Btcusdanalysis
Bearish Bitcoin Move Looms Ahead of FOMC VolatilityThis week is expected to bring heightened volatility to the Bitcoin market due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which typically impacts financial markets significantly. Bitcoin is currently trading at 101,958.3 USD, down 0.57% in the session, and is within a key zone of interest, 102k–96k, which could act as a magnet for price movements due to the significant liquidity below these levels. A short position has been placed at 108,353.0 USD, targeting lower levels within the identified range, with a stop loss positioned at 114,193.4 USD to manage risk effectively in case of a bullish breakout. Multiple take-profit levels have been identified, with the first target at 103,214.5 USD, the second at 102,726.4 USD, and the final target at 92,004.8 USD. The setup is designed to capitalize on the potential downward move while maintaining a controlled risk. Peak profit for this trade is currently noted at 0.71%, with further room for expansion if the price descends into the broader range. Significant liquidation zones are clustered below the 102k level, which may lead to sharp moves downward if triggered. With FOMC week ahead, market participants should expect unpredictable price swings, requiring disciplined execution and adherence to risk management. The bias remains bearish for Bitcoin in the short term, given the current market structure and the presence of strong selling pressure near the identified zones. This short trade setup aligns with the technical and fundamental conditions anticipated for the week, and traders are advised to monitor key levels closely and adjust their positions as necessary to adapt to evolving market conditions.
BTCUSD - Weekly chart updates and anticipated movementsSince everyone is aware of Bitcoin's previous movements in 2017 and 2021, everyone is assuming that it will now be worth 280K. However, Bitcoin is currently in a rally or range between 100,000 and 110,000, and this rally will continue until 2026, after which there will be a nice pullback to 73,000–74,000.
This move makes sense because BTC does not even touch these levels again after breaking the cup and handle pattern, thus it should give this level again in order to continue the trend.
I'm leaving for the time being because we should always be cautious since this rally has the potential to be a good dump.
We all know that once a higher high is broken, a retracement is necessary to continue the trend. This was not the case for all stocks worldwide following the US elections.
Bitcoin Gold Direct Trading Pair - VERY IMPORTANT TO WATCH THISBitcoin Gold trading pair
PA heading towards 2.272 Fib extension line.
This has been Support since Nov 2024 and is now a firm line of Support at 34.52 Ounces of Gold per Bitcoin
Also about to hit 100 Daily SMA )( SMA ). This may also provide support just above the Fib line
Since December, we have been seeing a Rise in Gold prices as demand escalates due to various Macro reasons around the world.
Bitcoin has held a steady range while trading against Gold.
Now, I am Watching this close.
If BTC looses this line of Support and begins Loosing out to Gold because Gold continues to Rise, signals a Shift of Sentiment for BTC
The traditional Store of Value Wins against the New Kid on the block as a safe haven
Macro uncertainty driving money flow.
We now have Trump imposing Higher Tariffs Oon international trade and THIS alone is driving Massive uncertainty and so Stocks are falling and that money needs to go somewhere.
It has been GOLD since January this year, Rising to a New ATH
At the same Time, Bitcoin has effectively ranged just below the current ATH
GOLD has the momentum right now and is taking the prize
And THIS is why this chart is so important.
BITCOIN MUST NOT LOOSE THIS SUPPORT
DXT $ is also rising, maybe with the static interest rate and possibility of a Rise later in the year if inflation continues to rise.
Extreme Caution right now
Bitcoin - Weekly updated chart and expected movesAs we all know about bitcoin past moves in 2017 and 2021 every thinking about same move according to that move bitcoin would be 280K now but bitcoin is doing rally/Range between 100,000-110,000 this rally continue till 2026, then we see a good move of retracement till 73,000-74,000.
This move is logical understandable because after breaking of cup and handle pattern BTC does not even touch these levels again so for continuation of trend BTC should give this level once again.
I am out for now because this rally can give a good dump so we should be careful about this every time.
As we all know that once a higher high breaks than for continuation of trend a retracement is compulsory this for all kind of stocks in the world which we did not seen after USA elections.
BTCUSD
#BTCUSD
Bitcoin is currently following the overall market trend, showing signs of weakness. It's crucial to wait for confirmation before making any significant moves.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: Monitor key levels for potential rebounds.
Resistance Levels: A breakout above resistance could trigger strong bullish momentum.
📉 If the market remains bearish, be cautious with leverage.
📈 If BTC shows strength, it could signal a trend reversal.
🚨 Reminder: Stay patient, manage risk, and don’t rush into trades. The next move could be crucial! 🚀🔥
Bitcoin’s Next Move? Must-Watch Technical Breakdown!👀 👉 this video, we take a deep dive into BTC, breaking down its current uptrend and recent pullbacks from resistance. We'll analyze key support and resistance levels, market structure, and price action dynamics to uncover potential trade setups. Watch now for a detailed breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Bitcoin - An unexpected scenario that no one will tell u about!We all know about Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, and many compare the 2025 cycle to those of 2017 and 2021, analyzing common factors like the bull run and the massive price surges Bitcoin and altcoins experienced during those years.
But let me ask you an important question:
What if the bull run doesn’t happen in 2025 at all and this cycle extends until mid-2026?
As you know, the traders who truly profit in financial markets are the ones who think like market makers.
Does it seem logical to you that everyone expects a huge rally in 2025, and it actually happens just as anticipated?
Of course not.
2025 will be a year filled with price volatility designed to exhaust portfolios, drain liquidity, and spread uncertainty among traders.
We’ll see months where Bitcoin and altcoins surge parabolically, followed by months of brutal corrections, which will be less severe for Bitcoin but extremely painful for altcoins.
This price behavior may persist until Q4 2025 -Q1 2026, at which point Bitcoin will likely trade between $130K and $140K. All the analysts will tell you that the cycle has ended and that you should completely exit the market.
But in reality, that will be the true beginning of the bull run.
Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, targeting $300K, aligning with the Cup & Handle pattern target.
This level also corresponds to the 2.0 Fibonacci Retracement , reinforcing its significance as a major price objective.
It will be a violent surge within a short period, with a maximum duration of two months.
Most traders won't anticipate this move, and they will enter the market too late—right at the peak. That’s when the real bear market begins, trapping everyone in the market, just like in every previous cycle.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTC/USDT 1H: Bears Take Control – Targeting $102K Next! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Price: $104,560, facing rejection at premium zone (106-107K).
Bearish Bias: Failed breakout, with hidden bearish divergence on RSI (48.74).
Smart Money Activity: Clear distribution pattern at premium, likely targeting PCL (Previous Consolidation Low).
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Short Entry: Current price to $105K.
Targets:
T1: $103.2K (PCL).
T2: $102K (Equilibrium Zone).
Stop Loss: Above $106.2K (premium rejection).
Risk Score: 7/10 (strong R:R setup).
Market Maker Intent:
Distribution Phase in Play, suggesting accumulation around $102K-$103K.
Volume Profile & RSI Confirming the bearish move.
Rejection from premium zone needs confirmation for ideal entry.
Recommendation:
Short positions favorable from $104.5K-$105K.
Wait for rejection confirmation before entering.
Manage risk accordingly—position sizing is key.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bearish continuation.
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BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT trade BTC USD take breakout of bearish trand channel 💥 🚀 I see it holding up trand bullish trade 109k I'm expecting a successfully breakout one said that entry Short or bull 🐂 trand
Key Resistance level 106602 + 107124 + 109649
Key Support level 103838 - 100231
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Uptrend Within Ascending Channelhello guys!
Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum. Price recently bounced off the midline support and is now heading towards the upper boundary.
The expected scenario is a continuation of this trend, with Bitcoin pushing toward the resistance zone near 106,400. A break above this level could signal further upside movement.
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Gearing Up for $108.5K After Key Breakout!!BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish momentum developing after recent consolidation at 104.2K.
RSI: 58, indicating room for further upside without overbought conditions.
Breakout Confirmation: Previous resistance broken with strong volume.
Smart Money Activity:
Liquidity Hunt Completed: Market makers swept 102K level before reversal.
Accumulation Phase Evident: Smart money positioning for markup phase.
Institutional Buying Pressure: Clear demand visible in price action.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 104.2K - 104.5K
Targets:
T1: 106.2K
T2: 108.5K
Stop Loss: Below 102.8K
Risk Score:
7/10 (Moderate risk, favorable risk/reward setup).
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation nearly complete, setting up for a liquidity move.
No significant bearish divergences present on RSI.
Break above 106.2K would confirm bullish continuation.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within 104.2K - 104.5K range.
Monitor volume confirmation for breakout strength.
Maintain tight stops below 102.8K for risk management.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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Bitcoin FED Rate changes and efect on PA- UPDATE
So, after 3 previous Rate cuts, the FED decides to Hold station and Keep rates as they are currently.
This keeps Borrowing / repayment at the same level and as a result, the $ initially rose but soon lost all gains. Today, it is trying to come back.
Bitcoin, however, Jumped the gun and made nearly 4%.
As we can see from the last 3 years on the chart, Bitcoin itself has rarely been effected by the FED rate changes.
It Has been effected by the companies that Fell because of higher interest rates. ( Luna, 2 Aeeows and FTX )
And it began its recovery from that in Jan 2023 and has risen through it all ever since.
The 125 point rate rise from Jan 2023 did little to curb Bitcoins recovery
But now we have BTC as a Corporate asset and so, traditional aspect are beginning to take hold....
But I think that we see inflation rising again ( for what ever reason) and that the FED have haled Rate Cuts, this could lead to a surprise instore in Future FED Rate decisions.
What wold happen if they began increasing Rates ?
We will have to wait and see, Meanwhile, February could be a good month, March may get Bloody in finance.
Bitcoin will survive