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BTC/USDT 1H: Bearish Structure – Targeting Lower Levels?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Currect Market structure: Price: $96,034, breaking below recent range support, signaling a short-term bearish trend. RSI: Showing potential hidden bearish divergence at 40.85. Smart Money Concepts: Indicating a distribution phase with lower highs. Trade Setup: Position: Short Entry Zone: $96,800 - $97,000 (premium zone). Targets: T1: $95,500 T2: $94,200 Stop Loss: Above $97,600 (recent high). Risk Score: 7/10 Reasoning: The risk-to-reward is favorable, but the price could still show some choppy action before confirming further downside. Market Maker Analysis: Accumulation: Seen around the $94,000 - $93,000 zone. Current Phase: Distribution phase suggests more downside is likely after the current consolidation. Price Action: Expect choppy movement between $95,500 and $97,000. Key Levels: Resistance: $97,000, $98,500 Support: $95,500, $94,000 Fair Value Gap: $95,800 - $96,200 Recommendation: Position: Short positions are favorable after a rejection at resistance levels. Confirmation: Wait for rejection at the $97,000 level before entering the short. Action: Structure suggests downside after the current consolidation phase, so prepare for more bearish momentum. Confidence Level: 7.5/10 – D istribution phase visible, but waiting for confirmation at resistance. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Short
by Cryptokijker
The 100K Club: Market Moves Exchange Cold Wallet moveme In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, understanding market movements can be a daunting task. However, a growing number of traders are turning to unconventional indicators to gain an edge. One such approach involves analyzing the movements of the so-called "100K Club" — large exchange cold wallet addresses that hold substantial amounts of Bitcoin. These wallets not only represent significant market players but also act as a barometer for broader market sentiment. Unveiling the 100K Club Indicator Our newly developed indicator focuses on tracking major exchange cold wallet movements. By plotting simple labels whenever large movements of Bitcoin are detected from cold wallet exchange storage, it reveals critical market dynamics that are often invisible to the average trader. The indicator highlights accumulation and distribution phases, market tops and bottoms, and key levels for swing trading on weekly and monthly timeframes. Market Tops and Bottoms: A Clear Pattern Historical data suggests that the movements of the 100K Club wallets align closely with market tops and bottoms. When these wallets begin to offload significant amounts of Bitcoin, it often precedes a market top. Conversely, heavy accumulation by these wallets frequently signals a market bottom. This correlation provides traders with a reliable tool to anticipate major price swings. Accumulation and Distribution Levels The indicator also sheds light on major accumulation and distribution levels. Accumulation phases are characterized by steady inflows into exchange cold wallets, indicating that large players are positioning themselves for a price increase. Distribution phases, marked by substantial outflows, suggest that these players are cashing out, anticipating a market downturn. Swing Trading with Confidence For swing traders, understanding these wallet movements can be transformative. The indicator’s ability to define key levels on weekly and monthly charts allows traders to identify optimal entry and exit points. By aligning their strategies with the actions of major market players, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their risk management. Liquidation Candle Sweeps: A Hidden Signal An interesting phenomenon observed with these large wallet movements is the occurrence of liquidation candle sweeps above or below the major movement key levels. These sweeps often suggest a retail stop hunt before a reversal in market direction. Recognizing these patterns can provide traders with additional confirmation of potential reversals, making the indicator even more powerful for strategic trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Data_Driven_Trading
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: How to prepare for the Next Big Move👀 👉 Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating within a defined range over the past few days, exhibiting sideways price action. The key question now is: where does it go from here? In this video, I delve into critical elements of technical analysis, including market structure and price action, to outline potential scenarios. I’ll map out a strategic approach for both a breakout above the range high and a breakdown below the range low. Please note, this is not financial advice.
