation" after a healthy correction phase. Traders often look for such patterns to catch early momentum before a full-scale rally unfolds. In the case of PENGUUSDT, once resistance breaks convincingly, a strong wave upward could follow swiftly. The breakout zone to watch sits slightly above the upper descending trendline, and with price already nudging against it, traders should keep an eye on confirmation candles with strong volume. Given the relatively clean overhead structure, any successful breakout could lead to a quick retest of previous highs, providing significant upside. The 100% profit projection marked on the chart highlights the measured move target, aligning with prior resistance zones. Technically sound and backed by rising interest, PENGUUSDT presents a high-potential opportunity for short-term and swing traders. If momentum continues, this could become one of the top-performing micro-cap plays in the coming weeks. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetupBTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout Setup 🔄🚀 Technical Analysis Overview: 🔹 Pattern Formation: The chart displays a potential Triple Bottom pattern (🟠), a classic reversal signal forming at the $104,870–$100,000 support zone 🛡️. This structure suggests a strong base is being established for a potential upside move. 🔹 Support Zone: 📉 The price has consistently bounced off the major support area around $100,000–$104,870, indicating strong buying interest. 🔹 Resistance Zone: 📊 The key resistance level lies around the $114,000–$115,000 range 🔵, which has been tested multiple times in the past (🔴 arrows) and could act as a future profit target. 🔹 Price Action & Projection: Currently, price is trading near $107,025 and is showing signs of bullish continuation after forming a higher low. If the price consolidates above the $104,870 zone and holds support, we could see a potential breakout targeting the $114,000 resistance 📈. 📌 Key Takeaways: ✅ Triple Bottom formation signals trend reversal. 🔄 Bullish structure confirmed above $104,870. 🎯 Next target: $114,000 if breakout holds. ⚠️ Watch for potential consolidation before continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
BTC “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitics Could Delay ItBitcoin’s “Golden Cross” Looms, but Geopolitical Shocks Could Delay the Breakout Deep dive into price action, derivatives, on-chain data, and the tug-of-war between Middle-East risk and crypto bull-run momentum ________________________________________ Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed 13. Disclaimers ________________________________________ 1. Executive Summary • Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a tight $103 K–$108 K band, unable to confirm a breakout as Middle-East tensions push investors into hedging mode. • A Golden Cross—the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day—could flash within 10 trading sessions, historically adding +37 % median upside over the subsequent 90 days. • Options flow has flipped decisively toward puts, with the 25-delta skew hitting –10 %, its most bearish since the FTX collapse, signaling short-term anxiety even as long-term bets remain bullish. • On-chain metrics (exchange balances at six-year lows, HODLer supply at all-time highs) reveal structural demand; Glassnode notes a 656 % cycle advance despite a trillion-dollar market cap. • Analysts’ upside targets range from $140 K (Q3) to $270 K (October) and even $229 K based on the Golden Cross fractal. Yet a clean break of $104 K support opens room to $97 K first. ________________________________________ 2. Scene-Setter: BTC at $105 K in a World on Edge Bitcoin entered 2025 with a blistering rally—spot ETFs hoovered nearly 200 K coins in four months, miners sold aggressively into strength, and macro tailwinds (Fed easing, USD weakness) fueled risk appetite. Then two macro curveballs hit: 1. Sticky U.S. core inflation revived “higher-for-longer” rate fears. 2. Israel–Iran hostilities spooked global markets, sending Brent crude to $76 and sparking a dash for USD liquidity. BTC, once heralded as “digital gold,” behaved like a high-beta tech stock: it slipped 7 % in 48 hours, tagging $103,200 before bargain hunters stepped in. As of this writing, price sits near $105,800—right on the 100-hour SMA. Whether we escape the range depends on which force proves stronger: geopolitical dread or the long-term structural bid. ________________________________________ 3. Technical Spark: What a Golden Cross Really Means A Golden Cross occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA-50) crosses above the 200-day (SMA-200). In Bitcoin’s 14-year history, we have logged nine such events: Year Days to Cross 90-Day Return 180-Day Return 2013 51 +88 % +202 % 2015 73 +34 % +67 % 2019 46 +193 % +262 % 2020 38 +77 % +112 % 2023 59 +29 % +48 % Median 90-day gain: +37 % Median drawdown post-cross: –12 % We are ~$700 shy of triggering the cross (SMA-50 at $97.9 K, SMA-200 at $98.1 K and rising). Assuming volatility stays muted, the lines converge within two weeks, potentially firing a widely watched buy signal. But remember: the cross is lagging; smart traders anticipate, not react. ________________________________________ 4. Price Action: From $103 K Dip to $106.8 K Hurdle Key intraday levels (Kraken feed): • Support 1: $104,000 – prior weekly low + bullish order-block • Support 2: $101,200 – 0.786 Fib retrace of the Feb–Mar impulse • Bear Pivot: $97,000 – 200-day EMA + high-confluence volume node • Resistance 1: $106,800 – last week’s swing high; three failed probes • Resistance 2: $108,500 – May monthly open • Bull Pivot: $113,000 – neckline of the March distribution range Monday’s bounce broke a declining trend-line from $110 K, printing a higher low—constructive, yet bulls require a daily close >$106.8 K to invalidate the short-term bearish structure. ________________________________________ 5. Options Market: A Sudden Lurch Toward Puts Deribit data (largest BTC options venue): • Put/Call Ratio: 0.62 last Friday → 0.91 today • 25-Delta Skew (1-month): –10 %, lowest since Nov-2022 • Max-Pain for April 26 expiry: $104 K (huge open interest) Translation: traders rushed to buy protective puts as Iran war headlines crossed. Market-makers, short those puts, delta-hedged by shorting spot or perpetual futures, adding downward pressure—classic gamma feedback loop. Yet term structure remains contango; June and September IVs price higher topside. Institutions appear to sell near-dated panic, accumulate long-dated calls—a bullish medium-term stance. ________________________________________ 6. Macro Overhang: Why Israel–Iran Turmoil Matters to Bitcoin 1. Risk-Off Correlation: Despite “digital gold” narratives, BTC’s 30-day correlation with the Nasdaq-100 sits at 0.64; equities slide → crypto follows. 2. USD Liquidity Drain: War premium lifts oil, stoking inflation and forcing the Fed to delay cuts; higher real yields pressure non-yielding assets. 3. Regulatory Optics: Heightened national-security chatter emboldens lawmakers keen to scrutinize crypto, a perceived sanctions-evasion channel. 4. Regional Flows: The Middle-East hosts some of the largest sovereign-wealth pools; risk aversion could pause their crypto allocations. 5. Hence, every missile headline becomes a volatility catalyst. Still, flash-risk events fade quickly if energy supply stays intact, offering windows for BTC to re-assert its secular trend. ________________________________________ 7. On-Chain Pulse: 656 % Cycle Gain, Yet Supply Is Tighter Than 2021 Glassnode frames Bitcoin’s ongoing bull as “one of the most explosive relative to market cap gravity.” Highlights: • Cycle Return: 656 % from the $14 K November-2022 bottom—impressive given the asset is now >$2 T in free-float value, dwarfing 2017’s sub-$100 B base. • Exchange Balances: Just 2.02 M BTC on centralized venues—13-year low. • Realized Price (short-term holders): $92,500—suggests marginal buyers remain well in profit. • Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow: At 275 K BTC/day vs. 2021’s 550 K—implying HODLers are less willing to spend. Put simply: even after a seven-fold rally, supply scarcity persists. ________________________________________ 8. Mining Fundamentals: Difficulty Eases, Margins Improve The April 20 adjustment saw difficulty dip 1.2 %, the first contraction since January. Why it matters: • Post-Halving Breathing Room: Block subsidy fell to 1.5625 BTC; a difficulty rollback cushions miner profit margins, lowering forced selling risk. • Hashrate Plateau: Network hashrate hovers at 640 EH/s, only 3 % off the ATH—miners remain confident. • Transaction Fees: Average fee per block = 0.37 BTC, still elevated by historical standards thanks to BRC-20 activity. Miners thus appear cash-flow stable, reducing downside pressure on spot markets compared to previous post-halving eras. ________________________________________ 9. Corporate Treasuries: The Quiet, Sticky Bid Since MicroStrategy cracked the dam, 68 public companies now hold BTC on balance sheets, totaling 412,000 coins (~$43 B). Recent newcomers: Company Purchase Date BTC Added Avg Cost SemiconX Feb-2025 2,500 $94,800 Nordic Logistics Mar-2025 800 $98,200 Atlantech Energy Apr-2025 1,200 $101,500 Traits of corporate treasuries: • Long-Dated Liabilities: Align with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cadence. • Low Turnover: None of the 68 have sold core holdings despite 80 % drawdowns in 2022. • Regulatory Transparency: SEC filings broadcast purchases, inviting copycat demand. This sticky bid stabilizes spot markets during macro squalls. ________________________________________ 10. Targets & Scenarios: $97 K Downside vs. $229 K Upside Bearish Path (30 % probability) • Trigger: Israel–Iran broadens, Fed signals no cuts in 2025. • Price Action: Break $104 K, bulls capitulate at $97 K (200-day). • Depth: Could wick to $88–90 K (0.618 retrace) if macro gloom persists. Base Case (50 % probability) • Trigger: Skirmishes contained; oil cools, Fed cuts twice by December. • Price Action: Golden Cross confirms, BTC grinds to $128 K by September. • Highs: $140 K tap as ETF inflows resume. Bullish Path (20 % probability) • Trigger: Middle-East cease-fire + ETF FOMO round two + dovish Fed pivot. • Fractals: Prior Golden-Cross extensions averaged +120 % at extreme. • Price Action: $150 K by summer, $229 K (Fib 2.618 from 2022 low) by year-end. • Blow-Off: $270 K October spike before the next cyclical bear begins. ________________________________________ 11. Strategy Playbook for Traders & Investors Horizon Bias Instruments Risk Management Intraday (0–48 h) Range scalp $104–$107 K Perp futures (5× max), options gamma scalping Hard stop $103 K; position <1 % equity Swing (2–8 wks) Buy pullbacks ahead of Golden Cross Spot, dated futures roll, 1-month $110 K calls Stop $97 K daily close; size 5–10 % Position (3–6 mo) Accumulate for $140–150 K target Spot, June/Sept call spreads ($120/150) Hedge via 25 % put collar Long-Term (1–4 yr) Maintain core stash; ignore noise Cold storage, DCA Re-balance only when price doubles Optional hedge: Long Gold / Short BTC ratio spread as a geopolitical shock absorber; ratio 1.3 currently, mean-reverts to 1.1 post-crises. ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion: Delayed, Not Derailed Bitcoin stands at a crossroads: a textbook Golden Cross beckons, ETF inflows smolder, miners relax, and corporate treasuries drip-feed demand. Yet war headlines and a cautious options market act as sandbags on the balloon. History says macro shocks slow, not stop secular bull cycles. Unless Middle-East conflict strangles global liquidity or the Fed slams the brakes far harder than priced, BTC’s higher-time-frame structure remains bullish. Expect turbulence, embrace risk controls—but don’t mistake a weather delay for a busted engine. ________________________________________ 13. Disclaimers This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investing involves substantial risk; never invest more than you can afford to lose.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Bullish Reversal Zone AnalysisSupport Zone: The horizontal purple box (~104,000 USDT area) has acted as a strong support/resistance flip zone multiple times. Falling Wedge Breakout: The price action broke out of a falling wedge pattern earlier, confirming bullish momentum. Flag Formation (Current): A smaller bullish flag/pennant appears to be forming, and a breakout above could trigger a strong upward move. Projected Move: The black arrow indicates a potential bounce from this support zone, with the price targeting the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone (highlighted in the top purple box). Volume Spike: Notable volume spike near the bottom supports the idea of accumulation and possible reversal. 📈 Conclusion: If the support zone holds and price breaks above the minor flag, a bullish continuation is likely toward the 111,000–112,000 resistance area. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout and volume increase for validation.
Long
by ZareeFxTradingAac
BTC-----Sell around 100500, target 103500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 14: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The decline in the big trend was still very obvious. We should pay attention to the breakout and pressure signal of the high point of yesterday's correction and pullback in the 106200 area; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's price rebounded and corrected after hitting the low point, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning today. The current K-line pattern continued to fall, and the attached indicator was dead cross. Then the trend is likely to fluctuate downward during the day, but the strength is not expected to be great over the weekend, so it is still short-term. BTC short-term trading contract strategy: Directly short in the 100500 area, stop loss in the 105500 area; target is 103500 area;
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
BTCUSD Hey everyone, Taking a closer look at the BTCUSD chart, I've plotted some interesting price levels that could act as significant support and resistance in the coming weeks. This analysis aligns with what appears to be a trend-based Fibonacci time analysis, and I've also marked some crucial dates where we might see major market changes. Based on our observations, we're seeing a range of important price action. For instance, notice the cluster of highs around the 112,048 to 113,343 area. These levels, particularly those marked with an asterisk such as 112,167, 112,503, and 113,006, have previously shown strong upward movements, suggesting they could serve as notable resistance if price attempts to push higher. Conversely, on the downside, the levels from 111,952 down to 110,665, with points like 111,833, 111,499, and 110,832 highlighted, have historically seen bounces or significant slowing of downward momentum. These could very well act as crucial support areas, preventing further declines. As we move forward, it will be crucial to observe how price interacts with these levels, especially around the following dates where we might see major market shifts: July 4th, 2025 July 11th, 2025 July 26th, 2025 August 9th, 2025 August 16th, 2025 September 9th, 2025 The higher resistance points reaching up to 118,793 and lower support extending to 105,407 define a broader range we'll be watching closely. Keep an eye on these zones for potential reversals or breakthroughs, particularly around the dates mentioned, which could signal the next significant move for Bitcoin. As always, manage your risk accordingly. What are your thoughts on these levels and potential turning points? Share in the comments below! Want to Level Up? Join Shunya Trade’s Mentoring Program to master these strategies and sharpen your technical analysis skills. Your Feedback Matters! Let me know how this analysis works for you—your insights will shape future reports! Let’s navigate the markets together—wisely and proactively. Trade safely! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance. Price High Price Low 112048 111952 112084 111916 *112167 *111833 *112335 *111666 *112503 *111499 *112670 *111332 *112838 *111165 *113006 *110998 *113174 *110832 *113343 *110665 114017 110001 *114693 *109339 115372 108678 116052 108020 116734 107364 *117419 *106709 118105 106057 118793 105407
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by shoonya0000