Bitcoin crash to $80K is normal, not the start of a major declinData confirms that the latest Bitcoin crash may be the result of a natural correction, rather than the start of a major downtrend.
Bitcoin has once again fallen below $80,000 for the second time this year, sparking investor panic. As fear spreads, many are questioning whether this drop marks the end of the Bitcoin bull run or if it is just a natural correction in the ongoing uptrend. The decline in peak losses shows Bitcoin in a natural correction; in recent analysis, even though Bitcoin has revisited the $80K range, the extent of realized losses is still significantly lower than previous corrections.
While CRYPTOCAP:BTC has revisited the $8.0K range, peak losses are still significantly lower than the late February to early March correction.
Total peak losses:
February 25: $933M
February 26: $897M
February 28: $933M
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
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btc long idea due to fvga strategic long position on Bitcoin (BTC) at $78,000, following a Fair Value Gap (FVG) that forms at $76,000. This gap suggests a potential price inefficiency, which you believe could trigger a bullish move in BTC’s price. The setup implies that the price will fill the gap and push higher. To manage risk, you’ve set a stop loss at $75,000, providing a clear level for potential exit in case the market moves against your position. Your target for this trade is $96,000, where you expect significant resistance or a strong price movement to materialize. Overall, the trade offers a solid risk-reward setup with the expectation of capturing gains as Bitcoin rallies from the FVG level.
Bitcoin Weekly Closed RED and scared some people .What now ? That was a horrible week for many
Uncertainty for those that do not understand Bitcoin and the JOY of buying more at a cheaper price for others.
I will admit to thinking PA was going ot bounce over the weekend and then get down to where we are now..It went down over the wweekend.. I do not mind... My SPOT buy orders began triggering.
So, on a slightly longer term, The Triangle that PA was in was always going ot squeeze PA to early.
Why ?
Because, as ever, we are waiting for the weekly MACD to Cool off. and it is only half way down currently
As you cana see, we have begun falling a Bit steeper than we did in Last years Long Range, were MACD also needed to cool off.
If we fall at the same rate as previously, we will hit Neutral around June. If we fall this steeply as we are now, that could be early May - Once weekly MACD hits Neutral, PA will certsinly have enough power to push p way past the current ATH
The Daily Version of the same chart shows us the support we now sit on
This line of Support is not amazing in many ways, as we can see by how PA has fallen through and climbed back up through it many times
What IS strong is that Fib Ext below at around 68200 but I think Will are unlikely to reach that.
The Rising line of support above that at around 73K is possible, though again, I think it is unlikely.
A Wick down to the 78K area is Very possible however.
This week could get Volatile as we get MACRO news from the World and USA inflation data is released.
Look to the future....and just BUY and GOLD Bitcoin
Crypto summit disappoints, Bitcoin teeters on support Bitcoin surged on March 3 after Donald Trump announced a strategic crypto reserve, only to erase gains following erratic tariff announcements the following days.
Friday’s White House crypto summit, expected to be a turning point, fell flat. Trump met with top crypto executives, promising to ease Biden-era regulations, but offered only vague commitments. Instead of rallying, the market has declined further.
A silver lining for Bitcoin came with Friday’s weak jobs report, increasing the likelihood of Federal Reserve intervention. Historically, Bitcoin benefits when interest rates fall. Although this is yet to be reflected in the price.
Technically, BTC/USD is testing the first support on the pitchfork indicator, with the money flow index suggesting no buying pressure at the moment. A drop below Monday’s low of $81,620 could invalidate any bullish outlook.
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support zone, offering potential opportunities for both counter-trend trades and short setups! 🚀 In this video, we break down Bitcoin's price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, focusing on key areas such as liquidity zones, bearish imbalances, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Discover how to identify higher highs, higher lows, and potential trade setups for both long and short positions. 💹 Whether you're an experienced trader or just getting started, this analysis will give you the tools to navigate Bitcoin's current market dynamics with confidence. 🔄 As always, this content is for educational purposes only—trade wisely and stay safe! 💡
(BTCUSD) – Bearish Continuation or Institutional Accumulation?Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently trading within a descending channel, struggling to break above resistance. The price has rejected the upper boundary and could continue its downtrend toward $72,000 - $73,000 if support around $83,000 fails.
Key observations:
• Lower highs & lower lows confirm a bearish structure.
