BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe:
📆 Date:
🔎 Market Overview:
💼 Massive Institutional Inflows:
▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far.
▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization.
⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support:
▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry.
▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption.
📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators
📦 Exchange Reserves:
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure.
🧠 Fear & Greed Index:
The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors.
🌀 Whale Activity:
Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend.
📈 Technical Setup
🔵Trend: Ranging upward
🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000
🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000
🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70
🧭 Next Week – Key Points
🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction.
🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen.
🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors.
🔚 Summary: Final Analysis
📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth.
● Key Level Ahead: $125,000
● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond.
● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward.
✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
Btcupdate
Bitcoin May Continue Rising After Breakout📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin recently broke above $118,000, reaching a weekly high of $118,740, fueled by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September and strong ETF inflows into the market
• Katie Stockton from Fairlead Strategies highlights a bullish cup-and-handle pattern, supporting a potential 14% upside toward $134,500
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $120,000 – $128,500 (based on Fibonacci projection).
• Nearest Support: ~$108,300 – previous resistance turned support, along with ~$107,000 near the 50-day EMA.
• EMA 09: Price is trading above the 9-day EMA, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
• Patterns & Volume:
o A cup-and-handle breakout suggests continued upside potential.
o Rising volume on breakouts reflects strong buying interest.
o MACD is bullish, and RSI is not yet overbought — allowing further room to rise.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue to rise in the short term if it holds above the 9-day EMA and avoids a sharp drop below the $108k–110k support zone. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction toward $100k.
Prepare for the 2025 Crypto Summer as Bitcoin Shatters RecordBitcoin Experiences Impact of a $12B Short Squeeze: Here is How to Prepare for Imminent Crypto Summer
July 12, 2025 - The digital asset landscape has been irrevocably altered. In a move that will be etched into financial history, Bitcoin has shattered its previous all-time highs, surging with a ferocity that has left bears in utter ruin and bulls in a state of euphoric disbelief. After decisively breaking the formidable $109,000 barrier, the world’s premier cryptocurrency rocketed past $118,000, liquidating an estimated $12 billion in leveraged short positions in a cascade of forced buy-ins that added jet fuel to an already roaring fire.
This is not just another bull run. This is the manifestation of a market that has fundamentally matured. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025, long whispered about in investor circles, has arrived, and it is being majorly fueled by an unprecedented influx of institutional capital and a newly established clear regulatory outlook. While the price charts paint a picture of blistering gains, the underlying story is one of a structural shift in the global financial order.
For those who have watched from the sidelines, the question is no longer if they should pay attention, but how they can possibly prepare for the seismic shifts to come. This article will dissect the anatomy of this historic market event, explore the powerful forces driving this new paradigm, and offer a guide to navigating the thrilling, albeit treacherous, terrain of the 2025 Crypto Summer.
Part 1: The Anatomy of a $12 Billion Cataclysm
To comprehend the sheer violence of Bitcoin's recent ascent, one must first understand the market dynamics that preceded it. A short squeeze is a market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset experiences a rapid price increase. This forces traders who bet on a price drop (short sellers) to buy back the asset to cover their positions and cut their losses. This sudden surge in buying demand creates a feedback loop, pushing the price even higher and liquidating more short positions along the way.
In the weeks leading up to the breakout, a palpable sense of bearishness had settled among many derivative traders. They saw the price range between $100,000 and $110,000 as a formidable distribution zone—a ceiling where bulls would run out of steam. Emboldened by this conviction, they began to build massive short positions. It's estimated that prior to Bitcoin’s bullish breakout above $109k, short traders had accumulated around $12B in leveraged positions, with many of these bets entered around the $118k level, anticipating a strong rejection from that point.
The trap was set. But it was the bears, not the bulls, who were about to be caught.
The initial catalyst was the clean break above the $109,000 resistance. This was followed by a swift move above a key bearish trend line that had formed on shorter timeframes, with resistance at $111,000. As the price then confidently reclaimed the $112,500 zone and began trading above the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, the first wave of liquidations began.
