Setup: Entry at $108,658 with Target at $98,815 and Stop Loss at1. Entry Point: 108,658
This is where the trader expects to enter a short position.
Price is projected to reverse near this level.
2. Stop Loss: 110,341
Located above the entry point.
If price hits this level, the short trade is invalidated, limiting losses.
3. Target (Take Profit): 98,815
This is the EA Target Point, about 9,714 points (~8.94%) below the entry.
Represents a favorable risk-reward ratio.
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🔄 Trade Idea Summary
Trade Type: Short (Sell)
Risk: ~1,683 points (110,341 - 108,658)
Reward: ~9,843 points (108,658 - 98,815)
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:5.85 (which is strong)
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📊 Technical Indicators in Use
Moving Averages:
Likely 50-period (red) and 200-period (blue) MAs.
The 50 MA is below the price, indicating short-term bullishness.
However, the trade idea goes against this short-term trend, suggesting a reversal strategy.
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🔍 Interpretation & Strategy
This chart implies the trader expects resistance near 108,658, possibly due to historical highs or supply zones.
The bearish outlook expects a significant drop to 98,815, possibly supported by macro patterns (like head & shoulders, or bearish divergence—not shown here but could be inferred).
The purple zones highlight high-probability reversal or reaction areas (support/resistance zones).
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⚠️ Things to Watch
Invalidation: If price closes above 110,341 on a 4H/1D chart, the trade setup fails.
Confirmation: A strong bearish candlestick at or near the entry zone would strengthen the case.
Market Context: News, economic data, or BTC ETF inflows/outflows can quickly invalidate technical setups.
Btctrend
$BTC Update CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $106,586 resistance in effect and testing as of now, $104,987 current support. $103,093 key support from here, $107,461 support required to reattempt taking $110,423. Dropping volume on 1D, Previous daily closed trying to follow thru on a bullish engulfing from Monday's close, current 1W looking massive good but it's just the beginning of the week - Watch given S/R.
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of June 23, 2025, 03:45 PM CEST. The chart shows a recent sharp decline from a peak of approximately 104,443.81 USD to around 100,479.47 USD, with a current price of 102,035.20 USD, reflecting a 1.037.09% increase. Key levels include resistance around 104,000 USD and support near 100,000 USD, with notable volatility indicated by the candlestick patterns and a marked low point adorned with U.S. flags and a lightning bolt symbol.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Rebound Ahead?4-hour Bitcoin price chart reveals a potential rebound opportunity. After a sharp decline, the price has stabilized around $97,245.43, forming a support level. The green and red box annotations suggest a possible price range breakout, with an upward arrow indicating a potential price increase. The current price stands at $100,461.58, down 1.63% from its recent peak. Will Bitcoin bounce back or continue its downward trend?
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of 105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space.
At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 2-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)2-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $102,459.21 with a decline of $853.19 (-0.83%) over the period. The chart highlights a significant drop from a peak near $105,898.45, with a shaded area indicating a potential support zone between $101,682.19 and $99,732.49, and a resistance level around $103,000. The timeframe spans from 9:00 to 29:00, with technical indicators and price levels marked for analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 2-Hour Candlestick Chart2-hour candlestick chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD), showing a current price of $103,904.89 with a gain of $595.12 (+0.58%) as of 01:22:41. The chart highlights a volatile period with significant price fluctuations, including a sharp drop followed by a recovery, and includes key price levels such as $106,099.25 and $102,803.95. The chart also features a highlighted support zone in pink and a resistance zone in light blue
Btc seizes the opportunity to trade with the trendTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 20:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with a continuous negative line. The price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross and running downward, but we should note that the overall volatility this week was not large, and the fluctuation was in a small range. So we should pay attention to keeping short-term trading and closing profits in time. Don't hesitate, drag, and don't think about a big rise or fall. After a large drop on Tuesday this week, the short-term hourly chart has entered a small range of fluctuations. There is no continuation or breakout, so we should just follow the trend. We have sold at the high point of 105,500 as a defense, and bought at 103,000 as a defense, for short-term trading.
continue to move accumulation: below 109,000💎 Update Plan BTC (June 20)
Notable news about BTC:
Semler Scientific (SMLR) unveiled an ambitious three-year strategy on Thursday aimed at significantly expanding its Bitcoin holdings to 105,000 BTC by the end of 2027. The announcement coincided with the appointment of a new executive to lead the firm’s digital asset initiative.
The Nasdaq-listed healthcare firm has named Joe Burnett as its Director of Bitcoin Strategy, a move it believes will strengthen its long-term treasury vision and enhance shareholder value. As part of this strategic shift, Semler Scientific plans to accumulate Bitcoin through a mix of equity and debt financing, alongside reinvested cash flows from its core business operations.
