Btcusdanalysis
BTCUSD Testing Key Resistance Ahead of FOMC – Prepare for Volati🧠 Summary:
Bitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) is currently testing a major resistance zone around $95 000 -- this is a strong supply zone from February. We have a lot of macroeconomic data and FOMC meeting coming soon so be prepared for some volatility.
🔍 Key Levels:
- Resistance zone: $94 000 - $98 000
- Support zone: $86 000 - $83 000
- Major Support zone: $72 000 - $68 000
📅 Upcoming Events:
Tuesday (Today):
JOLTS Jobs Openings – est. 7.5M. A beat could signal a still-tight labor market, giving the Fed less room to ease.
Wednesday:
Q1 GDP: Expected at just 0.5% — soft, but likely already priced in.
Core PCE (MoM): Forecasted at 0.1%, which is soft and typically market-friendly, though this excludes post-tariff pressures.
Friday:
Non-Farm Payrolls: est. +130K
Unemployment Rate: Expected to hold at 4.2%
📊 Macro & Fed Context:
It currently seems unlikely that the FED's are going to cut rates this meeting. (see Forbes & USA Today ).
📈 Technical Outlook:
With no imminent policy shift from the Fed, Bitcoin may remain rangebound for the next few weeks. A break above GETTEX:98K would be bullish, but without a catalyst, there’s potential for a pullback — possibly toward the $72K support zone — before resuming upward momentum.
🧭 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
Patience is key here. I’m avoiding FOMO at current levels and waiting for clearer confirmation — whether that’s a breakout above resistance or a retest of major support around $72K.
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BTC/USDT 1H: Bullish Continuation Setup – Long Opportunity Above🚀 Follow me on TradingView if you respect our charts! 📈 Daily updates!
[
b]Current Market Conditions (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Price at $94,627, showing strong bullish momentum with a clear structure of higher highs and higher lows.
Hidden bullish divergence spotted on RSI, indicating potential for continued upside.
Market Makers appear to be accumulating aggressively, with strong buy pressure noted in recent price action.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $95,400 (Fair Value Gap area)
Support: $93,600 (FVG + prior resistance retest)
Critical Support: $93,200
Trade Setup (Long Bias):
Entry: Optimal between $94,200 – $94,400 zone.
Targets:
T1: $95,400
T2: $96,000
Stop Loss: $93,100 (safely below FVG and critical support).
Risk Score:
7/10 – Bullish market structure supports the setup, but proximity to local highs introduces moderate risk of short-term pullback.
Key Observations:
Accumulation signs present with bullish candle formations and volume increases.
RSI supports continuation, with hidden bullish divergence strengthening the setup.
FVG areas at $93,600 and $95,400 crucial for validating the move.
Recommendation:
Long positions favored with tight risk management.
Consider partial profit at $95,400 to de-risk, and leave a runner towards $96,000.
Watch price action closely around $95,400 for signs of rejection or breakout.
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Bitcoin bulls are on the offensive; is a correction ahead?Monthly bullish outside candle
Versus the US dollar (USD), Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to snap a two-month decline and pencil in a bullish outside candle on the monthly chart (textbook engulfing candles focus on the candle’s real bodies rather than upper/lower wicks). Additionally, it is important to observe that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to break the neckline of a double-top pattern, circling above the 50.00 level and indicating bullish interest.
Daily support calls for attention
Across the page on the daily timeframe, since coming within a stone’s throw of testing support at US$73,575, BTC/USD bulls have been on the offensive. Running above the 200- and 50-day simple moving averages at US$81,139 and US$86,425, respectively, as well as trendline resistance (taken from the all-time high of US$109,580) and resistance from US$88,622 (now possible support), this has unearthed the widely watched US$100,000 barrier as a possible upside target.
With monthly flow on the verge of establishing a bullish outside candle, and scope for additional outperformance evident on the daily chart to at least US$100,000, a retest of US$88,622 as support could prompt a bullish scenario. Consequently, a possible downside move in the short term might be on the table before targeting US$100,000 as per the red arrows.
H1 ascending channel in view
On the H1 chart, price action has been carving out an ascending channel since last week, taken from US$91,713 and US$94,676. This has helped identify slowing momentum, visible through price action, which was unable to reach the upper channel on two occasions (red circles). Decreased appetite for higher levels can also be observed through the RSI trending lower since hitting highs of 82.00.
Given the above chart studies, I feel a breakout beneath the current H1 channel would help reinforce the possibility of downside towards at least H1 support at US$89,677, conveniently sited nearby daily support mentioned above at US$88,622. And, assuming a move lower to the said support area, I would then expect bulls to attempt to make a stand and aim at higher levels: at least US$100,000.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Bulls Warming Up! BTC Aiming Higher – Are You Ready?Hi traders! Analyzing BTC/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is moving within a rising channel and finding support at key EMA levels.