What followed was a textbook short squeeze of epic proportions. As automated margin calls were triggered, computer algorithms began to market-buy Bitcoin at any price to close the losing short positions. This forced buying pressure propelled BTC through $113,000, then $114,000, and $115,000 in what felt like mere moments. The higher the price went, the more short sellers were forced to capitulate. The $12 billion in leveraged positions, once a wall of sell-side pressure, became a colossal wave of buy-side demand. The price action culminated in a spectacular surge past $116,000 and eventually screaming past $118,800, leaving market commentators and traders alike breathless. This event was a brutal lesson in the inherent risks of shorting a structurally bullish asset in a high-leverage environment.
Part 2: A New Paradigm: Institutional Capital and Regulatory Clarity
While the short squeeze provided the explosive catalyst, the true engine of this bull market is fundamentally different from those of the past. The frenzied, retail-driven manias of 2017 and 2021 have been replaced by a more deliberate, capital-heavy, and institutionally-led advance. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025 is built on the bedrock of legitimacy that only Wall Street and a clear regulatory stance could provide.
The ETF Revolution Matures
The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 was a watershed moment, but 2025 is the year their impact has become undeniably dominant. These regulated financial products have provided a secure and familiar bridge for institutional investors, hedge funds, and even sovereign wealth funds to gain exposure to Bitcoin. The results have been staggering. In a clear sign of a changing of the guard in the world of alternative assets, spot Bitcoin ETFs have captured an astonishing 70% of gold’s inflows in 2025.
This statistic is more than just a headline; it represents the tangible manifestation of the "digital gold" narrative. For years, proponents have argued that Bitcoin's provable scarcity and decentralized nature make it a superior store of value to the yellow metal. Now, the flow of funds from the world's largest asset managers is proving this thesis correct. BlackRock’s IBIT, in particular, has shattered ETF records, becoming one of the fastest-growing funds in history and signaling to the entire financial establishment that Bitcoin is no longer a fringe asset but a core portfolio component.
The Certainty of Regulation
For years, the spectre of regulatory uncertainty has cast a long shadow over the crypto markets, deterring conservative institutional players. A key driver of the 2025 bull market has been the emergence of a clear regulatory outlook in major jurisdictions like the United States and Europe. With comprehensive market structure bills passed, clear guidelines on custody, and a defined tax framework, the biggest obstacle for institutional adoption has been removed.
This regulatory clarity has done more than just open the floodgates for capital; it has legitimized the entire asset class. Institutions operate on long-term horizons and require predictable rules of engagement. With these in place, they are no longer making a speculative bet but a strategic allocation to a new, globally recognized asset class. This influx of what is often called "stickier" capital—long-term investment rather than short-term speculation—is helping to build a more stable market foundation and reduce some of the notorious volatility associated with Bitcoin.
Part 3: Reading the Charts and Chains
The story of this bull run is written not only in the headlines but also in the data. A confluence of technical chart patterns, on-chain analytics, and market sentiment indicators paints a uniquely bullish picture, suggesting that this rally may have much further to run.
Technical Analysis: Echoes of the Past, Pointers to the Future
For seasoned market observers, the BTC price action in 2025 has mirrored the 2017 macro bullish breakout. The fractal nature of Bitcoin's four-year cycles, often centered around its programmatic "halving" events, appears to be playing out once again. The structure of the consolidation below $100,000 and the subsequent explosive breakout bears a striking resemblance to the patterns that preceded the parabolic run to $20,000 in 2017.
On a more granular level, the price has decisively conquered several key technical levels. The break above the bearish trend line at $111,000 was a critical signal that the downtrend pressure had been absorbed. Now, with the price trading firmly above $113,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, these former resistance zones are expected to act as strong support levels for any potential pullbacks. The next major hurdle appears to be the $116,800 resistance zone, a level that, if cleared, could open the door to a much larger upward expansion.
Perhaps the most tantalizing model for predicting the cycle top is the Bitcoin "power law" model. This model suggests that Bitcoin's price growth over time follows a predictable exponential path when plotted on a logarithmic scale. Developed by analyst Giovanni Santostasi, the model views Bitcoin's long-term growth not as a random walk but as a structured, measurable trajectory akin to natural growth phenomena. According to analysts applying this model, Bitcoin is currently trading ahead of its long-term power law curve. Historically, this has been a sign that the market is entering the final, euphoric phase of its bull cycle. Based on this model, some analysts believe a Bitcoin Christmas rally to $200K or even $300K is possible, with the parabolic rally potentially lasting until the end of the year.
On-Chain Analysis: A Supply Shock in the Making
On-chain analysis, which involves examining data directly from the blockchain, provides a transparent view of investor behavior. One of the most encouraging signs for this rally is that Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Remain Low Amid Latest Milestone. When investors move their BTC off exchanges, it is typically to place them in secure, self-custody wallets for long-term holding. This reduces the immediately available supply that can be sold on the market, creating a "supply shock" dynamic where even a small increase in demand can have an outsized impact on price. The current trend indicates that new institutional buyers and long-term believers are accumulating coins and have no intention of selling at current prices.
Further bolstering the bullish case is the metric of profitability. The market has reached a point where Bitcoin has broken records with 100% profitable days and unmatched returns. This means that for a vast majority of its history, buying and holding Bitcoin has been a profitable endeavor, reinforcing its narrative as one of an incredibly successful long-term asset.
However, a note of caution comes from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, which warns that despite the breakout to over $118,000, liquidity is still thin. This means the order books on exchanges are not particularly deep. While this can amplify moves to the upside, it also means that a large sell order could cause a sharp and swift correction. This thin liquidity explains the continued volatility and serves as a reminder that the market, while more mature, is still susceptible to violent price swings.
Sentiment Analysis: A Rally Without the Mania
Perhaps the most compelling argument for further upside potential is what is absent from this rally: hype. In previous cycle tops, the market was characterized by a palpable mania. Bitcoin dominated mainstream news, celebrity endorsements were rampant, and stories of overnight crypto millionaires were inescapable.
This time is different. In a sign that suggests significant further upside potential, the current Bitcoin All-Time High Lacks Hype. Google Trends for "Bitcoin" are not at their peak, social media is not yet in a state of collective FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), and the general public is not yet clamoring to get in. This suggests that the rally so far has been driven by the "smart money" of institutions. The retail-driven "mania phase," which typically marks the final blow-off top of a bull cycle, has not yet begun. This quiet confidence, devoid of irrational exuberance, is seen by many analysts as one of the healthiest indicators for the market's future.
Part 4: The Macroeconomic Tailwinds
A key factor is the falling dollar and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, has been in a significant downtrend throughout 2025, hitting its lowest levels in over two decades relative to its moving averages. There is a historically strong inverse correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin; a weaker dollar makes assets priced in dollars, like BTC, more attractive to foreign investors and also pushes domestic investors to seek hedges against currency debasement.
Furthermore, the anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to stimulate a slowing economy makes holding cash and low-yielding government bonds less attractive. This monetary policy shift encourages a "risk-on" environment, where capital flows out of safe-haven assets and into those with higher growth potential. As the ultimate digital risk-on asset, Bitcoin stands as a major beneficiary of this capital rotation.
The magnitude of this rally has also had fascinating side effects, such as the fact that the Bitcoin Surge Pushes Satoshi Nakamoto Into Global Top 15 Rich List. Based on the estimated 1.1 million BTC held by Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, the recent price surge would place their net worth among the wealthiest individuals on the planet—a testament to the incredible value creation of this new technology.
Part 5: How to Prepare for the Imminent Crypto Summer
With a potential parabolic rally to $200,000 or $300,000 on the horizon, the central question for every investor is how to position themselves. The answer depends heavily on one's experience and risk tolerance. (This section is for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice).
For the Newcomer:
1. Education Before Allocation: Before investing a single dollar, take the time to understand what Bitcoin is. Learn about its core principles of decentralization, scarcity, and self-custody. Do not simply buy based on FOMO.
2. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Entering a market that is already in a parabolic uptrend can be risky. DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy reduces the risk of buying the top and smooths out your average entry price over time.
3. ETFs vs. Self-Custody: For the first time, investors have a simple choice. Buying a spot Bitcoin ETF through a traditional brokerage account is easy and secure. However, the core ethos of Bitcoin is self-sovereignty ("not your keys, not your coins"). Learning to use a hardware wallet to take self-custody of your coins is the ultimate way to embrace the technology, but it comes with greater personal responsibility.
For the Experienced Investor:
1. Prudent Risk Management: The warning of thin liquidity should be heeded. Volatility will remain high. Use stop-losses to protect capital, avoid excessive leverage, and do not get caught up in the euphoria. Have a clear plan for both entry and exit points.
2. Develop a Profit-Taking Strategy: No asset goes up forever. It is crucial to have a plan for taking profits. This could involve selling a certain percentage of your holdings at pre-determined price targets (e.g., $150k, $200k, $250k) or using technical indicators to signal a potential market top.
3. Look Beyond Bitcoin: Historically, a major Bitcoin rally paves the way for a subsequent "alt-season." As Bitcoin's dominance peaks, capital often rotates into Ethereum and other alternative cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals, leading to explosive gains in those assets. Researching promising projects now could position you for the next phase of the crypto summer.
Finally, it is essential to address the question: Breakout Or Brutal Bull Trap? While all signs point to a sustained, institutionally-backed bull market, the risk of sharp corrections remains. Parabolic advances are often followed by equally dramatic pullbacks. The thin liquidity could exacerbate such a move. Staying grounded, managing risk, and sticking to a well-defined plan are the keys to surviving and thriving.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin story of 2025 is a symphony of powerful forces playing in perfect harmony. The violent crescendo of a $12 billion short squeeze announced its arrival, but the enduring melody is one of profound structural change. The unwavering commitment of institutional capital, flowing through newly approved and highly successful ETFs, has provided a stable and deep foundation for the market. This, combined with a clear regulatory framework and supportive macroeconomic tailwinds from a weakening dollar, has created the conditions for a historic "Crypto Summer."
Unlike the retail-driven manias of the past, this rally is characterized by a quiet confidence, a lack of widespread hype, and on-chain data that points to a severe supply shock. Models like the power law suggest that the journey is far from over, with potential targets that would have seemed fantastical just a year ago.
The road ahead will undoubtedly be volatile. But for those who understand the underlying dynamics at play—the institutional shift, the market structure, the on-chain truths—the path to navigating this new era is clear. The summer has just begun.
BTC Touching Heights !BTC Extremely bullish. BTC analysis shows that it touch supply zone of 107500 and later went to cross the day before previous day high which was residing on 109,684 and then swept previous week high which was 110,600 with strong buying. It hinted crossing the all time high. After crossing all time high of 111,900 gave a change of around 6000 dollars , At this position the BTC outlook shows it may show reversal of around 4K dollars change. The possibilities for the BTC are shown here. Take risk accordingly.
Disclaimer : It isn't a financial advice check my analysis and decide on your own.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.
Bitcoin : Missed $100K? Don’t Miss What’s Coming Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves.
Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside.
This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
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BTC/USD 4H CHART ANALYSIS \ BEARISH CORRECTION EXPECTED.Current Price: $117,755
Trend: Recently bullish, now facing a potential correction
Chart Pattern: Breakout above ascending channel, followed by a sharp projected correction.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
> Ascending Channel:
Price was respecting an ascending channel (highlighted in green).
A bullish breakout occurred with strong momentum.
> Sharp Rejection & Correction Setup:
After the breakout, a steep rally seems to have peaked.
The red curved arrow suggests a completed bullish impulse, now setting up for a bearish correction.
> Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $118,000 – $120,000
Immediate Support: $111,150
Next Major Support: $107,700
Bearish Target Support: $105,945
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion:
Short Entry Zone: Around $111,150 if price gets rejected there.
Target: $105,945
Stop-Loss: Above $112,000 (tight risk control)
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Forex Technical AnalysisDate: 11 July 2025
Momentum: Up
First Scenario : long positions above 115,706.14 with targets at 117,269.52, 117,904.51 and 118,513.05
Second Scenario : short positions below 115,706.14 with targets at 114,544.35, 113,774.89 and 113,053.39
Comment: RSI - Bullish.
