BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?BTCUSDT CORRECTION OR REVERSAL?
Hello, colleagues!
So, what we have in the middle of the trading week:
Since the last review Bitcoin managed to rewrite its high once again and reached above 108K on the Bitstamp exchange.
Also yesterday was the Fed meeting, the decision of which was to lower the rate by another 25 basis points and followed by the traditional J. Powell conference, during and after which the shedding started in many markets.
#BTC
As for bitcoin specifically, the correction was asked for a long time ago and the asset corrected only by 9% from its high and this decline cannot be called unexpected. At the moment, BTC continues to stay in the trend and there is still room for the correction to continue at least to the upward support at $97-98K and we can't exclude the stabbing even lower, to the trading boundary at 94K. But, in general, from these values I expect a buyback and continuation of growth.
I expect such another near-term decline, mentioned above, within the framework of working out of the candlestick formation Absorption on 1D. For the first time in a long time the asset showed a strong bearish candle and just covered the gap for the last weekend on the CME exchange. In any case, a correction is necessary for any healthy market, whether bullish or bearish.
If we compare each post-halving cycle on the logarithmic chart of the 1Mes TF, we can see that the asset has continued to rise for at least another year. Therefore, there is every chance to continue rising until at least Spring 2025, or even Q4.
Btctrading
BTC LONG TP:113k 16-12-2024The upward trend is expected to continue, targeting a rise towards 113k, with a potential spike reaching between 116k and 118k. Ideal entry points are around 104k to 106k, while stop losses should be set below 101k-102k. Make sure to adjust everything according to your trading style. This projection should materialize within 24 to 30 hours; otherwise, it may need to be discarded. Stay updated with market developments. #Bitcoin #Trading
Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles
⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️
Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨
Caution is strongly advised.
Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉
🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals
- ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal
- 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal
We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key!
⏳ The Danger of FOMO
It’s tempting to trade when:
- The market moves 24/7 🌐
- Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊
- News and activity are constant. 📢
But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains.
✅ What to Do Instead:
- Don’t chase the hype.
- Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk.
🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient
Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...Bitcoin, we're testing a correction...
Not to scare anyone, testing 3 situations..... on the last developed tool.
1. growth on the last 2 fractal structures is over, so a fall follows and the trend will change, but the older structure allows maximum growth around 118000.
2. a global decline follows around 46/43000 and then 37/36000/ on the current chart.
3. very, very soon we are in for a correction in the 66666 area..... many altcoins will probably make a new low and then a rapid rise - here I am testing a correction following a growth pattern. ....
I wrote for the future.
...This is not investment advice.
...If anyone finds my postings useful and wants to thank me, they can always find me in the comments.
Disclaimer, the author of this article has not and will not open positions in bitcoins, this article is a way to analyze the price, do not open positions based on the above.
Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?Bitcoin What to do and where to run to?
Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important.
Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction.
Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction.
In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts.
What will happen next?
Two main scenarios now:
1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values.
2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the sellers. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels.
At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side.
Write in the comments, what is your mood? Do you want to sell or strong hold?
$BTC analysisSupply Zones (OB -): Two major resistance zones are identified at 104,555.1 and 100,581.2, where price reactions are expected.
Demand Zone (OB+): A support zone is located at 94,366.3, which might act as a target if intermediate supports are broken.
Market Structure: After testing the upper resistance, the price might retrace and continue downward toward lower support levels.
Scenario: The price is expected to react at the resistance of 100,581.2. If selling pressure dominates, it may head lower toward 98,939.2 and eventually to 94,366.3.
and if btc break that order blocks - price will go to next new high , but technical shows us bear trend now
#BTC - Ready to pivot and head to 108k
In my latest post I mentioned that we might visit 93-95k. Sadly for alt coins that resulted in a massive bloodbath, but fear not, it is a healthy pullback meant to clear leverage, that will fuel the next move on #BTC
What's next for BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
1. After the reaction swing high to 102k price now retraced into the 0.618 zone
2. It also fits perfectly on the fib time zone, and as we've seen in the past, it signalled almost perfectly the reversal in the trend
3. Given the massive sell-off from alts, I believe now it has enough strength to move to the extension zone which is around 108k
4. Based on the impulse we should know if it's just a manipulation or it will continue to go higher
Personally I think we should see another sweep from 108k to 90-95k, and only afterwards we can continue higher to 120k
What are your thoughts?