🔹 Entry: 94,115
🔹 TP: 96,005
🔹 SL: 92,225
BTC is holding above the 100 EMA and respecting the lower boundary of the ascending channel. As long as price stays above 93,300, the bullish structure remains intact, pointing towards a potential move to the 96,000 area.
Volume remains stable, and the trend detector continues to signal a bullish bias. A break and close above 94,400 would strengthen the bullish momentum!
Watching closely for a confirmation of strength!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Large Investors Show Interest Through ETFs📊 Technical Analysis
BTC remains above $85 000 and holds the $91 500 level, so targets remain $98 000 and $108 000.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• US spot-ETFs drew $442 M on Apr 24.
• Network hashrate hit a 1 ZH/s ATH, underscoring record security.
• Major players are withdrawing Bitcoin from exchanges.
• MicroStrategy added 11 k BTC.
• DXY is at 3-year lows and yields are down.
• Post-halving issuance may meet only 20 % of ETF demand.
• Latin-American remittance use keeps expanding.
✨ Summary
Surging ETF inflows, record hashrate, shrinking float and broader adoption reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a move to 98-100 k while BTC stays above 91 500 USDT.
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btc on bullish move#BTCUSD price have now fully at third pattern which possible move will reach 96300 for price reverse.
Above 95376 have strong bullish range which will reach 96300 for sell retracment, stop loss 95500.
If the third pattern holds strong above 96300 then bullish may continue to move till 98k.
BTCUSDT: Bounce Incoming?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
-March 2024 resistance is now expected to act as a strong support level.
-The price has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a potential reversal from this zone.
-The 200 EMA on the 2-day chart is positioned as a strong dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish case.
We can expect a bounce from the $72-75k level.
Trade Plan for BTC/USD (30-Minute Timeframe)Market Context:
Price is currently in a downtrend, heading toward a strong demand zone.
There is a major supply zone above where selling pressure previously pushed the price down.
Entry Plan:
🔵 Buy Entry:
Wait for price to tap into the Demand Zone (around 93,000–93,400 USD).
Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wick, or structure break on lower timeframes like 5-min).
Enter a buy trade once confirmation appears.
🔴 Sell Entry:
If price reaches the Supply Zone (around 95,400–95,800 USD), wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection candles).
Consider selling if bearish signs are strong.
Stop Loss:
✅ For Buy Trade:
Below the Demand Zone (~92,800 USD), giving enough room for volatility.
✅ For Sell Trade:
Above the Supply Zone (~95,900 USD).
Take Profit Targets:
🎯 Buy Trade TP:
First Target: Previous minor resistance (~94,600 USD)
Final Target: Supply Zone (~95,400–95,800 USD)
🎯 Sell Trade TP:
First Target: Minor support (~94,600 USD)
Final Target: Back to Demand Zone (~93,400 USD)
Risk Management:
Risk only 1–2% of your trading account per trade.
Adjust position size according to stop loss distance.
Maintain Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:2 or better.
Important Reminder:
Always wait for clear confirmation signals before entering. Avoid forcing trades. Manage emotions and stick to your plan!
(BTC/USD)1H Chart Analysis –Bullish Breakout Setup Toward 98,000Technical Breakdown:
🔹 EMA 9
📉 Orange line (EMA 9 close): $93,233.68
➡️ Price is above EMA, showing bullish strength.
📦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
🔵 Zone: ~$92,000 - $93,000
🛡️ Acts as a support area — price could bounce here if it dips.
🚧 Resistance Zone
📍 Just above current price
📈 A breakout above this zone may trigger a bullish run.
🎯 Target Point: $98,000
🚀 Potential gain: +7.09%
📊 Strong upside target if breakout holds.
🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13
⚠️ Placed just below the RBR zone to minimize risk.
Trade Idea Summary:
🔽 Entry: On breakout above resistance
🎯 Target: $98,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13
📈 R:R Ratio looks favorable
Bitcoin Walks Into a Robust Resistance AreaFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish above the 50-period simple moving average at around $93,950. A doji candlestick on the daily chart signals potential consolidation or a bearish move.
Resistance spans from $94,990 to $99,420, suggesting a possible reversal. We recommend waiting for Bitcoin’s reaction before planning a strategy.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1H – Bullish Until Key Support BreaksHello guys!
Bitcoin continues to move inside an ascending channel after testing the main resistance zone around $95,700. Price action shows a slight correction while respecting the channel structure. Despite a "fake divergence" appearing on the RSI, the main trend remains bullish as long as the $90,900 support holds.