by fxtraderanthony
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector. Key Points on the Chart Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline. However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation. A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum. Ascending Channel Structure The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation. The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market. Key Support & Resistance Levels 56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone. 61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support. If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend. Impact on Altcoins Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region. Conditions for Altcoin Recovery For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone. A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins. Altcoin Seasonal Trends Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness. Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk. Trading Considerations & Strategy For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term. For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins. For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins. Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by wolfchemist
BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Breakout Above $99K Next?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates! Current Market Condition: Price at $97,395, consolidating after rejection from $99K. Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) formations indicate choppy price action. RSI at 47.86, showing a neutral stance with no extreme conditions. Smart Money Analysis: Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $96K- GETTEX:97K acting as strong support. Premium zone at $102K remains untested. Multiple liquidity hunts occurring around the GETTEX:98K level, signaling engineered price action. Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $97,200 - $97,400. Targets: T1: $98,800 (+1.5%). T2: $99,400 (+2.1%). Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (-0.8%). Risk Score: 7/10 – Decent risk-to-reward, but potential for manipulation at GETTEX:98K level. Market Maker Intent: Market Makers appear to be accumulating within this range. Hidden bullish divergence forming on RSI, supporting a breakout thesis. Recommendation: Consider long entries within $97,200 - $97,400, keeping stops tight at $96,400. Be patient—this is a high timeframe setup that requires discipline and proper risk management. Watch for strong volume confirmation above GETTEX:98K to reinforce bullish momentum. Confidence Level: 7/10 – Strong accumulation signals, but confirmation is required before aggressive positioning. 🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
Long
by Cryptokijker
Starting a Bitcoin Analysis Series – February EditionI’m kicking off a Bitcoin analysis series for February , where I’ll be sharing quick and to-the-point updates on the Bitcoin chart throughout the month. Alongside that, I’ll also post my trade ideas as they develop. The goal is to stay on top of the price action and navigate the market with clear, structured setups. I might not be able to catch every single move, but I’ll do my best to cover the most relevant ones. Hopefully, this will lead to some solid trades and strong results. At the end of the day, it’s not that complicated—you just have to trade what you see . Looking forward to an exciting month in the crypto market!
by stromm
BTC/USD Trap to bullish Trend Still This chart shows *Bitcoin (BTC/USD)* on a daily time frame with a *bullish* outlook. - *Current price*: 97,924 - *Target 1*: 101,980 - *Support level*: Around *81,053* The price has recently made a correction from the highs, and there's a potential for a *bounce back* towards *101,980*. The support zone around *81,053* suggests a possible area for a reversal if the price drops. Traders should be cautious of any potential downside movement towards this level, but the overall trend appears to be *bullish* towards the target. *Key points*: - *Resistance* around 101,980 - *Strong support* near 81,053 - *Bullish scenario* in the short term This setup suggests a potential price rise back towards *101,980*, with key support at *81,053* in case of a downturn. Always consider proper risk management and stay updated with market movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MR_ALBERT4
Bitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and EmergingBitcoin's Price Outlook: Support Levels, ETF Surge, and Emerging Threats Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, finds itself at a critical juncture. While recent data reveals a surge in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and identifies a key support level, looming challenges related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum suggest a potential struggle in the near future. The next 30 days could prove to be a game-changer, determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains or faces a significant downturn. Key Support Level Identified Technical analysis suggests a crucial support level for Bitcoin at $96,000. This figure coincides with the realized price for short-term Bitcoin holders, a metric that often acts as a reliable support or resistance level. Should Bitcoin fall below this threshold, it could trigger further sell-offs and potentially lead to a deeper correction. Conversely, if the price can hold above this level, it may signal renewed strength and pave the way for a potential rebound. U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Surge Despite the uncertainty surrounding Bitcoin's price action, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed a remarkable surge in inflows. Year-over-year, these inflows have increased by a staggering 175%, with total net inflows exceeding $40.6 billion. This substantial investment from institutional and retail investors underscores the growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class and suggests a strong underlying demand. The continued accumulation of Bitcoin by these investment vehicles could provide a buffer against potential price drops and contribute to long-term price appreciation. The Next 30 Days: A Potential Turning Point The next 30 days are crucial for Bitcoin. Several factors could influence its price trajectory, making this period a potential turning point for the market. These factors include: • Liquidity Conditions: Bitcoin's price is heavily influenced by the availability of fiat currency. Concerns are rising as critical sources of fiat liquidity begin to tighten. This tightening could make it more difficult for investors to purchase Bitcoin, potentially putting downward pressure on the price. • Government Policy: The U.S. presidential administration's approach to Bitcoin remains a significant factor. The slow progress in creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve raises questions about the government's long-term vision for the cryptocurrency. Clarity on regulatory frameworks and government adoption could significantly impact investor confidence and market sentiment. • Technical Momentum: Bitcoin's upward momentum appears to be weakening. Technical charts suggest a potential loss of steam, with indicators pointing towards a possible correction. Traders will be closely monitoring these technical