Unpopular opinion; BTC at 100kShort and sweet; Btc is quite a bit oversold on the weekly rsi, and looks like it might be forming a bearish divergence. Price has hit the 1.618 reverse fib retracement. BTC hasn't traded above the red trend line, stretching back to the highs of 2017. Sad as it might be to say, we are at or very near the end of this run.
#BTC - Bitcoin to $100K - What's Next? Major milestone for #BTC hitting $100K
After a short correction we saw a break to the long awaited $100K
Why I believe a sweep below is in the forming for the nex 5-10 days:
The highest liquidity was above 100K, it got swept
Price retraced to 60%, then extended to the current zone with forming a HTF FVG
Given the liquidity now is way low, it needs to extend a bit more to the 1.382 - 1.618, which is a deviation, form some liquidity then trick everyone that we'll continue to 110-115k
Plenty of retail will now go long on it given it passed the psychological barrier - will attract even more late longs
the #TOTAL market cap is already extended and the funding rates are heating up quite fast
Be on the lookout, take some profits if possible and prepare for the next leg up in around a week!
Altseason is Here - Follow Triangle BreakoutLong positions are piling up on Bitcoin (BTC) after each other.
I think that investors follow the consolidation to buy more.
Know that symmetrical triangles can break on either side.
Enabling you to follow the breakout, I made this chart.
This chart shows a symmetrical triangle tracing Bitcoin price action.
High as investors' risk appetite is, any drawback is potentially considered an opportunity.
I estimate that large-cap altcoins will do even better.
So, it might be a good idea to follow up on Ethereum.
$BTC Update - Given resistance areas coming in effect spot on!CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin #bitcoin100k
Given resistance at $103,093 came in effect just as expected, gave this resistance area and more first time on Nov 12th (x.com). Beautiful break at $97,780 and support test before climb towards $100K on 4H and 1D Both! Latest ATH at $104,000 at the time of writing this post. More resistance area predictions given in the quote. Watch Given S/R, $99,361 current key support here as CRYPTOCAP:BTC discovers new support and resistance areas.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP NYSE:TEL UPCOM:FTM LSE:ONE CRYPTOCAP:DOGE and Most ALTs looking good!
#BTC - Amazing Long Setup Is #Bitcoin ready to break the legendary 100k mark that everyone is awaiting? Check out the analysis below!
HTF Bias:
Price broke the previous daily rejection block / supply zone / structural high,
marked with a purple rectangle, which now means it should hold as a demand
zone for later pullback
From the swing low to high, if we trace a fibonacci retracement, we see that price perfectly rejected from the **Golden Zone - 0.618 - 0.768 **(in this case it barely hit 0.618)
It bounced back to mitigate supply zone left behind, leaving behind the same
flip zone (supply turning to demand zone), reversed and now it just sweeped the
most recent liquidity, showing clear rejection signs, forming a huge wick
LTF Bias:
Now that the HFT is aligned with LTF, all that matters is where we entry the trade
Given we already sweeped the most obvious liquidity, this is how I would place my trade
Stop loss below the most recent sweep, Take Profit at the 1.236 mark on the Fibonacci Extension tool
What are your thoughts on this chart? Do you have any #Bitcoin in your wallet?
What are your targets?
Follow for more daily ideas!
BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!!
The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence
In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements.
The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K
The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout.
The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay?
Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices.
Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm
Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum.
Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History
One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again.
My Position and Outlook
I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase.
In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis.
Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn
The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs.
Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello,
BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy.
Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue.
I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance.
Regards,
Ely
BTC forming head and shoulders patternIt appears that BTC is forming a big head and shoulders pattern within an ascending broadening wedge. If it continues to follow the red line it will retest all key price levels and react to trend line support and resistance. I think it absolutely must retest the $74k region and this pattern is a straightforward way to get there.