Supports and resistances :
118,513.05 **
117,904.51 *
117,269.52
116,747.25 - Last price
114,544.35
113,774.89 *
113,053.39 **
ARE YOU READY FOR 150K+ BTC RALLY !!!BTC has successfully broken out it's bull flag resistance and currently testing above it.
Major resistance resides above is 112K level , if we successfully break and hold above it then easy targets would be 130-150k levels.
Elliott Wave Count final targets 180k level.
If we goes below 106k level then we may see BTC getting into support region of 102-100K region.
For all of this, BTC should remain above 98K level.
Bitcoin Maintaining Mild Uptrend, Poised Toward $110k📊 Market Overview:
• Strong ETF inflows continue, with over $13.5 billion in YTD flows into BTC, now making up nearly 70% of gold ETF inflows.
• Institutional investors like BlackRock (IBIT currently holds ~700k BTC) are still accumulating. The U.S. is also building a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” reinforcing long-term confidence.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $109,000–$110,000, opening the path toward $110,500–$110,600 (Supertrend around $110,174).
• Nearest Support: $108,300 (EMA), followed by $107,800–$108,000; deeper pullback support at $105,000.
• EMA 09: Price is above this EMA → short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick/Volume/Momentum: RSI is neutral around 58; MACD is converging near the zero line, signaling weakening bearish momentum and possible base formation.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue its mild upward movement if it holds above $108,300–$108,000 and breaks clearly above $109k–110k with strong volume. Failure to do so could trigger a pullback toward $107,000–$108,000.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
📉 SELL BTC/USD at: 109,500–110,000
🎯 TP: 108,000
❌ SL: 110,400
📈 BUY BTC/USD at: 108,200–108,500
🎯 TP: 109,500–110,000
❌ SL: 107,800
BTCUSD BULLISH MORE all time high again The price may briefly break above the 113,000–114,000 level (first target) to trap long positions, then sharply reverse.
Support Break Warning:
If BTC fails to hold the 110,000–108,000 support zone, it could accelerate a drop to deeper supports:
Support Area 1: 106,000
Support Area 2: 102,000
Extreme Bearish Target: 96,000–94,000
What to Watch:
Bearish divergence on lower timeframes
Volume drop on new highs = possible fakeout
Candle rejection from 113,000–114,000 zone
BTCUSD At Crucial Pivot Point. Is This The Ceiling? - PhoenixFX BTCUSD Price-Action Analysis & Scenarios
Below is an overview of the two possible paths for Bitcoin over the coming days, as sketched out by the black and red arrows on your chart. We’ll also highlight the key pivot level and resistance zone that will decide which scenario plays out.
🔵 Key Levels to Watch
Established Resistance (~$111,800–$112,500)
This zone marks multiple failed attempts to break higher in recent weeks. It’s where large stop-runs and sell-side limit orders tend to cluster. A decisive daily close above $112K is required to signal genuine bullish continuation.
Daily Pivot Point (~$110,600)
Acting as the “battle line” between bulls and bears, this pivot is the first level to confirm market bias.
Above $110.6K: Tends to favor buyers, suggesting strength and higher-high attempts.
Below $110.6K: Gives the bears the edge, increasing the odds of deeper retracements.
📈 Black-Arrow (“Bullish Continuation”) Scenario
Break & Hold Above Resistance
Price thrusts cleanly above $112K on strong volume.
Retest the H4 Order Block (~$111,000–$111,200)
A shallow pullback into the highlighted H4 demand zone (blue box) offers a lower-risk long entry.
New Highs
From there, Bitcoin resumes its uptrend, closing the week with fresh highs above the prior $113K peak.
Key Trigger: Sustained daily close above $112K, followed by a successful retest of that level.
📉 Red-Arrow (“Bearish Rejection & Dip”) Scenario
Rejection at Resistance
Price stalls and reverses somewhere between $111,800–$112,500, forming a bearish reversal candle.
Drop to Daily FVG Zone (~$104,000–$105,000)
This larger Daily Fair-Value Gap (blue box lower on the chart) coincides with strong weekly support—an ideal zone for dip buyers.
Recovery Rally
After absorbing selling pressure in the FVG, BTC bounces back toward the established resistance, setting up a second test of $112K.
