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Btcusdanalysis

Bitcoin - Correction Is Finally Happening!Hello, Skyrexians! Let's continue trying to guess when BINANCE:BTCUSDT will have a correction. This time it's very likely, but I am not recommend to short this correction because this is the trade against the major trend. Let's take a look ate 12 hours time frame. Wave 3 is likely to be finished with internal double divergence on Awesome Oscillator. Now it's finally time for the wave 4. 0.38 Fibonacci is the most likely target at $101k. After that wave 5 is expected and it's going to be only higher degree wave 1. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
1
BTC/USD IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD?BTC/USD 24 MAY – IS A STRATEGIC CORRECTION OR A NEW RALLY AHEAD? 🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Federal Reserve Outlook: Recent statements from Fed officials remain hawkish, signaling that interest rate cuts may not arrive soon. Inflation data remains sticky, adding pressure on risk-on assets like crypto in the short term. Market Sentiment: Investors are cautious, with capital flowing back into safer assets amid global uncertainty. However, long-term sentiment on BTC remains strong, supported by fundamentals. On-Chain Metrics: Wallet activity and hash rate growth continue to reflect strong underlying demand. This suggests accumulation despite short-term price pressure. 📉 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1 CHART) BTC/USD is currently correcting after reaching the 111,947 resistance area. Price bounced from the 106,831 support zone and is now approaching the mid-range levels again. Chart Formation: A possible "bull trap" pattern is forming. Price may retest the 110,000 – 111,947 supply zone before deciding the next move. EMA Signals: Short-term EMAs have crossed downward on the H1 timeframe, indicating a weakening bullish momentum. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY 🔻 SCALP SELL ZONE: Entry: 111,800 – 111,950 Stop Loss: 112,200 Targets: 110,000 → 108,500 → 106,800 → 102,567 🔺 BUY ZONE (PULLBACK SUPPORT): Entry: 106,800 – 106,600 Stop Loss: 106,200 Targets: 107,800 → 109,000 → 110,000 🔍 TECHNICAL KEY LEVELS Resistance Zone: 111,947 – 112,000 Support Zone: 106,831 → 106,600 → 102,567 FIBO Key Levels: 0.5 – 109,393 | 0.382 – 108,763 ⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK If BTC breaks above 112,000 with strong volume, expect a bullish continuation toward 114,000+ levels. However, if price fails to hold above 110,000 and drops below 106,800, a deeper correction to 102,500 may follow. 📌 CONCLUSION "BTC is at a decision point, trading between macro hawkish pressure and technical liquidity zones. Stay flexible and wait for confirmation before committing heavily." Watch the US Jobless Claims data tonight for volatility triggers. Avoid emotional trades. Use strict risk management. Follow this profile for more real-time plans and updates.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
No one is talking about this! Big breakout Incoming! Here'S Why!CRYPTOCAP:USDT dominance is nearing a potential death cross on the daily chart. The last time this happened, we saw nearly 40 days of uninterrupted green across altcoins. During that period, CRYPTOCAP:BTC rallied from $67,476 to $101,898. Many altcoins surged between 90% and 300%. We’re now witnessing similar conditions unfold. If this crossover gets delayed or invalidated (Less likely but entirely possible), altcoins may experience short-term corrections. But the broader altcoin season remains inevitable. If this helped you gain perspective, give it a like and repost. You might want to bookmark it, I’ll update the chart as this plays out. Don’t let short-term volatility shake you out of generational opportunities. Be strong there, WAGMI! #PEACE
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Cryptorphic
5
BTCUSD Analysis – Potential Reversal Zone and Bearish SetupBTCUSD is currently trading near the 108,000 level and showing signs of a short-term downtrend. Price action suggests a possible minor upward retracement toward the 110,000 resistance area. This level aligns with previous price reactions and may act as a potential supply zone. If BTCUSD approaches the 110,000 region and fails to break above it convincingly, it could present a bearish opportunity, with potential downside targets at: 107,000 (minor support) 106,000 (structural level) 104,500 (major support and potential trend continuation target) A clear break above 110,500 would invalidate this scenario, suggesting a shift in market momentum. Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk according to your trading plan.
Short
by FX_Mark0
DeGRAM | BTCUSD new ATH📊 Technical Analysis ● Daily candle has closed above 108 250 $ – the February swing cap – completing an 8-week ascending triangle inside the rising channel and confirming fresh trend-acceleration. ● Momentum push has opened clear air to the red 112 000 $ supply / channel roof; former breakout line at 105 400 $ now acts as layered support together with the purple guideline. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-ETF cohort (IBIT, FBTC, ARKB) logged a three-day net inflow >5 000 BTC while exchange reserves printed a new 3-year low (CryptoQuant), pointing to tightening tradable supply. ● DXY pulled back after FOMC minutes showed no appetite for further hikes, tempering real-yield gains and reviving crypto bid. ✨ Summary Buy dips 106-108 k; upside window targets 112 k, stretch 115 k. Bull bias void only on a daily close beneath 100.7 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Digital gold breaks records: Bitcoin broke through the $111,000 On May 22, 2025, Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) reached a new all-time high, surpassing the $111,000 mark. Notably, this record was set on the day marking the 15th anniversary of Bitcoin Pizza Day - a symbolic date commemorating the first real-world purchase made with #BTCUSD in 2010. Several major factors have contributed to the recent rise of Bitcoin: Institutional Investment : The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs by BlackRock, Fidelity, and others has opened the door for large-scale investors to access #BTCUSD, boosting both liquidity and demand. Regulatory Clarity : The adoption of clear cryptocurrency regulations in the U.S. and the EU has increased trust in digital assets and attracted more conservative capital. Banking Integration : Support for #BTCUSD by apps like PayPal, Revolut, and major banks has simplified access for millions of users and expanded its real-world usage. Macroeconomic Instability : Inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the weakening of fiat currencies have strengthened demand for #BTCUSD as "digital gold" and a means of capital preservation. Halving and Technological Progress : The reduction in BTC issuance and the ongoing development of the Lightning Network are reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarcity and enhancing its fundamental value. Surpassing such a significant price level has reinforced #BTCUSD’s position as one of the key assets in today’s financial markets, confirming its status as "digital gold." The rally has sparked a wave of optimism and renewed activity on crypto exchanges, while also drawing increased interest in digital assets from the broader public. FreshForex analysts share the view that #BTCUSD still holds significant growth potential. In our assessment, the breakout above $111,000 in May signals a continuing upward trend and the possibility of further gains, driven by growing institutional interest.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us. Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by RetiredNovice
BTC - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENT (⊙ˍ⊙)This time IS DIFFERENT. Bitcoin has made a new ATH as I predicted in a few previous posts, but something's off...🤔 If we look at BTC from a macro view, the dates for this run up was quite extended. We do see some similarities in terms of the retracement (highlighted in blue) but from a timeframe analysis, there is no comparing this high to the previous: stretching from March to October where classical bear market symptoms were show - lower highs and lower lows, with a duration unlike any of the previous cycles. Interestingly, the previous season we increased not even 7% from the previous peak. And if we were to look at the same fractal, that places us around $116k. But the ONE thing, that has had me suspicious this entire time (🥁) was ETH. Overlaying the ETH chart, we see that historically, ETH peaked a week or two after the BTC ATH - until this time. The fact that BTC made such a dramatic ATH and Ethereum didn't? That was a new one. And even up to now, ETH is still 80% away only from it's previous ATH - imagine the altseason we will have IF ETH makes a new ATH... or will this time just be , different ?
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Check-
2
BTC/USD Bullish Setup: Double Bottom Breakout Targeting $110,000 Trade Setup Analysis 1. Support & Resistance Zones Support Zone (Buy Zone): Highlighted in purple, between $103,764 and $104,633, with a noted stop loss area near $104,061. Resistance/Target Zone (Take Profit Area): Around $109,878 – $110,002 labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”. 2. Double Bottom Pattern (Bullish Signal) There are two orange circles at the bottom, indicating a double bottom pattern—often a bullish reversal signal. This is supported by a neckline break near the entry point at $104,534. 3. Moving Averages Two moving averages are displayed: Likely a short-term MA (red) and a medium/long-term MA (blue). The price crossing above both suggests bullish momentum. 4. Trade Plan Entry Point: Around $104,534 Stop Loss: Below $104,061 Take Profit (Target): $109,878 – $110,002 Risk/Reward Ratio: High, given the tight stop and wide target. 📈 Price Projection The blue arrowed path suggests: A minor dip or consolidation near $104,534, followed by a strong upward move toward the target zone. The movement outlines a classic cup-and-handle or double-bottom breakout pattern. 🧠 Conclusion This is a bullish trading setup for BTC/USD with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The chart suggests: Buying near $104,534 Stop loss just below support Targeting a move to ~$110,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
38
Bitcoin Overextended? Watch These Key Levels for the Next Move!BTC/USDT 1H – Retrace Before the Next Leg? 🚦 Bitcoin has shown impressive strength recently. On the 1-hour chart the current price action looks overextended 📈. After a strong impulsive move up, we’re seeing signs of exhaustion, with price stalling near the $111,800 region. Liquidity appears thin on the buy side, and there’s a cluster of potential sell stops resting below the current high in the form of sell stop. I’m anticipating a retrace into the Fibonacci zone, with key levels at the 50% - 61.8% retracement. This area aligns with previous consolidation and could act as a magnet for price, especially as liquidity is swept from late long positions. If we see price rotate and break structure bullishly at my point of interest, I’ll be looking for a long entry opportunity. 🔄 Fundamentals & Macro Backdrop 🌍 On the fundamental side, Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical developments. Ongoing uncertainty in global politics and central bank policy continues to drive volatility across risk assets. Bitcoin’s correlation with tech stocks and the NASDAQ remains significant—recent data shows that when the NASDAQ pulls back, Bitcoin often follows suit. If we see a correction in tech stocks, be prepared for a retrace in BTC as well. 📉 Institutional interest is still strong, but short-term sentiment is cautious as traders await clarity on inflation, interest rates, and regulatory news. Keep an eye on U.S. economic data releases and any major headlines out of Washington or global hotspots, as these can quickly shift risk appetite. Fundamentals and macro news remain key drivers—stay nimble! Let’s see if BTC can reload for another leg up, or if broader market weakness drags it lower. Trade safe! 🚀
by fxtraderanthony
2
BTC SHORT TP:106,000 21-05-2025🚨 SHORT setup activated Entry between 109,500 and 110,500, targeting 105,600–106,200 on the 4H chart. Estimated duration: 24 hours ⏳ This looks like a classic fake breakout, trapping late longs before flushing them out. Price action is primed for a clean drop — get in smart and manage your stop. If the move doesn’t happen within the projected time, the setup is invalid. We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21
BTCUSDT | Chasing in Euphoria? Here’s the Smarter MoveI’ve watched BTC explode during rallies like this, and trust me, finding low-timeframe entries in euphoria is a trap for most. The move looks unstoppable… until it isn't. Right now, I’m only considering a 1R risk from the green box support . No more. No less. The risk is calculated, not emotional. If you’re thinking of jumping in recklessly, don’t. I’ll be watching the 1-minute timeframe closely for a clean upward break before doing anything. No confirmation, no trade. Reminder: “I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.” Most people don’t know how to think like this. That’s why they lose. You’re here to win, and I’m here to guide you. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! 📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Long
by UmutTrades
BTC/USD - Bull Market/Bear Market CycleApart from a few deviations, BTC/USD is still following its 731/730 day Bull Market/Bear Market Cycle. After the next 6 Month Candle which starts July 2025, we may see an even crazier new ATH or we may start early into the inevitable 1 1/2 to 2 year downtrend before the next major BTC Bull-run, which according to this chart, should start around July 2027. Be on the lookout for a new Descending Triangle Pattern on this one Month chart, this normally leads to a 48% breakdown drop from the bottom of the Descending Triangle Pattern as can be seen previously on this chart. The 6 Month Chart:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingThroughTheLens
BTC Hits New All-Time High: Is a $128K Blow-Off Top Next?Bitcoin's Meteoric Ascent: New All-Time Highs Fuel $128K "Blow-Off Top" Predictions Amidst Unprecedented Adoption The digital gold rush of the 21st century is reaching a fever pitch. Bitcoin (BTC), the pioneering cryptocurrency, has not only shattered previous records but is now tantalizingly close to new, stratospheric all-time highs, with analysts eyeing a potential "blow-off top" as high as $128,000. This electrifying surge, which saw BTC climb to within 1.5% of new peaks as bullish sentiment decisively overcame final resistance, is underpinned by a confluence of factors: soaring institutional and retail adoption, particularly in the United States, booming ETF inflows, growing political and regulatory support, and a shifting macroeconomic landscape that increasingly favors non-traditional assets. As of May 21, 2025, Bitcoin has firmly established itself above the $109,000 mark, a testament to its resilience and burgeoning mainstream acceptance. The recent price action has been nothing short of spectacular. Bitcoin bulls have been relentlessly "grilling sellers," pushing the price to historic milestones. On May 21, 2025, Bitcoin etched a new all-time high (ATH) above $109,000, a landmark achievement that notably placed 100% of BTC holders into profit. This surge saw Bitcoin's market capitalization briefly surpass that of e-commerce giant Amazon, a symbolic victory highlighting its growing financial clout. Specific figures around this period include a climb to a record $109,302, and another peak at a historic $109,500, demonstrating the intense buying pressure and bullish conviction in the market. Analysts are now recalibrating their upside targets, with many calling for $116,000 as the next significant milestone on the path to even loftier valuations. This bullish momentum isn't occurring in a vacuum. It's the culmination of years of development, increasing understanding, and a series of pivotal events that have collectively propelled Bitcoin into the financial limelight. The American Bitcoin Boom: Adoption Surpasses Gold, Institutions Dive In One of the most compelling narratives driving Bitcoin's current rally is its explosive growth in the United States. A staggering 50 million Americans now own Bitcoin, a figure that notably surpasses the 37 million gold holders in the country. This demographic shift signifies a profound change in investment preferences, particularly among younger generations who are increasingly comfortable with digital assets. Bitcoin is no longer a niche interest for tech enthusiasts; it's becoming a recognized component of diversified investment portfolios across a broad swathe of the American population. The institutional embrace within the US is equally, if not more, impactful. US firms now hold an astonishing 94.8% of the Bitcoin reserves held by publicly traded companies globally. This concentration underscores the confidence American corporations have in Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset, a hedge against inflation, and a potential source of significant returns. Furthermore, the United States is solidifying its position as the global epicenter of the Bitcoin industry, with 40% of all Bitcoin companies headquartered domestically. This robust ecosystem of miners, exchanges, wallet providers, and ancillary service companies fosters innovation and provides a strong foundation for continued growth. The advent and subsequent success of Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been a game-changer. These regulated financial products have opened the floodgates for a new wave of capital, allowing retail and institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin through traditional brokerage accounts without the complexities of direct ownership and custody. The "booming ETF inflows" are a direct contributor to the recent price surge, creating sustained buying pressure and signaling widespread market acceptance. Macroeconomic Tailwinds and Regulatory Optimism Beyond direct adoption, broader economic and political factors are playing a crucial role. The recent new all-time high of $109,000 was notably set just nine days after the US and China closed a 90-day trade agreement. This resolution eased economic uncertainty and market jitters that had previously weighed on global markets. In such an environment, assets perceived as hedges against traditional market volatility or fiat currency devaluation, like Bitcoin and gold, often thrive. Indeed, concurrent with Bitcoin's rise, concerns such as Japan's debt woes have contributed to gold surpassing the $3,300 mark, indicating a broader flight to alternative stores of value. Furthermore, there's growing optimism around US regulations concerning cryptocurrencies. While the regulatory