Bitcoin's Dual Scenario Analysis 📊Bitcoin (BTC) currently presents two possible scenarios, each with unique potential outcomes. Here, we'll explore both without assigning specific probabilities to avoid bias.
Scenario A: The Bearish Outlook 📉
In this scenario, Bitcoin is forming lower highs and lows within a small cycle. A descending channel could also be drawn if desired. For this scenario to activate, the price needs to consolidate below the $60,000 mark. Should this occur, a downward movement towards the $48,000 area may begin.
Key points to consider:
A knot at the $55,000 level on the 4-hour timeframe could potentially reduce downward momentum.
The next critical support lies between $50,000 and $48,000. This range has acted as both a past resistance and monthly support, supported by Fibonacci retracement levels of 61.8% and 70.7% PRZ.
I am not placing a buy order yet, as I need to be sure that this zone can indeed support the price and provide upward momentum. If this area holds and the market momentum reverses, I might adjust my analysis or wait for $65,000 before taking further action.
Scenario B: The Bullish Outlook 📈
Following a break above $65,000, Bitcoin has formed its first higher high on the daily timeframe after three months. This is an early sign of returning bullish momentum. Risk-takers, particularly if Bitcoin's dominance is also rising, might consider entering at this point with a stop loss at $55,000.
For a safer entry:
Wait for a break above $72,000. The expected range upon breaking this level could be between $85,000 and $90,000. However, discussing these levels might be premature now.
Important Consideration 🚨
Remember, no one can predict financial markets with certainty; these are merely scenarios. As traders, we must learn to live in the moment and react optimally to unfolding events.
👍 If you found this analysis helpful, feel free to like, comment, or share! For more insights, follow #Tradecitypro and #TCP. 🚀
🔖 Categories: Trend Analysis, Support and Resistance, Supply and Demand
📌 Stay tuned for updates, and happy trading!
Btcudt
BTC UPDATE (4H)Hi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to BUY/LONG the BTC symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
AW Bitcoin Analysis - IS SHTF For Bitcoin? Old Count Modified...The truth is that my old count modified For Blue Wave 4 makes a lot of sense when looked at this way.
Why?
Because if I was counting this move up as a Weak 5-Wave move, the problem is that Waves 4, 2 and 1 are not overlapping.
Therefore, it cannot really be classified as an official Weak 5-Wave move. Duh!
But also, look what happens when I run a trend-line from the previous 2 Wave 4's...
Price has been interacting with this particular trend-line recently which might help explain the price action at the lows right now.
Something about the crazy insane mania I have seen lately piqued my curiosity and I just had to try out this combination of analysis.
It seems plausible therefore I will head in this direction because it makes sense to do so.
I have also been making progress with the move down since all-time-highs which might help explain what we are seeing now.
Could the SHTF for the original crypto afterall?
Could we really be in Wave 2 of a larger unfolding trend right now?
I will do my best to answer these questions very soon.
Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader.
If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd?
Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research.
***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
💁♂️ BTCUSDT / 1D 💁♂️ HI Everyone
As you can see, the price is currently fluctuating within the specified box range.
The important resistance range of 17,500, if the price penetrates above the range of 17,500, we may see price growth up to the box ceiling. There is a high probability that the price will be associated with a negative reaction by collecting liquidity void from the range of 18200/18800.‼💹
Long term support ranges $14000/$12000/$11000⚠❗
❎ (DYOR)...⚠⚜
WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THIS ANALYSIS? I will be glad to know your idea 🙂✌
IF you like my analysis please LIKE and comment 🙏✌
ETHUSDT | Breakdown of local resistance.Hello trader Today I have prepared a new idea for you. Like and subscribe to the channel there is a lot of useful information✅
Previously, he singled out the level of $1220-1225 as a strong local resistance. The asset was able to break through higher.
The level of $1275-1300 is also a strong local resistance, from where you can try to open a small SHORT with a short stop order, showed an approximate entry point on the chart ($1275-1300)
I expect to see a slight correction in bitcoin, due to this I can spill ETH in the range of $1220-1200
Bitcoin (BTC) - October 14Hello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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(BTCUSDTPERP 1D Chart)
- If it rises above 20794.4, the main position is 'LONG'.
- The 19424.9-20794.4 section is a quick response section.
- If it falls below 19424.9, the main position is 'SHORT'.
The key is whether it can rise above 19802.9 and enter the bullish channel.
To do that, we need to see if we can sustain the price above 19424.9.
If resistance is found below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.786-0.707, that is, below 19216.3, the next downtrend is expected to fall to the 1.414-1.27 Fibonacci ratio, ie, 16.3K-16.9K.
The price must remain above the HA-Low indicator to transition into an uptrend.