Technical analysis angle
BTC as well as XauUSD are trapped in the channel price 104k to 110k these are also two important milestones of BTC. Also congratulations to investors when detecting the bottom of 104k. The next expectation within the price channel is still maintained at 110k landmark
But with the recent moves of investors, the community is afraid that BTC will continue to adjust in the future.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
BTC/USDT in Consolidation: How To Trade the RangeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently in a clear consolidation phase on the 4-hour chart 📊. Price action is trapped within a well-defined range, and for now, no dominant trend has emerged — we’re simply trading sideways between key support and resistance levels 🔁
In the video, we dive into how to tactically approach this kind of environment by trading the lower time frame trend shifts within the range — focusing on lower timeframe moves from range highs to range lows, and vice versa ⬆️⬇️
We also reference the broader macro picture — looking at the NASDAQ (US100) and the Magnificent 7 (MAGS) for potential clues about Bitcoin’s next directional move 🧠💡. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment in these key tech equities often correlates with Bitcoin’s momentum, making them critical confluence factors for BTC traders.
For now, the strategy is to remain range-conscious and reactive, rather than predictive. Until we get a confirmed breakout or breakdown, patience and precision remain key 🎯
Bitcoin (BTC)and NASDAQ: Intermarket Analysis and the Road AheadIn this four-hour BTCUSD chart, Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern ⏳. The price is oscillating between a series of lower highs and higher lows, with the most recent swing high and swing low serving as key reference points for traders. This pattern reflects a market in indecision, awaiting a catalyst for a breakout.
Volume has picked up as price approaches the previous low, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend this area, rather than capitulating.
The next significant move will likely be determined by whether price can break above the last swing high or fall below the last swing low. A breakout above the previous high could open the door for a renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below the previous low may signal a deeper correction.
Geopolitical & Fundamental Backdrop 🌍
Bitcoin’s current consolidation is happening against a backdrop of heightened macro and geopolitical uncertainty. Recent global events, such as tensions in the Middle East and shifting US economic data, have contributed to increased volatility across risk assets. Institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong, and the asset continues to be viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement. However, short-term sentiment is sensitive to headlines and policy shifts.
NASDAQ & Correlation with Bitcoin 📈
The NASDAQ and Bitcoin remain closely correlated, especially during periods of heightened risk-on or risk-off sentiment. The NASDAQ has recently been consolidating after a strong rally, with price action also defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows. The index’s outlook is currently neutral to cautiously bullish, mirroring Bitcoin’s technical structure. If the NASDAQ can break above its recent high, it could provide a tailwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets. Conversely, a move below the last swing low in equities could trigger further caution in crypto markets.
Summary & Outlook 🚦
BTCUSD is at a pivotal juncture, with the next move likely to be determined by a break above the previous high or below the previous low on the four-hour chart.
Macro and geopolitical factors are creating short-term volatility, but the long-term structure remains constructive as long as the broader uptrend of higher lows is maintained.
The NASDAQ’s consolidation and its correlation with Bitcoin suggest that risk sentiment in equities will continue to influence crypto. Watch for confirmation from both markets before taking a directional bias.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency and stock markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetupBTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout Setup 🔄🚀
Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 Pattern Formation:
The chart displays a potential Triple Bottom pattern (🟠), a classic reversal signal forming at the $104,870–$100,000 support zone 🛡️. This structure suggests a strong base is being established for a potential upside move.
🔹 Support Zone:
📉 The price has consistently bounced off the major support area around $100,000–$104,870, indicating strong buying interest.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
📊 The key resistance level lies around the $114,000–$115,000 range 🔵, which has been tested multiple times in the past (🔴 arrows) and could act as a future profit target.
🔹 Price Action & Projection:
Currently, price is trading near $107,025 and is showing signs of bullish continuation after forming a higher low. If the price consolidates above the $104,870 zone and holds support, we could see a potential breakout targeting the $114,000 resistance 📈.
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Triple Bottom formation signals trend reversal.
🔄 Bullish structure confirmed above $104,870.
🎯 Next target: $114,000 if breakout holds.
⚠️ Watch for potential consolidation before continuation.
BTC/USDT Bullish Reversal Zone AnalysisSupport Zone:
The horizontal purple box (~104,000 USDT area) has acted as a strong support/resistance flip zone multiple times.
Falling Wedge Breakout:
The price action broke out of a falling wedge pattern earlier, confirming bullish momentum.
Flag Formation (Current):
A smaller bullish flag/pennant appears to be forming, and a breakout above could trigger a strong upward move.
Projected Move:
The black arrow indicates a potential bounce from this support zone, with the price targeting the 111,000–112,000 USDT zone (highlighted in the top purple box).
Volume Spike:
Notable volume spike near the bottom supports the idea of accumulation and possible reversal.
📈 Conclusion:
If the support zone holds and price breaks above the minor flag, a bullish continuation is likely toward the 111,000–112,000 resistance area. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout and volume increase for validation.
BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k
- Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k
Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k.
If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k.
Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone).
The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break.
Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
Bitcoin Rally Overextended: Patience is Key for the Next Move💹 BTC/USDC – Bullish Outlook, heres my Trade Plan.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDC) is currently maintaining a strong bullish trajectory 🚀, showing impressive momentum after breaking through recent resistance levels 🔓.
However, price is now overextended from the last swing low, and I’m anticipating a pullback into value 🔄 — specifically targeting the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone drawn from the latest swing low to swing high 📐. This zone often acts as a rebalancing point for institutional traders and provides confluence for smart entries 🎯.
