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BTC/USD Trap to bullish Trend Still This chart shows *Bitcoin (BTC/USD)* on a daily time frame with a *bullish* outlook. - *Current price*: 97,924 - *Target 1*: 101,980 - *Support level*: Around *81,053* The price has recently made a correction from the highs, and there's a potential for a *bounce back* towards *101,980*. The support zone around *81,053* suggests a possible area for a reversal if the price drops. Traders should be cautious of any potential downside movement towards this level, but the overall trend appears to be *bullish* towards the target. *Key points*: - *Resistance* around 101,980 - *Strong support* near 81,053 - *Bullish scenario* in the short term This setup suggests a potential price rise back towards *101,980*, with key support at *81,053* in case of a downturn. Always consider proper risk management and stay updated with market movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MR_ALBERT4
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
6
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart. Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!! Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!! Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheTradersRoom
1
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too. The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now. The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out. BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin. For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
by Dexter_The_Trader
Bitcoin analysis: where is the important support?hello friends Considering the growth we had, it is natural for the price to take a break. Now that a formed range has seen the bottom of its range and returned according to the specified support area, it is very, very important that this area is not broken, and if it is, it will give us attractive buying points on altcoins, so there is no need to worry. .. And by maintaining the support, we will witness the beginning of the next upward movement. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company
Bitcoin Plunges to $91K Amid Market TurmoilThe cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs. Technical Analysis Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest: - Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines. - Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery. - Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure. - Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin. Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior. Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets. Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline: 1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum. 3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines. 4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action. What’s Next for Bitcoin? While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including: - $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance. - Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory. - Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market. Conclusion Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by wolfchemist
3
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000. This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again. I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time. As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
6
BTCUSD #BTCUSD Bitcoin is currently following the overall market trend, showing signs of weakness. It's crucial to wait for confirmation before making any significant moves. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: Monitor key levels for potential rebounds. Resistance Levels: A breakout above resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum. 📉 If the market remains bearish, be cautious with leverage. 📈 If BTC shows strength, it could signal a trend reversal. 🚨 Reminder: Stay patient, manage risk, and don’t rush into trades. The next move could be crucial! 🚀🔥
Long
by FinanceInvesta
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years. But let me ask you an important question: What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026? As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers. Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated? Of course not. 2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders. We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins. This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market. But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run. Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target. This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective. It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months. Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle. Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ceciliones
39