Btcusdanalysis
BTCUSDT Strong Bullish Channel!BTCUSDT (Day Chart) technical analysis update
BTC price is breaking the channel resistance on the daily chart after 220 days of formation. The price is trading above both the 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish move in the coming days. My next target is $100K. This is a perfect positional trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1:5."
Buy level: Below $66,000
Support: $58,500
Regards
Hexa
Why people losing there money even in the bull market?In a bull market, where prices are generally rising and optimism prevails, it’s easy to assume making money is straightforward. However, many people still lose money due to the following reasons:
1. Chasing Hype
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Investors buy at elevated prices because they don’t want to miss the rally, only to see prices correct.
Overconfidence in speculative assets: Buying trendy stocks or assets without proper research often leads to losses when the bubble bursts.
2. Lack of a Strategy
No exit plan: Many investors fail to take profits, thinking prices will keep going up indefinitely. When the market dips, they lose their gains.
Short-term mentality: Impulsive decisions without long-term goals can result in buying high and selling low.
3. Over-Leverage
Using borrowed money to invest amplifies losses if the market doesn’t perform as expected. When the market dips, leveraged investors are forced to sell to cover their debts.
4. Ignoring Fundamentals
Many buy overvalued stocks or assets without considering whether the price reflects the company's actual worth.
Following the crowd often leads to investing in overpriced or low-quality assets.
5. Emotional Trading
Fear and greed dominate decisions. For example, panic selling during minor corrections or buying excessively due to market euphoria.
6. Overtrading
Constantly trying to time the market or moving between assets leads to transaction fees and poor timing.
7. Falling for Scams
Bull markets often attract scams, like pump-and-dump schemes, fraudulent projects, or overly hyped Initial Public Offerings (IPOs).
8. Holding Through the Peak
Some investors fail to recognize when the bull market is near its end and hold onto assets through the subsequent downturn.
Even in a bull market, discipline, research, and a clear strategy are essential to avoid costly mistakes.
Best Regards 🎯
Another approach to the cycly using Gaussian ChannelIts been pretty interesting that bull markets have usually last about 1000 days. If we keep with that nature we could see as I mentioned multiple times before tops in 2025 and bottom prices around the last quarter of 2026. I drew what might be the future path of the Gaussian Channel in the upcoming two years. I hope you like it.
Bitcoin Set for Explosive Move After 220-Day Consolidation!BTCUSD has been in a 220-day range, similar to a previous consolidation period seen in early 2023. Historically, after such long-range trading, Bitcoin has experienced strong bullish breakouts, as shown by the green arrows. With the current range nearing its end, we could be on the verge of another significant upward move. Keep an eye on a potential breakout, which may signal the start of a new bullish trend.
Regards
Hexa
BITCOIN - Massive ascending triangle patternWeekly chart displays a massive ascending triangle ... we get a confirmation of the breakout since more than 3years
target projection is the vertical distance between the base (support at 0 fib level) and the horizontal resistance line of the triangle (it's represents a 1 fib level)
when apply this distance to the breakout point we will find 311k is the target of the pattern
and u will find this target matching with the 2fib level .. this isn't a coincidence
iam not saying that BTC will move directly upward to 300k ... Corrections will definitely occur during this journey.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin Nears $100,000 as China Clarifies Personal Crypto RightsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has been on a tear, recently surpassing the $99,000 mark. This surge has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty.
China's Crypto Clarity
One of the most significant developments for the cryptocurrency market has been China's clarification of its stance on personal crypto ownership. While the country has imposed strict regulations on cryptocurrency trading and mining, it has clarified that individuals are allowed to hold cryptocurrencies for personal use. This regulatory clarity has boosted investor confidence and could potentially lead to increased adoption of cryptocurrencies in China, the world's second-largest economy.
Institutional Adoption Continues to Grow
Institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, have been increasingly investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This growing institutional interest has provided significant support to the market and has helped to drive the price of Bitcoin higher.