The price needs to remain above the HA-High indicator to sustain the uptrend.
(1D chart)
We need to see if we can move higher than the left Fibonacci ratio of 0.5 or more, i.e. 19424.9.
In particular, the key is whether it can rise above the 0.618 section, which is the Fibonacci ratio of both sides, that is, the section 19607.9-19.8K.
If not, you should see if it is supported near 19216.3.
If it falls below 19216.3, it is expected to touch the 2nd section, around 19.0K.
critical section
18374.1-18895.1
19424.9-20122.5
A reversal of the trend is expected to occur depending on whether support or resistance is found in the critical period.
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- big picture
I think you need to be supported in the 13K-15K section to gain the strength to rise.
So, whether it rises or falls from its current position, both require a short-term response.
A full-fledged uptrend is expected to begin when it rises above 29K.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
** If you share this chart, you can use the indicators normally.
** The MRHAB-T indicator contains indicators that indicate support and resistance points.
** SR_R_C indicators are displayed as StochRSI(line), RSI(columns), CCI(bgcolor).
** CCI indicator is expressed as overbought range (CCI > +100) and oversold range (CCI < -100).
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
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SPX500| the speech of the head of the Fed J. Powell, even lower?Hello trader Today I prepared a new idea for you. Like and subscribe to the channel there is a lot of useful information✅
The stock market continues to fall before our eyes, after the harsh rhetoric of J. Powell, investors simply began to exit the stock market in batches, which actually affects further falls.
Today there will be a speech by Fed Chairman J. Powell again
So get ready for market volatility again! Grandpa Powell will again severely punish the markets, well, or he will say something softer and we will see a slight increase, which I actually hope for)
Bitcoin (BTC) - September 5Hello?
Welcome, traders.
By "following", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Like".
Have a good day.
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(BTCUSDT 1W Chart)
The key is whether it can move above 21838.98 after around September 5th.
If not, you need to check if you can get support in section 2 and rise.
(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
The key is whether it can find support near June 21, 1994 and move higher than 20798.16.
- If the price falls below 19695.87, you should check to see if there is support near the 1st line or around 18353.11.
- The RSI indicator is entering the oversold section, and the Stoch RSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought section.
Accordingly, mixed sales are expected.
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(US 100 CFD (Nasdaq) 1D Chart)
In order to continue the uptrend, it fell in the zone where it needed support.
- The key is whether we can find support near 11953.1, where the uptrend started, and move above 12212.6.
It is important that the -RSI and Stoch RSI indicators find support near 11953.1 when they break out of the oversold zone.
If it doesn't, it could drop to around 11475.5.
(BTC.D 1D Chart)
It is located in the 39.56-40.44 zone where the big volatility is expected to start.
Therefore, a deviation from the 39.56-40.44 range is expected to result in volatility.
(ETH.D 1W chart)
If ETH dominance is maintained in the 18.54-20.13 segment or higher, the price of ETH is expected to rise.
If it falls below 18.54, there is a possibility that ETH price will drop sharply, so be careful.
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BTC Dominance and ETH Dominance are located in the critical section.
Thus, you know that you are in an interval where large volatility can occur at any time.
Trading in these areas can be risky, so you need to trade carefully.
Before trading, you must create a trading strategy and respond mechanically.
However, we must not forget that we are in a good area to buy even if the price goes down or goes up.
We see the maximum decline in BTC price as 13K-15K, so if it goes down in the future, it will drop by -30%.
The coin market requires a trading strategy that can withstand -30% to +30% volatility.
This means that volatility of up to 60% can occur, so unless you are a short-term trader, you should take this into account when crafting your trading strategy.
If the profit/loss ratio of the coins (tokens) you currently hold is within -60%, it is highly likely to recover quickly.
In order to recover quickly, you need a trading strategy that increases the number of coins (tokens) you have.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.
** The MRHAB-T indicator, which is inactive on the chart, contains indicators that indicate support and resistance points.
** Background color of Long/Short-S indicator: RSI oversold and overbought sections
** Background color of CCI-C indicator: When the short-term CCI line is below -100 and above +100, oversold and overbought sections are displayed.
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)
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BTCUSDTHello Crypto Lovers,
Mars Signals team wishes you high profits.
This is a 4-hour-time frame analysis for BTCUSDT
As we analyzed on August 13, we expected a falling trend and now the price is on the fall. In the current chart, we have R3, R2, and R1 as our resistance areas which represent the unsuccessful attempts of the price to rise. S2 used to be a resistance area and S1 is the our support line that shows the support of the price at several points since the past. Here we have the price fluctuating over S1 and we expect two scenarios for it. Either it will rise to R1 and then by being rejected to S1, it will face another rise. Or it is possible for the price to lose the support here and start a fall below S1 and even have more decline to S2. Please consider the signs and confirmation candles in your trades.
