Bitcoin's Path to $100k USD&beyond - How much time is left?Don’t worry—we’re not here to debate whether the bull market top is in or still ahead. Based on cycle analysis, one thing is clear: Bitcoin is set to break $100K soon and continue its upward trajectory.
But the real question is: How much time do we have left?
Can we still make gains until the end of the year, or will March/April be the final window to profit?
🔹 Bitcoin’s Current Position
BTC is approaching its 60-day cycle low, with the 1-day, 3-day, and 1-week cycles all dipping below 20.
We’re waiting for the final bottom to form—historically, these moments offer some of the best buying opportunities.
🔸 Two Possible Scenarios Ahead:
1️⃣ Bull Market Peak in May 2025
The upcoming 2-week cycle top marks the end of the bull market (~May).
The 2-week cycle typically takes ~14 weeks to reach a peak, aligning with a late-May timeline.
After this, a 1.5-year bear market (~18 months) could begin, correcting the excess of this cycle.
2️⃣ Final Top in December/January
The market peaks at year-end, followed by a 12-month bear market.
This means a bloody summer, then a fast & bullish upside in Oct/Nov leading to a final peak.
This aligns with historical seasonality of previous cycles.
📌 Conclusion:
No matter which scenario plays out, the key is to maximize gains before the cycle peaks and exit before the bear market begins.
📈 Watch for the 60-day cycle bottom—this will be the key entry point.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let me know in the comments! 👇🚀
Btcusdanalysis
ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?!"ETH/USDT 1H: Momentum Strong – Can Bulls Break $2,820?"
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Market Structure & Momentum:
Price: $2,734, showing strong momentum after breaking key resistance.
RSI at 64.50, confirming bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
Clear bullish structure, with higher lows forming.
Hidden bullish divergence confirmed on RSI, supporting continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2,780 (major supply zone).
Support: $2,680 (previous resistance turned support).
Fair Value Gap (FVG): $2,600-$2,620 range.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Current price ($2,734) or pullback to $2,700 for better risk-reward.
Targets:
T1: $2,820 (+3.1%).
T2: $2,860 (+4.6%).
Stop Loss: Below $2,645 (-3.2%).
Risk Score:
6/10 – Momentum is strong, but price is nearing major resistance.
Smart Money Analysis:
Accumulation visible at the $2,600 zone, confirming institutional interest.
Market Makers likely targeting liquidity above $2,800.
Strong institutional buying pressure evident from the volume profile.
Recommendation:
Longs remain favorable, but watch for potential resistance at $2,780.
Keep tight stops below $2,645 in case of rejection.
Break and hold above $2,780 confirms strength for a move toward $2,860.
Confidence Level:
8/10 – Bulls in control, but price must clear $2,780 resistance for extended upside.
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BTC/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Breakout Above $99K?BTC/USDT 1H: Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Price ranging between $94,500 - $98,500, showing lower timeframe bullish momentum.
Institutional accumulation visible at the $95,500 support zone, indicating Smart Money interest.
Hidden bullish divergence on RSI—higher lows forming while price prints lower lows.
Smart Money Analysis:
Market Makers accumulating within the ascending triangle formation, suggesting a breakout setup.
Liquidity likely being engineered below $96,000 before an upward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $97,400, with scaled buys down to $96,800.
Targets:
T1: $98,200.
T2: $98,500.
T3: $99,000.
Stop Loss: Below $96,400 (recent structure low).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable long setup, but liquidity sweeps below $96,000 remain a risk.
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation phase evident, with higher lows forming inside an ascending triangle.
Expect liquidity grabs below $96,000 before a potential breakout.
Break above $97,800 confirms bullish momentum for aggressive entries.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within $96,800 - $97,400.
Watch for a breakout above $97,800 before aggressive entries.
Maintain tight stops below $96,400 to limit downside exposure.
Confidence Level:
8/10 – Strong accumulation phase supports a bullish breakout setup.
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BITCOIN RISING AGAINCan this idea be valid if? I see a smiles forming on the chart,
By the way, its hard to predict at this timeframe, its only 1h. but my recommendations is LONGs. 106k would be the target. Use your stop loss wisely.
This is not a financial advice or signal.
Im not a signal provider.
If this idea works on your trading, then you can trade it.
Trade with proper stops.
Use proper leverage. don't be a greedy and trade wisely base on your money.
Follow for more crypto trades.
I only see 10k movement above.
BTC's Potential Up & Down Price Target (Short-Term)BINANCE:BTCUSDT has both bullish and bearish scenarios in play now.
These days, the crypto market has been stagnant—no real pump, no real dump.
🔻 If it drops, how low will it go?
There’s a potential multiple-top pattern.
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC breaks below the neckline at $92,000 with volume—or fails to reclaim it—then the target drop sits at $77,000.