Global Economic Uncertainty
The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including rising inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the potential for a recession, has led investors to seek alternative assets. Bitcoin, as a decentralized and inflation-resistant asset, has become an attractive investment option for many.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Outlook
Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart suggests that the cryptocurrency is in a strong uptrend. The recent breakout above the $99,000 level has further strengthened the bullish sentiment. Key technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), are signaling1 bullish momentum.
On-Chain Data Points to Further Upside
On-chain data, which analyzes the behavior of Bitcoin on the blockchain, provides further insights into the potential for future price appreciation. Metrics like the MVRV Z-Score, NUPL, and Puell Multiple suggest that Bitcoin is not overbought and has significant room to grow.
Challenges and Risks
While the outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, it is important to acknowledge the risks and challenges associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. These include:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and Bitcoin's price can fluctuate significantly in a short period.
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Changes in regulations can impact the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
• Security Risks: Cryptocurrencies are vulnerable to hacking attacks and other security threats.
• Technical Issues: Technical issues with the Bitcoin network could negatively impact its performance and price.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge to near $100,000 has been fueled by a combination of factors, including increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and growing global economic uncertainty. While the future of Bitcoin remains uncertain, the current bullish sentiment and strong technical indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency could continue its upward trajectory. However, investors should approach Bitcoin with caution and be aware of the risks involved.
Updating Bitcoin Target $1,000,000 - $3,000,000 by 2026
Criteria for Bitcoin prices to go beyond expectations have all arrived.
My previous target was $400,000 for September next year but I'm upping this.
1. We got the Spot ETF's launched and my models show a 5-20x per $1 effect on market cap.
2. We have a National US Reserve that will be launched / Including indiv States buying.
3. MSTR Has secured funding to buy up all the new supply coming onto the market from miners.
4. US Reserve bill + states could add 200,000 - 700,000 Bitcoin allocated per year.
5. The Red Legal wave is pathing way for a pro Bitcoin administration.
This is the part where the largest markets in the world flow into Bitcoin from Bonds, balance sheets, real estate
We're starting to see companies replicate MSTR's plan by adopting Bitcoin and Microsoft is in talks to do the same.
Things are about to accelerate and accelerate fast as the next stage of buyers is spot institutional and state buyers. This will be Bitcoin locked up and forgotten about for decades.
Forget the overleveraged bear market blow up from clueless retail, forget ever seeing a bear market in the next decade that will allow you to buy cheap Bitcoin.
This is it.
BTC The State NowHere’s a quick market update with a timeline and trend analysis :
- As always, it’s as simple as checking the colors and trends in the graphic.
- We’re currently in a phase of solid consolidation.
- The bull run hasn’t started yet, but in time, BTC is expected to go parabolic, as it usually does.
- The current cycle is taking longer to play out.
- The differences between 2020 and 2024 corrections are clear. Back in 2020, BTC was still maturing, not widely accepted, and impacted by the Covid crisis.
- In 2023, BTC has gained more recognition with ETFs, attracted wealthy investors, and is evolving into a true store of value.
- For these reasons, TheKing may be retracing, but it’s doing so with power and resilience.
- Everyone wants a piece of the cake, which is why Bitcoin's price remains elevated.
Just HODL and you'll be rewarded in the long run.
Happy Tr4Ding
How Do They Contribute to the Surge Above $100K on Deribit?A New Era of Crypto Adoption Dawns
The cryptocurrency market has been ablaze with bullish sentiment, and Bitcoin (BTC) has taken center stage. A particularly striking development has emerged from the derivatives market, with Bitcoin futures on Deribit trading above the $100,000 mark for contracts expiring in March, June, and September 2025. This unprecedented surge in futures prices signals a profound shift in market sentiment and underscores the growing anticipation for Bitcoin's long-term potential.
The Deribit Phenomenon
Deribit, a prominent cryptocurrency derivatives exchange, has become a focal point for institutional investors and traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin's volatility. The exchange's robust trading platform and deep liquidity pools have attracted diverse market participants, from hedge funds to retail traders.
The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit can be attributed to several factors:
1. Institutional Adoption: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. These institutions often prefer derivatives markets for their flexibility and risk management capabilities.