landscape is still evolving, recent pronouncements and actions suggest a move towards greater clarity and a more accommodative stance, rather than outright prohibition. This "growing political support" is crucial for long-term institutional commitment, as regulatory uncertainty has historically been a significant barrier to entry for larger, more conservative investors. The fact that Bitcoin climbed to a record of $109,302, breaching a previous high set around the time of a major political event like a presidential inauguration (specifically referenced as Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20 in a historical context for a previous ATH), often correlates with market sentiment interpreting political or regulatory shifts as favorable. The "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR): A Paradigm Shift for National Economies? An intriguing, albeit more speculative, concept gaining traction is the idea of a "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve" (BSR). While not yet a formal policy in any major nation, the discussion itself highlights Bitcoin's evolving perception from a purely speculative asset to one with potential strategic geopolitical and economic importance. A BSR would involve a nation-state, such as the United States, acquiring and holding Bitcoin as part of its national reserves, much like it currently holds gold or foreign currencies. The rationale behind such a move could be multifaceted: 1. Hedging Against Fiat Devaluation: As central banks globally continue to engage in monetary expansion, concerns about the long-term purchasing power of fiat currencies persist. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, offers a potential hedge against this inflation. 2. Participating in a New Financial System: If Bitcoin continues its trajectory towards becoming a globally recognized store of value or even a medium of exchange for certain international transactions, holding it in reserve would position a nation to participate actively in this emerging financial infrastructure. 3. Technological Leadership: For a country like the US, which already leads in Bitcoin company headquarters and corporate holdings, establishing a BSR could further cement its leadership in the digital asset space, attracting talent and capital. 4. Economic Resilience: In a future where digital currencies play a more significant role, a BSR could offer a degree of economic resilience and autonomy, reducing reliance on traditional financial systems or the currencies of other nations. The implications of a major economic power like the US even seriously considering, let alone implementing, a BSR would be monumental for Bitcoin's legitimacy and price. It would signal ultimate institutional acceptance and could trigger a wave of similar considerations by other nations, creating immense demand for a limited supply of BTC. While the "Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Explained and What BSR Means for the US Economy" remains a topic of forward-looking discussion, its emergence in financial discourse is a testament to how far Bitcoin has come. The Path to $128K: Understanding the "Blow-Off Top" With Bitcoin having decisively broken past $109,000 and upside targets of $116,000 now in common parlance, the ultimate bull-case scenario being discussed is a "blow-off top" potentially reaching $128,000 or even higher. A "blow-off top" is a chart pattern that signifies a steep and rapid price increase in an asset, often on high volume, followed by an equally sharp reversal. It typically occurs at the end of a prolonged bull market or a parabolic advance. The psychology behind it involves: 1. Euphoria and FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out): As prices accelerate, media attention intensifies, and stories of quick riches abound. This draws in a flood of retail investors who don't want to miss out on the gains. 2. Exhaustion of Buyers: The parabolic rise eventually becomes unsustainable. The last wave of enthusiastic buyers enters at or near the peak. 3. Smart Money Distribution: Experienced traders and institutions, who may have accumulated positions much lower, begin to sell into this heightened demand, taking profits. 4. Sharp Reversal: Once buying pressure is exhausted and selling pressure mounts, the price can fall dramatically as latecomers panic-sell and stop-losses are triggered. Predicting the exact peak of a blow-off top is notoriously difficult. However, analysts use a combination of technical analysis (chart patterns, momentum indicators, Fibonacci extensions), on-chain data (network activity, holder behavior), and market sentiment to identify potential price targets and warning signs. The $128,000 figure is likely derived from such analyses, representing a significant psychological level or a projection based on previous market cycle behavior. Navigating the Bull Market: Indicators for Identifying a Cycle Top While the current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, savvy Bitcoin traders and investors are always mindful of market cycles and the potential for corrections or trend reversals. The question, "Is Bitcoin price close to a cycle top?" is one that prudent market participants constantly evaluate. Several indicators can help traders gauge whether a market might be overheating: 1. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): This trend-following momentum indicator can show bearish divergences, where the price makes new highs, but the MACD fails to do so, signaling weakening momentum. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): An RSI reading above 70 is generally considered overbought, and readings above 80 or 90 in a strong bull market can signal extreme conditions, though Bitcoin can remain overbought for extended periods. Bearish divergences on the RSI are also key. 3. On-Chain Metrics (e.g., MVRV Z-Score, Puell Multiple, SOPR): o MVRV Z-Score (Market Value to Realized Value): Compares Bitcoin's market cap to its realized cap (the price at which each coin last moved). High Z-scores indicate the market cap is significantly higher than the average cost basis, suggesting the asset is overvalued and potentially near a top. o Puell Multiple: Looks at the supply side of Bitcoin's economy – miners and their revenue. It divides the daily issuance value of bitcoins (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value. High values suggest miner profitability is high compared to historical norms, which has sometimes coincided with market tops. o Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR): This indicates if holders are, on average, selling in profit or loss. Values significantly above 1 suggest holders are realizing substantial profits, which can increase sell pressure. A sustained drop below 1 after a peak can signal a shift in trend. 4. Logarithmic Growth Curves: Bitcoin's long-term price action has often respected logarithmic growth channels. When the price reaches the upper band of these channels, it has historically indicated a market top. 5. Funding Rates and Open Interest in Derivatives Markets: Extremely high positive funding rates on perpetual swaps indicate that an overwhelming number of traders are long and paying a premium to maintain those positions. This can signal excessive bullishness and a crowded trade, making the market vulnerable to a long squeeze if prices reverse. High open interest can also exacerbate volatility. While Bitcoin is currently refusing to give up on its quest to revisit $108,000 (a level now surpassed) and beyond, concerns over a trend change, though perhaps quieter amidst the euphoria, are always present in the minds of seasoned investors. These indicators provide a more objective lens through which to assess the sustainability of the current rally. The Road Ahead: Uncharted Territory with Immense Potential As Bitcoin forges new all-time highs, it enters uncharted territory. The confluence of unprecedented US adoption, robust institutional investment via ETFs, a more favorable regulatory outlook, and supportive macroeconomic conditions has created a potent cocktail for price appreciation. The surpassing of Amazon's market cap, even if temporary, and the fact that 100% of BTC holders are in profit, are powerful psychological milestones that can fuel further confidence. The predictions of a $116,000 interim target and a potential $128,000 blow-off top are no longer fringe theories but are being seriously discussed by mainstream analysts. The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" is gaining more traction than ever, especially as traditional safe havens like gold also see increased interest amidst global economic uncertainties like Japan's debt situation. However, the path is unlikely to be linear. Bitcoin's inherent volatility means that sharp corrections can and will occur, even within a broader uptrend. The "concerns over a trend change" will likely grow louder as prices reach more extreme levels, and profit-taking becomes more tempting. Investors should remain vigilant, utilize the available indicators to assess market conditions, and practice sound risk management. In conclusion, May 2025 has marked a historic period for Bitcoin. Its surge above $109,000, driven by a powerful combination of fundamental adoption and favorable market dynamics, has set the stage for potentially even more dramatic price action. Whether the ultimate peak of this cycle is $116,000, $128,000, or another figure entirely, one thing is clear: Bitcoin has firmly cemented its place in the global financial landscape, and its journey is far from over. The coming weeks and months will be closely watched by investors worldwide as the world's preeminent cryptocurrency continues to redefine the boundaries of financial assets. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only, based on the provided snippets, and should not be considered financial advice. Investing in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is highly speculative and carries a significant risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
2