✅ If buyers defend this zone, we could see another leg higher toward the channel top and beyond the main resistance.
⚠️ However, if $90,900 breaks down, it would signal weakness, and short opportunities could emerge with a target toward the $86,400 zone and lower.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $90,900
Resistance: $95,700
BTCUSD - MY ONLY FOCUS FOR THIS WEEK!!INTRO
BTC has broken out of the descending Trendline just as anticipated but it's now trading at a premium, so let's breakdown the levels i'm watching and have a clear view on what to expect this week.
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
BTC has showed an impulsive move to the upside these previous weeks. While some might be thinking of jumping in on this buys that has been going on i think it's a bad idea to look for the buys to continue this new week because BTC is now trading at a premium level where buys are low probability(it might be a good idea to buy earlier in the week becaus price hasn't approached a key supply zone i'm watching out for) and i'm also anticipating for price to retest the Trendline before the major Buys.
2. KEY LEVELS I'M WATCHING
* Supply Zone: 96,400 - 98,700
(My major trade idea for this week is a sell on BTC so i'm only focused on the key supply zone)
3.TRADE BIAS & SCENARIOS
I'm Bearish on BTC this week but i'll be looking out for a buy earlier in the week from my H1 Demand Zone (91,600 - 92,400) into my supply zone(96,400 - 98,700). But if price trades to my Supply zone without getting to my H1 Entry point i'll cancel my buy order and focus only on the sell for the week.
4 FINAL NOTES
Stay patient and let price come to you and manage your risk when it does. Feel free to share your thoughts or setups in the comment.
Accumulation Underway: Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Be ViolentBitcoin has shown a strong recovery after reclaiming the 50 EMA, which had been a major dynamic resistance across multiple levels. After accumulating between $83,000–$87,000, BTC broke out sharply and is now consolidating again just below a major resistance zone at $95,000–$97,000.
The current price action shows another accumulation phase just under resistance — similar to the previous pattern before the breakout.
A clean breakout above this resistance zone could explode Bitcoin toward $100,000+.
On the downside, if rejection occurs, the 50 EMA around $87,000 could act as strong support once again.
Bitcoin Trading and Investment Strategy (April 2025)Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the mid-$90,000s after rebounding ~25% in April, with market sentiment shifting to greed. BTC’s dominance is high (~64%) as capital concentrates in Bitcoin over altcoins. On-chain data shows large holders (“whales”) aggressively accumulating, even as short-term traders turn optimistic. Below is an actionable strategy.
BTC broke out of a multi-month falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. On the 1H/4H charts, momentum is bullish: a textbook double-bottom formed on the daily with a neckline around $87,600 was breached, confirming upside targets near $100,600.
A bull pennant consolidation is visible on the 1H after the sharp rally, hinting at another leg up (measured move target ≈ $100,900 on breakout). Short-term EMAs (20/50) on 1H/4H have turned upward and are stacked bullishly, aligning with the daily 50 and 200 EMAs which have flipped into support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory without extreme overbought readings, leaving room for further upside. Volume has been steady to rising on upward moves, indicating buyers remain in control.
Immediate support lies at the breakout zone of GETTEX:87K –$90K (prior resistance now turned support). This area includes the daily double-bottom neckline (~$87.6K) and coincides with the top of the earlier consolidation range. Bulls want to see this zone hold on any pullback. Below that, secondary support is around $84K and roughly the 4H 200 EMA area.
Resistance is clustered at $94K–$95K (recent local high region). A 4H close above $95K with strong volume would likely trigger momentum buyers. Beyond there, $100K is a major psychological level and the short-term target from multiple patterns – importantly, a dense cluster of short seller liquidation levels sits around $100K, making it a “liquidity magnet” for market makers. Expect heavy order flow and possible volatility as BTC approaches six figures. Above $100K, minor resistance could appear near ~$102K (projected wedge target), then prior ATH ~$108K–$109K.
For longs, scale out profits in layers as BTC advances. First TP around $100K – just before the round number – to avoid slippage if a wave of selling hits there. If momentum is very strong, hold a portion for a possible extension to $102K–$105K (wedge target zone). A stretch goal for bulls would be the $108–$110K area (all-time high region), but tighten stops well before this level as profit-taking is expected near ATH.
If BTC falls back under the GETTEX:87K neckline after having broken out, it would negate the double-bottom breakout and likely accelerate downward. Thus, stop-losses for longs can be placed just below GETTEX:87K (e.g. $86K) to cap risk.
The breakout from the wedge/base was accompanied by a surge in volume, confirming institutional participation. Volume has not dried up on this rally – a positive sign that the trend could sustain. Overall, the daily chart structure sets the stage for a potential run back to five-figure territory (100K+), provided key support levels are defended.
Any dips into the high-$80Ks are buy-the-dip opportunities as long as BTC quickly reclaims $90K. Below GETTEX:87K , the next critical support is $80K–$84K. $84K was highlighted as a crucial level – failure to hold 84K during the last pullback would have signaled capitulation. It held then, so watch it on any retest.
Stop Loss:
Short-Term: 5–10% below entry ($90,000 for $92,500 entry).
Mid-Term: 10–15% below entry ($85,000 for $91,000 entry).
Long-Term: Monitor support ($80,000) but hold unless fundamentals deteriorate.
Position Sizing:
Short-Term: 1–2% of portfolio per trade.
Mid-Term: 5% of portfolio.
Long-Term: Up to 10% of portfolio.
Risk/Reward: Target 2R for short-term, 3R for mid-term, and let long-term investments ride based on fundamentals.
Not a financial advice. DYOR.
BTCUSDT Long-Term Projection – Accumulation Before Breakout?BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is currently in an accumulation phase, following historical liquidity grabs and retracements. The chart highlights key liquidity zones, Fibonacci levels, and potential price movements.
🔑 Key Observations:
Possible Accumulation Phase between $88,000 - $97,000 before a bullish move.
nPOC ($97,148) is a critical level—price may revisit before moving higher.
Liquidity Zones: 1-week, 1-month, and 3-month liquidity targets identified.
Fibonacci Levels: Watching the 0.618 ($96,965) and 0.786 ( $93,422 ) retracement levels for a potential dip-buy opportunity.
Long-Term Target: $120,000+ by the end of 2025.
💡 Will BTC accumulate before making a strong push to new highs? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀📈
BTC/USD) Short Setup: Triple Top Formation Targeting 86,023 USD You’re seeing a potential Head and Shoulders structure (or at least a triple top) — with the orange circles marking failure to break higher around $95K.
The neckline (support) is slightly diagonal down toward the $94K region.
A breakdown is anticipated once the neckline fails.
2. EMAs Interaction:
30 EMA (red) is currently flattening, showing weakening momentum.
200 EMA (blue) is far below, around 88,181 USD, acting as a major support zone — and it aligns with the projected EA TARGET POINT.
EMA compression usually precedes a strong move.
3. Zones and Key Price Levels:
Entry Point: ~95,145.60 USD → high-probability short sell.
Stop Loss: ~96,000–96,957 USD → protects against unexpected breakout.
Target: ~86,023 USD → aligns with past accumulation zone and EMA200.
4. Risk/Reward Ratio:
Potential reward is about 9–10%.
Risk (from entry to stop) is about 1–2%.
Excellent Risk/Reward (>4:1).
5. Momentum and Volume (implied, not shown):
Given the topping pattern and lack of higher highs, buying momentum is weakening.
If volume increases on a breakdown, confirmation will be strong.
📊 Strategic Points:
Aspect Analysis
Trend Still bullish, but topping signs visible
EMA Behavior Short-term EMA flattening, long-term EMA rising slowly
Pattern Formed Triple Top / Head and Shoulders
Risk/Reward Very good (>4:1)
Recommendation Short bias around entry level, with strict stop-loss
⚡ Quick Trading Plan:
Entry: Short at ~$95,145
Stop Loss: ~$96,000–96,957
Target: ~$86,023
BTC Setup: Scalp Shorts Active Below 97.5K BTC is currently facing strong resistance around the 97.5K area on the daily timeframe.
As long as BTC stays below 97.5K on a daily closing basis, I am expecting a potential pullback move.
📉 There is a chance of a wick or sharp move down toward the 92K zone, which could provide good scalp short opportunities.
📈 However, a clear breakout and daily close above 97.5K would invalidate this short idea and shift the bias back to bullish continuation.
Trade Plan:
🔻 Below 97.5K = Look for scalp shorts with strict risk management.
🔼 Above 97.5K = Exit shorts and watch for bullish setups.
Always remember: Protect your capital and stick to your plan! 🎯
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage your own risk before entering any trade.
#Bitcoin update , 100K or 88k?#Bitcoin has moved exactly as we anticipated over the past 36 hours.
The real test comes: BTC must break above $95,700 to target the $100K milestone.
This level also marks a major distribution zone on the lower timeframes, making it a tough but not impossible barrier to overcome.
⚡ If BTC gets rejected here, expect a potential revisit to sub-$90K levels.
I’ll keep updating this chart as the price action unfolds.
If you found this helpful, bookmark this post and smash the like button to stay in the loop!
Thank you
#PEACE