Btctrading
Daily BTC Update - RSI Divergence and ADX as a Trading StrategyBTC, and the crypto market in general, have once again seen some steep declines. Legacy pricing models haven't broken but are being stretched like never before and I'm convinced it's entirely due to the arrival of institutions and big money to this space. Legacy markets (stock market etc) are closely regulated for price manipulation and financial institutions are regularly fined millions of dollars for breaches (and yet it continues to happen). The crypto market doesn't have this protection. Passed cycles have not had such a major presence of "big finance" and so it is highly likely the landscape has changed and we need to change with it. Short term/day traders are getting smashed by this volatility and market manipulation and our only defence is to step back and take a longer view because even the big players want to make money over a longer period.
With all of this in mind today I'm zooming out a bit and looking at the daily chart for Bitcoin and offering a no-fuss strategy for trading this market. Even smart money cant play without leaving a trace of their actions.
On the chart are my two favourite indicators...the RSI and the ADX. If you use these in combination you have a very powerful insight into where the market is likely to go next. Understand these two things:
1. ADX - Buyers need to be stronger than sellers for the price to go up. We need to see green!
2. RSI - Is a trend indicator. Where is it trending? Is it going up or down? Most importantly look for a divergence to identify when trends are about to change.
I've marked on the chart in bright pink divergences between price and RSI and these are at almost all of the major trend changes. Why couldn't you see what was coming...because we weren't looking.
Use basic trend lines to define the market structure. Note the breach of any trend line.
Sell when the ADX turns red, or when the RSI drops below 50% (goes red on my RSI DIv indicator, but you can use a standard RSI Indicator). I use the OBV indicator for confirmation of a signal.
Buy when ADX turns green, or when the RSI rises above 50%. Use OBV for confirmation.
As for today, we are out of the market. I watch the 4 hr chart for early indications that we are getting a change of trend, and of course, if you are sharp enough you can trade this same strategy on that chart but it requires more attention. Have fun with this strategy and tell me what you think. Once you've had a play try using the Multi Time Frame RSI for better (earlier) signals.
BTC Nearing a BreakoutBTC has been going through a rocky ride, especially in the last few weeks. There has been a consistent resistance at certain levels (top two trendlines) and the region between the two is the Area Of Value (AOV). For those who may not know what AOV is, it is the region where you can expect to make perfect entries.
For now, BTC has run its course and has arrived to a point where the price action has no other way to go except to breakout. Whether it goes up or down depends on the next few days. Expect a breakout by Sunday or Monday. Be sure to cash in. I will update you as I get more signals or patterns that may indicate where the price will go. My guess? It would take a dip!
Polkadot Price AnalysisThe four-hour chart shows that a rising trend line has capped the price since the middle of August. The trend has been a constant source of rejection for the price and the catalyst for last week’s technical reversal. Furthermore, the trend which is currently seen at $39.00, proved the high for the last two days.
Therefore, as long as Polkadot stays below the trend line, a correction is possible. In that event, some obvious downside targets emerge. A rising trend line at $34.00 from last week's low is the first support level. Below that, the 21st of August high around $29.50 offers the next level of support. However, if the Polkadot price manages to clear $39.00 an extension to the $42.00-$45.00 is probable. Furthermore, above $45.00 and the all-time high of $49.77 could be under threat.
Feel free and get in touch for more ideas and trade signals
BTC $30,000 a very real Possibility I've highlighted the Resistance lines in Yellow to make them more visible. We've got support at $37,300 which we could see either a sideways consolidation through the month or create a Head & Shoulders.
Which would cause us to break the $37,300 support line & drop down to the previous low of $30,000 as we head into November.
There is a chance to bounce off of the 50 EMA & break the $48,000 resistance followed by a retest & Bullish momentum.
It's going to be a wild month of September, with the Legislation, Mass Adoption & the NFT space. Once we are able to break out of this Bearish Wedge the whole market is going to Moon, it's just a matter of when?
DOGE Price AnalysisThe daily chart shows the Dogecoin price continues to grind broadly sideways in a narrowing pennant formation.
Forming the lower edge of the formations a trend line at $0.2090. It was this uptrend that provided the catalyst for yesterday’s bounce. Just above the trend line, the 200 EMA at $0.2275 lends its weight to the support. If the price fails to hold above the 200 EMA and the trend line, it will signal an end to the 2021 bull market and likely lead to significant long liquidation.
However, for now, the trend is intact. And as long as that stays the case, DOGE has a chance to recover. The first obstacle is the 100 EMA at $0.2632, followed by the 50-day at $0.2729. Successful clearance of the two moving averages should lead to another attempt at trend resistance, now seen at $0.3183. And above $0.3183, the outlook turns incredibly bullish. However, the early signs are that the downside will prevail. Although, DOGE has a habit of surprising.