• A break below $83,000 - $82,000 could accelerate selling pressure.
• The next major support zone is $72,000 - $73,000.
Fundamental Analysis – Institutions and Governments Increasing Reserves:
• The U.S. government now holds around 200,000 BTC (~$17 billion), primarily seized from criminal cases. Their decision to maintain these holdings instead of liquidating suggests a potential shift in long-term Bitcoin adoption.
• MicroStrategy continues to accumulate BTC, now holding 423,650 BTC (~$42.43 billion), reinforcing corporate adoption of Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
• Coinbase now custodies 12% of the total Bitcoin supply, making it the largest Bitcoin custodian. This highlights institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value.
• Despite these bullish fundamentals, ETF inflows have slowed down, and macroeconomic uncertainty (such as potential Fed rate hikes) could put pressure on Bitcoin in the short term.
Will BTC reach 80,000 or 90,000? 10,000-point trading signalBTCUSD analysis and observation, 88600, 89800, 90500 are short-term resistance, and 86500, 86000, 84200 below are support. If this structure is broken, the market will enter the next stage.
BTCUSD 91000 trading opportunity has been opened, and tonight will usher in a 5000-10000 point fluctuation range
Trading is risky, positions should be reasonably controlled, when the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to enter the market, want to get accurate transactions and huge profits in advance, please leave me a message, I will make you feel t COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT hat this is true.
Trading opportunities tonight have started at 91000Despite recent market concerns, whales continue to withdraw BTC from exchanges.
Volatility in crypto markets continued as the broader market saw 24-hour liquidations of over $500 million, with long liquidations accounting for $400 million.
The source of the US strategic reserve is the confiscated Bitcoin. The market has been prepared for this and it is not lower than expected. In the long run, it will have a great impact. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Trump established a Bitcoin reserve, but why did Bitcoin plummetOn March 7, Bitcoin plunged in the short term, falling below $85,000 during the session. Then it quickly rose again. More than 150,000 people were liquidated in the past 12 hours, with a liquidation amount of $540 million.
On the news, the White House cryptocurrency director said that US President Trump has signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The strategic reserve will be capitalized by about 200,000 bitcoins owned by the federal government, and the government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve except for assets acquired through asset confiscation procedures. This is different from what the currency circle expected. Previously, the market expected the Trump administration to buy cryptocurrencies, but now it seems to be just "storage", which disappoints people.
The market is waiting for the upcoming White House cryptocurrency summit, during which Trump is expected to announce more details of the crypto reserve. On Thursday local time, US President Trump signed an executive order to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve, the day before he met with cryptocurrency industry executives at the White House.
Sachs wrote that the order authorizes the Treasury and Commerce secretaries to develop "budget-neutral strategies" to acquire more Bitcoin, provided that it does not increase costs to American taxpayers. Sachs said that no taxpayer money would be spent to buy cryptocurrencies, so the price of Bitcoin and other tokens fell.
People at the White House cryptocurrency summit on Friday expected the event to be the stage for Trump to formally announce plans to establish a strategic reserve containing Bitcoin and four other cryptocurrencies. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
BTCUSD short trading, expected profit 3000-5000BTCUSD is now planning to trade short, with big non-farm data and the Fed meeting, and expected profits of 3000-5000
Buy: 88800, 89300,90500
TP: 87800, 87300, 86200, 83800
SL: 89800
Trading is risky, control your position reasonably.
The market is changing rapidly, please leave me a message for accurate profit signals for buying and selling.
Recently, I have made an in-depth analysis of the BTCUSD and XAUUSD signal recommendations, which can be regarded as the key to making profits in this complex market. I don't know how many traders have achieved this goal. Although I can't make you all make profits like me, the only thing I can do is to give you a road to success. I can't force you to hold your hand, but I think those who can walk on my road must be much stronger than their own road without direction and full of bumps. The trading market is a battle of real money and silver. Everyone wants to win, but you have never considered whether your strength and experience team meets the conditions for victory. Follow me and witness the future together
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTCUSD trading plan to make 5000 pips profit soon
BTCUSD91500 plans to continuously generate profitable trading signals, currently reaching around 88600, and continue to generate profit of 2800+
BTC is about to usher in a 5000-10000 point big shock trading signal
On March 7, the big non-agricultural data and the next Federal Reserve meeting will be released. These data and meetings will bring epic trading opportunities for market shocks. Everyone should understand in advance and control this risk. This will be another opportunity for ordinary traders to turn over. If you want to get accurate trading signals and this lucrative profit in advance, please leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Do you know the calm before the big wave of BTCUSD?At present, the BTCUSD market is in a calm before the wave, which is nothing more than the release of the next non-agricultural data and the subsequent Fed meeting. Every trader knows the importance of this impact. Of course, this fluctuation may present large-scale trading opportunities. Every trader should be aware of it. During this period, trading must control risks.
From the analysis, BTC can focus on the resistance levels of 91500 and 92300 in the short term, and the support levels of 89600 and 88500 below.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. The market changes rapidly, and accurate signals are based on real-time.
Grasp the accurate trading signals, when to buy and sell, and seize large-scale profits, leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
Bitcoin follows Fibanacci Leverls PERFECTLY - Easy tradingBitcoin has a habit of moving Rapidly, Randomly and at times, with Huge levels of volatility.
An yet, ALWAYS, it obeys Fibanacci levels to the Key.
The chart above shows this very well on a Weekly time scale.
Since the Low and start of this cycle on 13 Jun 2022, Bitcoin has moved Time and time again with Fib Extensions and Fib Fans providing Support and resistance.
The Diagonal Rising lines are a Fib Speed Resistance Fan and the Horizontal lines are Trend-Based Fib Extension
See how on each "Step" or period of Ranging that Bitcoin has done since the low, it has been perfectly "Contained" by 2 Fib lines.
The Fib Fan can also be seen to act as support or Resistance along the way.
And right now, if we Look at the daily version of this chart, we see the situation unfolding.
Firstly, see that rising Fib resistance line that just rejected PA on sunday - STRONG
It pushed PA back below that 3 Fib extension
That same 3 Fib ext line acted as strong support since we entered this range back in December 2024. It maybe as tough to cross back over and flip back to support.
See how PA has already tested the 2.768 Fib extension below, using the rising Fib Fan and then that Fib extension to stop its fall.
To me, this points towards PA possibly remaining in this Range, between the 3 and the 2.768 fib lines till we meet that next line of rising Fib fan in the later half of March ( Around 21st )
The 50 SMA ( not shown) is rising just below this line currently and I expect PA to bounce higher when the two meet.
And so, for me, I am expecting PA to remain in a range between 91K and a low around 82K with wicks Flashing Lower to around 78K
Obviously, Things can change very Quick with Bitcoin and invalidate all this in no time..but, for now....I have my SPOT Buy Orders from lows at 78600
I am not going to miss the chance of Buying Bitcoin at that price, understanding the real Cycle ATH will be in Q4 and expected to be over 200K
Lets see if this works out
Will this short-term recovery drive Bitcoin to the $100,000 markBitcoin Price Chart
Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $92,358 with a market cap of $1.831 trillion. The completion of the Morning Star pattern on the 200-day EMA line increases the probability of a breakout beyond the resistance trendline. The price of Bitcoin has also violated the 78.60% Fibonacci level at $91,780. With the sudden recovery of Bitcoin, the index has maintained a positive stance since the end of last week due to the increase in market volatility. Additionally, the Directional Movement Index indicates a potential crossover in the VI line. This positive crossover could mark the beginning of an uptrend in Bitcoin, and a potential triangle breakout rally is on the horizon.
Despite the massive recovery in Bitcoin price, institutional support remains weak. On March 5, the US Bitcoin ETF saw a daily net outflow of $22.1 million. Surprisingly, Blackrock saw an inflow of $38.93 million, which was the first inflow after seven consecutive days of outflows.
Bitcoin ETFs, Invesco and Bitwise recorded outflows, while other ETFs maintained net zero flows. Invesco had the largest outflows, with $9.9 million worth of Bitcoin, followed by $6.9 million. BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $92,786 resistance approaching, $91,375 support currently in effect, $86,305 key support from here, possible sign of reversal on 1D with RSI and MACD confirmation, can retake $94,148 support this week if no further manipulation changes it's course. Current Weekly and Previous one both looking bullish showcasing strength of the Bulls, expect resistance at $94,148-$95,878, next key support range at $80,582-$78,034.
Major upcoming events in the marketThe trap has appeared:
- The crypto summit on Friday will confirm the strategic position of BTC
- The hotly speculated altcoins may be "delisted" by policies
- The US Treasury's 215,000 BTC reserves reveal the true intention
Now chasing the rise of altcoins is like betting against the dealer. XRP, which is deeply involved in SEC lawsuits, and SOL with Democratic background are both high-risk minefields.
Remember: When the White House starts discussing crypto strategy, the real winners are always the whales who have already made arrangements.
For more amazing news, opportunity trends, big swing trades, when to buy and sell, leave me a message. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
BTCUSD Do you think this position is a turning point?According to the current trend analysis, BTC has reached a critical point of long-short negotiations in the short term, but it is also at this time that we must pay attention that there is a high possibility of large fluctuations. Traders still need to observe calmly. Blindly entering the market will only put you in danger.
From the analysis, BTC can focus on the resistance of 90700 and 91500 in the short term. Focus on the support of 88500 and 87400 below.
Trading is risky, so control your position reasonably. The market is changing rapidly, and accurate signals are subject to real-time. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Make continuous profits of 10,000 points on BTCUSD, please come My name is Baker, and I am a professional analyst with more than ten years of experience in the financial industry. After witnessing insider trading in the market, I decided to resign from all institutional positions and form my own analyst team. At present, my team and I focus on in-depth analysis of gold, Bitcoin and oil market trends and medium- and short-term fast trading strategies. Of course, I am also a mentor to many traders in the market. Recently, I have continuously made profits of 5,000-10,000 points in BTC transactions, and my members have made profits of more than 600%. In the following time, I will share with you trading skills, accurate signals, insider information and other content. Interested traders can keep following up.
The market has been very unstable recently. If you are a novice trader or a trader with a bad mentality or a trader who has suffered too much loss in the past, it will be more difficult for you to trade in this market, because I have come from that stage. So I know it all. But how to trade is a very critical step, when to buy, when to sell, how much profit can you accept for each transaction, and how much loss can you accept for each transaction. Loss is equivalent to paying tuition fees, see how much loss you can bear and what you can learn. How to effectively control trading risks. Reasonably control trading positions. These are things that must be faced in trading. When trading, the market will create opportunities for us to make money. But it requires courage and execution. When not trading, you need patience. The market gives us opportunities to make money. But it will not give us the opportunity to continue to make money. So we have to seize the opportunity to make money.
When you come to this channel. Then your choice will not be wrong. Believe in your own vision. Because your vision will guide you how to become better. Smart people find me after losing money, become my members, and let me help them. This is indeed a method. Because in this way, you can not only get accurate trading signals, but also learn how to manage your trading mentality, how to control risks, how to trade correctly, and why to trade. BINANCE:BTCUSDT INDEX:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD
Time To Hunt Bitcoin - Buy from Support to Major ResistanceThe setup focuses on buying from strong support zones and riding the price up to multiple take-profit targets.
Entry Strategy:
Entry 1: Around $84,910.7, which aligns with a key support zone.
Entry 2: Around $78,430.4, a deeper support level in case of further downside.
Risk Management:
A stop loss at $65,523.5 ensures capital protection in case of a breakdown below major support.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: $99,009.6 – First resistance area where partial profits can be secured.
Take Profit 2: $106,102.9 – A key level where momentum may slow down.
Take Profit 3: $110,919.3 – The final target in case of a strong bullish rally.
Trade Scenario:
Bullish Case: If price holds above Entry 1, a bounce towards Take Profit levels is expected.
Bearish Case: If price drops below Entry 1, the next support (Entry 2) offers another buying opportunity.
Stop Loss Activation: If BTC drops below $65,523.5, the trade is invalidated, preventing further losses.
This trade plan follows a risk-reward approach, focusing on capital preservation while targeting high-probability reversal zones.
OKX:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD KUCOIN:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin Weekly chart shows PA under pressure - Key support Lost
This is my most trusted chart that I have begun sharing on Trading View.
And as you can see, the weekend was Not good for PA as we fell off that Long Term support.
In many ways, that is not surprising really. Weekly MACD has a Long way to fall before Neutral, as you can see in the chart below
I am hoping that PA is aiming for at least the Neutral line before going higher for a new Cycle ATH.
As you can see, at current Rate of descent, it is Mid May to Early June before we get there.
