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Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Overbought Warning: Exercise Caution in Current Market Cycles ⚠️ Bitcoin and many altcoins are significantly overbought in their respective cycles. 🚨 Caution is strongly advised. Avoid jumping into investments late in the 1-week cycle. Instead, wait for the cycle to dip below 20 before considering an entry. 📉 🧠 Quick Recap: How to Use the Cycle Signals - ✅ Green Zone = Potential Buy Signal - 🚫 Red Zone = Potential Sell Signal We’ve been in the red zone for a considerable amount of time now, signaling heightened risk. A retracement appears likely, so patience is key! ⏳ The Danger of FOMO It’s tempting to trade when: - The market moves 24/7 🌐 - Influencers flaunt their PnL cards 📊 - News and activity are constant. 📢 But jumping into an overheated market can lead to losses, not gains. ✅ What to Do Instead: - Don’t chase the hype. - Missed a 10-15% gain? No problem! Compare that to the profits from buying in the green zone and selling in the red—you’ll make far more with less risk. 🔑 Stay Smart, Stay Patient Remember: **There’s nothing worse than watching your portfolio bleed daily.** Avoid the stress by simply waiting for better cycle opportunities. 💡 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research! 📖
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Deciphering Bitcoin Trends: Insights and AnalysisA large supercycle wave is composed of smaller supercycle waves. Each supercycle wave consists of multiple cycle waves. A cycle wave is made up of primary waves. Primary waves are formed by intermediate waves. Intermediate waves are composed of minor waves. Minor waves are made up of minute waves. Minute waves are composed of minuette waves. Minuette waves are formed by subminuette waves. I believe the current price movement is indicative of the first wave of a downward trend.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MIA_MASTER
BTC Analysis: Expert Financial InsightsIn the realm of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture attention as a leading digital asset. As financial experts, analyzing BTC's movements provides invaluable insights into market trends and potential trading opportunities. Currently, BTC shows signs of bullish momentum, with buyers dominating the market. Through careful pattern analysis, a symmetrical triangle formation has been observed, suggesting the potential for a bullish continuation. The projected target from this pattern is set at 76000. Identifying key support levels is crucial for traders. Presently, support is found around 69000 - 68500, forming a buying zone. It's recommended to implement cut-loss strategies if prices break below 66700. As the BTC market evolves, staying informed and adaptable is essential for navigating its dynamic landscape. With a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics and strategic decision-making, traders can seize opportunities and manage risks effectively in the BTC market.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by LiLy_Happy
Bitcoins tumultuous path to 130kAs we entered the bull cycle after exiting the red bubble, the clock started. We have measured each bull market gains since the beginning of bitcoin, and the factor is 1.618. Formula is as follows; To find the next number in the pattern, let's examine the relationships between the given numbers: 297 ÷ 183 = 1.626 51.8 ÷ 30.8 = 1.678 10 ÷ 6 = 1.667 1.4 ÷ 0.8 = 1.75 The pattern appears to involve dividing each number by a decreasing, but relatively close value. The differences between these division results are not consistent. However, there seems to be a general trend of division with values around 1.6 to 1.7. Let's continue this pattern and divide 1.4 by a value close to 1.6 to 1.7: 1.4 ÷ 1.65 ≈ 0.848 So, the next number in the pattern could be approximately 0.848. 848% is the next gain percentage of next bull cycle. Thats the easy part; the factor we cannot relate to is TIME. We are left to charting fractals and Trying to find ratios between previous cycles and bull markets. My calculations say Nov '24. Election time. I titled this tumultuous because though we have the ability to go straight up and God candle, I think that is unlikely as 70k resistance is strong. I think the faster we go up and touch that resistance (40k in 2wks) the quicker and deeper the downturn would be, we see our purple line stretching diagonally to november, its not straight up and down like the previous bull markets. Leaving us to infer we could have a deep ABC wave depending how quick we touch 70k from here (35k)
BNC:BLXLong
by creengrack
Was i wrong? BTCI wasn't posting updates on BTC for a reason: nothing is clear yet. Was i wrong? I am short with an avg entry of 53k actually, and yes, i am in loss. I am still holding it. I am holding because we are at major resistance ($51.800 is a major daily resistance) and Greed is Extreme. Honestly, i think this is a trap from ETF funds that are just showing potential profits to new, big clients. As soon as funds will take profits, we could see and massive correction. $50.000 is the first support zone, $42.000/$44.000 is the second main support zone.
