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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Flag Breakout Points to $114KHello guys! Bitcoin continues to respect the bullish structure within its ascending channel, and we just got a clean breakout from a textbook bull flag. After a solid move higher earlier this month, BTC cooled off inside a tight flag pattern, consolidating above $106K. That pullback helped reset momentum, and now we’ve broken out with conviction. You can read about it here: We’re currently hovering around $ 109.8 K. A short-term retest of the breakout zone near $108K–$108.5K wouldn’t be surprising. it could even offer a great entry opportunity before the next leg up. If momentum holds, the projected target from this flag pattern lands in the $113.5K–$114K zone. watch these: Support: $107.5K–$108.5K Target: $114K Invalidation: Break below $107K Bias remains bullish unless we lose the channel structure.
Long
by melikatrader94
17
Bitcoin & Stock Market Rally Together .. My Trade Plan!🚨 Bitcoin Update! 🚨 Taking a look at the BTC chart 🧠📈 — we saw a sharp retracement followed by a strong rally 💥🔥, likely driven by recent tariff policy shifts 🌍📊. Right now, I’m leaning bullish 🐂 — especially with the stock markets also pushing higher 📈💹. But let’s be clear: my bullish bias depends on the stock market holding strong 🛡️📊. I’m keeping an eye out for a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci level 🌀 for a potential buy opportunity 💸🚀. ⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my outlook! 👇 Let me know what you think in the comments!
Long
by fxtraderanthony
5
$BTC – Breaking Out of the Pattern?📈 Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is testing the upper resistance zone of a multi-month structure. ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) has already occurred, adding fuel to the bullish case. 🚀 Just a bit more upside and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could escape this consolidation pattern completely. Key levels to watch: Break above ~$110K area Green trendline remains strong support Eyes on higher timeframe close to confirm breakout This could be a pivot point for Bitcoin’s next leg higher — or a trap if sellers step in hard.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by SmartSignalss
1
$BTC to $120K?Bitcoin is still moving strongly inside the ascending channel, respecting both support and midline zones. After bouncing from the lower boundary and holding above key horizontal support at $104.8K, BTC is showing signs of strength again. With the trend intact and momentum building, a breakout toward the $116k 120k supply zone looks likely in the coming days. Bulls remain in control as long as price holds above the mid channel and key FVG (Fair Value Gap) areas. Watch the channel closely for confirmation. DYRO, NFA
Long
by stanleycrypto_1
DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the $ 107k level📊 Technical Analysis ● After clearing the Feb-Apr supply (105.7 k-108 k), price has twice retested it as support, printing successive higher-low wicks and locking the purple trend-line as a launch pad. ● The advance is tracking the mid-line of a rising channel; the swing structure sketches a fresh ascending triangle whose projection aligns with the red 114–115 k ceiling at the channel roof. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● BTC spot ETFs absorbed another ≈4 600 BTC this week while CME open-interest hit a 6-week high, signalling renewed institutional accumulation despite softer US data and a retreating DXY. ✨ Summary Buy 106-109 k on pull-backs; triangle break above 111.5 k targets 114 k then 115 k. Bull view invalidated on a daily close beneath 105 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Bitcoin vs. Gold: Central Banks Pick Gold (Here's Why) The debate over the ultimate store of value has been reignited in the digital age. For centuries, gold, the immutable yellow metal, has been the bedrock of wealth preservation, the trusted haven in times of turmoil, and a core component of central bank reserves. In the last decade, a new contender has emerged: Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, often touted as "digital gold." Yet, as the dust settles on initial exuberance and institutional scrutiny intensifies, a clear preference is emerging from the world's most conservative financial institutions. Central banks, the guardians of national wealth and financial stability, are overwhelmingly demonstrating their continued faith in gold, signaling that when it comes to the ultimate safe reserve, tradition and tangibility still trump technological novelty. The evidence for this preference is not merely anecdotal; it's etched in the consistent and accelerating trend of global gold accumulation by these institutions. In recent years, central banks have been on a gold buying spree, a phenomenon driven by a confluence of potent global factors. The shifting geopolitical landscape, characterized by increased tensions, trade disputes, and a move towards a more multipolar world, has spurred a desire for assets that are not tied to any single nation's political or economic fortunes. Policies emanating from major economic powers, including periods of heightened trade protectionism and shifting global alliances, have historically fanned uncertainty, prompting a flight to assets perceived as universally valuable and politically neutral – a role gold has fulfilled for millennia. Furthermore, concerns over the long-term value of major fiat currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar which has long dominated global reserves, are playing a significant role. Persistent fiscal deficits, expanding sovereign debt levels, and unprecedented monetary stimulus measures in various countries have led to an undercurrent of apprehension about potential currency devaluation. In such an environment, central banks are actively seeking to diversify their holdings and hedge against the erosion of purchasing power. Gold, with its intrinsic value and finite supply, offers a compelling alternative to holding ever-increasing amounts of fiat currency, whose value can be diluted by policy decisions. This strategic de-dollarization, or at least a diversification away from dollar-centric reserves, sees gold as a primary beneficiary. It is a tangible asset that sits outside the traditional financial system, offering a layer of insulation from the counterparty risks inherent in holding other nations' currencies or debt. In stark contrast to this institutional embrace of gold stands Bitcoin. While proponents champion its decentralized nature, its mathematically enforced scarcity, and its potential as an inflation hedge, its inherent characteristics currently make it a challenging proposition for central bank reserves. The most glaring issue is its extreme volatility. Bitcoin's price history is a rollercoaster of meteoric rises and precipitous falls. For an individual retail investor, this volatility might be a tolerable, even attractive, risk in pursuit of outsized returns. However, for a central bank, whose primary mandate includes capital preservation and maintaining financial stability, such wild price swings are anathema. Reserve assets must be relatively stable, liquid, and dependable. Bitcoin, in its current state, struggles to meet these criteria consistently. A significant allocation to Bitcoin could expose a nation's reserves to sudden and substantial losses, undermining public trust and potentially destabilizing its financial position. This volatility poses a tangible risk, not just theoretically, but as observed in the experiences of investors globally, including those in the U.S. While some have reaped fortunes, many others have faced considerable losses due to ill-timed investments or the market's unpredictable nature. Institutional investors, including those in the U.S., while showing increasing interest in Bitcoin as a speculative asset class or a small part of a diversified portfolio, still largely treat it with caution. The kind of deep, unwavering institutional trust that gold commands – built over centuries of proven performance as a store of value and a crisis hedge – has yet to be earned by Bitcoin. Gold’s market is deep, liquid, and well-understood, with established clearing and settlement mechanisms. Bitcoin's market infrastructure, while maturing, is still relatively nascent and fragmented compared to the centuries-old gold market. Beyond volatility, other factors hinder Bitcoin's adoption as a mainstream reserve asset for central banks. Regulatory uncertainty remains a significant hurdle. The global regulatory landscape for cryptocurrencies is a patchwork of differing approaches, with some nations embracing innovation while others impose strict controls or outright bans. For central banks, which operate within stringent legal and regulatory frameworks, this lack of global consensus and clarity is a major deterrent. The operational risks associated with custody and security of digital assets at a sovereign scale are also non-trivial. While blockchain technology is inherently secure, managing private keys for billions of dollars' worth of Bitcoin requires sophisticated and untested protocols for institutions of this nature. Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" sometimes overlooks fundamental differences. Gold is a physical commodity with diverse industrial and cultural uses, providing a baseline of demand beyond its monetary role. It is universally recognized and accepted, transcending technological barriers. Bitcoin’s value is derived primarily from its network effects, its code, and investor belief in its future utility and adoption. While powerful, these are different underpinnings than the tangible reality of physical gold bullion held in a central bank's vault. The actions of central banks speak volumes. While a handful of smaller nations or entities might experiment with Bitcoin, the overwhelming majority of major central banks, those that collectively manage the bulk of global reserves, have either remained silent on Bitcoin or have issued cautious warnings, all while steadily increasing their physical gold holdings. This isn't to say that Bitcoin has no future role or value. It may well continue to evolve as a speculative asset, a niche store of value for some, or a technology platform for new financial applications. However, the idea that it is poised to usurp gold's position in the vaults of central banks appears premature, if not fundamentally misguided, given its current attributes. In conclusion, the debate between Bitcoin and gold as the preferred store of value and reserve asset has a clear, if perhaps unexciting, winner in the eyes of the world's central banks. Faced with geopolitical instability, the specter of dollar devaluation, and the enduring need for reliable safe-haven assets, these institutions are doubling down on gold. Its long history, proven stability, tangibility, and lack of counterparty risk resonate deeply with their conservative mandates. Bitcoin's volatility, regulatory ambiguity, and operational complexities, while potentially surmountable in the distant future, currently render it unsuitable for the core reserve holdings of nations. While U.S. investors and others may grapple with Bitcoin's risk-reward profile, central banks have largely made their choice, and that choice, for now and the foreseeable future, remains firmly with the ancient, trusted allure of gold.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
