Btcusdanalysis
BTC/USD) breakout up trand analysis Read The ChaptianMr SMC Trading point update
bullish analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential breakout and rally scenario. breakdown:
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1. Market Structure:
Downtrend Channel: Price has been moving within a falling channel.
Double Bottom Pattern: Marked by two green arrows — a bullish reversal signal.
Breakout Attempt: Price is testing the upper trendline and 200 EMA (~$83,952), suggesting possible breakout.
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2. Key Zones:
FVG (Fair Value Gap): Around $78,678 — a demand zone where price could retest before moving higher.
Breakout Confirmation Zone: ~$85,130 — breaking above this with volume signals strength.
Target Point: $95,206 — an upside target projecting ~31.77% gain from the breakout.
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3. Indicators:
200 EMA: Currently acting as resistance. Break above it confirms bullish momentum.
RSI: Around 60 — pointing upward with bullish divergence from recent lows, showing increasing buying pressure.
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4. Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
Breaks above trendline and 200 EMA.
Retest (optional) and then heads toward $95,206 target.
Scenario 2 (Retest First):
Price dips into the FVG/demand zone.
Finds support and launches upwards, confirming a strong base.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a buy setup on breakout or on pullback:
Aggressive Entry: Break and close above $85,130.
Safe Entry: Pullback into $78,678 area (FVG).
Target: $95,206
Risk Zone: Below $78,000 (invalidates bullish structure).
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
$BTC Long Setup | Entry @ 90700 | 15-20x Leverage | DCA FriendlyLooking to long BTC from the 90,700 zone with a high-conviction setup on support.
Trade Plan:
Entry 1: 90,700
Leverage: 15-20x
Setup: Price holding above key support with bullish structure forming on lower timeframes
Note: Leave room for DCA if price dips further
Monitor closely for reaction around support — tight SL recommended for capital protection.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. DYOR and manage your risk accordingly.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Holds the Support Line📊 Technical Analysis
Price has broken the long‑term down‑trend and flipped the 84‑85 k supply zone into support; holding >83 k unlocks 92 k then 100 k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
BlackRock’s IBIT pulled in $186 M net inflows last week.
Spot‑ETF flows remain positive, even at 2025’s weekly low.
MicroStrategy bought 6 556 BTC at $84.8 k, giving 13 k+ institutions indirect exposure.
Network hashrate hit a record >920 EH/s and topped 1 124 EH/s earlier this month.
✨ Summary
A confirmed breakout, resilient ETF demand, corporate accumulation and record network strength align for a push toward 92–100 k.
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BTC/USD 1H – Bullish Breakout with FVG Entry & $91K TargetChart Breakdown:
📈 Trend Structure:
BTC is moving in an ascending channel with:
🔵 Resistance Line on top
🟢 Support Line below
🔁 Recently, it broke out above the resistance with a bullish move!
Key Zones & Levels:
🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
This is your potential buy zone:
✅ Entry Point: $86,135
❌ Stop Loss: $85,098
🎯 Target: $91,000
📌 Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into the FVG zone
Look for a bullish bounce ✅
Enter long at $86,135
Set your SL and target accordingly
Risk-Reward Setup:
Risk: Small (below FVG zone) ❗
Reward: Big upside toward $91,000 🚀
Gain Potential: +5.74% ($4,948 per BTC)
Visual Flow:
1️⃣ Price breaks resistance 🔼
2️⃣ Pullback expected to FVG 🔽
3️⃣ Entry triggers around $86,135
4️⃣ Targeting moon shot to $91K 🌕
Conclusion:
This setup shows a bullish continuation with solid RR.
If BTC holds the FVG on a retest, the move to $91K looks likely!
Bitcoin Is Following Our Trading Plan Hello, Skyrexians!
As we told you new impulsive wave to the new ATH has been started below 80k for BINANCE:BTCUSDT and now price found some resistance. Next 2-4 weeks will be very difficult for traders and holders and we will explain you why.
