Btctrend
#BTC/USDT#BTC
#BITCOIN
The price is moving in an ascending channel on the 4-hour frame and is sticking to it very well and is expected to break it upwards
We have a bounce from a major support area at the lower line of the channel at $6200
We have an uptrend on the RSI indicator which supports the upside
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average which supports the upside
Entry price 62200
First target 64800
Second target 66800
BTC BITCOIN Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I'm keeping a close eye on BTC right now. We’re seeing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If market conditions align as discussed in the video, I'll be considering a buying opportunity.
This analysis focuses on key aspects of technical analysis, such as trend identification, price action, and market structure. We’ll also discuss a potential trade setup and examine strategies that could increase the chances of success.
Please keep in mind that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. The observations are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s important to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation provides a comprehensive review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it's important to recognize that while the information is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly advise using sound risk management techniques in all your trades.
We encourage you to do thorough research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-thought-out strategy. 📊✅
Bitcoin: short at 59700-60300.Short Bitcoin. There is huge pressure in the short term.
There is a large room for retracement. Shorting is profitable.
There will be a shock decline over the weekend.
The decline is expected to intensify next week. COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Bitcoin's Wobbly Recovery: Death Cross Looms LargeBitcoin (BTC) has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent days, with a 4% price rebound following a sharp decline that sent shivers down the spines of investors. The digital currency's volatility has been exacerbated by the ominous specter of a "triple death cross," a technical indicator that often precedes significant price drops.
The triple death cross occurs when three key moving averages converge, signaling a bearish trend. While not a definitive predictor of market movements, it has historically been associated with downturns. This technical pattern, coupled with negative funding rates and a general risk-off sentiment among traders, has fueled concerns about a potential plunge below the critical $50,000 level.
Funding rates, a measure of market sentiment, have dipped into negative territory, indicating that traders are increasingly bearish on Bitcoin's short-term prospects. This pessimism is likely influenced by a combination of factors, including macroeconomic uncertainties, regulatory concerns, and the overall crypto market's volatility.
Despite the recent price recovery, Bitcoin's inability to capitalize on positive news, such as strong economic data, has raised eyebrows among analysts. Some experts believe that the cryptocurrency's underperformance compared to other assets like gold highlights a broader loss of investor confidence.
However, not all analysts are convinced that a catastrophic price drop is imminent. Some point to Bitcoin's historical resilience and argue that the current weakness could be a buying opportunity for long-term investors. They emphasize the importance of maintaining a long-term perspective and avoiding panic-selling.
As the crypto market remains highly volatile, traders and investors alike are closely monitoring Bitcoin's price movements. The formation of the triple death cross and the accompanying negative sentiment have undoubtedly created a challenging environment, but the ultimate direction of Bitcoin's price remains uncertain.
Only time will tell whether the digital currency can weather the storm and resume its upward trajectory or if it will succumb to the bearish pressures and plunge below the crucial $50,000 support level.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is essential to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin: A sharp decline is about to beginAfter going long around 57,000 yesterday, Bitcoin continued to rise by 1,800 points. It helped members who lost money to recover a lot of losses.
Currently, Bitcoin is under pressure to retrace.
Go short around 58,500. Target 56,300-55,000.
For reference only for non-members
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P COINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $61,953 resistance holding strong, previous 1D closed following up to the bearish engulfing from Wednesday, $58,290 current support in effect, RSI on 4H improving, on 1D RSI looks fine, unable to hold $58,882 support, $62,580 $63,544 $64,344 next resistance areas to watch.
Could this be the most logical drawing ever made for #Bitcoin ?#Bitcoin 1W chart;
As followers may remember, we have interpreted the Bitcoin chart from many different perspectives before, so let's look for different meanings from a different perspective;
The first thing I would like to draw your attention to is the RSI signal that formed at the top of 2021 before falling. These signals are valuable for charts because they foretell that the market can't move any further in that direction.
After the signal at the first top of 2021, there was a deep drop of around -50% . Fibonacci shows us here that after completing its decline in value between 0.5 and 0.618 (golden ratio value) , it started to rise again. In fact, the bear cycle started after the same mismatch on the RSI side for the second time.
So we had 2 serious rises in the bull cycle in 2021.
Now... What do we see after the first drop in 2021?
We see that the 50 EMA (50-day moving average) yellow line was broken with a hard candle in the first place, then there were closures above and below this zone for 10 weeks , and then it experienced its second peak rise.
Now let's look at the current cycle, the 2nd Fibonacci values.
Here again, we can see signals on the pre-decline RSI, but they are more pronounced on the daily chart. With Bitcoin's decline, we see that it broke the 50 EMA with a hard candle pin, as it did in the previous cycle. Under normal circumstances, we should statistically expect it to rise after 10 weekly candles in total, as it did the previous time.
However, there is an important point here.
The Fed Rate Decision Meeting to be held on 18.09.2024 , which I indicated with a yellow vertical dash line (it appears as 16.09 because the chart is weekly)
As I stated in my previous articles, I expect the first interest rate cut to be made on this date.
Accordingly, after the 50 EMA is broken, we have a total of 7 weeks until the meeting date. Accordingly, if Bitcoin will come back to the Fibonacci golden ratio range as in the previous cycle, then we should expect a sharp decline from the current level because time is running out.
I would like to add a footnote here; the previous Fibonacci took support from 0.618 (golden ratio) and created a balance in that region. In today's decline, it took this support at 0.5. Therefore, it may not want to see the 0.618 level. 0.5 levels point to around $48k.
If you remember, in another previous Bitcoin chart I drew a Bullish harmonic pattern starting from around GETTEX:48K , you sometimes ask me if my bearish expectation is still valid. How can I be bullish when all the different perspectives I have drawn and tried to show you are all bearish.
Let's come to our 3rd Fibonacci levels.
I think that the highest level for #Btc in this cycle could be a level between $102k and $122k and I show you the reasons why I think so on the technical chart.
You will never see any imaginary and emotionally driven odds, rockets, flaming tweets from me. I think we will leave this market on time thanks to the bearish signals that Bitcoin will show when it reaches its peak in this cycle.
If you have read this far, you can support me by liking, commenting and sharing. Love ✨
BTCUSD opportunity to buy backBTCUSD analysis on 12/08/2024:
BTCUSD is showing an upward trend after a correction to around 49000. BTCUSD did not have a deep correction as expected, but it is currently a good trading opportunity.
The current trend for BTCUSD is LONG. Key price levels to note: 56000 - 56700; 55000 - 55200; and 53000 - 53200.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: LONG BTCUSD zone 56300 - 56600
SL 56000
TP 57700 - 59000 - 60000.
Plan 2: LONG BTCUSD zone 53000-53200
SL 49600
TP 55100 - 57700 - 60000.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC As expected broke below $56,557 support yesterday, currently back above it, $54,363 support held, Could put bullish engulfing on current 1D candle, approaching $58,290 test, RSI on 1D progressive since yesterday, also looks good on 4H. Nest key resistance at $60,629.
BTC Bitcoin Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👉🔍 In this video, we conduct a thorough analysis of Bitcoin (BTC). Recent data suggests that BTC has exhibited significant bearish momentum. Given this trend, I anticipate a potential retracement, particularly as the price has approached a critical support level. My strategy involves closely monitoring the 15-minute chart for signs of consolidation or sideways movement, which could signal a potential breakout. This scenario might present an intraday trading opportunity, targeting previous resistance and support levels.
It’s crucial to understand that these insights are speculative and should not be interpreted as definitive predictions. Accurate confirmation of specific price movements is essential before making any trading decisions, as detailed in the video. The content provides an in-depth examination of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics, aimed at enhancing your understanding. However, trading carries significant risks, so it is imperative to implement rigorous risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses. 📈🔔
BTC / BTCUSDTLet's see...
Good Luck >>
• Warning •
Any deal I share does not mean that I am forcing you to enter into it, you enter in with your full risk, because I'll not gain any profits with you in the end.
The risk management of the position must comply with the stop loss.
(I am not sharing financial or investment advice, you should do your own research for your money.)
BTC vs VIX
A combined chart between the VIX indicator with Bitcoin and a separate Bitcoin chart (below) and the resulting in front of you:
- The built-in BTC/VIX top section shows that yesterday its movement reached the bottom of the trend.
- The arrival of the BTC/VIX indicator for the trend every time means that Bitcoin has achieved a bottom.
- The strange thing is that this time it is equivalent to major lows: the bottom of 2015-2020 (Corona)-2022.
Although the break is monthly and volatility and pressure may continue, it makes clear that this month is August the lowest number that Bitcoin will record before the main high.
$BTC supply crash: fairy tale, the untold story."Bitcoin price is set to skyrocket in the near future, claims an analyst on X. The analyst pointed out that the supply of BTC on exchanges has crashed."
There is this common misconception that because the number of Bitcoins held on exchanges is getting lower every passing day, this will create a supply crash and push Bitcoin to the moon!
Actually, if you scratch the surface, the opposite is likely to happen.
Historically, after the halving, the division by two of the number of Bitcoins mined has done exactly that. After a period of time, the demand exceeds the supply, creating a massive bull run.
But this cycle in 2024, everything is different.
Most people only see the superficial aspect: yes, there are fewer Bitcoins available for trading. But what they forget to mention is that in this cycle, a lot of the supply is held by governments and agencies, outside of the market.
Let's summarize the situation. As I am writing, there are 2.8M Bitcoins on the exchanges. However, outside the market:
- 210,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by the US government.
- 200,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by Mt. Gox litigators.
- 136,295 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by an unknown wallet.
- 285,105 CRYPTOCAP:BTC are held by GBTC,
and many anonymous addresses who can sell at any time.
That means at least 700,000 BTC are held by institutions and government agencies and are about to be sold.
The big difference with this 2024 cycle is that:
- The ones who own these BTC do not care about the price. They are not traders but rather employees with obligations to sell when required.
- About 40% of the available supply is not in the market and therefore will have to be sold.
Today, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped 2%, with about 2,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC sold on Binance. Imagine if one of these entities sold 10,000 CRYPTOCAP:BTC at once?
My point is that the normal CRYPTOCAP:BTC cycle is totally invalidated by this supply of $BTC. Their sale will affect the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC negatively, at least until the demand catches up. The sale of these BTC might create a panic sell from the ETF issuers, which would wreck the whole crypto space for a while.
Conclusion: the supply crunch will not happen. Instead, these institutions will increase the supply by selling their holdings on the market, negatively affecting the price of Bitcoin.
It is even possible that the bull market could be canceled if too many of these CRYPTOCAP:BTC are sold, nullifying the halving effect and creating a never-before-seen early bear market.