I’ll be closely watching this retracement area for signs of support forming, and more importantly, a bullish break in market structure 🧠📊. Only after that confirmation, would I consider executing a long position — no structure break, no trade ✅.
This isn’t about predicting — it’s about reacting with discipline.
It didn’t reject. It repriced.BINANCE:BTCUSDT just tested the 4H OB at 105,044 — and didn’t break. That’s not weakness. That’s precision. The kind of structure Smart Money doesn’t chase, it absorbs.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price retraced into a clean OB off the 0.236 fib, holding structure without even needing to sweep the BPR below
Volume supported the move — no absorption, no deviation
Short-term high is now marked at 106,487, and above that, my next draw is 108,941
If price closes back above 106,000 with momentum, the path of least resistance is clear: continuation. If we lose the OB and reclaim fails, BPR becomes the fallback zone — anything deeper, and we’re re-evaluating the narrative.
Execution plan:
Long from OB (already tested) — continuation depends on reclaiming 106K
TP1: 106,689
TP2: 108,941
Invalidation: 103,429 (50% fib) or hard break into 102.7 BPR
There’s no “maybe” in structure. Price is either reacting or it isn’t. This one is.
Setups this precise don’t wait — they’re mapped. You’ll find more in the profile description.
Will BTCUSD see $90,000 ever again? Phoenix FX mid term analysisBTCUSD 4-Hour Outlook: The Week Ahead
🔴 Key Resistance Zones
First Resistance
$107 000–$108 500
Recent swing highs where price stalled before the last leg down. Clearing and closing above $105 000 on the 4H would open the door toward this zone.
Final Resistance
$111 000–$113 000 (If broken expect a run to $115,000)
The all-time-high area. Heavy sell-side liquidity lives here and past price action shows repeated FVG fills and wicks into this region.
🔵 Critical Support & Buy Zones
Discount Buy Zone:
$92 000–$89 000 (50% at $89 150)
A deeper weekly FVG and longer-term trend support. The ultimate “buy the dip” area if the premium zone gives way.
Premium Buy Zone:
$100 000 – $99 000 (50% at $99 450)
A 4H Fair Value Gap that aligns with our higher-timeframe trend support. The recent bounce here signals strength—and a possible launchpad back into resistance.
📊 Weekly Price Action Scenarios
Bullish Theory:
If BTC can close cleanly above $105 000 on the 4H, look for a run into $107 000–$108 500 (First Resistance). A follow-through push could then target $111 000–$113 000 (Final Resistance) by week’s end with a potential further move to $115 000 where the 8 year trend will be tested again.
Bearish Theory:
Failure to reclaim $105 000, or a clear rejection in the $107 000–$108 500 zone, could usher in a retest of the Premium Buy Zone (~$100 000). A break below $99 000 would shift focus toward the Discount Buy Zone around $92 000–$89 000.
💡 Trade Ideas for the Week
Potential Long Ideas
Entry: 4H candle close above $105 000
Targets: First take-profit at $108 500; stretch target $112 000–$113 000
Stop-Loss: Below $103 000
Zone Re-Entry Long
Entry: Bullish 4H candle close in $100 000–$99 000
Targets: $107 000 then $112 000
Stop-Loss: Below $97 500
Potential Short Ideas
Entry: Bearish price action (e.g., engulfing candle or wick rejection) in $107 000–$108 500
Targets: $100 000→$92 000
Stop-Loss: Above $109 000
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it.
So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
$BTC UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $104,987 support in effect, previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing, 4h closed with bullish engulfing - current 4H trying to follow thru. $107,461 support needed to push for $110,423 resistance, and then the new ATH. $103,093 current support, $99,361 key support from here. Watch given S/R
Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles.
Here’s the setup:
Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG
That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work
Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08
Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones.
If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher.
Execution bias:
Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870
TP1: 105,779
TP2: 106,438
Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down
This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen.
More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.
BTC Bitcoin Warning: No Clear Setup — Don’t Get Trapped!🚨 BTC Market Outlook: Analysis & Key Warning for Traders 🧠💡
Currently keeping a close eye on Bitcoin (BTC) 🔍. Previously, we saw strong bullish momentum propelling price upward 📈. However, that momentum is now under pressure — especially when you zoom into the 4-hour timeframe. We've seen a clear break in market structure, with lower highs and lower lows forming 🔻.
Right now, there’s no clean trade setup on the table. Price has pulled back, and we’re at a key inflection point — either we see a bullish breakout, or further downside could unfold 📉.
This video is more of a technical warning ⚠️ for traders feeling the urge to jump in early. The current structure is risky, and taking impulsive trades here could do more harm than good.
In the video, I also cover how to identify the highest-probability setups — particularly when price consolidates in a range and then breaks out in the direction of the prevailing trend. These continuation setups offer far better odds than guessing mid-range.
📌 Be patient. Let the setup come to you. Don’t force trades when conditions are unclear.
💬 If you’ve watched the analysis or have thoughts on BTC’s next move, comment below — I’d love to hear your view.
❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Everything shared is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and trade responsibly. Risk management is key.
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs