#BTC short trade, previously shared trade idea still activeI saw that it still appears like a great time to buy, but after previewing it, it never gave us the price we wanted to buy at. More liquidity was created before it went down, and now there are more opportunities for our entry price to go down. Let's watch how it moves from here.
Btcusdanalysis
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Let's analyze BTCUSDT :
Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited strong momentum, particularly on weekly closing days, and is trading within a defined channel.
Looking back, on Monday, January 13th, BTC reached a low of $89,000. One week later, on Monday, January 20th, it surged to a new all-time high (ATH) of $109,599. More recently, on Monday, January 27th, BTC dipped to $98,000 from its ATH but quickly recovered from the support zone around $98,500. 50 EMA also supports this level on daily TF.
If BTC fails to hold this level and breaks down from the channel, immediate support would be $91.5k.
This recent price action has fueled anticipation of another new all-time high by next Monday. Currently, BTC is facing resistance at the $106,000 level, which also acts as a breakout zone on shorter timeframes. A daily close above this $106,000 resistance level could potentially trigger a rally toward the $120,000 mark.
Key Support Levels:
$98.5k
Key Resistance Level:
$106k
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Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Surging Past $101K or Plummeting to $70KIf Bitcoin breaks $101,700, it could aim for $117,000. If it falls below $100,000, it might correct down to $70,000-$80,000.
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$130K HERE WE COME! #BTCRight now I'm seeing so much fear across social media regarding BTC price that I cannot help but post that we are basically in wave 2 correction of a larger wave 5, and the wave 2 has probably ended or is about to end at any moment, so just sit back and relax and keep HODLing on cuz the wave 3 target is $130K minimum!
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Accumulating for a Breakout Toward $106K BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Accumulation phase ongoing after recent drop.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: RSI showing higher lows while price consolidates at key demand zone.
Smart Money Activity:
Market makers accumulated heavily at $99K-$100K, positioning for markup.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: $102,400 - $102,600
Targets:
T1: $103,800
T2: $105,200
T3: $106,400
Stop Loss: Below $101,800
Risk Score:
7/10 (favorable risk/reward with strong technical setup but watch for volatility).
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation nearly complete, expecting breakout toward liquidity zones.
Volume profile confirms institutional interest at current levels.
Break above $103,800 confirms bullish continuation.
Recommendation:
Long positions favorable within $102,400-$102,600 range.
Monitor volume to confirm breakout momentum.
Maintain tight stops to protect against market volatility.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Short Setup into Bearish FVG
Context & Rationale: Price is pushing into a rising channel near a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning with a bearish signal. Expecting a potential rejection, especially if upcoming macro news or Fed commentary adds downside pressure.
Trade Idea (Short):
– Entry: Enter short inside or near the 4H FVG region.
– Stop: Tight stop above the FVG boundary (risking 0.5% of account).
– Target: Look for a 1:2 or better risk-to-reward ratio, aiming for key structure lows.
Risk Management: This is a counter-trend play against the recent rally. If price closes above the FVG zone or invalidates the channel, be prepared to exit promptly and reassess.
BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Aim for $106.8k After Key Recovery ! BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Market Structure:
Bullish recovery underway after a liquidity sweep at 98.4k.
Hidden Bullish Divergence: Higher lows on RSI while price made lower lows, indicating potential for further upside.
Smart Money Activity:
Accumulation phase appears complete.
Market now transitioning to markup phase with strong institutional buying evident.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 101.8k-102.2k
Targets:
T1: 104.4k
T2: 106.8k
Stop Loss: Below 98.2k (recent sweep).
Risk Score:
7.5/10 (favorable R:R with clear invalidation).
Market Maker Intent:
Previous distribution attempt at 104.4k failed, suggesting a move to target liquidity near prior highs.
Volume profile supports the bullish narrative, with strong accumulation complete.
Recommendation:
Long positions are favorable within the 101.8k-102.2k range.
Maintain tight stops below 98.2k to limit downside risk.
Monitor price action near 104.4k for potential resistance.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish continuation.
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NEIRO/USDT: A Hidden Gem Ready for a Massive 300% Breakout!📉 Current Position: NEIRO/USDT is finding strong support near the discount level, signaling a potential reversal. The price is consolidating after a prolonged downtrend, indicating possible smart money accumulation.
📊 Technical Setup:
✅ Support Zone: NEIRO is holding a key support level, preventing further downside. A bounce from here could ignite a powerful bullish reversal.
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) Re-Test: The first major target lies in the FVG resistance zone around $0.0010. A clean breakout above this level will confirm the bullish shift.
✅ Break of Resistance: If NEIRO decisively clears the FVG resistance, it unlocks an explosive move towards $0.0025 and eventually $0.0030, representing a 300% gain from current levels.
🔥 Investor Opportunity:
High Reward Potential: Breaking above resistance could lead to massive price appreciation, rewarding early investors.
Smart Money Accumulation: Price action suggests large players might already be positioning before the breakout.
Bullish Confluence: Multiple indicators support an upcoming surge, making this a prime investment opportunity.
💡 Final Thoughts: NEIRO/USDT is setting up for a monumental breakout. A push above $0.0010 could send it soaring toward $0.0030, delivering a 300%+ gain. This might be the perfect time to position ahead of the rally before the market catches on! 🚀📈
BTC Retests Trendline Support – Breakout to $125K Incoming?BTC has once again successfully retested the rising trendline, which continues to act as strong support. Currently, the price is consolidating near the resistance zone.
If BTC breaks above this marked area, we could witness a significant rally, potentially driving the price toward $125K.
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Did Chinese AI Company Deepseek Cause Bitcoin (BTC) Price Crash?
The cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility, with prices often experiencing sharp swings in short periods.1 Recently, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, experienced a notable price drop, sparking discussions and speculation about the potential causes.2 Among the various theories circulating, one has gained particular attention: the suggestion that the price crash was triggered by the emergence of a Chinese AI company called Deepseek.3
Deepseek: A New Player in the AI Arena
Deepseek is a relatively new player in the artificial intelligence (AI) field, but it has quickly garnered attention for its advancements in AI technology.4 The company has been developing cutting-edge AI models, particularly in the realm of large language models (LLMs), which are designed to understand and generate human language.5
Deepseek's emergence has raised concerns among some investors and analysts, who fear that the company's advancements could disrupt the existing AI landscape, potentially challenging the dominance of U.S.-based tech companies.6 These concerns have seemingly spilled over into the cryptocurrency market, with some suggesting a link between Deepseek's rise and Bitcoin's recent price decline.7
The Alleged Connection: Market Sentiment and Uncertainty
The primary argument linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash revolves around market sentiment and uncertainty.8 The theory suggests that the emergence of a strong competitor in the AI space, particularly one from China, has created a sense of unease among investors.9 This unease has led to a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to sell off their holdings in various assets, including cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.10
The reasoning behind this theory is that investors may be concerned about the potential implications of Deepseek's advancements. Some may fear that the company's technology could lead to job displacement in certain sectors, while others may worry about the geopolitical implications of China gaining a stronger foothold in the AI industry. These concerns, it is argued, have contributed to a negative market sentiment, which has ultimately impacted Bitcoin's price.11
Analyzing the Claim: Correlation vs. Causation
While the theory linking Deepseek to the Bitcoin price crash is intriguing, it's crucial to approach it with a critical eye. It's important to distinguish between correlation and causation. Just because two events occur around the same time does not necessarily mean that one caused the other.
In this case, it's possible that both Deepseek's emergence and the Bitcoin price crash are coincidental. There could be other factors at play that contributed to the price decline, such as:
• Profit-taking: After a period of price appreciation, some investors may have decided to take profits, leading to a sell-off and a subsequent price drop.
• Market manipulation: The cryptocurrency market is still relatively unregulated, making it susceptible to manipulation.12 Large sell orders or coordinated "pump and dump" schemes could have contributed to the price decline.
• Broader economic factors: Global economic conditions, such as inflation or interest rate hikes, can also impact investor sentiment and lead to sell-offs in various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies.
The Role of Media and Speculation
It's also important to consider the role of media and speculation in amplifying the alleged connection between Deepseek and the Bitcoin price crash. News articles and social media discussions may have contributed to the spread of this theory, even if there is limited evidence to support it.
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency, rumors and speculation can quickly influence market sentiment. It's crucial to be discerning about the information consumed and to avoid jumping to conclusions based on limited evidence.
Conclusion: A Complex Picture with No Definitive Answer
The question of whether Deepseek caused the Bitcoin price crash is a complex one with no definitive answer. While the theory linking the two events is intriguing, it's essential to consider other factors that could have contributed to the price decline.
It's possible that Deepseek's emergence played a role in shaping market sentiment, but it's unlikely to be the sole cause of the price crash. The cryptocurrency market is influenced by a multitude of factors, and it's crucial to consider the broader context when analyzing price movements.
As the AI industry continues to evolve and the cryptocurrency market matures, it's likely that we will see more instances of speculation and theories linking seemingly disparate events. It's important to approach such claims with a critical mindset, to distinguish between correlation and causation, and to consider the broader context before drawing conclusions.
BTC LONG TP:111,000 25-01-2025Once again, the price has experienced a period of rest and consolidation, currently displaying a bullish pattern on the 4-hour chart. It is expected that this behavior will materialize within 2 days, with a take-profit target of 111,000; otherwise, the position should be considered invalid. It's important to keep in mind that there could be manipulative movements in the market, so it's advisable to adjust your stop according to your risk management strategy. Don't forget to follow me for more updates and analysis.
Skyrexio | Scared Already? The Worst Is Coming!Hello, Skyrexians!
First of all we want you to make calm: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is still in huge bull run and $140k target is still actual. The main question, how it plans to reach this level. Now we have two scenarios and one of them you will now like.
Let's take a look at the daily time frame. The bad signal are two red dots at the top on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . It could be waves 3 and 5. In this case impulse of higher degree is finished and market is entering the major correction. If our assumption about bull run continuation is right, BTC usually tends to reach 0.38 Fibonacci level. Now this level is at $80k. This is the worst scenario. After that $140k is reachable target.
We also have not so painful scenario. Price now is at the local Fibonacci level. If $96k is going to be hold we can see the extended wave 5, which will reach $140 in the nearest future.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BTC/USDT 1H: Bulls Eye Key Reversal from 99k Support
BTC/USDT 1H Chart Analysis (SMC Principles)
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Current Price: ~99k
Market Condition:
Testing critical support near 99k after sharp selloff.
RSI: Oversold at 30, with hidden bullish divergence forming.
Bearish order block evident at 105k.
Volume increasing on downside moves, signaling potential capitulation.
Market Maker Activity:
Distribution phase visible at 105-106k range.
Liquidity sweep engineered below 98k, potentially setting up for accumulation.
Likely targeting 104k to collect sell-side liquidity.
Key Levels:
Support: 98k-99k (weekly demand zone).
Resistance Targets:
T1: 102k
T2: 104k
Stop Loss: Below 97.8k (recent swing low).
Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 7.5/10):
Entry Zone: 99k-100k
Targets:
T1: 102k
T2: 104k
Stop Loss: Below 97.8k
Risk Score: 7/10 (moderate risk with favorable R:R).
Recommendation:
Long position warranted within the 99k-100k zone, but wait for confirmation with a strong hourly close above 100k.
Watch for volume spike to confirm reversal and monitor RSI divergence.
Maintain tight stops due to broader bearish context.
Confidence Level: 7.5/10 for potential accumulation phase.
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Bitcoin at the END of January? BEARISH TREND #BTC 1-26-25What to Expect from Bitcoin at END of January? As of today all crypto market started BEARISH Reversal Trend. All positive crypto news did not help crypto move more bullish, it means all crypto turned to Bearish Trend.
#BTCUSD #BCHUSD #ETHUSD #ETCUSD #ADAUSD #TONUSD #SOLUSD
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