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Btcusdanalysis

BTCUSD Analysis StrategyToday's Bitcoin market shows the dual characteristics of technical correction and cautious market sentiment. The short - term risk is inclined to the downside, but there is still rebound potential in the medium - and long - term. The fact that the price of Bitcoin has fallen below $84,000 does not mean the end of Bitcoin. Instead, it is just a part of the market operation. For investors, the key to success lies in understanding the underlying factors of the market and correctly assessing the risks and opportunities. In a market full of uncertainties, only by staying calm and conducting rational analysis can one seize the future opportunities. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 Finally, I'd like to remind every investor that the cryptocurrency market is inherently highly volatile, and every decision you make may have an impact on your investment returns. In this rapidly changing market, what we need is not just luck, but also a keen mind. You are all welcome to follow me. Let's discuss the future of Bitcoin together. Perhaps it is through the collision of ideas between you and me that we can gain a clearer understanding of this market.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
BTC/USDT Futures: Testing Key Resistance – Breakout or Rejection 1. Trend Direction: Bitcoin is in a downtrend with a descending trendline acting as resistance. Price is currently testing resistance at $84,000 - $85,000. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: Around $84,500 - $85,000 (purple zone), aligned with the descending trendline. Support: Strong demand near $80,000 - $81,000. 3. Potential Breakout or Reversal Points: If BTC breaks above $85,000 with strong volume, it could trigger a bullish breakout. If BTC fails to break resistance, it may reject and retest support at $80,000. 4. Entry & Exit Points: Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above $85,000. Take Profit (TP): $88,000 - $90,000. Stop Loss (SL): Below $83,000. Short Entry: If price rejects resistance and shows bearish signals. TP: $81,000 - $80,000. SL: Above $85,500. 5. Risk-Reward Assessment: Breakout trade offers higher reward, but must be confirmed with volume. Short trade has safer risk management if rejection is confirmed. Final Thoughts: Bullish scenario: Break above $85,000 → Targeting $88,000+. Bearish scenario: Rejection at resistance → Retest $80,000. Watch for volume confirmation and candlestick patterns before entering. BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P Would you like further insights or adjustments? 🚀
by bimasandi
BTCUSD SELL PATARAN Resistance Zone (Red Box at ~$85,000) The price has reached a strong resistance level. A double-top pattern is forming, suggesting a potential reversal. There is a rejection from the resistance zone, indicating selling pressure. Support Levels (Blue Boxes at ~$83,000 & ~$81,500) If the price breaks below the minor consolidation, it may test the first support level (~$83,000). A further breakdown could push BTC towards the second support (~$81,500). Trendline Support (~$79,000 - $80,000) The red trendline suggests BTC may find stronger support around $79,000, aligning with a potential descending move. Bearish Scenario (If resistance holds) BTC fails to break above $85,000. A reversal pattern (double top) leads to a breakdown to support levels. A possible downward trend towards trendline support at ~$79,000. Bullish Scenario (If resistance breaks) If BTC breaks and holds above $85,000, we may see continuation towards $87,000 - $89,000. Confirmation would require strong volume and a retest of resistance turning into support. Conclusion: Currently, the chart leans bearish unless BTC breaks above $85,000 convincingly. Watch for support reactions and confirmation of a breakdown before shorting. If BTC holds above $85,000, a bullish continuation is possibl
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
BTC Today's strategyToday, Btc is like a well baby constantly hovering around 84,300. However, we all know that it can be deadly at any time, just as we know that its price will rise. We are merely trying to make some money in the process. BTC 🎁 Buy@83800 - 84000 🎁 SL 83500 🎁 TP 84800 - 85000 If you're struggling to find direction or generate profits in finance, I'm here to help. As a seasoned financial analyst, I'm great at decoding market signals for profit - making chances. I'll customize a plan for you. Contact me now to start seeing financial gains!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
Falling wedge found on Daily TimeframeYou're absolutely right, the falling wedge pattern often suggests a potential breakout to the upside, but it's important to be cautious. That "bleed off" to around 70k could still be part of a larger consolidation before a big move. If we break down out of the wedge, it would definitely signal more bearish market sentiment, especially considering the broader macro risks you're highlighting like geopolitical instability, health crises, and climate concerns. It's a bit of a nerve-wracking but exciting situation, especially with the unpredictable nature of markets these days. How are you thinking of positioning yourself in this scenario? Holding out for the breakout, or preparing for the downside risk as well?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by frmnCapital