signals to gauge the direction of the market. Risks to Watch Out For Bitcoin faces several risks that could hinder its progress and potentially lead to a significant price correction. These include: • Loss of the $96,000-$110,000 Range: Failure to hold above the $90,600 support level could lead to a retest of the broader $96,000-$110,000 range. A sustained break below this range could signal a more significant downturn. • Tightening Liquidity: As mentioned earlier, the tightening of fiat liquidity poses a major threat to Bitcoin's price. Reduced access to fiat currency could limit buying power and lead to increased volatility. • Uncertainty in Government Policy: The lack of clarity regarding government regulation and adoption of Bitcoin creates uncertainty in the market. Negative regulatory developments or a lack of clear guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm. Balancing Act Bitcoin's current situation is a delicate balancing act. While the surge in ETF inflows and the identification of a key support level offer some positive signs, the looming risks related to liquidity, government policy, and weakening momentum cannot be ignored. The next 30 days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can navigate these challenges and continue its upward trajectory. Conclusion Bitcoin's price outlook remains uncertain. While the substantial inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the presence of a key support level offer some encouragement, the cryptocurrency faces significant headwinds. Tightening liquidity, the slow progress in establishing a national Bitcoin reserve, and weakening technical momentum are all cause for concern. The next month will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin can maintain its footing or if it is poised for a correction. Investors should proceed cautiously, closely monitoring market developments and preparing for potential volatility. The long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate, but the short-term future hinges on how it navigates these immediate challenges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
2
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round” you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market! at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day 2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies. If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles: 3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn. This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far. The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze. Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one. Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves) In this idea, we gonna talk about : - Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025 - Expected pullbacks during the year - Sell strategy for this cycle The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors. Short Term Expectations & Probabilities Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes” there is a chance for market pullback in early January This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th. Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21 look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market. In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle. The Role of Seasonality in Markets Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making. Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency. January Pullbacks In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead? Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due. In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks. March Pullbacks Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March: - March 8, 2017 - March 14, 2021 Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations. Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality. While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons. May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away” Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well. Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch! This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results. Why Does This Happen? The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring. After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations. In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down. Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October. Even in Bullish Markets! This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th. Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period. The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities. H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle. The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn: - 2013: Top in November - 2017: Top in December - 2021: Top in November If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction. Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025 The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging. If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore. 2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by moonypto
6
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart. Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!! Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!! Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TheTradersRoom
1
Things turned pretty disturbing!In the last 24 hours, both bulls and bears got wrecked — the market spared no one. To be honest, none of us expected this to happen, but it did. I’m no exception, as my portfolios are in the red too. The difference lies in how you made your moves. If you remember my post from December 14th, 2024, I mentioned that I had mostly moved my funds to USDT and was gradually selling my BTC. I received a lot of hate comments for this, but I’m glad I trusted my instincts and stuck to it. Of course, my positions are in the red, but with most of my funds in USDT, I feel confident now. The situation may not be the same for everyone, but hear me out. BTC is forming a temporary support trendline around $96k. If this support holds, a rebound is likely. However, a close below this level on a 2-day time frame wouldn't be good. We can see fear consuming the market, but once it fully plays out, the rally will begin. For now, patience is key. Opportunities will come, so wait for them.
by Dexter_The_Trader
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing. BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop. Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc. On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day... We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO. In these time lev trades are not recommended. THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Short
by SvarogPerun
Bitcoin analysis: where is the important support?hello friends Considering the growth we had, it is natural for the price to take a break. Now that a formed range has seen the bottom of its range and returned according to the specified support area, it is very, very important that this area is not broken, and if it is, it will give us attractive buying points on altcoins, so there is no need to worry. .. And by maintaining the support, we will witness the beginning of the next upward movement. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company