Warning: This is just a suggestion and we do not guarantee profits. We advise you to analyze the chart before opening any positions.
Wish you luck
#BTC/USDT 1HOUR UPDATE !!Hello dear traders, we here new so we ask you to support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys.
BTC 1Hr UPDATE:-
As we can see in the BTC 1Hr update, the 200MA is bouncing is going to break $25k then we can see a new bull run and current scenario btc may rebound from here then a few more usdt pairs of coin will be pumped.
And BTC 200ma down side break and candle close and chart is invalid
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is at my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you.
ADAUSDT |Overview| Flat top triangleHello trader Today I prepared a new idea for you. Like and subscribe to the channel there is a lot of useful information✅
Friends on the chart, the "flat-top triangle" formation I think there is an option that the rocket will shoot up to the $0.61 zone
It is also likely that there will be a breakdown of the lower border, so I removed the stop a little further
BTCUSDT Important breakout of the countertrendHello everyone
I have prepared a new signal for you, I write every day 10 profitable trades for the Russian and English audience, I think it will not be difficult to like and comment on the idea, your feedback is very important to me Go to the channel there is a lot of useful information.
update
The price is approaching the breakdown of the countertrend at 12H, moved the take profit to the $24.420 zone to the local resistance.
I wrote about this in a previous post about the $22.530 take profit zone
BTCUSDTHello Crypto Lovers,
Mars Signals team wishes you high profits.
This is a 4-hour-time frame analysis for BTCUSDT
Based on our last analysis on June 19, we expected a rising trend for the price and at the moment you see that the price had a rising trend. Now we have R1 as the long-term resistance line which shows that the price could not break it above. And S1 is a long-term support line and it expresses the support of the price at several points. Now the price has a fluctuation below R1 and in a descending channel and we expect the price to have a little rise to R1 and then fall toward S1. If the price moves above R1 and fixes there, then we will consider a short position for it. In fact at the moment, we predict a decline for the price due to its unstable trend.
Warning: This is just a suggestion and we do not guarantee profits. We advise you to analyze the chart before opening any positions.
Wish you luck
#ETH/USDT WEEKLY UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSHello, dear traders welcome you to this ETH/USDT WEEKLY chart analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello dear traders, If you find our charts helpful then support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys.
CHART ANALYSIS :
As we can see in the above, mentioned chart that weekly candles closed at the price level of $2145.
After the weekly candle close ETH again Lossed some % and moved downside, currently ETH is trading at the price level of $2020.
Here it is evident that whenever ETH touches the lower green line support it bounces and left a wick every time.
So, lower green support can be considered a strong support zone for ETH.
Here, ETH needs to candle close above the lower green support to stay in a bullish trend.
This is not a piece of financial advice.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
thank you.
BTC exclusive long term update: must read!!Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
Do consider following me for the latest updates and Long /Short calls on almost every exchange.
I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
Let’s get to the chart!
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart, Do not consider it as FINANCIAL ADVICE.
#BTC LONG-TERM UPDATE:
If you look closely at the first cycle and compare it to subsequent cycles, you will find that the beginning of 2021 was great for Bitcoin because it grew by almost 500% in 3 swings.
If you look at the second cycle, the price has risen at first, but later you realize that this is a trading range. In the trading range, there is a difference between the buyer and the seller.
After the failure of the trading range, the price enters a downward trend for a while and falls about 51%. You may think that this is too much and it is no longer possible for the price to return. In fact, this is not the case. It is necessary for the price and health of the market, although this decline did not happen easily,
This was one of the reasons why fear entered the market and the price entered a downward trend
In the third cycle, the price enters an upward trend. Banks and institutions intensively buy. Finally, the price grows by about 130% during the two ascending swings and forms a new ATH. Finally, buyers tend to buy in the range of 60,000 to 68,000. The dollar is completely lost, and organizations and institutions try to save profits and exit their transactions with a profit. Eventually, the price falls and continues to fall for a period of up to $ 33,000.
Buyers see the price range as an opportunity to invest and buy for a short time. The war between Russia and Ukraine has been going on for nearly two months, plunging the entire financial market into fear. Secured assets, such as gold or oil, are why we are seeing them grow these days
In general, I do not see good conditions for risky financial markets. On the other hand, the price is currently moving within a trading range, which is also a sign of the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a new cycle.
If the price wants to move as it did in the past, we should see an increase in the price of bitcoin in the coming days
This chart is likely to help you in making better trade decisions if it did consider upvoting this chart.
Would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you