Btcupdate
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
BTC_daily-view (where are we with fib view)This view is nothing to show specifically
just as FYI, where re we in terms of fib levels on the daily, and a few things i have spotted
to me this is an indication of "nothingness", so we need a driver
a driver like $ interest rate new approach, so we know, where is the money flowing, to the $ or Gold, thus then giving BTC the way (hopefully)
it is also near or pass the BTC bull "period", will the 351 day traditional bull period mark the end of BTC's upswing , or are the new players holding us firmly anchored.
LETS see
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside.
The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
#BTC/USDT Ready to launch upwards#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 98500
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 102500
First target 104300
Second targe 107500
Third target 110080
BTC Retests Trendline Support – Breakout to $125K Incoming?BTC has once again successfully retested the rising trendline, which continues to act as strong support. Currently, the price is consolidating near the resistance zone.
If BTC breaks above this marked area, we could witness a significant rally, potentially driving the price toward $125K.
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Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash?
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3
Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena
Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5
Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7
The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty
The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10
The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11
Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation
While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other.
In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as:
• Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop.
• Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline.
• Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
The Role of Media and Speculation
It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it.
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence.
Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer
The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline.
It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements.
As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
Skyrexio | Scared Already? The Worst Is Coming!Hello, Skyrexians!
First of all we want you to make calm: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is still in huge bull run and $140k target is still actual. The main question, how it plans to reach this level. Now we have two scenarios and one of them you will now like.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. The bad signal are two red dots at the top on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . It could be waves 3 and 5. In this case impulse of higher degree is finished and market is entering the major correction. If our assumption about bull run continuation is right, BTC usually tends to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level. Now this level is at $80k. This is the worst scenario. After that $140k is reachable target.
We also have not so painful scenario. Price now is at the local Fibonacci level. If $96k is going to be hold we can see the extended wave 5, which will reach $140 in the nearest future.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BULISH BTCUSDT (THE CURVE LINES SPEAKING!)As in my previous analyses, I utilized curve lines; however, this time I am uncertain about the upper targets. This represents merely another perspective, and I will continue to monitor the market closely. I will update this analysis as necessary.
Here are the links to my other ideas:
ETC On Vital Trendline Retracement !Ethereum Classic (ETC/USDT) is showing promising signs of bullish momentum following its breakout from a descending triangle formation. The price is currently consolidating above the trendline, indicating that the breakout level is holding as a strong support. This consolidation phase often precedes the next leg of a price movement, as the market builds strength for a potential continuation.
At the current price of $27, Ethereum Classic appears to be in a retesting phase. This is a critical moment where the price tests the breakout level to confirm it as support. Successfully holding this level would reinforce the validity of the breakout and provide confidence for further upward movement.
A significant factor to watch here is volume. A notable spike in trading volume would signal strong buying pressure, which could drive the price higher. If this occurs, the next resistance to overcome lies around $31, and surpassing that could lead ETC toward the $35 to $40 range, based on historical price action and the measured move from the triangle breakout.
If the price fails to maintain support above the $25.50-$27 range, it could lead to a deeper pullback, invalidating the bullish scenario. This makes the current consolidation phase a crucial moment for traders to watch.
Ethereum Classic is positioned for a potential upward move, provided it holds above the trendline and volume supports the breakout. Patience and vigilance are key as the market awaits a decisive push.
Bitcoin at a Crossroads Will $104K Support Hold the Line ?Bitcoin/USDT market, where price action is confined within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern reflects a period of consolidation and market indecision, as buyers and sellers are evenly matched, leading to a narrowing price range. The eventual breakout from such a formation is often significant, as it indicates the market's chosen direction.
A notable observation on the chart is the fakeout above the upper trendline. The price briefly moved past this resistance but failed to hold, retreating back into the triangle. This suggests weak bullish momentum or strong resistance, possibly trapping early buyers and increasing volatility as these positions are unwound.
Bitcoin's movement has also impacted altcoins. The retreat within the triangle appears to have triggered another round of declines in altcoin prices. Given Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market, its stability and direction often dictate broader market trends. A decisive move by Bitcoin is critical for a potential recovery in altcoins.
The $104,000 level serves as a crucial support area in the current scenario. A breakdown below this support could lead to intensified selling pressure, with the next potential targets around $102,000 and $100,000. On the other hand, if this level holds, it could act as a foundation for another attempt to break above the triangle's resistance. This would restore market confidence and likely initiate a rally.
There are two potential outcomes. A bullish breakout above the triangle, supported by strong volume, could spark upward momentum and drive altcoin prices higher. The measured move target for such a breakout would typically equal the height of the triangle projected upward. Alternatively, if Bitcoin fails to hold $104,000, the bearish scenario would see a breakdown below the lower trendline, resulting in a deeper correction.
Volume analysis is essential in this context. A genuine breakout is often accompanied by significant trading volume, while low-volume moves are more likely to reverse or fail. Traders should remain cautious, especially as the price approaches the apex of the triangle, where volatility tends to spike.
Bitcoin's price action is also influenced by external factors such as market sentiment, news events, and broader macroeconomic conditions. Considering these elements alongside the chart structure is essential for a comprehensive analysis. Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the triangle before taking directional positions, with stop-losses in place to manage risk effectively.
Skyrexio | Bitcoin BTC Has Cancelled The Bear Market!Hello, Skyrexians!
Last month BINANCE:BTCUSDT has clearly broken $100k. Most of people think that it's too late now to buy Bitcoin because price is too high, but our analysis tells us that it was only one half of the potential bull run.
Let's take a look at the monthly time frame. We can see the new Elliott Wave structure. Earlier we had a chance that this bull run could be the wave 5, but recently the Awesome Oscillator broke the previous high. The potential bearish divergence has been broken as well. Moreover, Fractal Trend Detector shows that this bull run is strong and no single sign of weakness now.
This is large wave 3 which has the target at least at $125k, but most likely it will hit $190k in 2025.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC: Claimed a New All-Time High!BTC touched a new all-time high of $109,568 on the same day Trump entered the White House to take office.
Previously, I mentioned a potential rejection toward FWB:73K , but BTC was rejected at $89.3k and eventually rebounded to claim a new all-time high. Following this 23% rally, BTC still needs to break above the resistance trendline for further bullish movement. Unless BTC breaks through the resistance, the chances of rejection remain valid.
Bullish Move: A breakout above the resistance trendline, creating a new all-time high.
Bearish Move: A rejection from the resistance trendline.
Trade safely.
BITCOINUSD TECHANICALL ANALYSIS FOR H1 (READ CAOTION)hello trader's. what do you think about bitcoinusd
current price: 105000
Today BitcoinUSD Just Touch The Last High Area 105700 We See Some Retestmint in BitcoinUSD it can be good Retest in BitcoinUSD Now we Have H1 Channel Pattern So bitcoinusd going to toching Resistance zone 106500 then bitcoinusd Fall Down side to Support 101500 then expected 97500
support 95500.94500
resistance zone. 10580o . 107000
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How Bitcoin’s Recent Golden Cross Could Impact Your Crypto Bitcoin has been performing strongly on the charts since hitting a low of GETTEX:89K a week ago. The cryptocurrency’s value has risen to over $105,000 at the time of writing, marking an increase of over 11% in just a week. The recent gains have sparked optimism within the crypto community, with some speculating about a potential short-term rally.
According to Burak Kesmeci from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s 1-7 day UTXO average has crossed above the 7-30 day UTXO average. This crossover signifies that the average cost basis for Bitcoin acquired over the past week is rising, despite recent price hikes. This positive signal indicates that the ongoing price upswing is backed by fresh capital inflows.