BTC LONG TP:110,000 25-05-2025🚀 LONG setup in play Looking to enter between 106,500 and 107,000, targeting 109,800–110,300 on the 2H chart. Estimated duration: 24 hours ⏳ We’re riding a bullish rebound — clean structure, strong reaction. If the move doesn’t happen within the projected window, the setup is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade. #BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ReyDragon21
Bitcoin: Will it surpass $109k in its upward trend?Since April, Bitcoin has traded in a clearly defined upward channel with two lower and upper trend lines. This channel was formed three touchpoints both on the lower and upper trendlines. Near a critical zone Now, BTC is at a key resistance zone where it previously peaked around $109,000, holding its all-time high. This level resists both judgement as well as forensic level significantly of a psychological barrier because it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is currently hovering around the everyday resistance line while BTC is still in the upward channel. In conjunction with the historic all-time high and the upper channel resistance, range bound price action gives us an accurate capture of BTC’s behaviour. Bullish breakout The scenario outlined for this resistance zone makes the most sense as a rejection may lead to a temporary pullback, likely to the somewhat lower boundary of the rising channel. This in itself would not be the termination of the bullish trend, but instead a healthy retracement within the confines of an uptrend structure. But, if the market does break out above the $109,000 level with ample volume and bullish momentum, then things could start changing in the market for the better from there. Such breakout will confirm the uptrend is strong and valid where else new breakout targets will also be set turning the old high into new low. The $109,000 level would then probably move from resistance to support, making it a critical area for bulls to protect on any retests in the future. A bearish breakout The ramifications of a breakdown below the rising channel should also be understood by traders. It is crucial to keep an eye on the channel's lower barrier, which is presently at about $104,000. A significant decline below this level would signal a loss of short-term bullish momentum and lead to a more thorough correction. In that scenario, Bitcoin would probably go for the imbalanced area between $97,500 and $100,500, where the price has previously moved quickly without forming any solid support or resistance. Buyers may be able to intervene in this zone and try to restore bullish dominance, which may pave the way for a new breakout attempt and another surge toward the $109,000 barrier. Conclusion In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a critical point right now. Bitcoin is currently facing a significant resistance zone at its prior all-time high, but the upward channel that has directed price action since April is still in place. The degree of market momentum and the actions of buyers and sellers at these critical levels will determine whether the price hits new highs or declines. Investors and traders should be alert and ready for both situations since the next action could determine how Bitcoin develops over the following few weeks. I appreciate your help. To ensure you do not miss the upcoming analysis, be sure to follow me! Please leave a remark and a like!
Long
by KingProTrader
BTCUSD Potential Reversal | Head and Shoulders Pattern FormedBitcoin (BTC/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, forming a clear Head and Shoulders pattern on the 15-minute chart. Key Technical Insights: The structure is aligned with a classic head and shoulders setup. Price action has respected the descending trendline resistance. The right shoulder has formed under key supply pressure, increasing the probability of a drop. A breakdown below the neckline could drive price toward the 107,400 zone. Target zone aligns with previous consolidation and demand area. This setup offers a well-defined risk-to-reward structure, based on pattern confirmation and market structure. 📉 Pattern-based idea with proper technical reasoning. Monitoring closely for breakdown and follow-through price action.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
BTC Crypto Futures Trade Plan 2025-05-26BTC Crypto Analysis Summary (2025-05-26) Comprehensive Summary of Each Model Grok/xAI Report BTC at $109,553, trading above all major MAs (20/50/200 SMAs, 9/21 EMAs) → strong bullish trend RSI 67.02 (approaching overbought), MACD positive but slight bearish divergence Volume declining → possible consolidation or reduced buying interest Funding rate low (0.0002%) → not overleveraged long Trade suggested: long at $110,000, SL $107,000, TP1 $113,000, TP2 $115,000, size 1% equity, confidence 80% Claude/Anthropic Report Confirms price above all key MAs, RSI approaching overbought, MACD divergence Price near upper Bollinger Band → resistance Concludes short-term momentum weakening → moderately bearish bias Recommends no trade (confidence 72%), waits for break above $111,800 or below $105,000 Llama/Meta Report Bullish MA alignment, RSI slightly overbought, price near upper BB Funding rate neutral, sentiment generally positive Trade suggested: long on pullback to SMA20 at $105,295.59, SL $103,000, TP $110,000, size = 2–3% equity, confidence 80% Gemini/Google Report Strong bullish trend (EMA9 > EMA21 > SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), RSI 67, BB upper ~$111,724 MACD bearish crossover → potential short-term pullback Recommends long at ~$109,550, SL $107,700, TP $113,100, size 1 BTC, confidence 75% DeepSeek Report Price near upper Bollinger Band, MACD bearish crossover, RSI divergence Countertrend short trade: entry $109,553, SL $111,725, TP $105,295, size 1 BTC, confidence 75% Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement BTC is in a strong uptrend, trading above all major moving averages RSI ~67 suggests rising momentum but nearing overbought MACD shows a bearish divergence or crossover, warning of short-term momentum loss Price is close to the upper Bollinger Band → stretched conditions Disagreement Directional bias: Grok, Llama, and Gemini bullish; Claude is cautious/no-trade; DeepSeek bearish countertrend Entry levels: ranges from pullbacks to 105k (Llama) to market price ~109.55k (Gemini/Grok) Risk appetite: varying leverage and position-sizing recommendations Trade/no-trade: Claude advises holding; others recommend active positions Conclusion and Trade Recommendation Overall Market Direction Consensus Moderately Bullish: the dominant trend is up, supported by MA structure and recent performance, despite short-term momentum warnings. Recommended Trade Direction: Long BTC futures Entry Range: Near current market (109,500–109,600) or immediate retest of EMA9 (~109,550) Stop Loss: 107,700 (below EMA9 and minor support) Take Profit: 113,100 (just above recent swing highs/upper BB) Position Size: 1 BTC (adjust per account to risk ~1–2%) Confidence Level: 78% Key Risks and Considerations Momentum Divergence: MACD bearish crossover and RSI near overbought may trigger a pullback Volatility Spikes: leverage can amplify slippage and liquidation risk Broader Crypto Moves: altcoin correlation or market-wide news can quickly shift prices Funding Rate Shifts: a sudden spike could accelerate long-side liquidations TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "BTC", "direction": "long", "entry_price": 109550.0, "stop_loss": 107700.0, "take_profit": 113100.0, "size": 1, "confidence": 0.78, "entry_timing": "market_open" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: BTC 📈 Direction: LONG 💰 Entry Price: 109550.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 107700.0 🎯 Take Profit: 113100.0 📊 Size: 1 💪 Confidence: 78% ⏰ Entry Timing: market_open Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NYSE:XLong
by quantsignals
Weekly Analysis for BTC (May 26–30)BTC played out clean last week. Broke above 108k, tapped a new ATH at 110.5k, and pulled back slightly. Structure still bullish — 4H HLs holding strong and 107k retest held nicely into weekend close. Key level to watch is 110k. If we break that with momentum, price can push to 115k or even 120.7k based on fibs and hype continuation. If we reject again, we might pull back to 107k or 100k — still a buy zone unless 88k breaks. On the macro side, confluence is heavy: – ETFs still driving big money inflow – US debt growing after Trump’s new tax bill – Moody’s downgrade adds more pressure – Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven flow also helping BTC hold strength – Holiday week in the US (Memorial Day), so volume might be low — fakeouts possible if liquidity dries up Best zones to watch this week: 🔸 110k breakout for continuation 🔸 107k and 100k pullback buys 🔸 110.5k ATH for possible rejection scalps As long as 88k holds, structure is clean. Bias remains bullish with both TA and macro pointing up. Will be posting more detial daily anaylsis. follow for more updates. Or check out Streefree_trade IG.
by StressFreeTrading
#BTC/USDT#BTC The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We are seeing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, this support at 106792. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average. Entry price: 107234 First target: 108262 Second target: 109748 Third target: 111298
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Is the BTC Bull Tired ? A Healthy Pullback May Be on the Horizon🚨 Market Watch Update 🚨 Hey fam while the macro trend is still bullish overall, I'm noticing signs that this current uptrend might be running out of steam. There’s a good chance we’re nearing a breakdown from the rising channel, which could open the door for a healthy correction down toward that ~$90K area. Last week’s breakout really shook things up a ton of short positions got liquidated, which helped push the price higher in the short term. Classic squeeze move. 👀 But here’s what I’m watching next 🔻 In the near term, I’m leaning slightly bearish. I wouldn’t be surprised if price pulls back into the $102K–$99K zone sometime this week. That range could offer a decent reset before the next major move. 🧠 Remember, when green candles start popping, retail FOMO tends to kick in hard — folks jump in late, thinking the rally will never end. That’s exactly where market makers step in, taking profits and reloading at better levels. Don’t be the exit liquidity. Stay patient. Stay sharp. And as always I’ll keep you posted with a deeper dive soon. 🎯
Short
by momentumwls