Btctrend
$BTC broke outside of GC Channel 35-40K$BTC has successfully broken from 5D Gaussian Channel and its heading towards upside , while there can be dips and corrections , we may be heading to 36-40K for a relief rally and a big short squeeze , once people start calling for 100K again $BTC will strongly pullback creating a base and taking liquidity for next bull run! Take advantages of this frends and be cautious use tight stop losses in your trades 2-3%.
BTCUSD: Market manipulated?Overanalyzing is not always required as sometimes the simplest things can yield the desired outcome. As the economy becomes more stable, gold loses its appeal as a safe haven, and bitcoin loses its attractiveness as a lucrative investment option.
Anticipating a potentially significant drop in the value of bitcoin!
BTCUSDT - will there be a breakdown of the 30000 level?A strong seller sat above the level of $28,470, and for 14 days it has not been able to gain a foothold with a single bar above this level. Local rollback from replay is very likely. To continue the growth, it is necessary to fix the higher level, but after 45% growth without corrections, it will not be easy to do this.
Before lowering the price below, in my opinion, there should be a test of this level of $30,000-30,900
Despite the fact that we have a strong seller holding the price, I believe that this should happen, since there are a lot of Stop Losses collected at these price levels
Not least important is that always
before an aggressive drop, which is expected in the near future, there is usually a false pump, which removes liquidity to buy and rebalances the price - these are opportunities for opening short positions.
Now I am considering two scenarios for the price development to $24,000:
1. After updating the short-term low ($27,500);
2. After updating the high of the previous month ($30,250);
BTC/USD 28383.00 BUY IDEA ICT SMC BASED TRADE 1:10 RRHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GREAT WEEKEND.
HERE'S A LOOK AT POSSIBLE SCENARIOS THAT COULD PLAY OUT TODAY AND TOMORROW ON BITCOIN.
BTC/USD BUILD LQ DURING ASIAN SESSION SAW A SWEEP OF THAT LIQUIDITY LOOKING FOR A SWEEP OF THE BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY.
* Yesterdays highs TAKEN looking to target buy side liquidity on the on BITCOIN.
* Should this happen looking for entries LONG with the ICT 2022 entry model.
* Targeting the Asian BUY SIDE LQ.
-This would be an ICT JUDAS SWING SET UP
* Overall target will be the SWEEP OF THE HIGH.
* + RSI DIVEGENCE CONFLUENCE
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - INTRA DAY SESSIONS TRADE
Crypto exchange manipulation BTCHi guy, today something about yesterday night and how crypto exchanges can manipulate the cryptocurrency market.
Exchanges can manipulate the market in various ways, although it is important to note that not all exchanges engage in this behavior.
Here are a few ways how crypto exchanges can impact the market ( be careful about your trading and money):
1.) Wash trading: Exchanges may make fake trades to increase trading volume and create a false impression of liquidity.
2.) Pump and dump: Exchanges or groups of traders may agree to buy and sell a certain cryptocurrency in large quantities, causing the price to rise and fall rapidly.
3.) Front-running: Exchanges or their staff can use information about upcoming trades to gain an advantage over other traders.
4.) Stop loss hunting: Exchanges or experienced traders can identify where stop loss orders are located and manipulate the price so that the activation of these orders triggers further selling, leading to a drop in price. They can then shop at a lower price.
5.) Spoofing: Exchanges or traders may create fake orders that they never intend to fill. By doing this, they can influence the price of a cryptocurrency by showing other traders that there is interest in buying or selling at a certain price.
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Well, it's a topic that isn't talked about much, but as I've already written a few times in some other charters, pay attention to what you're trading, apply to a larger time frame and volume (volume indicator tradingview does not count as indicators (max 3 in free mode)! so I recommend having it on non-stop)
Stop Loss yes, but only if you are at the breaking point and it is not clear where it will go, or if you are in profit and do not know when to exit the position, or if you continue trading in a certain direction after obtaining the first / second target.
That's all for me for today, if you have any comments or ideas, send it down or to DM.
( Alart ) EMA 30 , 50 are breaking the EMA 200 down !!!#18
after passing 16 days up warding EMA 30 , 50 are breaking EMA 200 down - and that could be short signal for $BTC
in my opinion if this indicators break each and price stabilize under 26 600 the game is under hands of bearish market - Always be in profit !
