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Bitcoin Halving's Impact AnalysisBitcoin Halving Cycles Performance (Pre/Post 1 year performance) Halving's Pre/Post year Performance: 1. 26th Nov 2012 - Pre 416% / Post 7715% 2. 9th July 2016 - Pre 110% / Post 283% (The full move including after the 24 month period was c.955%) 3. 11th May 2020 - Pre 76% / Post 423% 4. 27th April 2024 - Pre 50% / Post 200% Pre Summary (from H2) - 110% - 76% - 50% prediction (reducing by c.25% each halving). Post Summary (from H2) - 955% - 423% - 200% prediction (reduces by c. 50% each halving) You can see the pattern in the reduced returns in each halving. The pre halving returns typically reduce by 25% a halving and the post halving returns reduce by 100% per halving. We ignore the first having as it was exponential introductory growth of the asset. Important Dates are 27th April 2024 (halving date). Good place to skim or wait for a pullback). Also the date of 25th April 2025. This is a softer date, a take profit early date potentially, most cycles have ended in Q4 of the given year thus some chips should be left on the table post April 2025 depending on the continued performance up to that point. Always a pleasure, I hope its been insightful Puka
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PukaCharts
6
BitcoinMost Altcoins have been in the red since the weekend and the past 24 hours have been no different. Ethereum is currently down 2% and below $2,200. Binance Coin (-1.5%) has dropped below $240. Even larger daily drops come from Ripple, Dogecoin, Polkadot, and Polygon. Solana has lost 5% on the day and is down to just under $70. Cardano and Avalanche have dropped the most compared to larger-cap Altcoins. ADA is down 6%, while AVAX is down 9% and trading below $40. The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has fallen by $50 billion since yesterday's peak of $1.6 trillion and dropped to $1,550 on CMC.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by D-Venn
3
Bitcoin BTC price moves according to fractal from the past v.2As we wrote in our previous idea, the Bitcoin price has been in a critical zone in recent days. Tonight, sellers decided to step up and activated the red fractal from this idea: At this idea depicted another fractal that was already on the BTCUSDT price chart. The logic of this fractal, and therefore the behavior of buyers/sellers, is similar to the fractal from the previous idea. However, there are slightly deeper drops here, but they have a chance to cover most of the CME GAPs that were formed during the current growth wave. 1. GAP $39310 - 40480, touched, but not yet completely filled. 2. Gap $34100 - 34400, not filled 3. GAP $27000 - 27300, not filled Now you need to closely monitor the indicators of USDT.D and BTC.D, because now there is a redistribution of capital: part of it goes to usdt, and the other part hastily goes to the "selected" altcoins that did not have time to reach the desired target at this bull run. Therefore, the next 1-3 days will be quite volatile, and we recommend that you refrain from trading with leverage. Two events will also "add fuel to the fire" of position breakouts: - 12.12.2023 - the announcement of the latest CPI - 12/13/2023 - the announcement of a new FED rate, the last in 2023, and the speech of Mr. Powell's speech on the outlook for the economy and financial markets in 2024 If you are interested in reading our thoughts and experience, please be active: like and comment on the idea. And we, in turn, will update this idea as events unfold.
by P_S_trade
19
Bitcoin Price Hovers Above $40,000 Ahead of FOMCBitcoin (BTC) is showing weakness ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for December 13. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to provide an economic forecast summary after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, indicating that inflation in the U.S. has decreased to 3.1%, aligning with market expectations. Bitcoin Price Prepares for Increased Volatility Before FOMC Investors have shown caution and reduced risk ahead of the FOMC meeting, evident in a 40% decrease in trading volume over the past 24 hours. After the announcement of the U.S. CPI data for November, the Bitcoin price briefly surged to $42,000 before retracing. Looking ahead, the prevailing view is that the Fed will maintain interest rates at the target range of 5.25-5.50%. In the latest meeting in November, the FOMC kept interest rates steady, as in the September meeting, signaling that rates may remain unchanged in the near future but are still open to change based on economic conditions. The decision to pause interest rate hikes is widely anticipated, providing the Fed with additional time to determine whether the current interest rates effectively curb inflation's impact on economic growth. The range of 5.25% to 5.50% was raised in the July meeting, marking the 11th interest rate hike in the 2022/2023 cycle, all aimed at managing inflation. This explains the observed unease in the Bitcoin price. Implications for Bitcoin Price The increase in interest rates makes investors more cautious, negatively impacting risk-based assets like cryptocurrencies. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 97.1% chance that the Fed will keep the Federal Funds Rate target at 5.25% to 5.50% in the upcoming FOMC meeting, while 2.9% of opinion polls predict a change to 5.50-5.75%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
#BTC/USDT#BTC Bitcoin price is still moving in the Side channel it is expected to walk through. Price now 38088 $ The price is expected to bounce to the lower border of that channel at the price of 28,329 and bounce from it in the channel's income for a period of time before completing the rise by breaking that occasional channel to the level of 68,000 What I expect next Between Jan to March 2024 Until then, the price is expected to respect those accidental powers. Place buy and sell orders with Stop Loss Take advantage of rebound zones, whether up or down I wish you a happy trade.
Short
by CryptoAnalystSignal
7