NEAR/USD ForecastThe daily chart shows that yesterday’s melt-up lifted NEAR Protocol above a descending trend line at $6.90. This accelerated the buying, and as a consequence, NEAR cleared the previous all-time of $7.4500. This now becomes the first level of support, followed by the former trend resistance, now seen at $6.85.
How far can the rally take NEAR? Considering the performance against a weaker market backdrop, the price action is definitely positive. Although the parabolic nature of yesterday’s advance has left the market looking a bit stretched. The Relative Strength Index is extremely high, and its 80.10 reading may lead to a correction.
In saying that, as long as trend support holds, the NEAR protocol price looks good. Just how good is hard to say. That depends on how the broader market fares in the coming days. Personally, I think chasing this rally is risky until stability is confirmed.
However, that made no difference yesterday, and if the price manages to clear Tuesday’s $10.45 high, it could well extend even higher. However, a correction is more probable.
Feel free and get in touch for more updates, signals and trade alerts
QNTUSD AnalysisQuant is a fast-growing blockchain network that is in the enterprise industry. The platform’s goal is to connect all the world’s distributed ledgers to help create fast growth. The developers have already built the Overledger DLT gateway that helps to deliver interoperability across different systems, networks, and DLTs.
The hourly chart shows that the QNT price has been in a major bullish trend in the past few weeks. In fact, this rally could be described as being parabolic. It has moved slightly above the short and longer-term moving averages. It is currently slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
With volume easing, I suspect that the coin will likely have a major pullback as bears target the key support at $278, which is along the 50% retracement level. On the flip side, a move above $385 will invalidate the bearish view.
TRXUSD AnalysisTRX slipped down on its charts over the last 24 hours and was trading at $0.102. The altcoin had registered a multi-month high yesterday, however, it failed to topple the $0.104 resistance. Its immediate support zone lay at $0.0958, the additional support lines stood at $0.088 and at $0.0816. it's been three weeks since TRX last traded around $0.0816
Buying pressure fell near the 60-mark on the Relative Strength Index after the asset was overbought over the last 48 hours. Awesome Oscillator registered red signal bars. MACD’s green histogram receded and a red histogram was visible.
Feel free and get in touch for more updates, signals and trade alerts
LTCUSDLitecoin is a first-generation cryptocurrency that is often seen as a good alternative to Bitcoin, as a result, the two coins have a close correlation. When Bitcoin rallies, Litecoin follows close by and vice versa. In fact, the LTC is currently in a consolidation phase because Bitcoin has found some resistance at the highest level since last week.
Turning to the chart, we see that the LTC price has been in a strong bullish trend in the past few weeks. At the same time, it has formed what looks like a bullish flag pattern. This pattern tends to be a bullish signal in price action analysis. It has also formed what looks like an inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Therefore, the Litecoin price will likely break out higher as bulls target the key resistance at $250. On the flip side, a drop below $150 will invalidate this view.
Telcoin Price Chart The daily chart shows that in late July, the Telcoin broke above a descending trend line at $0.2240 on its way to $0.0298. However, the trend breakout failed to attract follow-through buying, and as a result, TEL is retesting the trend, now at $0.0198.
Currently, the trend support is holding up, and TEL has managed to bounce 14% to $0.0238. The tightly grouped 50 and 100-day moving averages sit just above the trend line, reinforcing the robust support. Therefore, this is a significant level and should the price continue to maintain above the trend, it’s likely to head higher, and in this event, a move towards the June high of $0.0385 looks probable.
However, the bullish view relies on trend support. And on that basis, if the price falls below $0.0198, it will invalidate the thesis.
Feel free and get in touch for more updates, signals and trade alerts
BTC 3 Phase BreakdownFrom Monday Aug. 23rd until Monday Aug. 30th, we've been in a "3 Pattern Phase" is what I like to call it.
Last week (Mon. Aug. 23rd - Fri. Aug. 27th) we were in a Bearish Consolidation. Open Price was $50,491 & the next day Open Price was $49,414, this is a indicator that we may continue to see Bearish momentum. We did hit a high of $49,875, but EOD we were at $47,902 which confirms we are creating Lower Highs & Lower Lows for 2 days straight.
Once we broke the Bearish Consolidation upper trendline we hit an Accumulation Phase heading into the end of the week. We close that Friday at $48,955 & consolidate up to 1900 (7:00 p.m.) at $48,828 which is a very strong consolidation for BTC.
That may lead us into what seems to be forming into a Bullish Pennant (Purple), which could get us above that $50,000 mark. Or we pullback too $47,800 which would break our previous low. Then it could lead into another Bearish Consolidation (Yellow) phase through the week as we already went over previously.
btc not able to break this zone Hi, I shared yesterday that btc will not show big movement in the weekend, not enough buyers to push it through 50, not enough sellers
this was expected as we were approaching the weekend
This was also predicted by seeing the response either side of it that why I predicted that
now you can see it is behaving like that, at any moment it can make a move in the next few hours
Please see my previous ideas and prediction and decide for yourself
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