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
BTC wants to DUMP more!!Crash still to come!!Bitcoin exited the rising broadening wedge or the parallel channel but the wedge is more valid.
With the drop in price that happen yesterday , today it could continues and make a new extreme or just retrace it backup to the origin of the dump and consolidates there which could be a sign of bullish (0.09%)
H&S still in play that I mentionedin previous video,Still room to dump to create the shoulder of the right side (~24.4)
Liquidity obviously more to the downside but there is (~1600M) around 27.6 due to degen high leverage traders
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BTC like a roller coaster rideBTC like a roller coaster ride, plan for summer and next year 2024
based on my own strategy, which can be 99% wrong, I have such a trading plan for BTC. We'll see how it goes or not. Anyway, BTC has a great future and don't believe that crypto is dead.
Enjoy your summer by the water and don't forget to buy some BTC for later.
I will gradually send some updates depending on how it goes, whether it is completely different, etc...
Trade safely, always SL wisely. There is no miracle molecule to do it best.
📈BTC scenarios during FOMC decision📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Bitcoin analytical series S01E09
Hello traders, don't forget to risk-free your positions.
Long targets ----> above Green lines.
Short targets ----> below Green lines.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
Let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
FOOTBALUSDT | UPTREND | BULLISH TRENDHigher Highs and Higher Lows are technical patterns commonly used in chart analysis to identify potential uptrends in an asset. An uptrend is characterized by a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating that the price is making new highs and lows that are successively higher than the previous ones.
Higher Highs occur when the price of an asset reaches a new high during a given period that is higher than the previous high, while Higher Lows occur when the price reaches a new low during a given period that is higher than the previous low. This suggests that the price is continuing to trend upward and that buyers are becoming increasingly aggressive.
Trend lines can be used to connect Higher Highs and Higher Lows to create an uptrend line, which provides a visual representation of the asset's upward momentum. This can be a useful tool for traders and investors to identify potential buying opportunities near areas of support and resistance.
In the case of FOOTBALLUSDT, if the asset is exhibiting a series of Higher Highs and Higher Lows, this suggests that it may be in an uptrend and that prices are likely to continue to increase in the near term. However, as with any form of technical analysis, it is important to use these patterns in conjunction with other indicators and to keep in mind that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Follow for more ideas.
Bitcoin Filled the 28K Gap, Whats Its Next Move? Flood Or Moon ?Bitcoin/3H doing a parallel upward channel
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We filled the gap from 27.2 to 28.5 and we are holding AT the top of the gap. showing more Bull control than Bear.
This could break to the upside and goes all the way to ~31.7 Or (~292400)
It could also hold it here untill NY market open then dump it to ~26.8 if that doesnt hold then ~25.2 and if that does not hold ~24.4
Liquidation cluster is empty to the upside but downside in total is 300M around 20K , 140M around ~25K
Thanks for watching
This is the time to pay attention Bitcoin flirting with resistance at 25k today. Staying above 25k would definitely be trend changing coming off of 420+ days of bearish price action. A move into the purple box would still have me looking for low risk long entry's. Even a move to the 0.786 at 18,200 could still be a local pivot point. The bottom line is it's time to pay attention. BTC may not have the strength to push above 25k right now but a breakout is not out of the question.
BTC IndexI think that wave 3 is not finished yet, so we have to wait for the end of the current correction and the completion of wave 3. In general, the trading map is as specified.
In general, it should be said that the conditions are not yet ready for big increases and I can say that we are currently in wave B of A B C.
Be successful and profitable
Hasbullas Fomoing on Bitcoin!Pump it then dump itBitcoin on 15minutes doing a symmetrical triangle which indicates a continuation to downside
Liquidation to the upside is more than 24 Million so its possible we test 27.4 (Close to bottom of the 27 to 28 gap )
SPX consolidated and the banking failure is yet to unfold
After the collapse of SVB Silicon Valley Bank...
The sequence of events leading up to the collapse of SVB Silicon Valley Bank is as follows:
SVB Silicon Valley Bank was one of the top 20 banks in the United States, with over 40 years of operation and total assets of $211.8 billion as of the end of 2022. As its name suggests, the bank primarily served technology startups and employees of large companies in Silicon Valley, and was the bank with the most deposits in the area.
