Bitcoin 2017 Cycle Lessons Learned for Projecting 2021 TargetPossible Indicators / Patterns / Observations
1. BTC stayed close or below its $5.675 stock-to-flow target
2. There were 3 up and 2 down trend week groups to reach that target
3. dropping below the weekly Bollinger upper band seems to signal a downward retracement
4. downward retracement to Bollinger baseline possible
5. drawing the $19.6 ATH target give a great guide to track the development, however for the 2020/21 cycle we do not know the target.
Let me know if you would like more explanations. I tried to put the core of it into the chart.
Basically the idea is what can we learn from the last cycle as it is our only more reliable data point to look at.
How did it behave towards the expectations towards reaching its stock-to-flow target and was it in the same time frame?
Could we predict the parabolic curve Bitcoin will take in 2021 based on 2017?
What indicators can we use to know when there are buy-in / sell signals?
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Btctrendprediction
Some interesting trend lines holding... I have a definite short bias at this point, right back down to the weekly ema 12 around 22,000 - 23,000 would be lovely but lets see. Hopefully a short will setup, maybe the break and retest of that long trendline that it's kept above since 30th Dec and retested on the latest dip.
BTCEUR, Soon A good opportunity to enter.BTC Break down of the triangle.
Soon A good opportunity to enter.
BTC downward movement towards 8.1K Euro ÷ 7.6k Euro.
An adjustment that breaks down the horizontal movement that had lasted for days.
The market will prepare for the next rebound.
Wait for confirmation of the next supports at lower levels to enter BUY (8.1K Euro ÷ 7.6k Euro).
The rebounding differential will be significant.
#surfthetrend #btceur #btcprocoinbase #trendsurfer
BTCEUR, Coinbase Pro, Buy/Exit Strategy, 3 Days previsionIn my analysis, the downward trend continues.
The second triangle in yellow is the most recent.
If we are lucky in case of descent from the current value we can choose to enter.
To buy (To enter, wait for the dynamic support to be checked)
- Il valore minimo di rimbalzo (per acquistare) è di 8389 Euro +/-
If we have successfully entered, then we can wait for the verification of dynamic resistance at 8886 euros. +/- Take Profit (+/- 5 or 6%)
- If resistance is exceeded and it becomes new support you can sell or maintain the position for subsequent analysis.
I'm back from my break! Are we starting to surf the trend again?
#surfthetrend #trendsurfer
BTCEUR, Trend Analysis, Point of Change of the CoinbasePro TrendBTCEUR, Trend Analysis, Point of Change of the CoinbasePro Trend
This evaluation comes from the study of the trend in shorter timeframes and included in the macro trend channel. Soon there is an interesting point where you can probably see a trend change given the current horizontal movement that is constantly above the SMMA and the top of the Bollinger bands.
Time frame Analysis con 45' min and 2h.
#surfthetrend if you are a #trendsurfer
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