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BTCUSD / First and Last Test Run.Strange Huh. Me posting an idea on BTC.
Let me be clear with one thing this is first - the only - and last chart I am posting on BTC for Testing Purposes. I just like to research things, and test different stuff!
As well I will not trade this myself and I never will trade Cryptos. Gold is the only real money and has been for 5k+ years, and when the real Fear comes to the world this is definitely not a chart that will be UP in most green, that one will be Gold. That is just my subjective opinion.
As for anything that I trade, I looked for Frequency base level. For Gold, it is not a secret it is - 28. I have mentioned a lot of things in my - Dynamic hint - idea about it.
Turns out it was not hard to find it for BTC. So I gave that Base number to my great friends over at Xino Corp Software we spent 3 weeks on the development and made a quick BTC frequency trading tool with good old High,Low,Close inputs.
prnt.sc
As of now, I don't even consider making better design or improving this piece of calculator because this is just a test run, so I can see should I really invest more effort in it.
For example, For Gold, I have made stable and serious tools during years.
One example Intraday trading tool / prnt.sc
So to start off with BTC I just want to see how the FRQ trading works, because that is the simplest thing to start/test for everything out there.
Those following me on Gold know that I produce target's based on Breakouts, intraday breakouts and big breakouts. Big Breakout mostly ends up with a turnaround and is not a false breakout but a Target that will be reached later.
So based on Frequency trading what we have two roots giving a target of 2067$
In theory, a quadratic function such as f(x)=x^2 which only touches the x-axis at one point, that root is said to have a multiplicity of two. This is more obvious when you write the function as f(x)= (x)(x). Either x can be replaced by zero to make this function work, so technically there are still two roots. Any time the graph of a function curves toward the x -axis, touches it, and then moves away without crossing over the axis, this situation occurs. For example, a 4th-degree function where the graph touched the x-axis at x=2, bounced off and then curved back and touched again at x=4, and then veered off again, you would have four roots: X=2 with multiplicity 2, and x=4 with multiplicity 2. Basically "touches" are double roots.
So one touch at 3524$ then the second one at 3533$ gives a target of 2067$ because that is considered to be a breakout.
So next, In terms of the fundamental theorem, equal (repeating) roots are counted individually, even when you graph them they appear to be a single root. You have to consider the factors:
x^3(ax^2 + bx + c)
If x^3 = 0, this is the same thing as x * x * x = 0, or x = 0, x = 0, x = 0. Even though they are equal and repeating, they are still 3 factors of x in the original polynomial.
That being said there should be a continuation.
Target 2067$ is given and I will be keen to see can BTC achieve it.
Bitcoin: 200-400 Points to the Downside?- I think the top for that 3rd wave has been put in.
- There could possibly be a sharp looking move towards the $5150 or $5000 area.
- Look through my past ideas to see what made me come to this.
*If you guys received any type of value from my analysis Like&Follow!
If you have any charts you would like to post please do so!
Thanks.
Potential bullish signal?The same pattern was able to be identified in the last correction which lasted about 2 months before it finally got a bullish breakout, still waiting for a high confidence bullish breakout.
BTCUSD Upcoming MOMO? *Bring Your Charts*I think the Corrective phase on BTCUSD is over, and we are currently in M-wave 3. (Long-Term View)
I think BTCUSD might continue & bottom out creating an Irregular Flat Corrective pattern near $4000 - then continue. (Short-Term View)
If you guys have charts you would like to provide for an alternate view on things I would appreciate it!
Interesting Find On BTCUSD *Controversial*Despite all the news that came out on BTCUSD ; the overall Trend is still looking Bullish.
The Trendlines starting the end of May + Fibonacci + VWAP is pointing towards strength, but there are still a few minor Road Bumps before we go higher on the lower time frame.
I will be posting up lower TF charts.
EMA200 now acts as resistanceI should stress, this is not a trade I'm executing!
Now that I've said that, after a precipitous decline Bitcoin finally experienced a dead cat bounce of note. After all the technical damage done it seems unlikely it will suddenly rally hard from here and volumes on this bounce seem to support this.
As I said before, I'm not opening this trade but rather waiting for a bottom. If a rally is to be sustained at a bare minimum we would need to see some consolidation until the first rising (orange) trend line is met. From my perspective though, Bitcoin operates heavily on panic and at least on a four hour timeframe I don't think we've seen that yet. Perhaps it is amateur of me to discount China markets however purely from a USD standpoint the Bitfinex margin rate is ~3:1. Based on this those who opened margin trades at this recent top face liquidation below $800 and this supports the thesis this longer term (ie. 4H) bounce is short closing from higher opens. Time will tell if I'm right and if so we will either see flatlining (consolidation) or a final push down to a panic zone below $800 at which point all hell will break loose as margin calls start piling on each other.