BITCOIN 50 & 100 SMA Patterns since 2014 -UPDATE - ATH in Q4 ?This is a long post but please read it all, there are some Major things to take note of. The Main item in this post is the day counts between 50 SMA ( RED ) and 100 SMA ( BLUE ) and the days between Cross overs of these. The upper day counts on the chart, count from ATH to when 50 crosses below the 100. Then from that point to when the 50 Crosses back Above the 100 And then, in Grey, the number of days from Cross over to ATH From 2014 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 504 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 406 days And from that point to the 2017 ATH = 560 days From 2017 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 448 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 284 days And from that point to the 2021 ATH = 686 days ( I am using the Nov 2921 ATH as it was the higher price ) From 2021 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 308 days When the 50 returned Above the 100 = 441 days And from that point to the 2025 ATH = The average of the 2 previous is 623 days and takes us to a possible ATH in August, though I feel this is too soon. If we Look at the day count from ATH to 50 dropping below 100 From 2014 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 504 days From 2017 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 448 days From 2021 ATH to 50 dropping Below = 308 days Could this point towards around 200 days after ATH in 2025? ( This reduction in day count is most likely due ti rapid Profit taking. ) What is interesting is how, on Both the 2014 - 2017 and 2017 - 2021 ATH it was approx 1005 days between the 50 rising above the 100 to when ot fell back below after an ATH. This is Despite a variation in the days count between SMA cross overs. Using this day count and projecting forward, maybe we can expect the 50 to drop back below the 100 in August 2026, next year Using the day count from ATH to when 50 Drops below, that was mentioned above, that is around 200 days after ATH and using that August date just mentioned, We are projecting a Cycle ATH in Feb 2026 ! This is NOT a realistic date if we are to remain in the patterns of ATH in late Q4, that we have had every previous cycle. As I pointed out in a post yesterday, the traditional patterns of Bitcoin HAVE to change this year. And to many extents, they already have begun. Take a Look at the angle of ascent of the 50 and 100 SMA's since 2014. Each cycle has seen a reduction of Steepness of Rise.... A slowing down on trajectory and this is most likely caused by the increase of price of a Bitcoin. The more expensive it gets, the heavier it is to move PA higher. So far this cycle, PA has landed on the 50 SMA twice and we are SO Close to doing that again. This has NEVER happened before. In 2021, we did it once and bounced to the Nov 2021 ATH, so far this cycle, we have done that twice. This ARE CHANGING and for this to continue, we do need to see PA Bounce again off the 50, when the Bulls are ready. The ATH in Q4 is open to question as a result. It may happen anytime from Late Q3 to Late Q1 2026 And we are only going to find out when it happens. But be aware f things changing. Because they are and so using History may become unusable....a bit like Price discoveryIt will become Trend discovery Enjoy
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup – March 15, 2025This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading setup on a 30-minute timeframe from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 📌 Entry Price: 84,375 📌 Stop Loss: 85,500 (Red Zone - Risk Area 🚨) 📌 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 83,429 TP2: 82,640 Final Target: 81,259 🔍 Analysis: The trader is setting up a short position (expecting BTC to decline). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) seems favorable, as the target is much lower than the stop loss. If BTC drops below 83,429, further declines toward 81,259 are expected. If BTC breaks above 85,500, the trade is invalidated. 🛑 Conclusion: A bearish trade setup looking for BTC to decline. 📉 Watch for confirmation of downward movement before entering.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
BTCUSD, Are we going to face 35% Correction ?!If we take a look at previous 2 notable cycles we easily notice similarities. From these 2, 2022-2024 looks more similar to 2016-2017, as long as we had - Breakout of downtrend line. ✅ Reaccumulation zone. ✅ Testing major bear market impulse (Which in all cases became strong resistance). ✅ What we didn't experience is correction after these 3 moves. In 2016 it was around 40% (Tested reaccumulation zone) In 2019 it was around 53% (Tested major support / resistance zone). As long as current market structure somewhat repeats 2016 move, have possibility to retest top of after trend line breakout reaccumulation zone, which sits around 33-32k. Percentage wise it's around 35% from ETF top and 23% from current price. What you think ?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Zazuna