On the 4h time frame we can see the new impulse which shall consists of 5 waves. Awesome oscillator tells us that this is the wave 3 inside this impulse and it can be over because of target area according to Fibonacci. The wave 4 can retrace to FWB:88K and it can happen very soon, but this time altcoins promised to remain strong. The next growth will happen to $94-95k in the wave 5. Dominance can reach our final target at 66%. The further correction to 0.61 Fibonacci below $85k will cause the atlseason and after that altcoins will grow in the very short period of time with the growing Bitcoin.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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Forget Tariffs: Why Bitcoin Cares More About ETFs Than EarningsBitcoin's Great Decoupling: Why It Ignores Tariffs and Earnings, Fueled by Fundamentals and ETF Billions
In the complex tapestry of global finance, assets typically dance to the tune of macroeconomic news, central bank policies, corporate earnings reports, and geopolitical tensions like trade tariffs. Stocks rise on strong profits, bonds react to interest rate shifts, and currencies fluctuate with trade balances. Bitcoin, however, increasingly appears to be charting its own course, seemingly indifferent to the traditional market drivers that dictate the movements of legacy assets. This phenomenon, often termed "decoupling," isn't just a statistical anomaly; it's rooted in Bitcoin's fundamental nature and is gaining significant validation through the burgeoning success of US-listed Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
The core argument, as highlighted in recent market commentary, is compelling: Bitcoin's value proposition isn't tied to quarterly earnings calls, CEO performance, or the potential impact of import tariffs. It has no central bank adjusting its supply or setting its interest rate. Instead, its perceived value stems from a unique set of characteristics: verifiable digital scarcity capped at 21 million coins, a decentralized network resistant to single points of failure or control, and an emerging role as a neutral, global reserve asset in an increasingly politicized and fragmented world.
Fundamentals Over Fleeting News Cycles
Traditional assets are intrinsically linked to the health of economies and corporations. A weak earnings report can send a stock tumbling, while fears of a trade war can ripple through entire sectors. Bitcoin exists outside this framework. Its "earnings" are the security and finality provided by its blockchain; its "management" is the distributed network of miners and nodes enforcing consensus rules; its "monetary policy" is embedded in its immutable code.
This inherent separation means that while traditional markets might gyrate based on the latest Federal Reserve announcement or geopolitical flare-up, Bitcoin's trajectory is often more influenced by factors specific to its own ecosystem: adoption rates, network upgrades, regulatory clarity (or lack thereof), halving events that reduce new supply issuance, and, crucially, capital flows into vehicles that provide access to it.
The narrative suggests Bitcoin is maturing into something akin to a digital version of gold – an asset valued for its scarcity and neutrality, acting as a potential hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and systemic risks within the traditional financial system. In a world grappling with high debt levels, persistent inflation, and geopolitical instability (like the mentioned US trade war volatility), the appeal of a non-sovereign, mathematically scarce asset grows.
ETF Inflows: A Roaring Stamp of Approval
The most potent evidence supporting this decoupling narrative and Bitcoin's growing acceptance comes from the recent performance of US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Launched earlier in the year, these products represented a watershed moment, providing regulated, accessible exposure for institutional and retail investors alike through traditional brokerage accounts.
Recent data underscores their impact. On April 21st, these ETFs collectively witnessed their largest single-day net inflows since the initial launch frenzy in January, pulling in a remarkable $381.3 million. This surge in demand, with notable contributions like the $116.1 million flowing into the RK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), coincided directly with significant positive price action. Bitcoin decisively broke through previous resistance levels, reclaiming the $91,000 mark after a seven-week consolidation period.
These inflows are more than just numbers; they represent a tangible shift in capital allocation. They signal growing institutional comfort and strategic positioning in Bitcoin. Unlike speculative futures-driven rallies, inflows into spot ETFs reflect direct demand for the underlying asset, potentially building a more stable foundation for price appreciation. This influx suggests investors aren't just chasing momentum but are making longer-term allocations, viewing Bitcoin as a legitimate component of a diversified portfolio, independent of its correlation (or lack thereof) to other asset classes.
Price Action, Leverage, and the Path Ahead
The technical picture for Bitcoin has brightened considerably alongside these fundamental drivers. The recent surge saw Bitcoin break key bearish structures, establishing a higher low that many traders see as a potential launchpad for challenging previous all-time highs. The reclaiming of the $91,000 level was a significant psychological victory for bulls, reinforcing the positive sentiment fueled by the ETF flows. Market participants are now eyeing levels like the yearly open around $93,000 as the next major hurdle.