2. Regulatory Clarity: Increasing regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions, including the United States, has boosted investor confidence. As governments worldwide grapple with the implications of cryptocurrencies, a more favorable regulatory environment could further accelerate adoption.
3. Network Upgrades: Bitcoin's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Lightning Network and Taproot, are enhancing the efficiency and scalability of the blockchain. These improvements could lead to increased adoption and transaction volume.
4. Deflationary Nature: Bitcoin's limited supply and deflationary nature make it an attractive asset for long-term investors. As the demand for Bitcoin grows, its price is expected to appreciate over time.
A Glimpse into the Future
The $100,000 price level for Bitcoin futures represents a significant psychological barrier. Breaking through this level could further ignite bullish sentiment and attract new investors to the market. However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, short-term price fluctuations are inevitable. Investors should approach the market with a long-term perspective and be prepared for potential volatility.
The Road Ahead
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its role in the global financial system is likely to expand. The recent surge in futures prices on Deribit is a testament to the growing recognition of Bitcoin's value proposition. However, it is crucial to remain cautious and conduct thorough research before investing in cryptocurrencies.
Potential Challenges and Risks
Despite the bullish sentiment, several challenges and risks could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory:
1. Regulatory Uncertainty: While regulatory clarity is increasing, inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions could create uncertainty for investors.
2. Market Manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is susceptible to market manipulation, especially by large players with significant financial resources.
3. Security Risks: Hackers and cybercriminals pose a constant threat to cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets.
4. Economic Downturns: Economic downturns and geopolitical tensions could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.
Conclusion
The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit marks a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency market. However, investors should approach the market with caution and be aware of the inherent risks. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.1 Please conduct your own research2 or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
How Do They Contribute to the Surge Above $100K on Deribit?A New Era of Crypto Adoption Dawns
The cryptocurrency market has been ablaze with bullish sentiment, and Bitcoin (BTC) has taken center stage. A particularly striking development has emerged from the derivatives market, with Bitcoin futures on Deribit trading above the $100,000 mark for contracts expiring in March, June, and September 2025. This unprecedented surge in futures prices signals a profound shift in market sentiment and underscores the growing anticipation for Bitcoin's long-term potential.
The Deribit Phenomenon
Deribit, a prominent cryptocurrency derivatives exchange, has become a focal point for institutional investors and traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin's volatility. The exchange's robust trading platform and deep liquidity pools have attracted diverse market participants, from hedge funds to retail traders.
The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit can be attributed to several factors:
1. Institutional Adoption: A growing number of institutional investors, such as hedge funds and pension funds, are allocating a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies. These institutions often prefer derivatives markets for their flexibility and risk management capabilities.
2. Regulatory Clarity: Increasing regulatory clarity in major jurisdictions, including the United States, has boosted investor confidence. As governments worldwide grapple with the implications of cryptocurrencies, a more favorable regulatory environment could further accelerate adoption.
3. Network Upgrades: Bitcoin's ongoing network upgrades, such as the Lightning Network and Taproot, are enhancing the efficiency and scalability of the blockchain. These improvements could lead to increased adoption and transaction volume.
4. Deflationary Nature: Bitcoin's limited supply and deflationary nature make it an attractive asset for long-term investors. As the demand for Bitcoin grows, its price is expected to appreciate over time.
A Glimpse into the Future
The $100,000 price level for Bitcoin futures represents a significant psychological barrier. Breaking through this level could further ignite bullish sentiment and attract new investors to the market. However, it is important to note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains optimistic, short-term price fluctuations are inevitable. Investors should approach the market with a long-term perspective and be prepared for potential volatility.
The Road Ahead
As Bitcoin continues to evolve and mature, its role in the global financial system is likely to expand. The recent surge in futures prices on Deribit is a testament to the growing recognition of Bitcoin's value proposition. However, it is crucial to remain cautious and conduct thorough research before investing in cryptocurrencies.
Potential Challenges and Risks
Despite the bullish sentiment, several challenges and risks could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory:
1. Regulatory Uncertainty: While regulatory clarity is increasing, inconsistent regulations across different jurisdictions could create uncertainty for investors.