🚀 If it pumps, how high can it go?
A potential multiple-bottom pattern is forming.
If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN breaks above the neckline at $107,000 with volume—or successfully retests it—then the target is $130,000.
🔥 Short-term strategy
The Feb 3rd candle had significant volume and has been a key resistance level multiple times.
This makes it a strong reference point for entries.
(See orange & light blue arrows.)
1️⃣ Long Setup
Entry trigger: $102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
Stop loss: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
2️⃣ Short Setup
Entry trigger: $91,231 (Feb 3rd low)
Stop loss: A$102,500 (Feb 3rd high)
💡 Prices vary across exchanges. Use the levels from your trading platform.
🔴 Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss.
🔥 for more future script "guesses" like this!
BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Breakout in Sight! 🚀
Market Vibes: With US equities and XAU (Gold) on the rise, BTC sentiment is looking strong too! Price action is channeling, but these dips show buyers stepping in. That’s a big confidence booster for me to ride this wave up. 🔥
Long Setup:
• Entry: Look to buy on any minor pullback or a break above the current 1H Kijun zone.
• Stop Loss: Place just below the channel support (risk 1% of account).
• Target: Eye a 1:2 or 1:3 RRR toward the next supply zone.
Confidence Boosters:
• Equities rallying? Check! ✅
• Gold pumping? Check! ✅
• BTC channel support holding strong? Check! ✅
Let’s see if this bullish momentum can keep pushing us higher! Keep an eye out for volatility around any macro news—stay safe and trade well. 🤞🔥
A1+ setup...BTC will pump up immediately it grabs liquidity !!!if you are willing to risk 33 pips for 300 pips, this setup is for you then !!!
Reason for entry
* Valid zone
* M5 point of Interest
* Inducement is resting just above the M5 POI
* Due to the fact that investors are hedging their risks on XAU USD because of tarrif talks, BTC USD might share from the gains (my sentiments)
* Bullish structure,
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(BTCUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (BTCUSD) ready for( SEEL )trade ( BTCUSD) SEEL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (96.900) to (96.700) 📊
FIRST TP (96.200)📊
2ND TARGET (95.800)📊
LAST TARGET (95.400) 📊
STOP LOOS (97.700)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
BTC (BITCOIN) IDEA IS HERE Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of BTCUSDT ( BITCOIN ) in 30-M TF
This chart shows Bitcoin’s price movement over time.
The Pattern: The price is moving inside a triangle shape, getting squeezed between two lines.
Resistance Zone: Bitcoin tried to go above $97,000 but got pushed down
RESISTANCE LEVEL. 96800/97000
TARGET WILL BE. 94000
If the price breaks below the lower line of the triangle, it may fall further, possibly to $94,000 or lower..
Can Bitcoin Survive the Inflation Storm?Bitcoin, the world's most prominent cryptocurrency, has experienced a turbulent period, recently dipping below the $95,000 mark.1 This price correction comes amidst growing concerns about rising inflation in the United States, as reflected in the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The CPI, a key indicator of inflation, surpassed market expectations, reigniting fears of persistent price pressures and their potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin.2
Inflation's Shadow Over Bitcoin
The unexpectedly high CPI reading has sent ripples through financial markets, with investors becoming increasingly wary of the Federal Reserve's response to inflation. The Fed's primary tool for combating inflation is raising interest rates, a move that can make borrowing more expensive and potentially slow down economic growth. This prospect often leads investors to reduce their exposure to riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
The connection between inflation and Bitcoin is complex. While some argue that Bitcoin can serve as a hedge against inflation due to its limited supply, others believe that it is still too volatile to be considered a safe haven asset. The recent price drop suggests that market sentiment is currently leaning towards the latter view, with investors reacting to the inflation news by selling off their Bitcoin holdings.
Market Dynamics and Technical Levels
Bitcoin's price movements are influenced by a multitude of factors, including macroeconomic trends, regulatory developments, and market sentiment. In addition to inflation concerns, the recent price drop could also be attributed to normal market corrections, profit-taking by traders, and technical factors.
Analyzing Bitcoin's price chart reveals key support and resistance levels that traders are closely monitoring. The $95,000 level appears to be a crucial support zone, and a sustained break below this level could lead to further price declines. On the upside, the $101,000 mark is a significant resistance level, and a decisive move above this level could signal a potential recovery for Bitcoin.
The Fed's Dilemma and Potential Scenarios
The latest CPI data presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which is tasked with balancing the goals of controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. While the higher-than-expected inflation reading might suggest the need for more aggressive interest rate hikes, the Fed also needs to be mindful of the potential impact on economic activity.