Short
by SaliJournal
Bitcoin Price Hovers Above $40,000 Ahead of FOMCBitcoin (BTC) is showing weakness ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for December 13. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to provide an economic forecast summary after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, indicating that inflation in the U.S. has decreased to 3.1%, aligning with market expectations. Bitcoin Price Prepares for Increased Volatility Before FOMC Investors have shown caution and reduced risk ahead of the FOMC meeting, evident in a 40% decrease in trading volume over the past 24 hours. After the announcement of the U.S. CPI data for November, the Bitcoin price briefly surged to $42,000 before retracing. Looking ahead, the prevailing view is that the Fed will maintain interest rates at the target range of 5.25-5.50%. In the latest meeting in November, the FOMC kept interest rates steady, as in the September meeting, signaling that rates may remain unchanged in the near future but are still open to change based on economic conditions. The decision to pause interest rate hikes is widely anticipated, providing the Fed with additional time to determine whether the current interest rates effectively curb inflation's impact on economic growth. The range of 5.25% to 5.50% was raised in the July meeting, marking the 11th interest rate hike in the 2022/2023 cycle, all aimed at managing inflation. This explains the observed unease in the Bitcoin price. Implications for Bitcoin Price The increase in interest rates makes investors more cautious, negatively impacting risk-based assets like cryptocurrencies. According to the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 97.1% chance that the Fed will keep the Federal Funds Rate target at 5.25% to 5.50% in the upcoming FOMC meeting, while 2.9% of opinion polls predict a change to 5.50-5.75%.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
Bitcoin Traders Cautioned as Whales Trigger Sharp Price DropContent: Bitcoin is experiencing its most significant drop in nearly a month, catching the market off guard on Monday, shattering the optimism, also known as "hopium," for continued price growth until the SEC approves the BTC spot ETF in January 2024. However, the sudden market downturn has left investors surprised, leading to this optimism being shattered, attributed to the "whale panic" caused by significant whale selling. Daily Market Momentum Report: Bitcoin Whales Trigger Market Plunge Bitcoin's price has nearly dropped below $40,000 in the last 24 hours, with contracts worth over $340 million liquidated in just a few minutes. Although the exact reason behind this collapse is uncertain, the primary cause seems to be whale selling. This is evidenced by the Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) registering a sharp decrease to -250. Simply put, CPG is an indicator that tracks the difference between the Bitcoin price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and Binance (USDT pair). It provides an idea of whether US-dominant investors (Coinbase) or global users (Binance) are buying or selling more than the other. Whenever this premium gap is positive, US investors are considered to be driving buying pressure, while negative values point to global users, creating selling pressure. However, the significant drop in this index on Monday indicates whale intervention. This was further confirmed by the decline in reserves on the Binance exchange, noting the sale of around 16,000 BTC worth over $671 million accumulated over the past week. This sell-off has caused panic among users, resulting in a 7% intraday trading drop, pushing BTC to a low of $40,654. Cryptocurrency has since recovered, trading at $41,839 at the time of writing. Since the beginning of December, traders have been limiting exposure to high leverage in the derivatives market. The collapse on Monday may heighten this skepticism, causing traders to be cautious until January.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
Bitcoin: "Gold on Steroids" with Institutional InfluxBitcoin has frequently been compared to Gold over the years. Initially deemed a "safe haven" similar to Gold, analysts are currently evaluating these two investments to determine if Bitcoin meets the criteria as "Gold on steroids." Relative returns are adjusted for the risk of Bitcoin compared to Gold. Over the past 5 years, up to November, Bitcoin's Sharpe Ratio has competed favorably when compared to Gold and other proven asset classes in the market. The Sharpe Ratio is defined as the difference between the return of an investment and the risk-free rate divided by the standard deviation of the investment. Simply put, the Sharpe Ratio adjusts performance for risk beyond what investors would bear for a specific asset. Jurrien Timmer, Global Macro Economic Director