However, caution remains warranted. Analysts note that recent price surges have often been accompanied by significant leverage in the derivatives market. While leverage can amplify gains and accelerate upward moves, it also increases volatility and the risk of sharp liquidations if the market turns. The critical question is whether the consistent spot buying, particularly through ETFs, can absorb selling pressure and provide the underlying support needed to sustain these higher price levels. A rally built predominantly on leverage without corresponding spot demand is often viewed as less stable.
The comparison to gold's comeback potential amidst trade tensions is intriguing, but Bitcoin still needs to prove its resilience. While it has demonstrated periods of acting as a safe-haven asset, its correlation to risk assets like tech stocks can reappear, especially during broad market liquidity crises. The "decoupling" is not absolute, but rather a dominant trend driven by its unique value proposition gaining traction.
Conclusion: A Maturing Asset Forging Its Own Path
Bitcoin's recent performance, marked by significant ETF inflows and a price surge seemingly disconnected from traditional market anxieties like tariffs and earnings reports, lends strong support to the decoupling narrative. Its fundamental characteristics – scarcity, decentralization, and neutrality – are increasingly resonating in a complex global environment. The success of spot Bitcoin ETFs provides a regulated gateway for broader adoption and serves as tangible proof of growing institutional and retail demand, validating Bitcoin's role as an emerging reserve asset.
While challenges remain, including inherent volatility, regulatory uncertainties, and the need for spot demand to underpin leverage-driven moves, the trend is undeniable. Bitcoin is increasingly trading based on its own unique supply/demand dynamics and its perceived role in the future financial landscape, rather than simply mirroring the movements of traditional markets. It doesn't care about Q3 earnings or new import duties because its value proposition exists on a different plane. As capital continues to flow in via accessible vehicles like ETFs, recognizing its distinct properties, Bitcoin's journey towards becoming a truly independent, globally significant asset class continues, one block at a time.
Just In: Bitcoin ($BTC) Reclaims $90,000 The world's renown digital asset Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) surged nearly 4% today to reclaim the $90k resistant zone, amidst breaking out of a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern enroute to $100k.
Bitcoin for almost 1 month now has been swinging within the $80k price range, since losing it's $100k resistant in the month of February, 2025 but with increasing momentum a move to the $100k resistant doesn't seem far fetch because CRYPTOCAP:BTC has already broken the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle.
With the 4-hours RSI at 79, we may experience a respite before the major leap to $100k price point. Notable firms like Micro strategy and Michael Saylor the CEO were integral in this price movement.
The company purchased 6,556 CRYPTOCAP:BTC for ~$555.8 million at ~$84,785 per bitcoin and has achieved CRYPTOCAP:BTC Yield of 12.1% YTD 2025. As of 4/20/2025, Micro strategy holds 538,200 CRYPTOCAP:BTC acquired for ~$36.47 billion at ~$67,766 per bitcoin.
Notably, financial bodies like Standard Chartered Bank says Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) could reach a new all-time high due to concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence.
As of the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is up 3.70% currently trading at $90,715 per CRYPTOCAP:BTC setting the coast for $100k resistant.
However, on bearish tone, should CRYPTOCAP:BTC fail to pull up that stunt, a price correction might send CRYPTOCAP:BTC back to FWB:83K support.
Bitcoin & the Resistance...who will win?Its early 2025 any Bitcoins hashrate is hovering around 1000 EH/S! The computational power is becoming staggering. Has anyone considered the sci-fi world we currently live in and how that might affect BTC in the future? I like the version of the new matrix where a truly decentralized, pro human AI program is released on the bitcoin network to grow...lol
The future and perps markets determine bitcoins price now. There are fewer coins in circulation so everything is leveraged. Be mindful of massive head fakes but like the $96200.00 area for resistance. Might be a nice area to short for a 5x leveraged scalp...
Not financial advice and crypto has unique risks that usually end of you losing funds. Have fun and learn.
Bitcoin Tests March HighsBTC tests March highs after 2 weeks of bullish price action and a double bottom / reversal pattern on Apr 9.
Currently testing significant price levels around FWB:88K and 1D 200MA, a decisive break above could signal a push towards $92k.
Failing to reclaim FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K could lead to a retest of $85k - $86k before attempting to reclaim previous R as S.
BTC is in strong support area based Fib RetracementHi again, for a long time I don't share my ideas here, so I'm trying to consistent share my thought here.
Technical
BINANCE:BTCUSD in strong support line based Fib Retracement on $76,113.25 (on daily Timeframe)
The price currently below the EMA 200
MACD still doesn't give the sign to long
BTC Dominance still high (60.39% based on Coinstast )
Macro
Based on similiar correlation with S&P500, it's still give no good sign to bounce back (it maybe going deeper)
About the global economy, US Tariff still give the global uncertainty and cold vibes haha
Summary
If you going long term, maybe you can go buy BTC in small size, is a good price to add the collection
If you going short term, I think it will be go deeper first
Thanks for your time!
I hope everyone have a good time and good health!
BTC short term Wave countAnalyzing a Bitcoin (BTC) form Wyckoff schema in a 4H chart.
We can’t determine if it’s an accumulation or distribution yet. Based on MACD and Elliott Wave Theory, I believe the chart will follow a similar pattern. However, time will determine the outcome. If BTC declines and accumulates within a shorter time frame of Elliot support levels, it could be a long trade opportunity.
(This analysis is not financial advice. Your actions are solely your responsibility.)
BTC Current Situation!Hello traders,
Here's a quick update on BTC in the 3-day timeframe:
BTC has rebounded from the lower support level but is currently facing resistance at the 21 MA near $86K. The candle needs to break above this resistance to confirm the continuation of the rebound. Failure to do so may result in a rejection, potentially dragging the price below $80K.
Strategy:
~ Accumulation: $74k to $80k.
~ Short-term Target: $100k.
~ Mid-term Target: $130k.
~ Long-term Target: $150k and above.
Note: Always do your own research analysis before investing.
Bitcoin RSI Cooldown Before $88K? Key Support Levels to WatchBitcoin is showing strength towards the $88,000 mark, but the RSI on the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes is significantly overbought, signaling the need for a healthy retracement.
I’m expecting CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback to the RSI 50 midline, which could align with a price retrace to around $85,000–$83,000. If BTC loses the $85K level, FWB:83K comes next. A deeper retest could bring it back to $80K, which may serve as a high-conviction long zone.
Trading Plan:
Short scalp while RSI is overheated.
Long entries: $85,600 zone if structure holds.
Keep your eyes on volume and RSI reaction near key levels.
Bitcoin’s Breakout Blueprint: Eyeing $92KAs of April 20, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $84,500, having recently tested the $92,000 level multiple times. This price point is significant, serving as both a psychological barrier and a technical resistance level.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance and Support Levels: Bitcoin has encountered resistance near $92,000, a level that has been tested repeatedly. A sustained move above this could open the path toward $100,000 and potentially $108,000, the previous all-time high from December 2024. On the downside, support is observed around $85,650, aligning with the 200-day EMA. Further support lies at $78,000 and $74,500, marking previous consolidation zones.
Chart Patterns: The formation of a bullish pennant on the daily chart suggests potential for an upward breakout. If confirmed, this pattern could propel BTC toward $137,000 by Q3 2025.
Volume and Momentum: Recent trading volumes have been moderate, with a slight uptick during price advances, indicating growing buyer interest. Momentum indicators, such as the RSI, are neutral, leaving room for further price movements in either direction.
Fundamental Factors:
Institutional Inflows: Significant capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs, exceeding $70 billion, have been observed, reflecting strong institutional interest.
CryptoRank
Macroeconomic Environment: Liquidity injections by the U.S. Treasury, amounting to $500 billion since February 2025, have increased market liquidity, which historically correlates with Bitcoin price appreciation.
Halving Effect: The April 2024 Bitcoin halving event has reduced the supply of new BTC, a factor that has historically led to substantial price increases in subsequent months.
Mid-Term Outlook:
Considering the technical and fundamental factors, Bitcoin's mid-term target remains at $92,000. A decisive break above this level could lead to a retest of the $100,000 psychological barrier and potentially higher targets. However, failure to maintain support above $85,650 may result in a consolidation phase or a retest of lower support levels.
Investors should monitor key resistance and support levels, institutional investment trends, and macroeconomic indicators to assess Bitcoin's trajectory in the coming months.