2
XLMUSDT - JUST ANOTHER IDEA OKAY!Crypto trends been down for awhile after all those uptrend euphoria failed badly.. The more you see those influencers on youtube hyping some coins, of course it crashed at some points, after all that is what those big power institutes wanted to suck all the money inflow, and especially they killed off people who wanna get rich quick who went for high leverage trades.. even with just 2X you will get liquidized with 50% drop for altcoins.. So enough said, if another crash is expected, probably it s going to be the bottom,.. so we can expect great recovery.. I am not an expert, but as XLM being down beautifully as it seems like a flag pattern, so we can expect rebound for XLM some where @0.191.. and expecting higher-high at bigger time frame.. How high? for now no body knows.. So, trade wisely and don't forget your stoploss.. Have a nice day & Happy trading guys!~
by berryviano
BTC SHORT TP:77,000 13-03-2025Bitcoin has broken a significant accumulation zone that was set for an upward movement, now indicating bearish signals. We will look to enter a short position between the 82,000 - 83,000 range, with a take profit set at 76,000 - 77,000. This analysis is based on 4-hour and 2-hour timeframes, so we anticipate that this will unfold within 25 to 30 hours. If the expected movement does not occur within this timeframe, the trade will be deemed invalid. Make sure to follow me to stay updated and continue maximizing your profits!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
Bitcoin, S&P, Gold: Market Decline & DivergenceThe intricate dance of financial assets often reveals hidden correlations and predictive patterns. Recently, the synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has raised concerns, while gold's historic rally has left Bitcoin trailing. However, a deeper dive into the data suggests a potential turnaround, hinting at a shift in market dynamics. For much of the past few years, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong correlation with the S&P 500, behaving as a risk-on asset.1 When the stock market surged, Bitcoin often followed suit, and conversely, market downturns typically coincided with Bitcoin's price depreciation. This correlation stems from shared macroeconomic drivers, such as interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and overall investor sentiment. The recent parallel decline reflects anxieties surrounding persistent inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, this synchronized movement doesn't tell the whole story. While Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have been grappling with downward pressure, gold has embarked on a remarkable rally, reaching unprecedented heights. This surge is fueled by several factors, including substantial inflows into gold ETFs, escalating geopolitical tensions, and heightened market volatility. Gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset has been reaffirmed, as investors seek refuge from the turbulence in equity and cryptocurrency markets. The divergence between Bitcoin and gold is particularly striking. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, a metric that reflects the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold, has broken a 12-year support level. This breach signals a significant shift in investor preference, with gold emerging as the dominant asset. The recent climb of gold to a hypothetical $3,000 mark (or equivalent in other currencies) further underscores this trend, demonstrating its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty. The observed pattern of Bitcoin breaking its multiyear uptrend against gold bears a striking resemblance to the market behavior witnessed between March 2021 and March 2022. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a similar decline relative to gold, ultimately leading to a substantial drop in its dollar value. This fractal pattern suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for further depreciation, potentially falling below the $65,000 mark. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that historical patterns are not infallible predictors of future performance. Market dynamics are constantly evolving, and unforeseen events can significantly alter the trajectory of asset prices. While the current data points towards a potential decline for Bitcoin, there are countervailing factors that could trigger a reversal. One such factor is the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. As more institutional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, the market may become less susceptible to short-term fluctuations driven by retail sentiment. Moreover, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a decentralized store of value remains a compelling narrative for many investors. Additionally, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. As governments and regulatory bodies establish frameworks for the operation of digital asset markets, investor confidence may improve, leading to renewed interest in Bitcoin. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is also anticipated to reduce the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which could potentially drive up its price. While the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may persist in the short term, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest a potential decoupling in the long run. As the cryptocurrency market matures and gains wider acceptance, its correlation with traditional asset classes may weaken. The recent divergence between Bitcoin and gold highlights the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. While gold has proven its resilience in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin offers the potential for substantial returns in the long term. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when allocating capital to these assets. The breakdown of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is a concerning indicator, however, the cryptocurrency world moves quickly. The market is driven by new innovation, and adoption. The market has been known to have large pullbacks, followed by even larger rallies. The current market may be pricing in a large amount of fear, and a simple change in the news cycle could cause a large change in the price of bitcoin. In conclusion, the current market dynamics present a complex picture. The synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, coupled with gold's historic rally, suggests a potential downturn for Bitcoin. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and a maturing regulatory landscape, could trigger a reversal. Investors should remain vigilant, monitor market trends, and make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the underlying fundamentals. The data suggests a potential turn around, but only time will tell if the market will comply.
by bryandowningqln
$84K BTC Battle, ETF Resilience, and Macroeconomic ShadowsBitcoin's journey remains a captivating saga of volatility, resilience, and the interplay of technical indicators and macroeconomic forces. Recently, the cryptocurrency surged past $84,000, reigniting bullish sentiment, but faces a critical test at a key resistance level.1 This surge, fueled by a broader rebound in risk assets, pushed BTC above its 200-day moving average, a pivotal benchmark for assessing long-term trends. However, this bullish momentum is juxtaposed with significant selling pressure, ETF outflows, and lingering concerns about regulatory and macroeconomic landscapes. The 200-Day Moving Average: A Battleground for Bulls The 200-day moving average is a widely recognized technical indicator that provides insight into the long-term trend of an asset. For Bitcoin, consistently closing above this level signifies a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. The recent breach is a positive sign for bulls, indicating renewed confidence and potentially attracting further investment. However, a sustained close above this level is crucial to solidify the bullish outlook. The importance of this level is highlighted by the narrative that a weekly close above this average would confirm a market bottom. This emphasizes the significance of longer timeframes in validating trends in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market. $86K or $65+K: A Price at a Crossroads Bitcoin's price currently finds itself at a critical juncture. The immediate challenge is breaching the $86,000 resistance level. A successful breakout could pave the way for further gains, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards new all-time highs. Conversely, failure to overcome this resistance could lead to a pullback towards the $65,000 support level. This range represents a crucial battleground for bulls and bears, with the outcome likely to determine the short-term trajectory of Bitcoin's price. MVRV Ratio: A Potential Reversal Indicator The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is another key metric that investors closely monitor. It compares Bitcoin's market capitalization to its realized capitalization, providing insights into potential overbought or oversold conditions. A high MVRV ratio suggests that Bitcoin is overvalued and prone to a correction, while a low ratio indicates undervaluation and potential for a rebound. The MVRV ratio nearing a key level suggests that a major reversal could be imminent, adding another layer of complexity to Bitcoin's current price action. ETF Resilience Amidst Volatility Despite a 25% price drop, Bitcoin ETF investors have maintained a relatively strong stance. This resilience is reflected in the collective $115 billion in assets under management by US Bitcoin ETFs. This demonstrates the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin and the increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate asset class. However, since mid-February, Bitcoin ETFs have witnessed total outflows of nearly $5 billion. This outflow points to a potential shift in investor sentiment, possibly driven by concerns about market volatility or macroeconomic uncertainties. The strength of the ETF market is a double edged sword. While significant holdings demonstrate institutional buy in, large outflows can increase sell pressure on the underlying asset. Selling Pressure and Macroeconomic Shadows Bitcoin's recent decline is attributed to intensified selling pressure, reflecting a broader trend of risk aversion in the market. This selling pressure is exacerbated by concerns about the potential impact of digital currencies on traditional banking systems. Banks are increasingly weighing the implications of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, leading to regulatory scrutiny and potential policy changes. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors continue to weigh on investor sentiment. Concerns about inflation, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions are contributing to market volatility and impacting the demand for risk assets, including Bitcoin. Presidential Policy and Market Sentiment A presidential policy aimed at creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve initially sparked optimism among investors. However, this initial enthusiasm waned, highlighting the complex interplay between policy announcements and market reactions. While such policies can signal government acceptance of cryptocurrencies, they may not always translate into immediate price appreciation. The market's reaction suggests that investors are more focused on broader macroeconomic trends and regulatory clarity. The lack of sustained positive impact from the policy announcement underscores the importance of addressing fundamental concerns about Bitcoin's long-term viability and regulatory framework. Navigating the Volatility Bitcoin's current situation highlights the inherent volatility and unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. Investors must remain vigilant and adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. The interplay of technical indicators, ETF flows, and macroeconomic factors creates a complex landscape that requires careful analysis and strategic decision-making. In conclusion, Bitcoin's battle at $84K, coupled with the resilience of ETF investors and the shadow of macroeconomic uncertainties, paints a picture of a market at a critical juncture. The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can sustain its bullish momentum or succumb to renewed selling pressure. Understanding the interplay of these factors is essential for navigating the volatile world of cryptocurrency investing.
by bryandowningqln
Btcusd support for pullback This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price analysis on a 1-day timeframe (from Coinbase) includes key technical indicators: 1. Double Top Formation – Marked at the resistance level, this pattern typically signals a potential price reversal. The price failed to break above this level twice before declining. 2. Resistance Level – A trendline acting as a strong resistance, previously rejecting price movements. The chart suggests that Bitcoin needs to break through this level for further bullish momentum. 3. Support Zones – Two green zones indicate key support levels where buying pressure has historically increased, preventing further declines. 4. Projected Price Action – The analysis suggests a short-term decline towards support, followed by a bullish rebound. The price is expected to test resistance again and potentially break out toward $104,283. 5. Volume Profile – The right side of the chart shows the volume traded at different price levels. Higher volume zones indicate strong areas of interest for buyers and sellers. Overall, this analysis suggests a temporary dip followed by a potential breakout to new highs, contingent on Bitcoin holding support and overcoming resistance.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
2
BTC/USDT Trade Setup & Analysis – Key Support Bounce & TargetsSupport: The lower purple zone indicates a strong support level where the price has bounced. Resistance: The upper purple zone marks a resistance area where price has been rejected multiple times. 2. Moving Averages: 200 EMA (Blue): At 82,800.42, acting as dynamic resistance. 30 EMA (Red): At 82,090.72, indicating short-term trend direction. 3. Trade Setup: A long position is planned from the current support level. Entry: Around 80,026.98 (near support). Stop Loss: Around 76,980.09 (below support). Take Profit Targets: TP1: 81,636.34 TP2: 82,800.42 (near 200 EMA) TP3: 84,481.83 TP4: 86,260.26 Final Target: 88,297.36 4. Conclusion: The setup expects a bounce from support with a target back towards resistance levels. Breaking 82,800 (200 EMA) is crucial for further bullish momentum. If the price falls below 80,000, the setup might get invalidated. Would you like a deeper breakdown on any part? 🚀
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE