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BTCUSD - M15 Short-Term Downside - Timing Today's USD NewsAnalysis of overall situation: We had a strong push up (to the left) We're now in a retracement phase. Usually there are 3 pushes down before the retracement is done. We're on that 3rd push phase. I'm looking to Buy overall, so this is a short-term scalp in line with the retracement. (The Buy scenario is the orange SnDR zone lower) H4 candles still showing weakness, indicating the retracement isn't done yet. Also, the spike from the previous M15 low happened at the new day, which hints it's not the real low. Waiting for the market to first take liquidity off the high of today, ideally enter into the gap (blue zone) then create strong Bearish candles. Entry will be on any M5/M15 retracement - after a break of structure. Also eventually breaking the current upward trendline. Targeting the M15 low Timing for this entry is after the USD News at NY Session. If market hits the invalidation level marked, then this idea is discarded.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by The_Peaceful_Trader
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
The Wait Is Almost Over – Alt Season Is Near The moment we've all been waiting for is just around the corner. Now is the time to apply cycle indicators and accumulate high-potential coins. I was much less active in January due to the 3-day cycle failures on most altcoins. The last 60-day cycle of the weekly trend didn’t offer great buying opportunities. But now, it's time to start aiming for those 100%-200% gains with relatively lower risk. (Premium members are already scouting top coins in our chat!) 🔸 Not Everything Is Straightforward Yet Just because some alts have dipped **60-70%** over the last two months doesn’t mean they’ll immediately pump. You still need to **buy in the “green” zone** on cycle indicators—otherwise, you risk getting rekt. 🔹 Bitcoin Outlook BTC is slowly approaching its **60-day cycle low** toward the end of the month. The **3-day cycle topped above 80**, increasing the chances of BTC heading toward the **90s area** before finding support. 😱 More blood on the charts? Possibly. Right now, there are two types of traders: 1️⃣ Those who believe the top is in. 2️⃣ Those who think February will be extremely bullish. I believe once both groups are confused, the upside will resume—likely in March, after the 3-day cycle resets and Bitcoin takes another leg down to shake out traders. 📉 Watching the 2-Week & 3-Day Cycles When the 2-week cycle trends downward, we usually don’t perform well. Sure, we could reverse before the cycle fully resets, but ideally, we want the 3-day cycle to drop to around 20 before rebounding. If the 3-day cycle continues to fall (which is likely unless we move up soon), February could see more bearish action before a stronger recovery. Stay sharp & follow the cycles. 🚀
Long
by TheStrategyMaster
5
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
Bitcoin BTC price analysis + FED ratesHere is a CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart on which we have marked the days on which the Fed rates announced + #Trump inauguration as a bonus) Everyone can compare for themselves how the market reacted to the US macroeconomic data. ❗️ Today at 19.00 UTC, another update of the Fed's rate - the forecast is that it will remain unchanged at 4.50%, and if so, this is a pretty good option against the backdrop of rising inflation. 🔴The worst-case scenario for the OKX:BTCUSDT price is a drop to the range of $92-94k (+ we keep in mind a possible squeeze to $ 88K, especially on futures, in order to “remove” all the longs' stops in consolidation over the past 3 months) 🟢 It will be great if BTC.D also falls with the fall of #Bitcoin (and it has room to fall) - this will allow altcoins, which are already at the bottom, not to spill too much. The next announcement of the Fed's rate is on March 19, which means that a 1.5-month window will open, during which the market will have every chance to “come to life” _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
16
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by wolfchemist
3
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000. This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend. I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump. We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000. This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again. I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time. As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
6
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years. But let me ask you an important question: What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026? As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers. Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated? Of course not. 2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders. We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins. This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market. But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run. Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target. This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective. It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months. Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle. Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
39