On Thursday, March 9th, SVB Silicon Valley Bank announced a liquidity crisis. The stock price of its parent company, SVB Financial Group, plummeted by 60%, causing a sell-off in bank stocks and a simultaneous decline in the three major U.S. stock indices.
As news of the crisis spread, more and more institutional and high-net-worth clients rushed to withdraw their funds, causing a bank run that fueled panic and accelerated the bank's bankruptcy process.
In short, the bank's collapse was due to a combination of factors: taking in deposits at low interest rates, investing heavily in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), facing short-term liquidity constraints, selling MBS at a loss to stop the bleeding, and triggering a panic.
The SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident is directly related to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and bank liquidity management. In response to the global pandemic in 2020, the Fed implemented unlimited quantitative easing (QE) and lowered interest rates to near 0%. Over the next two years, U.S. tech companies initiated a wave of share buybacks, and businesses took advantage of the low interest rates to raise large amounts of capital, which SVB absorbed in the form of deposits.
The bank used a significant portion of these deposits to engage in relative value trades, primarily in various types of U.S. bonds. More than 65% of SVB's deposits were invested in MBS, which was normally a safe practice as long as the securities were held until maturity. However, the problem arose when SVB over-invested in MBS and the Fed began to shift towards raising interest rates.
The Fed's aggressive interest rate hikes drastically changed the macroeconomic environment, pushing rates higher. Startups in Silicon Valley were no longer able to spend as lavishly, and there were more layoffs and closures. As interest rates rose, the interest paid to depositors also increased, putting pressure on the bank's short-term liquidity.
SVB had to sell its MBS holdings to raise cash, but by this time, market rates had risen from 0% to nearly 5% for two-year yields, causing the value of assets to plummet. SVB sold $21 billion worth of assets at a loss of $1.8 billion.
While SVB could have absorbed the loss of $1.8 billion, the bank still held more than $1 trillion in MBS, and a run on these securities could result in a loss of $15 billion, making SVB insolvent. Investors panicked in anticipation of this scenario.
Event impact
1.SVB announces bankruptcy without warning.
After panic spread, Silicon Valley Bank experienced a run on withdrawals of $420, causing an immediate liquidity crisis. The stock price of SVB Financial Group plummeted by 60% in a single day, crushing the management team's plan to sell stocks to save the company. The management team lost confidence and declared bankruptcy. Its stock price fell from $700 to $100 in just one year.
2.Chain reaction in stock and cryptocurrency markets.
Investors fear that other banks may also be suffering from the negative impact of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes and high rates, similar to the SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident. The negative sentiment has spread to the US banking industry, which is a core asset of the US stock market. The sell-off of bank stocks is a drag on the US stock market as a whole. At the same time, concerns about financing and liquidity for large tech companies have surfaced.
This event also affected the cryptocurrency market. It is difficult to say that there is no relationship between SVB Silicon Valley Bank and the cryptocurrency industry. Circle, the issuer of the stablecoin USDC, has announced that $3.3 billion in cash is deposited in Silicon Valley Bank, which accounts for approximately 8% of the USDC's $40 billion scale. For cryptocurrency companies that have not yet made an announcement, when will they collapse?
Market reaction
Currently, the SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident has mainly affected the US stock and cryptocurrency markets, with negative market sentiment.
The general decline in US bank stocks dragged down the three major US stock indices, with particular attention paid to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow Jones has been in a four-month consolidation phase in the 32,500-34,500 range, with a possible "double top" formation. This event has become the most critical factor in the Dow Jones' downward breakthrough. "The longer the accumulation, the faster the release." Going forward, attention should be paid to the Dow Jones' oscillating downward trend, with a target pointing towards the key level of 30,000.
Bitcoin prices fell below support at 22,000, but have since returned to above 20,000. In the short term, it is still necessary to closely monitor this support level. If the support is confirmed to be effective, the target will be 22,000. If the 20,000 support line is breached, it will return to a weak consolidation below 20,000, marking the end of the token's rebound. There is a possibility of further breaking through the new low of 18,000.
As the largest bankruptcy case in the US financial industry since the 2008 financial crisis, this event is not yet sufficient to cause systemic risk in the US financial industry, but local risk developments need to be monitored.
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