BTCUSD MORE BUY BREAKING NEWS BTC ALL TIME HIGH 100K SOON1. Overly Aggressive Upside Projection
The projection to 97,450 implies a nearly 19% move up from the current level (81,693) without clear intermediate confirmations. This may overlook key lower resistance areas (such as the previous support at ~86,000–88,000) that could act as barriers before a move to 97,000. A step-by-step approach would be more reasonable.
2. Neglecting Bearish Continuation Risk
The analysis focuses heavily on bullish recovery and seems to ignore the ongoing bearish trend in the last several days. If BTC fails to hold the 80,133 "bullish support area", there could be continuation to the downside toward 78,000 or even 75,000 based on prior breakdown levels. No contingency is shown in case the support fails.
3. Volume Mismatch
Notice the recent volume spikes are seen on down candles, suggesting strong selling interest. There's no confirmation of buying volume accumulation to support such an aggressive reversal. Ignoring this discrepancy can lead to a false sense of bullish momentum.
4. Broad Market Context Missing
The chart does not seem to factor in broader macroeconomic or crypto-specific news. Given the U.S. economy's impact (as suggested by the USD sign and U.S. flag symbols), interest rate decisions, CPI data, or regulatory news can disrupt any bullish narrative.
5. Overconfidence in Single Zone
The "Support bullish area 80.133" is treated as a final reversal point. In reality, markets often fake out below such key zones before reversing (a "stop hunt"). A more realistic analysis would outline alternative supports below 80k and conservative resistance targets.
Alternative Bearish Scenario (Counter Analysis)
1. Break below 80,133 triggers continuation toward 78,000 and 75,000.
2. Any bounce toward 84,000 or 86,000 could be rejected if volume does not support it.
3. Resistance between 86,000 and 88,000 should be observed for weakness if reached.
4. Lower highs and lower lows forming suggest continuation down unless broken