Despite calls for lower interest rates, the Fed is widely expected to continue its path of gradual rate increases in the coming months. The central bank has repeatedly emphasized its commitment to bringing inflation under control, and a strong labor market provides further support for its policy stance.
Looking ahead, several scenarios could play out for Bitcoin. If inflation remains elevated, the Fed might need to take more aggressive action, potentially leading to further price declines for Bitcoin. On the other hand, if inflation starts to subside, the Fed could adopt a more dovish stance, which could provide some relief for Bitcoin and other risk assets.
Bitcoin's Long-Term Outlook
Despite the recent price volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive for many market participants. The cryptocurrency's underlying technology, blockchain, continues to attract interest from various industries, and the adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors is steadily increasing.3
Furthermore, some argue that Bitcoin's decentralized nature and limited supply make it an attractive alternative to traditional currencies, especially in times of economic uncertainty. While Bitcoin's price can be volatile in the short term, its long-term potential continues to draw investors seeking exposure to the digital asset space.
Navigating the Uncertainty
The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty, with inflation concerns and macroeconomic factors weighing on investor sentiment. Bitcoin, like other risk assets, is susceptible to these broader market trends. However, it is essential to remember that Bitcoin is a nascent asset class, and its price volatility is to be expected.
Investors considering Bitcoin should carefully assess their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. While Bitcoin's long-term potential remains intriguing, it is crucial to be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies.
Will Bitcoin Rise in Late March or Early April? Possible Scenari
Currently, Bitcoin is entering a highly unique cycle where it’s attracting almost the entire market capitalization and staying at elevated levels. This contrasts with previous cycles when altcoins had more distinct opportunities, causing frustration for holders of large altcoin positions.
Bitcoin moved from the 27k level to form a peak, corrected down to 59k, then rallied to 107k to form a second peak on the monthly timeframe. At this point, Bitcoin appears to be starting a corrective wave within the larger uptrend structure.
Based on the current downtrend structure from the weekly (W) timeframe downward, here are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin:
Scenario 1
🔸 The price undergoes a correction, but it’s short-lived and soon reverts to the uptrend. Specifically:
🔹 A drop to around the 88k zone, followed by a minor rebound
🔹 Another correction down to the key levels of 83k or 75k
🔹 If a bottom forms at one of these zones, price could start a new upswing on the weekly chart, aligning with a fresh monthly uptrend
Timing:
🔸 Potentially in the first two weeks of April
🔸 If things move faster, it could happen in the last two weeks of March
Target:
🔸 A new all-time high (ATH) near 130k–140k
Scenario 2
🔸 The price drops to the 75k zone, accumulates there but fails to continue upward, instead forming a lower low. Specifically:
🔹 A further drop toward 68k–70k, or slightly lower
🔹 If this unfolds, Bitcoin might not rally in March or April
🔹 The corrective phase could extend into May–June 2025, after which the market completes its accumulation
Target Post-Accumulation:
🔸 A new peak near the previous level of 110k
Trading Approaches in the Current State of Bitcoin
For Traders (Futures / Margin):
🔸 Look for SELL swing opportunities
🔸 Scalp BUYs at key support/resistance zones
For Spot Investors:
🔸 Identify critical zones to accumulate BTC
🔸 During corrections, watch for short-term bounces to buy select altcoins on spot and aim for profits of about 50%, 80%, or even 150%
🔸 Use the Rainbow MG3 indicator to screen a broader list of assets and filter for strategic spot buy entries
Bitcoin Dips to $94K Amid Hotter-Than-Expected US CPI DataThe cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp selloff following the release of the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which came in hotter than expected. Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, fell by 3% to $94,000, reflecting the broader market’s reaction to rising inflation concerns. The January CPI data revealed a 3% year-over-year (YoY) increase, up from December’s 2.9%, while the monthly CPI rose to 0.5%, exceeding market expectations. This unexpected spike has reignited fears of a prolonged hawkish stance by the Federal Reserve, dampening investor sentiment across both traditional and crypto markets.
Inflation Woes and Macroeconomic Pressures
1. Hotter-Than-Expected CPI Data
The US Labor Department reported that the January CPI inflation rose to 3% YoY, surpassing the market consensus of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation increased to 0.5%, up from December’s 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher than expected at 0.4% monthly and 3.3% YoY. These figures indicate that inflationary pressures remain persistent, complicating the Federal Reserve’s path to rate cuts.
2. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance
The Federal Reserve has maintained a cautious approach to monetary policy, with Chair Jerome Powell emphasizing the need for more evidence of cooling inflation before considering rate cuts. The hotter CPI data has further solidified the Fed’s position, reducing the likelihood of near-term rate cuts. This has weighed heavily on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher interest rates typically reduce liquidity and investor appetite for speculative investments.
3. Impact on Crypto Market Sentiment
The crypto market has been highly sensitive to macroeconomic data, and the latest CPI release has exacerbated existing fears. The global crypto market cap fell by 3.3% to $3.1 trillion, with Bitcoin leading the decline. The US 10-year Treasury yield surged by 2.05% to 4.630%, while the US Dollar Index (DXY) rose by 0.42% to 108.290, adding further pressure on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis
1. Immediate Price Reaction
Bitcoin’s price dropped sharply from $96,488 to $94,000 within minutes of the CPI data release. This decline reflects the market’s immediate reaction to the negative macroeconomic news. As of writing, Bitcoin is down 1.23%, trading near the oversold region with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
- Support: If selling pressure persists, Bitcoin could test the $80,000 support level, a critical psychological and technical threshold.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could reignite bullish momentum, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward the $100,000 mark.
3. Chart Patterns and Indicators
Bitcoin’s price action is currently hovering near key moving averages, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI at 38 suggests that Bitcoin is nearing oversold territory, which could attract buyers looking for discounted entry points. However, the overall trend remains bearish in the short term, with the falling RSI and declining price action signaling caution.
4. Market Sentiment and Volume
Trading volume has spiked following the CPI release, indicating heightened market activity. The increased volume during the selloff suggests that investors are reacting strongly to the macroeconomic data, with many opting to take profits or reduce exposure to risk assets.
Conclusion:
The latest US CPI data has underscored the crypto market’s sensitivity to macroeconomic developments, with Bitcoin and other digital assets experiencing significant volatility. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, the long-term potential of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remains intact.
Ready For Next Bull run! Lets Go To 280,000BTC maintains a strong bullish trend, with the market structure consistently adhering to the Elliott Wave principles, even amid short-term fluctuations. The rounding bottom pattern remains intact, and its full impact is yet to materialize. The price has concluded sub-wave 4, and we are now anticipating the final phase to complete this minor cycle before the larger macro waves take shape.
The overarching outlook points to a surge toward $280,000, a target expected to be achieved when market sentiment is at its lowest, as institutional players and major investors continue to accumulate assets during retail sell-offs.
BTC - Getting bullish for a retest back to $104,700 by 3/7RSI and MACD daily ramping up for another bullish wave starting on 2/14, retesting $104,700 near 3/7.
I plotted the support red line on RSI and MACD, both bouncing off macro lows.
When BTC hits or drags along the bottom of the lower Bollinger Band thats when buying power kicks in and BTC peaks back to the top band. Rinse and repeat cycles.
Bitcoin / TetherUSBitcoin Chart Analysis in the 4-Hour Time Frame
1. Market Overview
Currently, based on the analysis of weekly and monthly time frames, the Bitcoin market is in an upward trend, and we are waiting for a market correction. The drawn channel currently shows a soft price decline. Therefore, I have identified suitable sell positions:
Resistance Line: 102724.38
IFC Daily Candle: 103278.54
2. Technical Analysis of the 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour time frame, we have observed a Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a temporary correction in the price trend. Our expectation is that after the correction ends, the price will reach the level of 86561.35 dollars. I will update the price chart again in the future.
Thank you for your support, dear friends!
Wishing you all the success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the crypto market is risky due to high price changes. This analysis is just one person's opinion and shouldn't be taken as financial advice. Before investing, it's best to talk to a financial advisor and do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses from this analysis
Is BTC Gearing Up for a Bullish Reversal? Here’s My Game Plan!👀 👉 In this video, we analyze BTC, which is currently rangebound. On the 4-hour chart, I’m noticing equal lows followed by a liquidity sweep, then a higher low and a higher high. If Bitcoin breaks above the current range high, I’ll be looking to buy. However, if it trades lower, breaks the range low, and fails a retest, a short setup would be more suitable. We’ll cover trend analysis, price action, market structure, and both bullish and bearish scenarios. Not financial advice.
BTCUSDBTC/USD is showing a potential buy opportunity following a breakout of the downward trend on the 30-minute timeframe. This breakout signals a possible shift in momentum toward the upside.
Trade Setup:
🟢 Buy Entry: 96,000
🔴 Stop Loss: 94,900 (Below key support to manage risk)
Target Levels:
✅ Target 1: 97,100
✅ Target 2: 97,800
✅ Target 3: 98,500
Risk Management:
⚠️ Always use a stop loss to protect capital in case of unexpected reversals.
📊 Risk-to-reward should be at least 1:2 or 1:3 for optimal trade setups.
💰 Avoid overleveraging—proper position sizing ensures account sustainability.
👀 Monitor price action closely, and adjust stop-loss levels as the trade moves in profit.
If BTC/USD holds above 96,000, bullish momentum could drive prices toward the targets. However, patience and confirmation from price action are key before entering the trade.