at Fidelity, notes that Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 (+40%) is higher than that of Gold (+14%) over a 5-year period. However, the correlation between BTC and the US stock market has decreased over the years and is lower than most asset classes. Over the past 12 months, the correlation between BTC and the S&P 500 has decreased from 40% to 25%. Timmer argues that Bitcoin is more volatile than most other assets, but the volatility impacts both ways, and BTC investments have their own risk-reward characteristics, as seen in the past decade. According to a CoinShares report, institutional investors continue to pour money into Bitcoin funds, with a weekly inflow of $132.8 million as of December 4th. At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin is $44,162 on Binance.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
Bitcoin Price Could Drop to $42,000Bitcoin price faces potential decline Bitcoin is currently trading at $43,241 after failing to surpass the $44,500 level, leading to minor adjustments. While broader market prospects suggest an upward trend at the time of writing, the short-term picture leans slightly towards a downward trajectory. This is evidenced by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. The diminishing green bars indicate a weakening upward trend, implying vulnerability to a Bitcoin price drop. However, BTC is likely to drop back to $42,000 or even $40,000 if the previously established support levels are breached. This is a short-term scenario, pending a stronger-than-expected NFP report. Yet, if the report is weaker or broader market signals turn bullish, a recovery from the $42,000 level becomes plausible. This would propel an upward movement, pushing Bitcoin prices beyond $44,500 and negating the bearish outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
Bitcoin Price Poised to Return to $45,000 LevelThe cryptocurrency analyst behind the handle X @rektcapital has evaluated the Bitcoin price trend and predicts that BTC could return to the $45,000 level before the fourth halving event, expected to occur in April 2024. The analyst notes repetitive trends in the past three cycles and anticipates a pullback to the $42,000 level after BTC reaches $45,000. The analyst has identified the $40,000 to $42,000 range as the most crucial for Bitcoin, marking it as the peak in the ongoing cycle. The analyst believes $36,300 is a medium resistance level, and BTC may find support in the $31,000 to $32,500 range. The current Bitcoin price is $41,725 on Binance at the time of writing. BTC has surged 10% in the past week, bringing nearly 4% daily gains for holders.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
Bitcoin Eyes Upside MoveBitcoin (BTC) has breached the resistance level of $38,008, though not decisively, trading at $38,139 at the time of writing. There is still potential to extend towards the higher range at $38,414 or, in the case of a strong uptrend, reach $40,000. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is moving upwards and is about to cross above the signal line (yellow band). Historically, each time this crossover occurs, BTC reacts with a bold upward move, interpreting this intersection as a buying signal. Similarly, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator continues to hold in the positive territory, indicating that the bulls still maintain control despite strong downward price pressure. On the other hand, increasing selling pressure could push the price of Bitcoin down below the support level of $38,008 or, worse, test the support at $35,487. In a more severe scenario, a downturn could cause BTC to lose the confluence support between the horizontal line and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $33,912. Breaking and closing below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook, setting the stage for further downside towards the psychological level of $30,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gwen_Humuna
3
BTC movement patternHi all) Doing an update on the structure. Now we observe the movement in sideways range on BTC - which is good fuel for altcoins) This model is shown to understand the most likely movement schematically) It makes no sense to analyze bitcoin on the timeframe below the daily, as narrow sidewall does not form anything interesting. There is an increase in volume over the last few days, as well as a rounding and a smooth increase in volume over the last three months. The price is pushing towards $25,000 and a lot of volume is being generated, but there is no result. This is very bad for a drop from the current levels. It is logical to put arrow there, because the main liquidity area is at 25k level) It is necessary to see the dominance growth for large scale growth of BTC. That is liquidity from alts or new money.
by CHOWTRADE