The shorter term problem we now face is simply that PA fell below that support and despite a great rally to recover from the Dip down to fill that CME GAP I have talked about ( which did not get fully filled). We got rejected off that line of support we once had ( See chart below )
This is the Daily version of the same chart above and you can see, rejection was bang on that line.
And so you understand, that Rally, Jump higher over the weekend, opened up a Bigger CME Gap . ( I posted about this Earlier today)
And, as you can see, we have 3 lines of Major support below.
This starts with a rising long Term support at around 74K ( origins in 2017 )
Then we have the 2 fib Extension at 68242. Remember, the Roof we had since Dec was the 2.618
Then we hit 63K if those listed above fail.
For me, A worst case scenario will be that 2 Fib extension and so, I have once again placed Spot Buy orders around 70K
What a superb buying opportunity when you think about the possibility of a Cycle ATH in Q4 of around 250K MINIMUM !
So, in summery, I am holding with the idea of that RED March I mentioned in previous posts and small Green April / May but Green Rockets from June onwards, depending, of course, on Macro events and so many other things........This is just an idea..NOT FACT.
So, do not loose heart, Bitcoin is FINE.
We just seem to need "Thoughts and Prayers" for all those ALTS
Mr Trump does seem to be trying to kick start ALT season...But the real world Liquidity for his Cryprto ideals are .....questionable......
Unless....................
Secure Profits of LONGBTC/USDT 1H Technical Analysis – Updated Insights
🟢 BitcoinMF Signal: TP Hit – Key Resistance Zone
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator's long signal successfully hit the Take Profit (TP) target, aligning with a resistance level around $94,410. This area is now a critical decision point for BTC's next move.
📊 Advanced Technical Breakdown:
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions:
To assess potential support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci levels have been recalculated based on the recent price movement:
0.236 Fib Retracement (Support) → $87,416
0.382 Fib Retracement (Support) → $85,991
0.618 Fib Retracement (Stronger Support) → $80,423
1.618 Fib Extension (Bullish Target) → $98,217
2.618 Fib Extension (Aggressive Target) → $104,500
These levels suggest that maintaining support above $87,000 could pave the way for a move toward 98K, while a breach below this support might lead to a deeper retracement.
2️⃣ CME Gap – Key Risk Factor
A CME gap exists between $77,930 and $81,210, formed in November 2024. Historically, such gaps tend to be filled over time, indicating a potential retracement to this zone before resuming the macro uptrend.
3️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance – Altcoin Impact
BTC Dominance is currently at 52.8%, indicating that Bitcoin is leading the market rally. This dominance suggests that if BTC corrects, altcoins may experience more significant declines in the short term.
4️⃣ Exchange Flows – Whale Activity
There has been a significant outflow of BTC from exchanges, signaling accumulation by investors and reduced selling pressure. This trend supports the potential for further upside unless a reversal pattern emerges.
5️⃣ Fear & Greed Index – Market Sentiment
The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 81 (Extreme Greed), reflecting strong bullish sentiment. While this indicates market confidence, it also warrants caution, as extreme greed can precede corrective phases.
6️⃣ Fisher Transform & Stochastic RSI
Fisher Transform: The indicator is in the overbought zone but has not yet signaled a reversal.
Stochastic RSI: Recently crossed above 80, indicating overheated conditions and suggesting a potential cooldown or sideways movement.
🔮 Next Most Probable Move:
📊 Probability Score (Scale 1-10)
Bullish Continuation Probability: 6.5/10
Short-Term Correction Probability: 7.5/10
🔹 Scenarios:
If BTC maintains support above
87K, a move toward
98K is plausible.
If BTC falls below 87K, the 80K region becomes the next significant support level.
🚨 Most Likely Outcome: A short-term retracement toward 87K-85K is anticipated before the uptrend potentially resumes, targeting 98K-100K.
BTCUSDT trading ideasHi there everyone
It has been a long time that I haven't shared any ideas.
I have decided to share what I think is more probable to happen and according to your own experience of trading, these ideas could be helpful.
all my ideas will be like this one.
Key features of the analysis you see are the levels which can be considered as key levels, and by getting confirmation on 4H or sometimes 1H TF, you can have positions taken.
So let's get started and follow for more.
I am here again.
DYOR!
Good luck