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Btcusdanalysis

Is it ALT Season soon ? A New ApproachNearly Everyone looks to BTC.D to judge when ALT season starts, and while it is obviously Not wrong to do so, I have Looked at OTHERS.D for a while. alongside BTC.D And this is what I find. But first, a little History lesson. Bitcoin began in 2008 and was obviously The only one. The First ALT coins were mined in 2011 and included LITECOIN and NAMECOIN. ETHERIUM was not created until July 2015 - ETH is NOT the original ALT by a long way but it was marketed better. So, What is OTHERS.D The symbol "OTHERS.D" refers to the "Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 Dominance, %" index. This metric is used to track the performance of the cryptocurrency market, excluding the dominance of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. Or the Mid to Low Cap ALTS Previous altcoin seasons have witnessed remarkable surges in various altcoin prices, with some experiencing exponential growth within relatively short periods. Examples of notable altseasons include the bull runs of 2017-2018 and 2020-2021. To the Chart Vertical bold gashed lines are Bitcoin Halving dates Vertical Green dashed lines are Bitcoin ATH dates Green Boxes are ALT seasons that lasted more than a week. We have had only 2 real ALT seasons previously and, if I am honest, it may remain that way. Bitcoin has attained Mass adoption now and Corporate ownership. But Time will tell and the ALT market is still seen as THE money maker. But Bitcoin Dominance has to drop for ALT season to begin - OR DOES IT ? YES - But we can also see how the Lower Caps rise, outside of the ETH based ALTS The REAL ALTS, like LTC Run with this chart And I wan to show you something I have noticed. See the Day count from BTC ATH in Jan 2018 to the Low in August 2019 ( A ) of 608 days From there to the beginning of the next ALT season was 519 days ( B ) From the ATH in Nov 2021 to the Low in Jan 2023 was 577 days ( Aa ) If we project a similar day count for Bb as we had for B, it takes us to --Drum Roll----- NOW ( this is a monthly chart so we need an allowance of error of at least 15 days either way ) Also note how ALT season begins BEFORE BTC ATH And with predictions of ATH in March to Dec Next year, this works out well. BUT I WILL SAY - this is based of only 2 previous occasions and you will also note how much SMALLER the 2nd ALT season was. As I said at the start, Bitcoin is THE Crypro. It will always be number 1 The Multitude of ALTS entering the market have not changed that. But BTC.D just took a fall in the last 24 hours, ALTS Are running Hot right now. ALT SEASON MAY HAVE JUST BEGUN
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D
by Orriginal
2
BTCUSDT trading ideasHi there everyone It has been a long time that I haven't shared any ideas. I have decided to share what I think is more probable to happen and according to your own experience of trading, these ideas could be helpful. all my ideas will be like this one. Key features of the analysis you see are the levels which can be considered as key levels, and by getting confirmation on 4H or sometimes 1H TF, you can have positions taken. So let's get started and follow for more. I am here again. DYOR! Good luck
by peymandolatkhah
5 REASONS TO STAY IN THE CRYPTO MARKETThe end of September aka rektember historically the worst performing month of the year is in sight, and October is fast approaching. 1/ October aka ‘Uptober’ or better to say "Moontober" is historically one of the best performing months of the year and in the past two bull run years October’s have all been green – third time’s a charm? FYI last year we pumped 29% and so many of us ordered Countach 2/ It ain’t just October – Q4 historically yields the highest returns of the year Excited for Uptober? Just wait till we hit No Loss November baaaby! 3/ M2 projections vs. CRYPTOCAP:BTC looking bullish M2 tracks the global supply of money. The more money is in the system, the more of it can flow into crypto. Here’s Bloomberg’s 10week projection of M2 supply (black) overlaid with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ’s current performance (red) 4/ The bull market historically takes off at this point See that white line? That’s the current cycle as you see The crypto market seems to be following historical bull market trends closely. We've experienced a stronger than usual rally ahead of the halving, largely driven by expectations around spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, the post-halving rally has been weaker, bringing the market back in line with typical patterns seen in previous cycles. Potential for Growth: If past cycles are any indication, the market is expected to gain momentum from this point onward. Historically, after a weaker post-halving phase, a significant upward surge is needed to complete the cycle. Cycle Length Considerations: There is evidence suggesting that each crypto cycle is lengthening in terms of duration. This trend may reflect increasing institutional involvement, as longer cycles often point to a more mature and stable market 5/ Rate cuts are here! The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 50 basis points in their first rate cut since March 2020.This is now the most unexpected Fed decision since 2009. And lowered rates allow more money to flow into markets over time. and after btc pump we will have sweet alt party so buckle up and be ready for printing money
Long
by moonypto
Analyzing Liquidity Dominance: Key Data Insights The chart provided offers a comprehensive view of Liquidity Dominance within the cryptocurrency market, showcasing pivotal relationships between market activity, trading volume, and liquidity flow. This analysis dissects the chart and explores key patterns, trends, and their implications for traders and investors. Understanding Liquidity Dominance Liquidity dominance represents the proportion of trading volume, capital flow, or liquidity concentrated in specific assets or market sectors. It serves as a barometer for understanding market behavior, as it highlights where capital is being deployed or withdrawn. On my chart, liquidity dominance provides a lens into the dynamics between: Stablecoins (e.g., USDT): Representing safety and risk aversion. Altcoins: Capturing speculative capital. Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Indicating market confidence in Bitcoin versus other assets. Key Observations from the Chart 1. Stablecoin Liquidity Dominance (USDT.D) Current Trend: A noticeable decline in USDT.D suggests that capital is moving out of stablecoins, signaling increased risk appetite among traders. This typically aligns with bullish sentiment in the broader market, as investors allocate funds to Bitcoin or altcoins. Market Implications: If USDT.D continues its downward trajectory, we could expect a rally in cryptocurrencies, particularly in altcoins, as traders seek higher returns. A sudden reversal in USDT.D (spiking higher) could signal market uncertainty or panic, as investors flee to stable assets. 2. Bitcoin Liquidity Dominance (BTC.D) Current Trend: The relatively stable BTC.D indicates that Bitcoin retains its share of liquidity without significant outflows to altcoins. This suggests that while altcoins may rally, Bitcoin remains a primary safe haven for large capital. Market Implications: A breakout to the upside in BTC.D could signal a Bitcoin-led market cycle, often observed during early bull markets. A breakdown in BTC.D could indicate the onset of an "altseason," where altcoins outperform Bitcoin. 3. Altcoin Liquidity (TOTAL2 - Altcoin Market Cap) Current Trend: The chart indicates increasing TOTAL2 dominance, showing growing interest in altcoins. This suggests speculative capital is rotating from Bitcoin or stablecoins into altcoins, likely driven by expectations of higher returns. Market Implications: A continuation of this trend supports the idea of an emerging altcoin season, especially if TOTAL2 outpaces BTC.D consistently. If TOTAL2 stagnates or declines, it may signal profit-taking or reduced confidence in altcoin performance. Key Data Insights 1. Divergences Between USDT.D and BTC.D A strong divergence between USDT.D and BTC.D often highlights market turning points: Bullish Divergence: If USDT.D declines while BTC.D rises, it suggests strong confidence in Bitcoin leading the market, often a precursor to a bull run. Bearish Divergence: If USDT.D increases while BTC.D falls, it indicates risk aversion and capital flight to safety, hinting at potential market downturns. 2. Correlation Between TOTAL2 and USDT.D The inverse correlation between TOTAL2 and USDT.D is a critical marker: As TOTAL2 rises and USDT.D declines, it signals risk-on behavior with a focus on altcoins. If TOTAL2 falls alongside a rise in USDT.D, it could indicate market-wide selling pressure. 3. Price Action Confirmation The interaction of liquidity dominance with price action across key support and resistance zones provides confirmation of market sentiment. Key observations include: Strong resistance in BTC.D coinciding with declines in TOTAL2 could signal a Bitcoin-led consolidation phase. Support in TOTAL2 while BTC.D declines suggests capital rotation into altcoins, supporting a rally. Predictions Based on Current Trends Short-Term Outlook: With USDT.D trending downward, the market appears to be in a risk-on phase. If BTC.D remains stable while TOTAL2 gains dominance, altcoins are likely to experience significant upside. Medium-Term Outlook: A breakout in TOTAL2 above key levels would confirm altseason momentum, particularly if USDT.D continues to decline. However, if USDT.D rebounds sharply, expect market-wide corrections, with Bitcoin potentially absorbing most of the liquidity. Long-Term Outlook: Sustained declines in BTC.D combined with TOTAL2 growth could indicate prolonged altcoin outperformance. Conversely, a reversal in BTC.D dominance with stable USDT.D suggests a return to Bitcoin-led cycles. Strategies for Traders 1. Monitor Liquidity Flows Use the interaction between USDT.D, BTC.D, and TOTAL2 as a guide for market sentiment. Look for divergences between these metrics and price action to spot potential reversals. 2. Align with Dominance Trends If BTC.D is rising, focus on Bitcoin as the primary trade. If TOTAL2 gains dominance and USDT.D declines, shift focus to altcoins for higher returns. 3. Risk Management During periods of rising USDT.D, reduce exposure to altcoins and focus on stablecoins or Bitcoin. Use liquidity dominance trends to time entries and exits at major support and resistance levels. Conclusion My Liquidity Dominance chart provides a powerful framework for understanding capital flow dynamics across cryptocurrencies. The current trends suggest a risk-on environment favoring altcoins, but the stability of BTC.D implies Bitcoin remains a key player. Monitoring these metrics closely will help you navigate market cycles effectively, identifying both opportunities and risks as they arise.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Data_Driven_Trading
4
Bitcoin Breaks $97K Resistance: Path to $121K Unfolds!Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a significant pullback to the $90,940 level, which remains above the current support at $89,674 . This retracement has culminated in the formation of a robust inverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal indicator suggesting a potential upward trajectory. As BTC breaks through the resistance level of $97,273 , our focus shifts to short-term targets of $101,220 and $104,890 , with a long-term objective of $121,000. Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern The inverse head and shoulders pattern is a classic bullish reversal formation, indicating a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. It consists of three troughs: the head (the lowest point) flanked by two higher shoulders. The neckline, drawn across the peaks between the troughs, serves as a critical resistance level. A breakout above this neckline confirms the pattern, signaling a potential upward movement. Technical Indicators Supporting the Bullish Outlook Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average has recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a ‘golden cross,’ which is typically interpreted as a bullish signal. Volume Trends: There has been a significant increase in trading volumes since March, suggesting growing institutional adoption and investor interest. Market Sentiment and External Factors The recent U.S. presidential election outcome, favoring Donald Trump, has been perceived as positive for the cryptocurrency market. Expectations of a crypto-friendly administration have bolstered investor confidence, contributing to Bitcoin’s surge. Price Targets Short-Term: Given the current momentum and technical indicators, Bitcoin is poised to reach the short-term targets of $101,220 and $104,890. Long-Term: Sustaining this bullish trend could propel Bitcoin towards the long-term target of $121,000. Conclusion The convergence of technical indicators, favorable market sentiment, and the confirmation of the inverse head and shoulders pattern suggest a strong bullish continuation for Bitcoin. Traders and investors should monitor key support and resistance levels, along with market developments, to make informed decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by insidermike
BTCUSD - Cup&Handle - For BullishBTC is currently forming a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. If the price breaks above $73,800, it could potentially rise to $130,000 during its bullish cycle. Additionally, a bullish flag pattern suggests a price move up to $122,000, further supporting the potential for significant gains. Based on time cycles, BTC has yet to begin its post-halving bull run, adding further weight to the anticipated upward move. Note : This is not trading advice—it's for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Long
by Unknown_Trader007
BTC WHALES - 100K Club - The market is Looking Fishy!!!!! The BTC 100K Club: Cold Wallet Exchange Whales and Their Hidden Influence In the ever-evolving world of Bitcoin, much of the focus remains on price action, retail sentiment, and macroeconomic events. However, one often-overlooked yet critical element of market dynamics is the role of cold wallet exchange whales—specifically, the BTC 100K Club. These are four exchange-owned wallets that hold over 100,000 BTC each and have a proven track record of driving accumulation and distribution cycles. While many retail traders ignore their activity, these wallets serve as the silent architects of Bitcoin's major price movements. The Forced Market Top: Déjà Vu from $70K The current market is eerily reminiscent of the $70,000 peak, where a massive withdrawal of over 100,000 BTC from cold storage signaled a forced market top. That withdrawal period lasted approximately three months, during which the broader market turned highly bearish. Retail investors sold off their holdings amid fear and uncertainty, while these whales were quietly re-accumulating at lower levels. By the time the U.S. election came around, the whales had successfully regained their positions, and the price surged—obliterating retail bears in a bullish breakout. The Present Scenario: A Smaller-Scale Replay? Fast forward to today, and we are seeing a similar but scaled-down version of the $70K playbook. My tracker has identified a -39,914 BTC withdrawal from cold storage wallets, which aligns with the recent market top and signals the start of a correction phase. While retail sentiment continues to lean bullish, history shows that these withdrawals are often precursors to distribution cycles, where whales offload positions at higher prices. Accumulation: The Calm Before the Storm Despite the current bearish undertone, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains undeniably bullish. Just as the 100K BTC accumulation phase marked the bottom after the $70K top, we are waiting for similar accumulation signals before the next leg up. These accumulation events are not only indicators of whale confidence but also serve as the foundation for massive upward price momentum. Retail Bears Beware: Lessons from History One of the biggest mistakes retail traders make during these phases is underestimating the strategic moves of whales. As we saw after the $70K top, while many screamed "sell," whales quietly accumulated Bitcoin, setting the stage for the next bullish rally. The same dynamic could be playing out now. Those ignoring the signals from the BTC 100K Club may find themselves caught on the wrong side of the trade yet again. My Position and Outlook I accurately predicted this market top and exited 3quarters of my BTC positions at $99,000, securing substantial gains. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, but I am closely monitoring the BTC 100K Club for signs of accumulation. Once we see significant deposits back into cold wallets, it will likely signal the end of the correction and the start of a new accumulation phase. In the long term, there is no doubt that Bitcoin will break through the $100K psychological barrier. This is not just speculative optimism—it’s a conclusion drawn from years of observing whale behavior and market cycles. Retail investors would do well to track these cold wallet movements closely, as they provide a clearer picture of the market’s true direction than any sentiment-driven analysis. Conclusion: A Time to Observe and Learn The BTC 100K Club wallets represent some of the most powerful forces in the Bitcoin market. Their activity signals the onset of major market tops and bottoms, often weeks before price action reflects these shifts. As we wait for the next accumulation phase, retail investors should focus on learning from these cycles and preparing for the inevitable breakout that will likely take Bitcoin into new all-time highs. Whether you’re bearish or bullish today, one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey past $100K is only a matter of time. The question is, will you be ready?
by Data_Driven_Trading
BITCOIN TARGETING ALL TIME HIGHS - BTC LONG IDEAI projected and shared the idea that Bitcoin would reach $70,000 and potentially $73,000 within a few days. It happened in just two days! I hope you took the trade and made some profits, as I did. Now, I’m preparing to position myself with the expectation that we’ll reach all-time highs within a week or two. We recently broke a massive bearish trendline that has held since March 2024. Just before that, a daily demand zone formed, which helped break the trendline, making it a key area for me. Additionally, the equilibrium level of the bullish leg aligns perfectly with my point of interest. I expect the price to retrace to the daily demand zone, hit the discount Fibonacci area, test the trendline, and take off from there toward new all-time highs. Of course, I’ll be looking for lower time-frame confirmations before initiating a long position.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Where are we in the Bitcoin Cycle?Let’s break it down: 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle Count 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 🧵👇 1️⃣ 60-Day Cycle 📆We’re on Day 20 of the cycle. 💡 Around this time, a small retracement to the mid-cycle low is normal. But here’s the bullish twist: ⚡ In bullish cycles, the mid-cycle low is HIGHER than: The previous cycle low Even the next cycle low ✅ Translation? We’re STILL climbing this cycle! 🚀 Expect upside in the next 1–2 weeks. 2️⃣ Cycle Indicators 📊The 2W, 1W, 3D, and 1D indicators just hit 80—a level that usually triggers a price drop. ⬇️ This marks the top of the 1W cycle and could signal some short-term cooling off. Summary 🧠 🌱 Day 20 of a bullish cycle = Growth ahead. 🔔 Short-term pullbacks = Buying opportunities. 👀 Watch for continued upside over the next 1–2 weeks. Stay on the line. #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #TradingView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheStrategyMaster
1
BTC's Accumulation Phase: Identifying Cycles and Support ZonesH ello, BTC has been in accumulation since spring this year. The white dotted lines show the accumulation curves. There are multiple cycles, each with a pump and a dump arm. The cycles might be different in size, but they share the green bottom support zone where large investors prefer to buy. Bitcoin has a bullish cross signal from the MACD indicator at the bottom. However, the current price is far above EMA 20/50/100/200. Thus, a dip might manifest to correct the price per the EMAs. There's a high probability that players will buy the dip, though and the bull run can continue. I wouldn't buy now because of the potential dip and because the price's at the falling trendline resistance. I aim for long positions, but I'd wait for a correction first and closely monitor how the price reacts around the falling resistance. Regards, Ely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Elysian_Mind
Bitcoin Analysis Base On Eliott Wave Theor and Macro EconomicsBitcoin Projection Base On Technical Analysis Eliott Wave Theory & Macro Economics Target Price (Bullish Scenario) : 🔹$108.000 = Fibo Extend 1.272 🔹$134.000 = Fibo Extend 1.414 🔹$182.000 = Fibonacci Extend 1.618 INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Be Careful : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹BTC is now in the final Impulse Wave (Wave 5). When Wave 5 finishes, a deeper correction might happen DISCLAIMER : 🔹BTC might pullback before breaking out over $100K. 🔹 Fibo Extend 1.618 is hard to visit, it'll take a while & need some corrections. 🔹Consider trailing TakeProfit in $108K-$134K (In case BTC successfully breakout from $100K) 🔹Be careful of unexpected bad news. 🔹Watch US inflation rates during The FED's rate cuts, as higher liquidity will boost purchasing power and impact inflation. 🔹ETF's Inflow have entered too much, one day hedge funds will taking profit, be careful !. 🔹Donald Trump's company tax cut policy will impact to inflation. If it happens, The FED might have to stop rate cuts, or even raise interest rates.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by kelvin_gautama9
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis Key Levels & Pullback ExpectationBitcoin is currently trading at $95,452, having come very close to the $100,000 level as of November 21. As Bitcoin approaches this major milestone, it’s important to identify key support and resistance zones based on historical price action and technical analysis. Let’s break down the key levels to watch: $90,642 Resistance: As Bitcoin nears the $100,000 mark, $90,642 serves as an important resistance level. This zone falls within the $90,000-$95,000 range, which has historically seen significant price action. It’s common for Bitcoin to face consolidation or profit-taking near these levels, and whether Bitcoin can push past this resistance will be crucial in determining the next phase of price movement. $87,000 and $85,000 Support Levels: If Bitcoin faces a pullback after nearing $100,000, the $87,000 and $85,000 levels could act as potential support zones. These levels are based on the price action observed when Bitcoin approached similar areas in the past. While these specific levels haven’t been exact support points in prior cycles, they align with key price ranges where Bitcoin has experienced notable fluctuations. In a correction scenario, Bitcoin could consolidate at these levels before resuming its upward momentum. $82,500-$80,000 Area of Interest: The $82,500-$80,000 range represents a zone of interest in case of further downside movement. Historically, Bitcoin has seen price action around the $80,000 area, which could act as minor support during a pullback. This zone aligns with psychological levels and could be a point where traders look to accumulate before the next potential move higher. $68,000-$66,000 Pullback Zone: Major rallies often experience retracements and the $68,000-$66,000 range is a likely target if Bitcoin faces significant resistance near $100,000. This range corresponds to the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which are historically strong support zones. A correction into this area would allow for healthy consolidation before a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Conclusion : With Bitcoin testing the $95,452 mark, key resistance levels are near $90,642 and $95,000. If Bitcoin experiences a pullback, watch for support around $87,000-$85,000, with further potential for a deeper correction into the $82,500-$80,000 range. A more substantial pullback could target the $68,000-$66,000 zone. These levels will be crucial to understanding the next potential moves for Bitcoin. This analysis helps identify key levels to watch as Bitcoin approaches these critical price points. Keep an eye on these levels as the price action unfolds!
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Next BTC TargetsPrior to each major bull run, Bitcoin consolidated within triangle patterns, as seen in 2016–2017 and 2019–2020. These patterns signal periods of accumulation before explosive moves upward. Currently, the chart shows another breakout from a consolidation zone in 2023–2024, resembling the pre-halving behavior of earlier cycles. Historically, Bitcoin's price increases 10x to 20x from its bear market lows following halving events: 2016: From ~$500 to ~$20k (40x). 2020: From ~$3.5k to ~$69k (20x). If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory from its 2022 low of ~$16k, reaching $180k to $280k represents a 10x to 15x increase, which is consistent with prior cycles. The chart illustrates how historical patterns, halving events, and technical formations contribute to Bitcoin’s potential to reach $180k as a minimum and $280k as a maximum in the next bull cycle. These targets are plausible within the cyclical behavior and long-term growth trend of Bitcoin.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by xarprofit
Btc elliott wave analysisElliott wave is very subjective. even I have two or three analysis and shorterm frame it gets more possibilities. but here I think Eth price is way lower than btc price and also some of altcoins as well. because bitcoin just went up alone strongly compare to other altcoins. and eth is one of them. it didnt hit all time high yet. but at least it should reach around 4000 level i think. right now its at 3600 level. so if eth can go up while btc is tanking the price or going slowly up we can expect this two senario. one is we go up from here after short consolidation. second is we go up after one more dump. but either way i dont expect much drops because we dont have much bad news right now. in macro economy there are bunch of good news.. israel must end war before biden end his presidency because of political reason. trump will be president on Jan 20th. so untill that time we can expect btc price to hold its position. but after that it could be sell the news scenario. but after some big consolidation period we will start to go up again. if there is no bad news in macro economy
by Bincoti_trade