Key Trigger: Clear bearish price action (e.g., engulfing or pin-bar) in the $111.8K–$112.5K zone, followed by a daily close below the pivot at $110.6K.
🎯 How to Trade These Setups
Bullish Entry:
Wait for daily close > $112K
Enter on pullback into $111K–$111.2K (H4 order block)
Stop below $110.6K pivot; target new highs above $113K+
Bearish Entry:
Look for bearish reversal signals in $111.8K–$112.5K
Enter on break & close below $110.6K pivot
Target $104K–$105K (Daily FVG); stop above $112.5K
Note: The pivot at $110.6K is your first “line in the sand” for bias—trade in the direction of the break, and use the major resistance zone to confirm strength or failure. Always manage your risk and adjust to how price actually unfolds!
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮. Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend
After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level.
🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning?
The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play.
🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues:
First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction
Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction
Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction
Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
BTC/USDT — New Local High, Trendline BrokenBitcoin has officially broken out of a descending trendline and just made a new local ATH, flipping key resistance into support.
Structure:
Descending wedge breakout
Clean move above 111.8K zone
Confirmation pending with retest
Strategy:
Wait for the retest of the breakout zone for ideal entry.
Entry: 110.5K – 111.2K (on confirmation)
Stop Loss: 108.5K
Targets:
113.5K (minor)
116.8K
122.3K
Expected Move: ~10%–12% upside
BTC continues to show strength, and the breakout confirms bullish momentum. This is the Ideal time to watch for long entries on pullbacks.
DYOR | Not financial advice
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $110,838.12, reflecting a 1.75% increase (+$1,908.56). The chart highlights a recent significant upward movement, with a notable green candlestick indicating a strong buying trend. Key price levels include a support zone around $109,336.26 and resistance near $112,117.13. The chart also shows buy and sell options at the current price level of $110,838.11.
Bitcoin on Fire: Targeting $110K in Relentless Uptrend!Hi traders! , Analyzing BTC/USD on the 30 minute timeframe, price is currently respecting an upward channel and showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent bounce from dynamic support suggests bullish continuation.
🔹 Entry: 109,545
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 110,612
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 108,438
Price is trading above both the 50 and 200 EMA, confirming bullish momentum. The RSI remains above the midline, indicating buyers are still in control. This long setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio within the context of the broader uptrend.
A confirmed breakout from the short-term resistance, combined with trendline support and channel structure, adds confluence to this idea. Watch for potential resistance near the 110,612 zone.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own decisions and risk management.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $108,895.04, with a 24-hour change of +$619.70 (+0.57%). Key levels include a support zone around $107,278.58 and a resistance near $110,908.05. The chart highlights recent price action, including a potential upward trend indicated by a green shaded area, with buy and sell signals marked at $108,895.04.
BTCUSD h4 down surelybtcusd down idia Resistance Zone: Around 110,000–111,000
Price Action Expectation:
→ Short-term push to 110,629
→ Then rejection toward 105,000, and potentially all the way down to 96,794 or even 94,091
Bearish bias after resistance is hit
⚡ Disruption Analysis (Contrarian View)
✅ 1. Resistance Flip Possibility
What if the 110,000 resistance breaks cleanly with strong volume?
Invalidates the bearish rejection arrow
Could trigger FOMO buying → Acceleration toward 112,500+
Bullish scenario: formation of a bull flag above resistance = continuation setup
✅ 2. Bear Trap Theory at 105,000 Zone
That “target” zone near 105k could be a fake breakdown zone
Market might dip there briefly, lure shorts, then reverse violently
This creates liquidity for a rapid long squeeze breakout
✅ 3. Market Structure Still Bullish on HTF
Higher lows from June 24 to July 6
Clean breakout at 105,152
Still respecting ascending structure — which is not bearish yet
🚨 Disruption Summary Chart Moves
🔼 Alternate Path 1 (Bullish Disruption):
Price consolidates under resistance → breaks above 110,629 → targets 112,500–115,000
🔄 Alternate Path 2 (Fake Breakdown Disruption):
Drops to 105,000, triggers sell-off → sharp reversal → back above 108,637
🔽 Original Path (Rejection-Based Bearish):
Still possible — but not the only high-probability path anymore