2. Market Manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is susceptible to market manipulation, especially by large players with significant financial resources.
3. Security Risks: Hackers and cybercriminals pose a constant threat to cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets.
4. Economic Downturns: Economic downturns and geopolitical tensions could negatively impact the cryptocurrency market.
Conclusion
The recent surge in Bitcoin futures prices on Deribit marks a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency market. However, investors should approach the market with caution and be aware of the inherent risks. As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, it is essential to stay informed and adapt to the changing landscape.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.1 Please conduct your own research2 or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
How Bitcoin BTC Will Break $100k And What Is Going Next?Hello, Skyrexians!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT is approaching the $100k, which is the key psychological level for many traders. Some traders are wondering how Bitcoin can pump so high, other became believe in $200k, $500k of even one million dollars per coin! For those who follow us it's not surprise that BTC has almost reached $100k from our previous analysis . There we mentioned that crypto asset is finishing the bull run with the wave 5. This wave had the target at $107k and we can define with higher accuracy the wave's end using subways count inside it.
On the daily time frame we can see the potential Elliott Waves counting. Looking at the maximum Awesome Oscillator value we can see that currently price is printing wave 3. This wave has the target with the 1.61, 2.61 or 3.61 Fibonacci extension levels. The first one has been broken, now price is at 2.61 level. Therefore, it can start local correction anytime now. The maximum target is $113k, which has the low probability of reaching in this wave 3.
We want you also to pay attention that Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator flashed the green dot just before the growth and at the bottom on August 5 as well. As always, alerts from this indicator can be automatically replicated on exchange account orders. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . We can expect the red dot as a potential reversal sign.
The next dump in our opinion is not going to be the end of this game, Bitcoin shall print wave 4. It has targets between 0.38 and 0.5 level. BTC usually tends to show the short correction, so $79k can be the correction target. After that we expect the final subway of the final wave, which will likely reach our target from previous article at $107k, but the decisive factors are going to be the bearish divergence of the AO and the red dot on our indicator.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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My Sentiment indicator gave a wrong signal? (PAID Indicator)market was sideways and i think it sensed it correctly.. but it add the charm when you add 9EMA or 20 EMA...
question : did it give a wrong signal?
Let’s break it down. The exit happened when the price moved out of the green background zone, transitioning into the neutral charting color, typically indicating a lack of momentum. However, we then saw a big green candle, which brought some momentum back. The indicator, thinking the trend could continue, generated a buy signal. But in the very next candle, the price started falling.
so basically when there is no red/green background it means sideways, where momentum, volume is lacking in the trend.
This is the first time I’ve noticed such behavior—a buy signal followed immediately by a downturn. Interestingly, this happened right at the top, where the market essentially trapped traders.
What do you think went wrong? This is why I sometimes incorporate the 9 EMA for exit or 20 EMA for additional confirmation like if price can be bullish again or change momentum. For example, if the market is above the 20 EMA, it generally signals bullishness.
However, I use the 9 EMA in my indicator as an exit signal to maximize profits and ensure timely exits.
Btcusdt to where?We can notice first of all head and shoulders and that was the reason for the last uptrend
If we count the distance from the head till the nick and we count it after passing the nick we can see that our first Goal on btc is at 105k so there will be the best Goal if it didn’t reflect from 99k which is a cluster of 270 and 540 angle of gann star counting from 3782.13 and 49k
Second thing is the volume, we can see that for the current uptrend the volume is going down so there is weakness with this trend so we are expecting a correction and the next correction will tell us if it will go on or it will be it’s last station
The last thing is that there is a trend line from last two tops till the current high and we can see that it closes as a daily candle three days above it but if we check on the weekly candle we can see that by the ending of this week it needs to close below it if it’s gonna be the last station but if it closes above this trend line I think that we will see continuing for the uptrend
BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target.
Technical Overview:
• Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum.
• Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend.
• Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel.
• Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action.
Fundamental Drivers:
1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory.
2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency.
3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets.
4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.